Mark Thomas
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26 | AAMobile BayBea… | 224 | .190/.252/.380 | 9 | 0 | 33 | — | .152/.198/.305 |
| 2015 | 27 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 256 | .194/.280/.352 | 7 | 3 | 39 | — | .134/.194/.243 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 185 | .197/.304/.325 | 3 | 0 | 53 | — | .133/.226/.217 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 19 | ROK | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 118 | 105 | 29 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 276 | 339 | 533 | 872 | 257 | 324 | 24 | 6 | 371 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 385 | 348 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 79 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 264 | 332 | 382 | 714 | 118 | 325 | 21 | 9 | 321 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 477 | 422 | 100 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 94 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 237 | 305 | 393 | 698 | 156 | 269 | 20 | 8 | 303 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 72 | 65 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 375 | 631 | 1.006 | 323 | 294 | 12 | 10 | 432 | 179 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 349 | 311 | 79 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 78 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 254 | 326 | 383 | 708 | 129 | 320 | 22 | 8 | 315 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 201 | 185 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 157 | 204 | 286 | 491 | 130 | 195 | 28 | 4 | 215 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 224 | 205 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 252 | 380 | 633 | 190 | 227 | 29 | 7 | 278 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 219 | 195 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 62 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 174 | 258 | 328 | 586 | 154 | 225 | 28 | 9 | 264 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 37 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 405 | 500 | 905 | 188 | 421 | 30 | 14 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 96 | 79 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 312 | 304 | 616 | 114 | 311 | 36 | 14 | 279 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 89 | 78 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 295 | 346 | 642 | 141 | 275 | 29 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 118 | 108 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 213 | 261 | 407 | 668 | 194 | 264 | 34 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 385 | 358 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 107 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 212 | 264 | 302 | 565 | 89 | 281 | 28 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 477 | 435 | 93 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 123 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 214 | 261 | 343 | 604 | 129 | 256 | 26 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 349 | 320 | 69 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 95 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 216 | 270 | 316 | 586 | 100 | 286 | 27 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 201 | 188 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 168 | 239 | 408 | 106 | 173 | 34 | 2 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 224 | 210 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 81 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 198 | 305 | 503 | 152 | 196 | 36 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 219 | 202 | 27 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 134 | 194 | 243 | 436 | 109 | 195 | 36 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 96 | 83 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 226 | 217 | 443 | 84 | 256 | 48 | 9 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 118 | 108 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 213 | 261 | 407 | 668 | 194 | 288 | 34 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK RAW | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 118 | 105 | 29 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 276 | 339 | 533 | 872 | 257 | 324 | 24 | 6 | 371 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 385 | 358 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 107 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 212 | 264 | 302 | 565 | 89 | 286 | 28 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 385 | 348 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 79 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 264 | 332 | 382 | 714 | 118 | 325 | 21 | 9 | 321 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 503 | 107 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 141 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 213 | 260 | 338 | 598 | 125 | 267 | 26 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 487 | 120 | 31 | 1 | 18 | 43 | 103 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 246 | 314 | 425 | 739 | 179 | 273 | 19 | 8 | 320 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 349 | 320 | 69 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 95 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 216 | 270 | 316 | 586 | 100 | 293 | 27 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 349 | 311 | 79 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 78 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 254 | 326 | 383 | 708 | 129 | 320 | 22 | 8 | 315 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 201 | 188 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 168 | 239 | 408 | 106 | 185 | 34 | 2 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 201 | 185 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 157 | 204 | 286 | 491 | 130 | 195 | 28 | 4 | 215 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 224 | 210 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 81 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 198 | 305 | 503 | 152 | 202 | 36 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 224 | 205 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 252 | 380 | 633 | 190 | 227 | 29 | 7 | 278 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 256 | 237 | 32 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 91 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 135 | 193 | 249 | 442 | 114 | 196 | 36 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 256 | 227 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 73 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 194 | 280 | 352 | 632 | 159 | 250 | 29 | 9 | 284 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 161 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 88 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 227 | 199 | 425 | 68 | 267 | 48 | 10 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 185 | 157 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 304 | 325 | 629 | 127 | 292 | 33 | 12 | 284 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 118 | 110 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 209 | 261 | 400 | 661 | 191 | 264 | 34 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 385 | 357 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 107 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 213 | 264 | 303 | 566 | 90 | 281 | 28 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 512 | 107 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 141 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 209 | 260 | 332 | 592 | 123 | 256 | 26 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 349 | 322 | 69 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 95 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 214 | 270 | 314 | 584 | 99 | 286 | 27 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 201 | 191 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 131 | 168 | 236 | 404 | 105 | 173 | 34 | 2 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 224 | 210 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 81 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 198 | 305 | 503 | 152 | 196 | 36 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 256 | 237 | 32 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 91 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 135 | 193 | 249 | 442 | 114 | 195 | 36 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 163 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 88 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 227 | 196 | 423 | 67 | 256 | 48 | 10 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2267 | 2085 | 385 | 104 | 10 | 38 | 121 | 712 | 24 | 26 | 11 | 185 | 238 | 299 | 536 | 114 | 255 | 31 | 5 | 234 | 45 | -149 | +1 | +0 | +40 | +49 | -6.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 111 | 30 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 204 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 186 | 239 | 301 | 540 | 115 | 256 | 31 | 5 | 234 | 45 | -43 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAReno Aces · 96 PAwOBA .279 → .206 (−73)K% 36.5% → 47.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.46% | ÷0.991 | ×1.290 | — | — | 47.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.54% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 9.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.052 | ×0.900 | ×1.027 | ×0.992 | 15.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.060 | ×0.810 | ×1.027 | ×0.992 | 10.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.027 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .279 → .206; ISO .114 → .078; BABIP .311 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMobile BayBears · 219 PAwOBA .258 → .197 (−61)K% 28.3% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.31% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.68% | ÷1.043 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.28% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×0.978 | 9.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.77% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×0.978 | 8.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.921 | ×0.880 | ×0.965 | ×0.978 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.76% | ÷1.098 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.68% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 84, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .258 → .197; ISO .154 → .118; BABIP .225 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMobile BayBears · 224 PAwOBA .273 → .217 (−56)K% 29.5% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.46% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.70% | ÷1.030 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.39% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 12.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.038 | ×0.880 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.47% | ÷0.902 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.67% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 108, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .273 → .217; ISO .190 → .157; BABIP .227 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 201 PAwOBA .212 → .169 (−43)K% 27.9% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.86% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.98% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 2.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.63% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 10.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.20% | ÷1.036 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 5.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.10% | ÷1.151 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .212 → .169; ISO .130 → .098; BABIP .195 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 349 PAwOBA .308 → .259 (−50)K% 22.3% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.35% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷0.969 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.32% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.15% | ÷0.983 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 7.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.037 | ×0.880 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.147 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 107, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .308 → .259; ISO .129 → .106; BABIP .320 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 477 PAwOBA .297 → .261 (−36)K% 19.7% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.71% | ÷1.087 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.71% | ÷1.035 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 4.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 17.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.62% | ÷0.991 | ×0.960 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 7.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷0.926 | ×0.810 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.96% | ÷1.171 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 85, K 117, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .297 → .261; ISO .156 → .131; BABIP .269 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 385 PAwOBA .314 → .246 (−68)K% 20.5% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.52% | ÷1.003 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.79% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | — | 21.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷1.061 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | — | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | — | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.23% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.80% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .314 → .246; ISO .118 → .088; BABIP .325 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 ROKPrinceton Devil Rays · 118 PAwOBA .367 → .272 (−94)K% 23.7% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 3.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.54% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.038 | ×1.008 | 13.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.038 | ×1.008 | 12.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.038 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 5.23% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .367 → .272; ISO .257 → .189; BABIP .324 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .