Luis Verdugo3B San Antonio Missions
Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION254 act + 169 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .257 / .279
PA169
HR3
K%32
BB%7
BABIP275
ISO84
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -18.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +12.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201817 ROKAZL Cubs 2 — 199182 26313 11651 53 143196220416 77197 336 179 -5 — — — — — —
201817 ROKAZL Cubs 2 — 199176 34414 17451 53 193268295563 102231 239 253 52 — — — — — —
201918 ROKAZL Cubs 2 — 221205 44614 11562 82 215261312574 98270 255 252 51 — — — — — —
201918 ROKAZL Cubs 2 — 221197 60925 19392 82 305372447818 142353 189 361 134 — — — — — —
202019 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 1515 2000 060 01 133133133267 222 400 — — — — — — — —
202019 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 1515 2000 060 01 133133133267 222 400 121 -49 — — — — — —
202120 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 227217 311012 8961 21 143177226403 83242 424 173 -9 — — — — — —
202120 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 227214 401213 11651 21 187230294524 107252 295 235 38 — — — — — —
202221 A+South Bend Cubs — 422380 842115 34943 44 221290321611 100277 228 268 63 — — — — — —
202221 A+South Bend Cubs — 422368 992715 46703 44 269355389744 120316 1711 333 113 — — — — — —
202322 A+3 teams — 433401 701806 231233 43 175225264489 90232 285 214 22 — — — — — —
202322 A+3 teams — 433389 912709 35923 43 234302373675 139281 218 300 88 — — — — — —
202423 AA2 teams — 581537 1142013 331312 72 212260270531 58271 236 239 41 — — — — — —
202423 AA2 teams — 581524 1362725 461002 72 260322347669 88308 178 300 88 — — — — — —
202524 INTL3 teams — 570523 831709 352063 55 159216243459 84238 366 204 15 — — — — — —
202524 INTL3 teams — 570499 11227114 591433 55 224310367677 142284 2510 302 89 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 AASD — 254223 49406 21852 20 220293318611 99316 338 276 69 -9 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.0
YTD25 AASD — 254213 54507 31662 20 254354376729 122326 2612 323 106 +2 +0 +0 +1 +7 1.0
ROS25 AASD 2% 169154 30403 12541 10 194257279536 84281 327 249 48 -10 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.4
ROS25 MLBSD 2% 33 0000 010 00 278 330 241 42 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL25 AASD — 257226 49406 21862 20 217289314603 97312 338 276 69 -9 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.0
TOT25 AASD — 423377 79809 331393 30 209278302580 93299 338 265 61 -19 +1 +0 +2 +12 -0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBSD 31% 339309 641016 251052 21 207271304575 97286 317 261 58 -16 +0 +0 +1 +10 -0.5
202827 MLBSD 42% 367333 701117 281113 31 210277312590 102286 308 266 62 -16 +0 +0 +1 +10 -0.4
202928 MLBSD 48% 384348 741218 301153 31 213281322603 109286 308 268 63 -16 +0 -1 +1 +11 -0.4
203029 MLBSD 49% 387351 751218 301163 21 214281322603 108285 308 267 63 -16 +0 -1 +1 +11 -0.6
202726 MLBSD 31% 10595 20302 8321 10 211279305584 95283 308 253 52 -6 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
202827 MLBSD 42% 154140 28403 12471 10 200268293561 93283 318 257 55 -8 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.3
202928 MLBSD 48% 184167 34504 14551 10 204269305575 102283 308 259 56 -9 +0 -0 +1 +5 -0.3
203029 MLBSD 49% 191173 36604 15571 10 208275312587 104282 308 258 56 -10 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 637578 11818013 491924 40 204271303574 99279 308 257 55 -32 +1 -1 +2 +18 -1.3
/ 162G— — 650590 12018013 501964 40 203270300570 97278 308 257 55 -33 +1 -1 +2 +18 -1.3
Career— — 43143955 767144964 280127827 4625 194252283535 89266 306 238 40 -291 -1 -2 +15 +122 -16.0
/ 162G— — 650596 11622110 421934 74 195252285538 91266 306 238 40 -44 -0 -0 +2 +18 -2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201817 ROKAZL Cubs 2 — 199176 34414 17451 53 193268295563 102231 239 253 52 -11 -0 — — +6 -0.6
201918 ROKAZL Cubs 2 — 221197 60925 19392 82 305372447818 142353 189 361 134 +9 +1 — — +6 1.6
202019 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 1515 2000 060 01 133133133267 222 400 121 -49 -3 -0 — — +0 -0.3
202120 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 227214 401213 11651 21 187230294524 107252 295 235 38 -16 +0 — — +6 -1.0
202221 A+South Bend Cubs — 422368 992715 46703 44 269355389744 120316 1711 333 113 +6 -1 — — +12 1.8
202322 AATennessee Smokies — 6457 6200 4281 00 105177140318 35200 446 152 -26 -9 +0 — — +2 -0.7
202322 A+South Bend Cubs — 244218 591907 23360 41 271340454794 183292 159 348 124 +7 +0 — — +7 1.4
202322 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 125114 26602 8282 02 228290333624 105286 226 282 74 -4 -1 — — +4 -0.1
202423 AATennessee Smokies — 447405 1042112 34742 42 257317328646 72304 178 292 81 -9 +0 — — +13 0.3
202423 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 134119 32613 12260 30 269336412748 143319 199 327 109 +1 +1 — — +4 0.6
202524 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 109100 18202 7350 00 180234260494 80254 326 223 29 -9 +0 — — +3 -0.6
202524 AAReading Fightin Phils — 170147 26803 18472 13 177275293568 116232 2811 260 57 -8 -1 — — +5 -0.5
202524 INTLMexico Verde — 291252 681719 34611 42 270359452811 183322 2112 356 131 +10 +0 — — +8 1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2640134210273312+2+1-0.8-0.4
/162664134+2.4+1.0-0.8pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Verdugo (OGILVIE) 25 25 40 45 45 209/278/302 93299 93 33% 8% 61 -0.5 ————————— —————————
✕Anthony Mulrine
2023 · AAA 		25 36 37→40 45→40 39 177/253/247 71262 55 32% 6% 38 -2.6 192/271/279 87273 76 30% 7% 53 -1.5 147/251/218702045028%8%28-0.7
✕Chase Pinder
2021 · AA 		25 40 40→45 40→45 44 192/269/276 84279 85 32% 8% 51 -1.7 218/306/353 135287 148 27% 10% 88 +0.9 224/323/376152290161126%12%98+0.8
✕Quincy McAfee
2023 · AA 		25 38 43→45 42→45 46 189/279/295 106260 116 30% 9% 62 -0.9 198/275/331 133251 1510 27% 7% 69 -0.4 185/264/327142224171225%7%61-0.5
✕Chad Spann
2009 · AAA 		25 40→37 41→45 39→40 38 201/249/297 95282 104 32% 5% 47 -1.9 197/244/278 81275 76 30% 5% 40 -2.4 165/209/202382322029%4%2-1.7
✕Jack Conley
2022 · AAA 		25 34 40→45 50→45 38 172/234/264 91270 87 38% 7% 33 -2.9 198/262/311 113286 108 32% 7% 57 -1.2 182/252/29611425610531%7%45-1.0
✕Matt Pagnozzi
2008 · AAA 		25 38 38→45 45→40 37 186/238/265 79266 54 31% 5% 34 -2.8 207/260/287 80289 74 29% 6% 49 -1.8 208/275/286792926029%7%53-0.7
✕Alan Trejo
2021 · AA 		25 38→42 41→50 42→45 36 194/232/287 94263 106 30% 4% 37 -2.6 207/249/352 145265 156 28% 5% 63 -0.9 211/267/34113026714726%6%64-0.4
✕Trevor Schwecke
2023 · AAA 		25 39 44→45 41→50 39 195/257/308 113291 116 35% 7% 54 -1.4 218/275/332 114316 1014 32% 6% 68 -0.5 223/280/33511232091731%6%68-0.3
✕Grayson Greiner
2018 · AAA 		25 41 43→45 47→30 40 204/253/314 110278 102 30% 6% 53 -1.5 212/275/332 120288 133 29% 8% 68 -0.5 204/275/3029729810033%8%58-0.5
✕Nick Quintana
2023 · AA 		25 38→39 43→45 42→45 48 190/274/298 109258 115 30% 10% 60 -1.0 194/275/299 105281 107 32% 9% 61 -1.0 106/214/187811637037%8%7-1.1
✕Dennis Ortega
2022 · AAA 		25 40 39→45 47→45 38 197/244/276 79285 75 33% 5% 40 -2.4 209/261/303 94327 810 36% 6% 54 -1.4 187/240/2587230851039%6%30-1.0
✕Toby Welk
2022 · AA 		25 38→33 43→45 48→45 41 191/257/300 109268 109 32% 7% 53 -1.5 202/261/308 106298 107 33% 7% 56 -1.3 189/237/29911127911035%5%42-0.7
✕Stephen McGee
2017 · AAA 		26 40 38→40 44→30 45 193/269/273 80275 64 30% 8% 50 -1.7 204/290/316 112313 114 35% 10% 71 -0.3 189/289/30311329312036%12%63-0.3
✕John Murrian
2013 · AAA 		25 40 42→45 47→45 36 202/241/304 102279 95 31% 4% 46 -2.0 201/262/310 109270 106 28% 6% 57 -1.2 153/226/25310020010028%6%26-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser
2022 · AA 		25 36 44→45 47→50 43 187/255/303 116259 125 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/267/312 121296 1414 37% 9% 60 -1.0 169/257/271103275111640%10%43-1.1
✕Joe Cronin
2019 · AA 		25 38 40→45 45→50 44 181/274/268 88287 87 37% 9% 53 -1.5 196/278/301 105300 911 35% 8% 62 -0.9 171/260/279108256101335%9%46-1.0
✕Connor Justus
2021 · AA 		26 35→37 37→40 43→45 42 172/248/244 72250 58 31% 7% 35 -2.8 192/256/268 76294 67 34% 7% 43 -2.2 166/232/217512613335%7%17-2.1
✕Olivier Basabe
2022 · AA 		25 39 43→40 45 42 197/254/301 103257 117 28% 6% 50 -1.7 210/271/311 101292 1110 30% 7% 61 -1.0 199/266/28182279101031%7%47-0.9
✕Rylan Sandoval
2013 · AA 		25 38 41→40 45 35 187/242/284 97286 95 36% 5% 42 -2.3 210/261/294 84310 68 32% 6% 52 -1.6 210/261/280693085831%5%44-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton
2021 · AAA 		26 39 42→45 45 42 196/255/296 101271 99 30% 7% 50 -1.7 183/269/319 136279 176 38% 10% 63 -0.8 145/239/28213720521340%10%39-0.8