Sandro Fabian — OGILVIE

Sandro FabianRF Round Rock Express

Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .294 / .410

PA250

HR8

K%19

BB%5

ISO166

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT60

Whiff%

904.8%

POWER49

Bat Spd

3569.8

EYE42

Chase%

1046.7%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Giants	—	286	248	50	7	1	2	9	68	18	2	0	202	280	262	542	60	259	24	3	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK	DSL Giants	—	286	242	65	10	2	3	15	47	18	2	0	269	356	364	720	95	312	16	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	174	162	40	9	3	2	4	40	2	3	1	247	274	377	650	130	304	23	2	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	174	159	54	13	5	2	7	28	2	3	1	340	375	522	897	182	388	16	4	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	504	484	113	23	0	13	7	130	5	5	4	233	252	362	614	128	290	26	1	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	504	480	133	30	0	11	10	88	5	5	4	277	298	408	707	131	317	17	2	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	San Jose Giants	—	450	413	68	14	1	10	20	156	9	1	2	165	219	276	495	111	230	35	4	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	San Jose Giants	—	450	406	81	19	1	10	26	107	9	1	2	200	262	325	588	126	241	24	6	262	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	2 teams	—	228	203	43	5	1	6	15	65	7	3	1	212	289	335	624	123	274	29	7	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	2 teams	—	228	199	55	7	1	7	19	46	7	3	1	276	360	427	787	151	322	20	8	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	302	72	9	1	16	6	73	4	0	0	238	263	434	697	195	260	23	2	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	296	78	13	1	15	11	57	4	0	0	264	298	466	764	203	279	18	4	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	507	469	101	24	1	22	24	114	11	4	3	215	270	412	681	196	235	22	5	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	507	457	115	29	1	18	36	95	11	4	3	252	321	438	759	186	280	19	7	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	539	507	115	23	3	18	18	113	8	6	2	227	265	391	655	164	254	21	3	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	539	496	139	31	3	24	25	81	8	6	2	280	323	500	823	220	290	15	5	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	582	535	128	31	1	18	34	100	9	5	4	239	296	402	698	163	261	17	6	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	582	517	139	34	2	22	52	92	9	5	4	269	346	470	816	201	287	16	9	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	TEX	—	250	232	58	13	1	8	13	49	3	3	1	250	298	418	716	168	278	20	5	313	97	-1	+0	+0	-3	+7	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	TEX	33%	323	298	73	16	1	10	18	64	4	3	2	245	297	406	703	161	279	20	6	312	97	-1	-0	-1	-3	+9	0.3
2028	30	MLB	TEX	46%	343	316	77	16	1	11	20	70	4	3	2	244	297	405	702	161	278	20	6	310	95	-2	-0	-2	-4	+10	0.2
2029	31	MLB	TEX	54%	342	315	75	16	1	10	20	71	4	3	1	238	292	390	683	152	277	21	6	306	92	-3	+0	-3	-4	+10	0.0
2027	29	MLB	TEX	33%	106	98	23	5	0	3	6	21	1	1	1	235	286	378	663	143	280	20	6	304	91	-1	-0	-0	-1	+3	0.0
2028	30	MLB	TEX	46%	157	145	36	8	1	5	9	32	2	1	1	248	301	421	722	172	280	20	6	302	90	-2	-0	-1	-2	+4	-0.0
2029	31	MLB	TEX	54%	183	168	42	9	1	6	11	38	2	1	1	250	304	423	726	173	278	21	6	299	87	-3	-0	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	446	411	101	22	2	14	26	91	5	3	3	246	299	411	710	165	282	20	6	301	89	-6	-1	-3	-5	+13	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	147	32	3	20	38	133	7	4	4	245	298	409	707	164	282	20	6	301	89	-8	-1	-4	-7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	4842	4484	1013	206	16	146	208	1113	88	41	23	226	274	377	651	151	265	23	4	282	74	-143	-1	-6	-52	+137	-6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	137	28	2	20	28	149	12	6	3	228	276	380	656	153	267	23	4	282	74	-19	+0	-1	-7	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Giants	—	286	242	65	10	2	3	15	47	18	2	0	269	356	364	720	95	312	16	5	319	102	+1	+0	—	—	+8	0.9
2016	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	174	159	54	13	5	2	7	28	2	3	1	340	375	522	897	182	388	16	4	380	149	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2017	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	504	480	133	30	0	11	10	88	5	5	4	277	298	408	707	131	317	17	2	308	94	-3	-1	—	—	+14	1.0
2018	20	A+	San Jose Giants	—	450	406	81	19	1	10	26	107	9	1	2	200	262	325	588	126	241	24	6	262	58	-21	-1	—	—	+13	-0.9
2019	21	A+	San Jose Giants	—	187	167	48	4	1	5	14	33	4	3	1	287	357	413	770	126	328	18	7	344	121	+4	+0	—	—	+5	1.0
2019	21	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	41	32	7	3	0	2	5	13	3	0	0	219	375	500	875	281	278	32	12	378	148	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	296	78	13	1	15	11	57	4	0	0	264	298	466	764	203	279	18	4	333	113	+5	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
2022	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	109	99	21	6	0	4	7	18	3	0	0	212	284	394	678	182	221	17	6	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	271	244	63	16	1	12	19	50	6	2	0	258	327	480	807	221	277	18	7	353	128	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2022	24	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	127	114	31	7	0	2	10	27	2	2	3	272	341	386	727	114	337	21	8	327	108	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	483	444	128	29	3	23	23	73	8	6	2	288	333	523	855	234	297	15	5	368	140	+22	+0	—	—	+14	3.7
2023	25	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	56	52	11	2	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	212	236	308	544	96	227	14	4	237	40	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	501	448	121	31	2	17	45	76	6	4	4	270	345	462	807	192	291	15	9	356	131	+17	-1	—	—	+14	3.1
2024	26	INTL	Toros del Este	—	81	69	18	3	0	5	7	16	3	1	0	261	354	522	876	261	260	20	9	375	145	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#1Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#4Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	471	14	4	244	294	404	-5	-0	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	20	6	244	294	404	-7.1	-0.0	0.6	pk7: 0
#6Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	5	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	1	254	298	424	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sandro Fabian (OGILVIE)	28	60	49	45	42	245/294/410	165	278	8	3	19%	5%	97	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Dean 2021 · MLB	27	50→56	52→55	42→45	44	254/301/424	170	299	19	6	22%	6%	103	+1.9	225/287/379	154	300	17	10	30%	7%	85	+0.7	217/278/367	150	282	17	12	28%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Delmon Young 2014 · MLB	28	52→61	50→55	40→55	42	264/302/412	148	303	18	2	20%	5%	100	+1.7	263/301/389	126	310	14	5	20%	4%	93	+1.3	279/309/383	103	329	12	3	18%	3%	93	+0.5
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	47→57	49→50	46→45	44	239/290/385	146	288	17	4	24%	6%	88	+0.9	216/286/377	161	261	19	6	25%	8%	85	+0.7	182/261/344	163	209	21	1	25%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Rob Segedin 2017 · MLB	28	48→53	51→50	44→45	44	243/303/410	166	296	19	5	24%	6%	100	+1.7	229/279/372	143	285	16	6	25%	6%	80	+0.4	205/249/313	107	252	12	0	24%	5%	50	-0.4
●Brandon Inge 2005 · MLB	28	49→56	48→55	45	48	245/304/395	150	282	15	7	20%	7%	96	+1.5	253/318/420	167	299	18	8	21%	8%	108	+2.3	246/316/412	166	295	18	7	22%	8%	102	+1.9
●Chris Johnson 2013 · MLB	28	54→64	49→50	48→45	41	264/309/418	154	332	15	6	25%	5%	105	+2.1	279/317/405	126	359	12	5	24%	5%	104	+2.0	282/316/391	109	365	11	3	25%	4%	95	+1.1
✕Josh Fields 2011 · MLB	28	48→56	49→55	44→50	44	240/299/387	147	309	17	8	28%	7%	92	+1.2	244/297/382	138	330	14	11	29%	7%	89	+1.0	240/291/358	118	341	11	11	31%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Luis Montanez 2010 · MLB	28	54→58	51→55	44→45	45	273/318/440	167	304	19	6	18%	5%	114	+2.7	243/291/357	114	282	10	7	17%	6%	80	+0.4	236/291/325	88	277	6	4	16%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Aledmys Díaz 2019 · MLB	28	50→58	52→55	41→45	47	256/302/424	167	272	20	7	15%	6%	104	+2.0	249/309/415	166	270	19	5	16%	7%	105	+2.1	243/308/392	149	267	18	2	16%	7%	94	+0.7
●James McCann 2018 · MLB	28	49→56	51→50	44→45	44	249/305/404	155	304	19	3	24%	6%	99	+1.7	251/306/404	153	319	19	4	26%	6%	100	+1.7	255/316/415	160	332	21	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2021 · MLB	28	47→53	49→50	50	49	238/303/392	154	278	17	9	21%	8%	95	+1.4	217/278/325	108	290	11	8	27%	7%	67	-0.5	186/249/234	48	274	3	3	31%	8%	27	-0.8
●Trevor Plouffe 2014 · MLB	28	47→52	53→60	41→45	47	245/306/414	169	281	21	4	21%	7%	102	+1.9	251/313/420	169	290	18	3	20%	8%	107	+2.2	250/313/422	172	285	18	2	19%	8%	105	+1.8
●Edward Olivares 2023 · MLB	27	50→55	50→55	45→55	45	254/309/410	156	293	19	13	20%	6%	102	+1.9	255/313/415	160	291	18	16	19%	6%	105	+2.1	255/316/420	165	287	19	18	18%	6%	106	+1.3
●Omar De La Torre 2008 · AAA	28	51→60	50	41→45	40	259/292/414	154	313	17	7	23%	4%	96	+1.5	260/294/398	138	308	14	5	20%	4%	92	+1.2	261/296/391	129	307	13	2	19%	4%	90	+0.7
✕Chris Aguila 2007 · MLB	28	52→54	46→55	49→50	45	257/301/395	138	310	13	12	22%	6%	95	+1.4	239/290/390	151	299	18	12	26%	6%	89	+1.0	222/284/393	171	285	22	8	29%	7%	84	+0.5
●Gio Urshela 2020 · MLB	28	54→60	49→55	43→40	44	271/312/422	151	306	17	3	18%	5%	107	+2.2	274/323/435	161	320	18	4	20%	6%	115	+2.7	274/326/421	147	323	16	2	20%	7%	109	+1.5
✕Nick Stavinoha 2011 · MLB	29	51→56	48→55	49→45	42	258/293/399	141	297	15	4	19%	4%	92	+1.2	244/287/426	182	284	24	6	23%	5%	98	+1.6	236/280/433	198	265	27	4	23%	5%	94	+1.3
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2013 · MLB	29	48	51→55	49→50	46	245/298/407	162	287	19	9	22%	7%	97	+1.5	223/287/385	162	268	18	6	23%	8%	87	+0.8	203/272/364	161	242	17	5	24%	8%	73	-0.0
●Harold Ramírez 2022 · MLB	27	54→61	47→50	47→50	43	266/307/406	140	305	14	6	18%	4%	101	+1.8	279/322/400	121	328	12	7	18%	5%	105	+2.1	284/325/391	107	341	10	8	19%	4%	101	+1.2
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5