Colby Thomas — OGILVIE

Colby ThomasRF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB HR +14% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION298 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 7773vR 60

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO181

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

5710.2%

xAVG

100.195

POWER60

Barrel%

7011.2

Avg EV

7390.7

Bat Spd

8374.8

EYE40

Chase%

9023.5%

SPEED50

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2025 · 132 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

140

◀◀L

wOBA

375

207

◀◀L

ISO

344

034

◀◀L

BABIP

281

333

▶▶R

36.2%

38.1%

◀L

BB%

8.7%

1.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	237	217	63	15	2	10	11	70	4	11	2	290	333	516	849	226	381	30	5	365	133	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.6
2023	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	327	290	82	24	4	8	26	76	11	14	4	283	364	476	840	193	359	23	8	372	138	+15	+1	—	—	+7	2.4
2024	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	314	279	76	25	2	17	23	95	9	3	3	272	347	559	906	287	347	30	7	390	150	+19	-1	—	—	+7	2.5
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	261	234	66	19	3	14	17	47	5	12	1	282	341	568	909	286	295	18	7	387	148	+15	+2	—	—	+6	2.3
2025	24	MLB	Athletics	—	132	120	27	5	0	6	7	49	1	2	1	225	273	417	690	192	309	37	5	295	86	-2	+0	-1	-6	+3	-0.6
2025	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	384	333	97	21	2	18	32	103	11	7	4	291	371	529	900	237	361	27	8	387	148	+22	-0	—	—	+8	3.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	132	120	27	5	0	6	7	49	1	2	1	225	273	417	690	192	309	37	5	295	86	-2	+0	-1	-6	+3	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	237	222	46	11	1	6	8	101	4	11	2	207	248	347	595	140	328	43	3	252	57	-12	+1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2023	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	327	298	66	17	3	7	18	102	11	14	4	221	291	369	660	148	311	31	6	287	80	-8	+1	—	—	+7	0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	314	285	55	16	1	12	17	120	9	3	3	193	260	382	643	189	275	38	5	282	77	-9	-1	—	—	+7	-0.2
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	261	241	52	13	2	12	12	59	5	12	1	216	267	436	703	220	230	23	5	297	87	-4	+2	—	—	+6	0.4
2025	24	MLB MLE	Athletics	—	132	120	27	5	0	6	7	49	1	2	1	225	273	417	690	192	309	37	5	291	83	-3	+0	-1	-6	+3	-0.7
2025	24	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	384	343	74	16	2	11	23	129	11	7	4	216	286	370	657	155	293	34	6	290	82	-8	-0	—	—	+8	0.0
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	564	520	111	28	4	13	26	203	15	25	6	213	271	358	629	144	320	36	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	564	507	145	39	6	18	37	146	15	25	6	286	351	493	844	207	368	26	7	369	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	575	526	109	30	4	24	29	179	14	15	4	207	267	416	683	209	258	31	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	575	513	142	44	5	31	40	142	14	15	4	277	344	563	908	287	321	25	7	389	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	516	463	102	21	2	18	30	178	12	9	5	220	285	391	676	171	303	34	6	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	516	453	124	26	2	24	39	152	12	9	5	274	347	499	845	225	348	29	8	364	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	564	518	111	28	4	13	26	203	15	25	6	214	271	359	630	145	318	36	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	575	527	109	30	4	24	29	179	14	15	4	207	267	416	683	209	255	31	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	516	469	102	21	2	18	30	178	12	9	5	217	285	386	671	168	297	34	6	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	564	518	111	28	4	13	26	203	15	25	6	214	271	359	630	145	318	36	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	575	527	109	30	4	24	29	179	14	15	4	207	267	416	683	209	255	31	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	516	469	102	21	2	18	30	178	12	9	5	217	285	386	671	168	297	34	6	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	PHI	—	298	278	51	7	1	7	13	98	4	3	3	183	231	291	522	108	254	33	4	232	43	-20	-1	+0	-3	+6	-1.8
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	PHI	—	121	114	23	3	0	4	4	37	1	1	1	202	235	333	569	132	260	31	3	249	43	-8	-0	+0	-3	+3	-0.9
YTD	25	AAA RAW	PHI	—	177	159	34	5	1	5	14	51	3	2	2	214	290	352	642	138	282	29	8	289	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB RAW	PHI	—	121	114	23	3	0	4	4	37	1	1	1	202	235	333	569	132	260	31	3	249	55	-6	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
ROS	25	AAA MLE	PHI	100%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		274	33	0	277	73	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	PHI	100%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		277	33	0	270	73	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	PHI	—	130	123	24	3	0	4	4	40	1	1	1	195	227	317	544	122	253	31	3	251	44	-9	-0	-0	-1	+3	-0.8
TOT	25	AAA MLE	PHI	—	307	287	52	7	1	7	13	101	4	3	3	181	227	286	513	105	251	33	4	233	44	-20	-1	-0	-3	+7	-1.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	415	382	81	14	2	15	23	133	7	6	3	212	269	377	646	165	276	32	6	283	78	-11	+0	-1	-4	+9	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	270	248	52	9	1	10	15	87	5	4	2	210	269	375	644	165	279	32	6	278	78	-7	+0	-1	-3	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	411	377	80	14	1	16	22	139	6	6	3	212	267	382	649	170	283	34	5	283	78	-10	+0	-2	-9	+9	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	126	22	2	25	35	220	9	9	5	211	265	381	646	169	283	34	5	283	78	-15	+0	-3	-13	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2079	1900	404	93	12	70	108	696	48	55	18	213	272	385	657	172	289	33	5	284	78	-13	+0	-2	-10	+12	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	127	29	4	22	34	218	15	17	6	214	274	387	661	173	292	34	5	284	78	-16	+0	-2	-12	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.0	666	25	9	214	264	379	-7	-7	-0.4	-0.3
/162	664	25	9	-7.1	-6.8	-0.4	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colby Thomas (OGILVIE)	25	55	60	50	40	205/262/355	150	274	5	2	32%	6%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Evan White 2021 · MLB	25	46→52	52→50	43→40	41	236/289/398	162	313	21	4	31%	6%	93	+0.8	206/269/360	154	272	19	6	31%	7%	76	-0.4	154/221/298	144	183	19	0	28%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	41→44	54→60	45→50	42	216/281/398	182	274	21	10	29%	7%	90	+0.6	224/296/400	176	286	19	8	28%	8%	95	+1.0	219/298/391	173	277	19	6	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Brandon Wood 2010 · MLB	25	41→45	54→65	46→50	41	221/271/398	178	271	23	7	28%	6%	86	+0.3	200/245/323	123	262	15	4	29%	5%	58	-1.7	197/240/298	102	259	11	1	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Will Middlebrooks 2013 · MLB	24	48→45	53→55	49→45	38	246/285/416	169	314	22	9	29%	5%	95	+0.9	223/266/372	149	275	20	6	26%	5%	78	-0.3	207/249/340	133	254	18	3	26%	5%	61	-1.1
✕Tyler Colvin 2012 · MLB	26	40→50	53→60	52→45	40	214/258/392	178	262	20	6	27%	5%	79	-0.2	226/272/393	167	296	17	8	29%	6%	84	+0.2	228/275/388	160	302	15	8	29%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Wladimir Balentien 2010 · MLB	26	43→45	52→55	44→50	47	224/287/391	167	270	19	7	25%	8%	90	+0.6	232/287/399	167	280	20	11	24%	7%	92	+0.7	228/276/401	173	268	21	14	24%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Jarred Kelenic 2023 · MLB	24	41→51	54→60	49→50	45	217/280/402	185	266	21	13	27%	7%	91	+0.6	226/287/381	155	309	17	13	30%	8%	88	+0.4	218/279/351	133	306	14	13	32%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Keston Hiura 2022 · MLB	25	44→54	54→60	48→50	41	222/303/402	180	322	22	10	36%	8%	99	+1.3	230/309/422	192	327	27	6	36%	8%	106	+1.8	229/304/431	202	318	31	3	36%	7%	104	+1.0
✕Elehuris Montero 2023 · MLB	24	43→52	53→55	45→30	42	228/290/400	172	286	22	4	28%	6%	93	+0.8	228/287/392	164	300	20	3	30%	7%	91	+0.6	224/283/385	162	294	21	1	30%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Travis Ishikawa 2009 · MLB	25	45→49	52→55	46→45	43	230/288/401	171	293	20	6	28%	7%	93	+0.8	245/308/385	140	311	15	6	25%	8%	96	+1.0	238/309/373	135	313	13	1	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Ryan Rua 2015 · MLB	25	47→54	50	46→50	43	239/293/391	152	292	17	7	25%	6%	92	+0.7	227/286/364	137	304	16	10	29%	7%	83	+0.1	218/276/355	137	305	18	14	33%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Kyle Blanks 2013 · MLB	26	46→56	52→55	51→45	43	231/295/406	175	304	19	7	30%	7%	97	+1.1	245/317/407	162	320	19	5	28%	8%	105	+1.7	247/324/409	162	325	20	2	28%	8%	105	+0.7
✕Jorge Bonifacio 2018 · MLB	25	46→51	52→50	46→45	44	236/294/399	162	298	20	4	28%	7%	94	+0.9	219/280/364	145	291	16	5	29%	7%	81	-0.1	199/270/350	151	251	18	7	28%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Michael Chavis 2022 · MLB	26	44→46	53→60	45	37	228/280/398	170	304	22	7	32%	5%	89	+0.5	228/273/380	152	300	18	7	30%	5%	82	-0.0	222/269/381	159	284	19	6	28%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Lewis Brinson 2018 · MLB	24	46→53	51→55	52→50	42	235/286/398	162	291	18	16	26%	6%	91	+0.7	207/260/339	132	282	14	12	31%	5%	68	-1.0	230/272/404	174	301	22	8	31%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Ryan Mountcastle 2023 · MLB	26	48→54	56→55	44→40	45	249/307/434	184	300	24	5	26%	7%	107	+1.9	254/306/415	161	313	19	5	24%	7%	102	+1.5	256/305/405	150	317	17	4	24%	6%	97	+0.9
●Cody Ross 2006 · MLB	25	40→50	52→65	47→45	43	214/275/379	165	275	20	7	30%	7%	82	+0.0	249/315/456	207	295	25	6	24%	8%	116	+2.5	273/331/498	226	312	27	6	21%	7%	128	+2.5
✕Aristides Aquino 2020 · MLB	26	38→41	59→60	49→50	39	217/265/420	202	262	29	10	30%	5%	89	+0.5	218/288/417	199	283	27	9	32%	8%	97	+1.1	193/274/373	180	272	23	6	37%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Austin Hedges 2018 · MLB	25	42→40	53→60	45	40	224/266/393	169	265	22	5	26%	5%	83	+0.1	215/274/385	170	271	22	6	29%	7%	84	+0.1	190/263/292	101	234	13	4	24%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Jake Meyers 2022 · MLB	26	50→60	51→55	50	42	250/308/414	163	318	19	13	27%	6%	103	+1.5	240/303/390	150	306	17	11	26%	7%	95	+1.0	239/308/364	125	293	13	15	22%	8%	90	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps