Cutter Coffey — OGILVIE

Cutter Coffey3B New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 212 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION260 act + 173 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .239 / .284

PA173

HR3

K%39

BB%7

BABIP283

ISO107

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	40	35	2	0	0	0	4	16	1	1	0	57	175	57	232		105	40	10	142	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	40	32	4	1	0	0	7	11	1	1	0	125	300	156	456	31	190	28	18	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	428	386	63	14	1	5	32	146	7	19	7	163	240	244	484	80	244	34	7	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	428	362	76	16	2	6	56	100	7	19	7	210	327	315	642	105	270	23	13	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	368	335	55	10	0	10	27	131	4	9	3	164	235	284	519	119	230	36	7	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	368	321	72	16	0	15	41	90	4	9	3	224	320	414	734	190	261	24	11	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	515	475	98	26	0	13	31	179	6	13	4	206	264	343	607	137	297	35	6	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	515	448	126	31	0	11	58	114	6	13	4	281	371	424	795	143	353	22	11	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	TOR	—	260	237	42	9	3	2	19	114	1	5	1	177	241	266	507	89	323	44	7	227	32	-20	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
YTD	22	AA	TOR	—	260	228	50	11	3	3	28	88	1	5	1	219	307	333	641	114	336	34	11	290	80	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
ROS	22	AA	TOR	2%	173	158	28	6	1	3	12	68	1	3	1	177	239	284	524	107	288	39	7	241	43	-11	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
ROS	22	MLB	TOR	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						290	33	0	237	40	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	TOR	—	263	240	42	9	3	2	19	115	1	5	1	175	238	263	501	88	317	44	7	227	32	-20	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
TOT	22	AA	TOR	—	433	395	70	15	4	5	31	182	2	8	2	177	240	273	514	96	306	42	7	233	36	-31	+1	+0	+2	+12	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TOR	26%	503	457	86	18	2	11	37	187	4	8	2	188	255	309	564	120	288	37	7	258	56	-25	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.9
2028	24	MLB	TOR	37%	540	490	98	20	3	14	41	193	4	9	2	200	267	339	606	139	289	36	8	269	64	-22	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.4
2029	25	MLB	TOR	43%	561	509	103	21	3	15	43	196	4	9	2	202	270	344	614	141	290	35	8	275	69	-20	+1	+0	+2	+16	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	TOR	47%	572	517	105	21	3	16	45	198	5	9	2	203	273	348	622	145	290	35	8	278	71	-19	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.1
2027	23	MLB	TOR	26%	130	118	23	5	1	3	10	48	1	2	1	195	264	331	594	136	289	37	8	253	52	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	TOR	37%	199	180	35	7	1	5	15	71	2	3	1	194	264	328	592	133	291	36	8	264	60	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	TOR	43%	242	219	45	9	1	7	19	84	2	4	1	205	275	352	627	146	291	35	8	270	65	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	TOR	47%	267	242	50	10	1	8	21	92	2	4	1	207	275	355	631	149	291	34	8	273	67	-10	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	841	762	153	31	4	23	65	296	7	13	4	201	270	343	612	142	291	35	8	267	63	-36	+1	+0	+3	+24	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	118	24	3	18	50	229	5	10	3	200	268	343	611	143	290	35	8	267	63	-28	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3700	3362	638	136	13	87	272	1314	36	80	23	190	258	316	573	126	278	36	7	257	55	-189	+7	+0	+13	+105	-6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	112	24	2	15	48	231	6	14	4	190	258	313	571	124	278	36	7	257	55	-33	+1	+0	+2	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	40	32	4	1	0	0	7	11	1	1	0	125	300	156	456	31	190	28	18	240	42	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	19	A+	Greenville Drive	—	79	66	9	2	0	0	11	21	0	1	1	136	260	167	426	30	191	27	14	210	19	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	349	296	67	14	2	6	45	79	7	18	6	226	342	348	690	122	288	23	13	318	101	+1	+1	—	—	+10	1.2
2024	20	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	368	321	72	16	0	15	41	90	4	9	3	224	320	414	734	190	261	24	11	327	109	+4	+1	—	—	+10	1.5
2025	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	440	384	105	26	0	11	47	100	6	10	3	273	362	427	789	154	341	23	11	352	128	+14	+1	—	—	+12	2.8
2025	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	75	64	21	5	0	0	11	14	0	3	1	328	427	406	833	78	420	19	15	381	150	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	845	22	13	201	266	340	+3	+4	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	18	11	201	266	340	+2.4	+3.1	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cutter Coffey (OGILVIE)	22	20→30	40→50	45	55	177/240/273	96	306	5	8	42%	7%	36	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→37	43→55	44→30	42	178/266/287	109	280	11	3	38%	8%	54	-1.4	196/276/343	147	277	18	3	34%	8%	72	-0.2	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Yusuf Carter 2007 · A	22	36→33	46→50	44→50	34	188/232/307	119	287	15	6	39%	5%	43	-2.2	202/239/339	137	303	16	11	38%	5%	54	-1.4	219/263/368	149	297	19	10	32%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	46→50	44→50	39	197/268/322	125	306	14	8	38%	8%	63	-0.8	196/281/324	128	303	14	10	37%	9%	69	-0.4	181/275/326	145	269	18	9	37%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Sherten Apostel 2020 · A	21	37→32	46→45	45→40	44	190/265/313	123	268	14	4	33%	8%	59	-1.1	202/264/327	125	311	14	4	37%	7%	63	-0.9	207/265/346	139	315	16	0	38%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Sammy Infante 2023 · A	22	33→25	45	48→55	34	167/234/287	119	291	13	10	45%	7%	40	-2.4	188/252/281	93	310	8	16	39%	6%	45	-2.1	179/245/253	75	293	6	20	38%	6%	32	-1.3
✕Stanley Consuegra 2023 · A	22	37→33	45→50	45	35	187/240/311	124	284	12	9	37%	5%	48	-1.9	184/240/311	127	278	14	8	38%	6%	48	-1.9	167/226/293	126	248	16	7	38%	6%	35	-2.0
✕Ignacio Valdez 2017 · A	22	31	46→45	45→50	36	168/230/294	126	256	14	4	39%	6%	40	-2.4	176/236/285	109	324	11	4	46%	6%	40	-2.4	124/152/185	60	246	4	0	50%	3%	-26	-1.3
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	34	42→50	43→30	38	172/234/280	108	274	10	6	39%	7%	37	-2.6	197/267/331	134	321	13	4	39%	8%	65	-0.7	191/266/336	145	314	15	1	41%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Gerrion Grim 2016 · A	22	37	40→60	45→40	36	184/237/272	87	288	8	9	38%	6%	36	-2.7	186/227/319	133	290	17	5	41%	4%	44	-2.1	171/208/322	151	249	23	2	41%	4%	34	-1.5
✕Chuckie Jones 2014 · A	22	38→41	44→50	44→50	36	188/249/299	111	305	12	8	40%	7%	49	-1.8	209/264/336	127	303	14	9	34%	6%	64	-0.8	205/260/335	130	286	16	10	33%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Jhailyn Ortiz 2021 · A	22	32→33	46→50	42→45	32	165/226/284	118	289	15	4	46%	6%	36	-2.7	189/255/329	140	295	18	6	40%	6%	59	-1.1	178/247/314	136	275	18	5	40%	7%	49	-1.3
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Vicente Conde 2016 · AA	22	38→34	42→45	46→45	41	190/249/295	105	274	9	9	33%	7%	47	-1.9	179/250/264	85	267	6	6	32%	8%	40	-2.4	157/239/226	69	243	4	4	34%	9%	24	-1.5