Kendall Simmons
SS Tulsa Drillers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A+/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 338 | .276/.363/.495 | 12 | 6 | 98 | — | .222/.303/.422 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAPHI | 228 | .252/.335/.455 | 9 | 6 | 73 | — | .213/.282/.357 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA/ROKLAD | 152 | .217/.285/.355 | 4 | 0 | 33 | — | .176/.225/.281 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBLAD | 2 | .212/.277/.333 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBLAD | 35 | .212/.277/.333 | 1 | 1 | 74 | 0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | — | 113 | 95 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 232 | 348 | 400 | 748 | 168 | 302 | 27 | 8 | 339 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 68 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 172 | 221 | 219 | 439 | 47 | 286 | 41 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 156 | 137 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 321 | 460 | 780 | 234 | 269 | 24 | 8 | 345 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 72 | 64 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 281 | 361 | 453 | 814 | 172 | 326 | 21 | 11 | 363 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 307 | 270 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 83 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 204 | 290 | 363 | 653 | 159 | 257 | 27 | 8 | 292 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 213 | 180 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 55 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 267 | 368 | 494 | 863 | 228 | 331 | 26 | 10 | 374 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 33 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 346 | 469 | 615 | 1.084 | 269 | 400 | 18 | 12 | 458 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 92 | 87 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 276 | 315 | 460 | 775 | 184 | 318 | 20 | 3 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 228 | 202 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 65 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 252 | 335 | 455 | 790 | 203 | 326 | 29 | 7 | 350 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 120 | 110 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 283 | 336 | 620 | 118 | 301 | 29 | 7 | 281 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 32 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 290 | 429 | 719 | 214 | 211 | 25 | 9 | 309 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies East | — | 113 | 98 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 153 | 259 | 255 | 514 | 102 | 227 | 38 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 156 | 141 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 163 | 244 | 319 | 563 | 156 | 236 | 33 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 72 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 239 | 292 | 403 | 695 | 164 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 307 | 277 | 44 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 113 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 159 | 231 | 282 | 513 | 123 | 219 | 37 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 213 | 188 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 73 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 218 | 297 | 415 | 712 | 197 | 275 | 34 | 7 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 33 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 344 | 464 | 808 | 214 | 286 | 27 | 6 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 228 | 207 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 81 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 213 | 282 | 357 | 639 | 145 | 310 | 36 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 120 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 233 | 292 | 525 | 106 | 281 | 36 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 32 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 194 | 241 | 435 | 103 | 157 | 38 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies East | — | 113 | 98 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 153 | 259 | 255 | 514 | 102 | 241 | 38 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies East | — | 113 | 95 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 232 | 348 | 400 | 748 | 168 | 302 | 27 | 8 | 339 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL MLE | Adelaide Giants | — | 68 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 172 | 221 | 219 | 439 | 47 | 286 | 41 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL RAW | Adelaide Giants | — | 68 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 172 | 221 | 219 | 439 | 47 | 286 | 41 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 156 | 141 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 163 | 244 | 319 | 563 | 156 | 224 | 33 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 156 | 137 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 321 | 460 | 780 | 234 | 269 | 24 | 8 | 345 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 345 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 132 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 171 | 237 | 299 | 536 | 128 | 240 | 35 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 379 | 334 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 98 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 219 | 304 | 380 | 684 | 162 | 271 | 26 | 8 | 306 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 338 | 300 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 112 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 217 | 294 | 407 | 701 | 190 | 293 | 33 | 7 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 338 | 293 | 81 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 79 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 276 | 363 | 495 | 858 | 218 | 333 | 23 | 9 | 373 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 228 | 207 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 81 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 213 | 282 | 357 | 639 | 145 | 314 | 36 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 228 | 202 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 65 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 252 | 335 | 455 | 790 | 203 | 326 | 29 | 7 | 350 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 142 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 225 | 282 | 507 | 106 | 259 | 36 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 152 | 138 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 285 | 355 | 640 | 138 | 283 | 28 | 7 | 287 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies East | — | 113 | 98 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 153 | 259 | 255 | 514 | 102 | 227 | 38 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 156 | 140 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 164 | 244 | 321 | 565 | 157 | 236 | 33 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 346 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 132 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 171 | 237 | 298 | 535 | 127 | 231 | 35 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 338 | 302 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 112 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 215 | 294 | 404 | 698 | 189 | 276 | 33 | 7 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 228 | 206 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 81 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 214 | 282 | 359 | 641 | 146 | 310 | 36 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 142 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 225 | 282 | 507 | 106 | 255 | 36 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 228 | 206 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 81 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 214 | 282 | 359 | 641 | 146 | 310 | 36 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 142 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 225 | 282 | 507 | 106 | 255 | 36 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 2% | 202 | 183 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 56 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 281 | 339 | 619 | 122 | 283 | 28 | 7 | 278 | 75 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 277 | 333 | 611 | 121 | 276 | 50 | 0 | 275 | 75 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 27% | 129 | 117 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 281 | 338 | 619 | 122 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 27% | 35 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 277 | 333 | 610 | 120 | 276 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 74 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 35 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 257 | 333 | 590 | 121 | 273 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 55 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 613 | 131 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 37 | 186 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 214 | 258 | 338 | 596 | 124 | 275 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 55 | -20 | +4 | -4 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1648 | 1492 | 284 | 57 | 10 | 43 | 95 | 561 | 48 | 35 | 14 | 190 | 261 | 328 | 590 | 138 | 268 | 34 | 6 | 249 | 55 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +5 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 112 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 37 | 221 | 19 | 14 | 6 | 190 | 260 | 328 | 589 | 138 | 268 | 34 | 6 | 249 | 55 | -20 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AATulsa Drillers · 120 PAwOBA .274 → .223 (−51)K% 29.2% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.33% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 20.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.014 | ×0.840 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.137 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 127, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .274 → .223; ISO .118 → .092; BABIP .301 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 32 PAwOBA .310 → .196 (−113)K% 25.0% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷0.997 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 15.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.102 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.187 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 6.21% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .310 → .196; ISO .214 → .124; BABIP .211 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 228 PAwOBA .342 → .276 (−66)K% 28.5% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.51% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.46% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.51% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 3.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.17% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 21.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.76% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.57% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .342 → .276; ISO .203 → .144; BABIP .326 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 213 PAwOBA .371 → .298 (−73)K% 25.8% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.82% | ÷0.993 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.33% | ÷0.973 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.29% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.60% | ÷1.006 | ×0.870 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 18.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 5.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.20% | ÷1.071 | ×0.850 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 2.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.40% | ÷0.858 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 6.55% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 114, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .371 → .298; ISO .228 → .204; BABIP .331 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Phillies · 33 PAwOBA .460 → .325 (−135)K% 18.2% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.989 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.005 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.06% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 15.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 13.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 3.66% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 88, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .460 → .325; ISO .269 → .194; BABIP .400 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AClearwater Threshers · 307 PAwOBA .285 → .215 (−71)K% 27.0% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.04% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.93% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | — | 15.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | — | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | — | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .285 → .215; ISO .159 → .117; BABIP .257 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 72 PAwOBA .354 → .291 (−62)K% 20.8% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.022 | ×1.310 | — | — | 26.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.53% | ÷1.044 | ×0.870 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 23.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.987 | ×0.780 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 3.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.850 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.12% | ÷0.881 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 6.19% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 109, 2B 97, 3B 93, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .354 → .291; ISO .172 → .165; BABIP .326 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AClearwater Threshers · 156 PAwOBA .336 → .260 (−76)K% 24.4% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.36% | ÷0.992 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 3.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.13% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×1.015 | 11.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.10% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.015 | 9.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×1.015 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 4.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .336 → .260; ISO .234 → .179; BABIP .269 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .