Sandro Fabian — OGILVIE

Sandro FabianRF Round Rock Express

Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs AAA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP280

ISO211

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT58

Whiff%

904.8%

POWER47

Bat Spd

3569.8

EYE43

Chase%

1046.7%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	17	ROK	DSL Giants	—	286	242	65	10	2	3	15	47	18	2	0	269	356	364	720	95	312	16	5	319	102	+1	+0	—	—	+6	0.7
2016	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	174	159	54	13	5	2	7	28	2	3	1	340	375	522	897	182	388	16	4	380	143	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2017	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	504	480	133	30	0	11	10	88	5	5	4	277	298	408	707	131	317	17	2	308	95	-3	-1	—	—	+11	0.7
2018	20	A+	San Jose Giants	—	450	406	81	19	1	10	26	107	9	1	2	200	262	325	588	126	241	24	6	262	63	-20	-1	—	—	+10	-1.1
2019	21	A+	San Jose Giants	—	187	167	48	4	1	5	14	33	4	3	1	287	357	413	770	126	328	18	7	344	119	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2019	21	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	41	32	7	3	0	2	5	13	3	0	0	219	375	500	875	281	278	32	12	378	142	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	296	78	13	1	15	11	57	4	0	0	264	298	466	764	203	279	18	4	333	111	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2022	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	109	99	21	6	0	4	7	18	3	0	0	212	284	394	678	182	221	17	6	303	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	271	244	63	16	1	12	19	50	6	2	0	258	327	480	807	221	277	18	7	353	125	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2022	24	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	127	114	31	7	0	2	10	27	2	2	3	272	341	386	727	114	337	21	8	327	107	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	483	444	128	29	3	23	23	73	8	6	2	288	333	523	855	234	297	15	5	368	135	+20	+0	—	—	+10	3.2
2023	25	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	56	52	11	2	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	212	236	308	544	96	227	14	4	237	47	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	501	448	121	31	2	17	45	76	6	4	4	270	345	462	807	192	291	15	9	356	127	+16	-1	—	—	+11	2.7
2024	26	INTL	Toros del Este	—	81	69	18	3	0	5	7	16	3	1	0	261	354	522	876	261	260	20	9	375	140	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants	—	286	248	50	7	1	2	9	68	18	2	0	202	280	262	542	60	243	24	3	240	49	-18	+0	—	—	+6	-1.1
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	174	162	40	9	3	2	4	40	2	3	1	247	274	377	650	130	292	23	2	274	72	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2017	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	504	484	112	23	0	10	7	123	5	5	4	231	250	341	591	110	282	24	1	254	58	-25	-1	—	—	+11	-1.5
2018	20	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	450	414	69	15	1	9	19	149	9	1	2	167	219	273	492	106	219	33	4	212	30	-38	-1	—	—	+10	-2.9
2019	21	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	187	170	40	3	1	5	11	45	4	3	1	235	297	353	650	118	277	24	6	276	73	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	—	41	34	4	2	0	1	3	19	3	0	0	118	250	265	515	147	205	46	7	255	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	301	69	10	1	12	7	69	4	0	0	229	256	389	645	159	250	22	2	274	72	-11	+0	—	—	+7	-0.4
2022	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	109	101	18	5	0	3	5	23	3	0	0	178	239	317	555	139	193	21	5	242	50	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	271	250	55	13	1	10	13	60	6	2	0	220	275	400	675	180	246	22	5	292	84	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.1
2023	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	483	454	106	22	3	17	16	98	8	6	2	233	272	407	679	174	252	20	3	289	82	-11	+0	—	—	+10	0.0
2024	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	501	463	107	26	1	14	30	92	6	4	4	231	287	382	669	151	257	18	6	293	84	-9	-1	—	—	+11	0.1
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants	—	286	248	50	7	1	2	9	68	18	2	0	202	280	262	542	60	259	24	3	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants	—	286	242	65	10	2	3	15	47	18	2	0	269	356	364	720	95	312	16	5	319	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	174	162	40	9	3	2	4	40	2	3	1	247	274	377	650	130	304	23	2	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	—	174	159	54	13	5	2	7	28	2	3	1	340	375	522	897	182	388	16	4	380	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	504	484	112	23	0	10	7	123	5	5	4	231	250	341	591	110	287	24	1	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	504	480	133	30	0	11	10	88	5	5	4	277	298	408	707	131	317	17	2	308	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	450	414	69	15	1	9	19	149	9	1	2	167	219	273	492	106	230	33	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	—	450	406	81	19	1	10	26	107	9	1	2	200	262	325	588	126	241	24	6	262	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	228	204	44	5	1	6	14	64	7	3	1	216	289	338	627	123	277	28	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	228	199	55	7	1	7	19	46	7	3	1	276	360	427	787	151	322	20	8	350	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	301	69	10	1	12	7	69	4	0	0	229	256	389	645	159	257	22	2	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	296	78	13	1	15	11	57	4	0	0	264	298	466	764	203	279	18	4	333	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	507	469	97	24	1	18	24	111	11	4	3	207	262	377	639	171	230	22	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	507	457	115	29	1	18	36	95	11	4	3	252	321	438	759	186	280	19	7	336	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	539	507	117	24	3	19	18	109	8	6	2	231	268	402	671	172	255	20	3	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	539	496	139	31	3	24	25	81	8	6	2	280	323	500	823	220	290	15	5	355	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	582	534	125	30	2	17	35	107	9	5	4	234	292	393	686	159	261	18	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	582	517	139	34	2	22	52	92	9	5	4	269	346	470	816	201	287	16	9	359	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants	—	286	257	50	7	1	2	9	68	18	2	0	195	280	253	533	58	243	24	3	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	174	166	40	9	3	2	4	40	2	3	1	241	274	367	641	127	292	23	2	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	504	487	112	23	0	10	7	123	5	5	4	230	250	339	589	109	282	24	1	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	450	419	69	15	1	9	19	149	9	1	2	165	219	270	489	105	219	33	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	228	205	44	5	1	6	14	64	7	3	1	215	289	337	625	122	264	28	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	300	69	10	1	12	7	69	4	0	0	230	256	390	646	160	250	22	2	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	507	467	97	24	1	18	24	111	11	4	3	208	262	379	641	171	231	22	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	539	508	117	24	3	19	18	109	8	6	2	230	268	402	670	171	252	20	3	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	582	533	125	30	2	17	35	107	9	5	4	235	292	394	686	159	257	18	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	539	508	117	24	3	19	18	109	8	6	2	230	268	402	670	171	252	20	3	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	582	533	125	30	2	17	35	107	9	5	4	235	292	394	686	159	257	18	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	TEX	10%	20	19	5	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	263	300	474	774	211	278	20	5	310	96	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.3
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	TEX	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						280	0	0	306	96	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TEX	33%	323	298	73	16	1	10	18	65	4	3	2	245	297	406	703	161	278	20	6	309	95	-2	-0	-1	-3	+7	0.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	TEX	46%	343	316	75	16	1	10	20	71	4	3	2	237	291	389	680	152	278	21	6	307	94	-2	-0	-2	-4	+7	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	TEX	33%	106	98	23	5	0	3	6	21	1	1	1	235	286	378	663	143	280	20	6	305	95	-1	-0	-0	-1	+2	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	TEX	46%	157	145	36	8	1	5	9	32	2	1	1	248	301	421	722	172	280	20	6	304	94	-1	-0	-1	-2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	263	243	59	13	1	8	15	53	3	2	2	243	295	403	698	160	277	20	6	304	71	-2	-0	-1	-3	+6	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	145	32	2	20	37	131	7	5	5	241	293	401	694	160	275	20	6	304	71	-4	-1	-3	-7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4270	3956	876	180	15	116	176	980	81	35	21	221	269	362	631	141	262	23	4	273	71	-4	-0	-3	-7	+15	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	133	27	2	18	27	149	12	5	3	221	268	362	630	141	260	23	4	273	71	-4	-0	-3	-7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#3Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	288	9	3	243	294	402	-3	-0	0.3	0.3
/162	664	20	6	-7.1	-0.0	0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sandro Fabian (OGILVIE)	28	58	47	45	43	243/293/403	161	278	8	3	20%	5%	96	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	47→56	49→50	46→45	44	239/292/387	147	287	17	4	23%	6%	91	+0.6	213/284/364	151	257	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.1	177/257/321	144	205	18	1	24%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Drew Locke 2011 · AAA	28	51→61	47→50	48→45	43	255/295/398	143	306	14	5	22%	5%	94	+0.9	241/285/375	134	293	13	8	22%	5%	85	+0.2	242/288/373	131	292	12	7	21%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Luis Montanez 2010 · MLB	28	54→58	50	44→45	46	271/315/426	155	303	17	6	17%	5%	108	+1.9	242/291/353	111	281	9	7	17%	6%	82	-0.0	234/290/322	87	275	6	4	16%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Omar De La Torre 2008 · AAA	28	51→60	47→50	41→45	40	255/289/396	141	311	15	7	23%	4%	91	+0.7	261/295/389	128	310	12	5	19%	4%	92	+0.7	267/298/392	125	313	12	1	18%	3%	93	+0.6
✕Andy Ibáñez 2021 · AAA	28	47→55	47→50	40→45	47	239/294/373	135	280	15	7	21%	7%	88	+0.5	248/301/394	146	282	15	7	17%	6%	95	+1.0	249/303/399	149	281	15	5	17%	6%	95	+0.7
✕Austin Hays 2023 · MLB	28	49→55	52→55	40→45	45	249/304/418	169	283	19	4	20%	6%	102	+1.5	257/311/420	163	318	17	6	24%	6%	105	+1.7	260/314/422	162	328	17	7	25%	6%	103	+1.1
✕Rob Segedin 2017 · MLB	28	48→52	50	45	45	242/304/400	158	295	17	5	24%	7%	98	+1.2	229/283/372	143	284	16	6	25%	6%	84	+0.1	205/250/314	109	251	13	0	23%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Austin Dean 2021 · MLB	27	50→56	52→55	42→45	45	255/303/426	172	297	20	6	22%	6%	104	+1.6	223/287/378	155	294	17	10	29%	7%	87	+0.4	211/271/358	147	271	17	12	28%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Jason Rogers 2016 · MLB	28	51→53	50	49→45	49	258/319/417	159	302	18	4	21%	8%	107	+1.9	246/306/364	118	300	12	5	21%	8%	90	+0.6	241/301/340	98	295	10	3	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Nick Tanielu 2021 · AAA	28	47→53	48→50	43→40	45	239/285/387	147	277	16	5	20%	6%	88	+0.4	205/264/333	128	257	14	5	25%	6%	68	-1.0	189/252/313	124	237	13	3	26%	6%	56	-0.9
✕José Pirela 2018 · MLB	28	52→57	50→55	48→50	47	262/312/429	167	299	16	10	19%	6%	107	+1.9	255/303/411	156	304	17	8	21%	6%	100	+1.3	252/298/397	145	301	16	5	22%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Rangel Ravelo 2020 · MLB	28	49→56	48→50	40→45	48	247/311/389	142	287	16	2	20%	7%	98	+1.2	261/331/430	169	295	20	6	18%	8%	115	+2.4	301/395/463	162	340	20	0	16%	11%	146	+1.4
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2021 · MLB	27	48→58	45	44→50	45	241/286/364	123	274	14	6	18%	6%	82	+0.0	223/272/335	112	259	12	7	18%	6%	71	-0.8	228/275/328	100	276	7	14	19%	5%	67	-0.7
✕J.C. Linares 2013 · AAA	28	50→53	46→50	42→40	42	248/286/383	135	288	14	3	20%	4%	87	+0.4	248/309/394	146	304	15	4	23%	6%	99	+1.2	254/331/420	167	290	19	4	19%	8%	110	+0.8
✕Orlando Arcia 2023 · MLB	28	46→56	51→50	45→55	50	237/300/396	159	264	20	6	20%	8%	96	+1.0	237/293/380	143	276	18	3	21%	7%	90	+0.6	230/284/363	133	267	16	1	21%	7%	80	-0.1
✕John Nogowski 2021 · AAA	28	50→53	47→45	42→45	55	247/326/380	133	267	15	4	14%	9%	101	+1.4	217/301/318	101	254	9	11	18%	9%	79	-0.2	206/296/293	87	241	8	11	17%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Balbino Fuenmayor 2019 · AAA	29	51→52	47→50	47→30	43	254/293/387	133	293	16	4	20%	5%	91	+0.6	265/301/454	189	297	27	6	21%	4%	110	+2.1	276/306/477	201	302	32	2	20%	3%	117	+1.9
✕Jake Smolinski 2017 · MLB	28	47→50	49→55	46→45	48	239/299/390	151	265	17	8	17%	6%	94	+0.9	222/286/364	142	267	16	9	23%	7%	84	+0.1	205/277/365	160	257	19	12	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Yermín Mercedes 2021 · AAA	28	47→54	51→50	49→45	45	242/296/402	160	286	20	6	23%	6%	96	+1.0	235/293/369	134	281	16	7	22%	7%	87	+0.4	231/291/360	129	274	17	6	22%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Rolando Acosta 2012 · AAA	29	52→60	47→50	45	43	258/302/403	144	292	13	9	17%	4%	98	+1.2	258/306/383	125	298	13	9	17%	5%	95	+0.9	269/319/376	108	311	11	8	17%	5%	94	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps