Colby Thomas — OGILVIE

Colby ThomasRF Athletics

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION181 act + 120 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 140105vR 14

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .284 / .407

PA120

HR5

K%31

BB%6

BABIP287

ISO181

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

5011.0%

xwOBA

190.272

POWER60

Barrel%

7511.9

Avg EV

7991.1

Bat Spd

8374.8

EYE40

Chase%

8325.3%

SPEED50

Sprint

6628.1

Platoon Splits2025 · 132 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

145

◀◀L

wOBA

375

207

◀◀L

ISO

344

034

◀◀L

BABIP

281

333

▶▶R

36.2%

38.1%

◀L

BB%

8.7%

1.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	564	520	110	28	4	12	26	211	15	25	6	212	269	350	619	138	328	37	5	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	564	507	145	39	6	18	37	146	15	25	6	286	351	493	844	207	368	26	7	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	575	525	106	27	3	26	30	182	14	15	4	202	264	413	677	211	248	32	5	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	575	513	142	44	5	31	40	142	14	15	4	277	344	563	908	287	321	25	7	389	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	516	462	100	22	2	16	31	175	12	9	5	216	283	377	660	160	299	34	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	516	453	124	26	2	24	39	152	12	9	5	274	347	499	845	225	348	29	8	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	OAK	—	181	168	37	5	0	8	10	54	2	2	2	220	272	393	665	173	274	30	6	285	76	-5	-0	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
YTD	25	MLB	OAK	—	181	166	41	6	0	9	12	49	2	2	2	247	306	446	751	199	296	27	7	330	111	+2	-0	+0	-2	+5	0.5
ROS	25	MLB	OAK	100%	120	110	25	5	0	5	7	37	2	2	1	226	284	407	691	181	286	31	6	303	90	-1	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.1
ROS	25	MLB	OAK	100%	121	110	24	4	0	5	8	37	2	2	1	218	283	391	674	173	283	31	7	288	78	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
FULL	25	MLB	OAK	—	302	278	61	9	0	13	18	91	4	4	3	219	277	392	669	173	274	30	6	286	77	-8	-0	-0	-3	+9	-0.3
TOT	25	MLB	OAK	—	301	278	62	10	0	13	17	91	4	4	3	222	277	398	675	176	279	30	6	292	82	-6	-0	-0	-3	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	OAK	65%	629	574	128	24	2	25	39	195	11	10	4	223	285	402	688	179	288	31	6	306	92	-6	+0	-1	-7	+18	0.5
2028	27	MLB	OAK	65%	616	561	126	24	2	25	39	191	11	10	4	225	288	408	696	184	288	31	6	306	92	-5	+0	-1	-7	+17	0.5
2027	26	MLB	OAK	65%	409	374	83	16	1	16	25	127	7	6	2	222	283	398	682	176	285	31	6	290	80	-9	+0	-1	-4	+12	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	OAK	65%	400	365	81	15	1	16	25	124	7	6	2	222	285	400	685	178	285	31	6	290	80	-9	+0	-1	-4	+11	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1062	969	215	40	2	43	65	337	17	16	6	222	283	400	683	179	288	32	6	290	80	-24	+1	-3	-15	+30	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	131	24	1	26	40	206	10	10	4	221	281	396	678	175	287	32	6	290	80	-14	+0	-2	-9	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	3020	2752	595	130	13	109	172	991	65	71	24	216	278	392	670	175	290	33	6	292	82	-62	+5	-4	-32	+86	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	128	28	3	23	37	213	14	15	5	216	278	390	668	174	291	33	6	292	82	-13	+1	-1	-7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	237	217	63	15	2	10	11	70	4	11	2	290	333	516	849	226	381	30	5	365	137	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2023	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	327	290	82	24	4	8	26	76	11	14	4	283	364	476	840	193	359	23	8	372	143	+16	+1	—	—	+9	2.7
2024	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	314	279	76	25	2	17	23	95	9	3	3	272	347	559	906	287	347	30	7	390	156	+20	-1	—	—	+9	2.9
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	261	234	66	19	3	14	17	47	5	12	1	282	341	568	909	286	295	18	7	387	154	+16	+2	—	—	+7	2.6
2025	24	MLB	Athletics	—	132	120	27	5	0	6	7	49	1	2	1	225	273	417	690	192	309	37	5	295	84	-2	+0	-1	-6	+4	-0.6
2025	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	384	333	97	21	2	18	32	103	11	7	4	291	371	529	900	237	361	27	8	387	155	+24	-0	—	—	+11	3.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	132	120	27	5	0	6	7	49	1	2	1	225	273	417	690	192	309	37	5	295	84	-2	+0	-1	-6	+4	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	9	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	27	9	242	297	444	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,237	50	19	223	279	404	-13	-7	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	27	10	223	279	404	-7.1	-3.6	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colby Thomas (OGILVIE)	25	55	60	50	40	222/277/398	176	279	13	4	30%	6%	82	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Hays 2020 · MLB	25	42→52	54→60	46→45	37	226/261/401	175	272	22	10	27%	4%	81	+0.4	238/287/404	166	280	20	8	23%	5%	92	+1.2	249/304/416	166	295	18	4	22%	6%	100	+1.6
✕Jorge Bonifacio 2018 · MLB	25	47→51	52→55	46→45	44	241/297/409	168	302	21	4	27%	7%	98	+1.6	219/279/365	146	293	15	5	29%	7%	78	+0.2	199/270/370	171	249	22	7	29%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Michael Chavis 2021 · MLB	25	45→46	55→60	50→45	41	234/294/416	181	312	24	7	32%	7%	98	+1.6	229/274/391	162	307	20	6	31%	5%	83	+0.6	219/271/388	169	270	22	7	27%	5%	78	+0.1
✕David Dahl 2019 · MLB	25	46→54	52→55	50→55	42	236/283/402	167	297	19	12	28%	6%	89	+1.0	237/287/388	151	303	15	8	26%	6%	88	+0.9	250/300/396	147	318	14	5	25%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Brandon Wood 2010 · MLB	25	41→45	54→65	46→50	41	221/270/398	177	271	23	7	28%	6%	84	+0.6	196/241/317	121	259	15	4	30%	5%	50	-1.8	191/236/289	98	259	11	1	30%	5%	38	-1.4
✕Will Middlebrooks 2014 · MLB	25	44→45	55	48→45	40	239/280/417	178	282	25	7	26%	5%	92	+1.2	209/250/341	132	264	17	5	27%	5%	59	-1.1	190/226/333	143	237	19	2	29%	4%	46	-1.2
✕Chad Pinder 2018 · MLB	26	46→53	52→60	46→45	38	236/282/405	169	308	20	7	30%	5%	91	+1.1	247/305/427	180	307	22	4	26%	7%	105	+2.1	249/309/432	183	307	22	1	26%	7%	107	+1.2
✕Tyler Colvin 2011 · MLB	25	46→52	54→60	53→45	43	240/289/424	184	285	21	8	24%	6%	98	+1.6	216/261/385	169	277	18	7	28%	6%	76	+0.0	216/264/365	150	289	14	8	30%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Joe Benson 2013 · MLB	25	41→48	52→60	50	42	215/281/389	174	287	19	15	32%	7%	85	+0.7	209/274/331	122	288	11	13	30%	7%	67	-0.5	207/277/319	112	282	9	13	28%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Jarred Kelenic 2023 · MLB	24	43→53	55→60	49→50	44	226/287/420	195	278	21	13	27%	7%	97	+1.5	229/289/388	159	313	17	13	30%	8%	89	+0.9	219/278/354	135	308	14	13	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Kyle Blanks 2013 · MLB	26	45→55	53→55	51→45	42	229/291/410	181	304	20	7	31%	7%	95	+1.4	246/318/410	164	323	19	5	28%	8%	107	+2.2	249/326/413	164	329	20	2	28%	8%	109	+0.9
✕Ryan Mountcastle 2023 · MLB	26	47→53	55→60	44→40	45	246/303/426	180	296	24	5	26%	7%	105	+2.1	250/302/405	155	309	18	5	24%	7%	98	+1.6	251/301/395	144	312	16	4	24%	6%	92	+1.0
✕Ezequiel Duran 2023 · MLB	24	44→54	53→55	49→50	38	229/274/406	177	298	21	15	31%	5%	87	+0.8	248/291/394	146	318	16	14	26%	5%	91	+1.1	252/296/386	133	322	14	16	25%	5%	87	+0.5
✕Josh Fields 2008 · MLB	25	47→56	55	48→50	45	241/305/424	184	314	23	12	30%	8%	105	+2.1	232/296/390	158	312	19	9	30%	8%	92	+1.2	230/295/362	132	309	15	9	29%	8%	82	+0.3
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	42→46	53→60	49→50	41	219/283/394	175	305	21	15	34%	8%	88	+0.9	225/299/428	203	289	27	11	31%	9%	104	+2.0	219/298/426	206	274	28	10	30%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Koby Clemens 2012 · AAA	25	40→50	53→60	47→45	42	209/278/384	175	289	21	6	34%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/366	154	317	17	10	36%	8%	81	+0.4	193/279/357	164	298	18	10	39%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Jerry Sands 2013 · MLB	25	40→46	52→60	47→45	45	213/280/376	163	269	21	5	29%	8%	82	+0.5	209/277/347	138	281	16	3	30%	8%	73	-0.1	238/300/412	174	297	20	3	26%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Curtis Terry 2022 · MLB	25	43	55	46→30	40	231/290/421	190	279	23	4	26%	5%	98	+1.6	230/294/399	169	270	20	5	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/286/375	161	242	19	0	20%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Marquez Smith 2011 · AAA	26	47→53	53→55	48→40	41	243/291/422	179	297	21	4	26%	6%	98	+1.6	235/286/381	146	297	16	4	26%	6%	85	+0.7	232/312/375	143	301	14	3	26%	9%	93	+0.9
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	41→46	57→60	45→50	42	220/287/421	201	277	24	10	30%	7%	97	+1.5	229/299/415	186	291	21	8	28%	8%	101	+1.8	223/301/403	180	282	20	6	27%	8%	95	+0.6