A.J. Vukovich — OGILVIE

A.J. VukovichOF Reno Aces

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .280 / .376

PA202

HR6

K%32

BB%6

BABIP310

ISO151

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.5M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	400	375	77	12	2	11	15	148	6	16	4	205	247	336	583	131	300	37	4	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	400	368	100	19	3	13	22	105	6	16	4	272	323	446	769	174	343	26	6	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	2 teams	—	493	475	109	16	2	18	12	151	4	36	4	229	255	385	640	156	295	31	2	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	2 teams	—	493	468	129	26	2	17	19	118	4	36	4	276	310	449	758	173	334	24	4	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	593	543	99	18	4	10	43	216	5	33	13	182	249	285	534	103	279	36	7	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	593	536	142	24	5	24	50	167	5	33	13	265	333	463	796	198	340	28	8	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	512	473	113	27	3	10	31	190	4	6	3	239	291	372	663	133	372	37	6	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	512	456	123	29	3	17	48	153	4	6	3	270	344	458	803	189	366	30	9	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	476	438	105	13	3	20	34	159	2	0	2	240	297	420	718	180	326	33	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	476	426	121	19	3	22	46	129	2	0	2	284	357	498	854	214	357	27	10	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	ARI	—	118	110	25	5	1	4	7	33	1	1	0	227	280	400	680	173	288	28	6	294	83	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
YTD	25	AAA	ARI	—	118	106	30	6	1	6	11	25	1	1	0	283	356	528	884	245	320	21	9	386	154	+7	+0	+0	-1	+3	1.0
ROS	25	AAA	ARI	10%	202	186	42	8	1	6	13	65	1	2	1	226	280	376	656	151	313	32	6	297	85	-3	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.1
ROS	25	MLB	ARI	10%	20	19	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	263	300	474	774	211	315	30	5	295	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
FULL	25	AAA	ARI	—	138	129	30	6	1	5	8	39	1	1	0	233	283	411	693	178	294	28	6	294	83	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
TOT	25	AAA	ARI	—	320	296	67	13	2	10	20	98	2	3	1	226	280	385	665	159	302	31	6	296	84	-6	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ARI	35%	512	468	109	19	3	18	35	160	4	4	2	233	292	402	694	169	308	31	7	304	91	-5	+0	+0	-3	+15	0.6
2028	27	MLB	ARI	44%	526	479	112	20	3	18	38	162	4	4	2	234	296	401	696	167	307	31	7	306	92	-5	+0	+0	-3	+15	0.7
2029	28	MLB	ARI	49%	531	483	112	20	3	18	39	162	4	4	2	232	295	398	692	166	306	31	7	306	92	-5	+0	-1	-3	+15	0.7
2030	29	MLB	ARI	50%	530	482	112	20	3	18	39	162	4	4	2	232	295	398	694	166	305	31	7	304	91	-5	+0	-1	-3	+15	0.5
2031	30	MLB	ARI	51%	525	477	110	20	3	17	39	161	4	3	2	231	294	392	686	161	303	31	7	301	89	-7	-0	-2	-3	+15	0.3
2032	31	MLB	ARI	51%	519	472	106	19	3	16	38	161	4	3	1	225	288	379	667	155	301	31	7	297	86	-8	+0	-3	-3	+15	0.1
2027	26	MLB	ARI	35%	178	163	38	7	1	6	12	56	1	1	1	233	290	399	689	166	311	31	7	302	89	-2	-0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2028	27	MLB	ARI	44%	232	211	49	9	1	8	17	71	2	2	1	232	296	398	694	166	310	31	7	303	90	-3	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.3
2029	28	MLB	ARI	49%	260	237	55	10	1	9	19	79	2	2	1	232	295	397	691	165	308	30	7	303	90	-3	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2030	29	MLB	ARI	50%	265	241	56	10	1	9	20	81	2	2	1	232	297	394	691	162	307	31	8	302	89	-3	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2031	30	MLB	ARI	51%	266	242	56	10	1	9	20	82	2	2	1	231	295	393	688	161	306	31	8	299	87	-4	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.1
2032	31	MLB	ARI	51%	265	241	55	10	1	9	20	82	2	2	1	228	293	390	683	162	303	31	8	295	84	-5	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1486	1354	314	57	6	51	109	457	11	11	6	232	294	396	690	164	309	31	7	301	88	-20	-0	-4	-9	+42	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	137	25	3	22	48	200	5	5	3	231	295	395	690	164	308	31	7	301	88	-9	-0	-2	-4	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	5819	5351	1206	212	33	180	376	1897	46	115	38	225	282	378	660	153	310	33	6	289	79	-135	+8	-7	-35	+165	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	135	24	4	20	42	212	5	13	4	226	282	380	662	154	311	33	6	289	79	-15	+1	-1	-4	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	124	121	36	4	2	3	3	28	0	6	3	298	315	438	753	140	367	23	2	332	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	276	247	64	15	1	10	19	77	6	10	1	259	327	449	777	190	329	28	7	340	118	+6	+2	—	—	+8	1.5
2022	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	45	44	13	0	0	2	1	13	0	1	0	295	311	432	743	136	379	29	2	329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	448	424	116	26	2	15	18	105	4	35	4	274	309	450	760	177	330	23	4	333	113	+7	+5	—	—	+13	2.5
2023	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	507	456	120	19	5	24	46	144	3	20	9	263	335	485	819	221	331	28	9	359	133	+19	+0	—	—	+14	3.4
2023	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	86	80	22	5	0	0	4	23	2	13	4	275	326	338	663	62	386	27	5	303	90	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	512	456	123	29	3	17	48	153	4	6	3	270	344	458	803	189	366	30	9	353	128	+16	+0	—	—	+15	3.2
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	476	426	121	19	3	22	46	129	2	0	2	284	357	498	854	214	357	27	10	375	145	+24	-1	—	—	+13	3.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1José Hernándezlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,901 PA	7	2,901	95	17	254	316	413	-11	+5	8.5	8.5
	/162	664	22	4	254	316	413	-2.4	+1.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,496	50	11	231	290	393	-9	+0	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	22	5	231	290	393	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
A.J. Vukovich (OGILVIE)	25	50	60	45	45	226/280/385	159	302	10	3	31%	6%	84	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Charles Leblanc 2022 · AAA	26	44→52	51→55	46→45	40	222/277/380	158	310	18	7	34%	7%	81	+0.4	228/302/384	156	326	18	9	33%	9%	93	+1.3	216/304/362	146	306	17	7	33%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Joe Gaetti 2008 · AAA	26	45→52	52→55	44→45	39	227/287/395	168	318	19	6	34%	6%	90	+1.0	207/270/359	152	304	18	5	36%	7%	74	-0.1	186/255/339	153	267	20	2	37%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Brock Peterson 2009 · AAA	25	47→50	50→55	44→40	42	235/291/392	156	303	17	3	28%	6%	91	+1.1	235/291/388	153	308	17	3	28%	6%	89	+1.0	234/290/393	159	303	20	0	29%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Koby Clemens 2012 · AAA	25	40→50	53→60	47→45	42	209/278/384	175	289	21	6	34%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/366	154	317	17	10	36%	8%	81	+0.4	193/279/357	164	298	18	10	39%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Jorge Bonifacio 2018 · MLB	25	47→51	52→55	46→45	44	241/297/409	168	302	21	4	27%	7%	98	+1.6	219/279/365	146	293	15	5	29%	7%	78	+0.2	199/270/370	171	249	22	7	29%	8%	75	+0.0
●Mike Wilson 2007 · AA	24	43→53	51→60	43→50	41	221/286/379	159	304	18	6	33%	7%	85	+0.7	208/281/381	173	299	22	8	36%	7%	85	+0.7	233/307/410	177	297	22	9	28%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Clint Frazier 2020 · MLB	25	45	51→55	44→50	42	230/283/396	167	288	18	7	27%	6%	89	+0.9	219/305/373	154	297	17	8	30%	10%	92	+1.2	192/301/321	129	283	15	9	34%	12%	76	+0.0
✕Ryan Strieby 2012 · AAA	26	45	51→60	45→40	42	224/292/378	154	317	19	5	34%	8%	88	+0.9	188/256/311	123	281	14	5	36%	7%	55	-1.4	139/215/239	99	205	12	1	37%	7%	17	-3.4
✕Kyle Garlick 2017 · AA	25	50	51→60	47→40	35	245/289/419	174	348	17	3	34%	5%	97	+1.5	207/254/366	159	306	19	3	38%	5%	69	-0.4	222/280/450	228	285	31	2	33%	6%	99	+0.6
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	39→46	52→55	43→45	43	208/281/373	165	273	19	7	31%	7%	82	+0.5	221/299/382	161	292	18	5	29%	9%	92	+1.2	218/299/375	157	288	18	3	29%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Kyle Parker 2015 · MLB	25	47→52	49→55	42→45	40	236/281/380	143	300	17	5	27%	5%	82	+0.5	209/255/322	113	293	12	7	31%	6%	56	-1.3	190/239/294	104	273	11	6	33%	6%	40	-1.4
✕Andrew Brown 2009 · AA	24	46→47	51→55	44→40	41	227/291/387	160	325	19	3	35%	8%	89	+1.0	239/300/409	170	312	22	4	29%	7%	99	+1.7	240/304/417	176	307	24	3	29%	7%	100	+1.1
●Russ Canzler 2011 · AA	25	43→53	51→55	43→45	43	224/279/386	162	287	18	7	29%	7%	84	+0.6	237/297/392	155	311	17	4	28%	7%	93	+1.3	233/294/377	144	305	16	2	28%	7%	84	+0.6
✕Kyle Lewis 2020 · MLB	25	48→52	53→55	45→40	38	238/287/410	171	337	21	4	35%	6%	93	+1.3	242/315/414	172	327	23	7	31%	9%	106	+2.2	227/320/397	170	288	26	7	29%	11%	102	+0.6
✕Michael Snyder 2015 · AA	25	45→43	52→55	47→30	37	232/276/402	170	319	20	3	33%	5%	87	+0.8	209/260/342	133	315	15	5	37%	6%	65	-0.7	183/237/313	130	273	17	2	38%	6%	45	-1.4
✕Bryce Brentz 2014 · AAA	25	44→46	50→60	44→40	35	227/266/377	150	309	19	5	33%	4%	76	+0.1	217/264/346	129	303	14	4	32%	6%	67	-0.5	205/266/389	185	277	25	1	35%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Brian Fletcher 2014 · AAA	25	45→41	51→55	47→45	35	233/273/392	160	317	20	9	33%	4%	83	+0.6	215/262/341	126	318	14	9	35%	5%	64	-0.8	198/249/305	108	304	11	7	37%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Nicky Delmonico 2017 · AAA	25	47	51→55	48→45	42	237/286/410	173	304	18	5	28%	6%	93	+1.3	231/299/381	150	287	16	5	24%	8%	91	+1.1	225/300/366	141	278	15	4	23%	8%	85	+0.4
✕Brendan Katin 2008 · AA	25	45→48	51→60	41→45	35	225/276/381	156	328	19	4	36%	5%	82	+0.5	206/258/383	177	304	22	5	39%	5%	76	+0.0	188/253/390	202	255	27	2	37%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Stefan Gartrell 2010 · AAA	26	47→52	51→55	50→45	42	237/292/401	164	311	19	7	30%	6%	93	+1.3	227/282/394	167	296	21	6	30%	6%	88	+0.9	219/276/388	169	282	23	6	30%	6%	79	+0.3