E.J. Exposito — OGILVIE

E.J. ExpositoSS Erie SeaWolves

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION477 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP242

ISO141

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	94	22	3	0	3	17	26	3	2	3	234	368	362	730	128	292	23	15	339	116	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	375	78	19	1	8	61	136	6	23	5	208	328	328	656	120	294	30	14	300	89	-6	+3	—	—	+10	0.7
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	477	424	101	29	4	13	44	115	3	31	8	238	314	417	732	179	292	24	9	322	104	+2	+3	—	—	+10	1.6
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	232	214	47	7	1	5	10	56	3	6	2	220	264	332	596	112	266	24	4	263	64	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2025	24	A+	Rome Emperors	—	156	134	36	6	1	7	16	42	5	5	0	269	368	485	853	216	337	27	10	376	140	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	100	18	2	0	2	11	35	3	2	3	180	281	260	541	80	268	31	10	260	62	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	396	60	12	1	6	40	195	6	23	5	152	240	232	472	81	256	43	9	218	34	-35	+3	—	—	+10	-2.4
2024	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	477	441	84	22	4	12	27	157	3	31	8	190	242	340	582	150	250	33	6	248	54	-26	+3	—	—	+10	-1.3
2025	24	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	—	232	217	40	6	1	4	7	68	3	6	2	184	220	276	497	92	228	29	3	215	32	-19	+0	—	—	+5	-1.4
2025	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	156	140	27	4	1	6	10	57	5	5	0	193	271	364	635	171	259	37	6	276	73	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	100	18	2	0	2	11	35	3	2	3	180	281	260	541	80	254	31	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	94	22	3	0	3	17	26	3	2	3	234	368	362	730	128	292	23	15	339	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	396	60	12	1	6	40	195	6	23	5	152	240	232	472	81	267	43	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	375	78	19	1	8	61	136	6	23	5	208	328	328	656	120	294	30	14	300	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	477	441	84	22	4	12	27	157	3	31	8	190	242	340	582	150	260	33	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	—	477	424	101	29	4	13	44	115	3	31	8	238	314	417	732	179	292	24	9	322	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	357	68	10	2	11	17	125	8	11	2	190	243	322	566	132	251	32	4	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	388	348	83	13	2	12	26	98	8	11	2	239	306	391	697	152	291	25	7	308	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	99	18	2	0	2	11	35	3	2	3	182	281	263	543	81	268	31	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	400	60	12	1	6	40	195	6	23	5	150	240	230	470	80	256	43	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	477	444	84	22	4	12	27	157	3	31	8	189	242	338	580	149	250	33	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	360	68	10	2	11	17	125	8	11	2	189	243	319	563	131	240	32	4	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	400	60	12	1	6	40	195	6	23	5	150	240	230	470	80	256	43	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	477	444	84	22	4	12	27	157	3	31	8	189	242	338	580	149	250	33	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	360	68	10	2	11	17	125	8	11	2	189	243	319	563	131	240	32	4	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	DET	—	477	432	81	13	1	18	37	149	3	16	7	188	256	347	604	160	233	31	8	261	63	-21	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	DET	—	477	416	96	16	1	23	53	122	3	16	7	231	322	440	762	209	264	26	11	335	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	DET	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		247	30	10	266	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	DET	—	487	441	82	13	1	18	38	152	3	16	7	186	255	342	598	156	232	31	8	261	63	-22	+0	+0	+5	+11	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	DET	31%	365	333	66	12	1	12	26	111	3	9	3	198	262	348	611	150	252	30	7	272	70	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	42%	388	353	71	13	1	13	29	116	3	10	4	201	268	354	622	153	256	30	7	276	73	-12	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	DET	48%	401	365	73	13	1	13	30	119	3	10	4	200	266	348	614	148	257	30	7	278	74	-12	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	DET	49%	400	363	73	13	1	13	31	119	3	9	3	201	270	350	619	149	258	30	8	277	74	-12	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	DET	50%	398	361	72	13	1	13	31	119	3	8	3	199	268	349	617	150	256	30	8	275	72	-13	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	DET	31%	113	103	20	4	0	4	8	34	1	3	1	194	259	350	608	155	248	30	7	262	70	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	42%	163	149	29	5	1	5	12	49	1	4	2	195	259	342	602	148	251	30	7	265	73	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	DET	48%	192	173	35	6	1	6	15	57	2	5	2	202	274	353	626	150	253	30	8	267	74	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	DET	49%	197	178	35	6	1	6	15	58	2	4	2	197	267	343	609	146	253	29	8	266	74	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	DET	50%	200	181	36	6	1	6	15	60	2	4	1	199	268	343	610	144	252	30	8	264	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	865	784	155	27	4	27	65	258	8	20	8	198	266	346	612	148	254	30	8	265	62	-28	+1	-2	+9	+19	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	116	20	3	20	49	194	6	15	6	197	266	343	608	146	253	30	8	265	62	-21	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3390	3078	586	110	12	95	243	1099	35	113	35	190	257	327	584	136	257	32	7	260	62	-63	+2	-4	+21	+43	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	112	21	2	18	47	211	7	22	7	190	258	324	581	134	257	32	7	260	62	-21	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	872	28	20	202	265	352	+9	+6	0.6	0.6
/162	664	21	16	+7.1	+4.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
E.J. Exposito (OGILVIE)	25	40	40	50	20	190/253/338	148	247	11	10	31%	7%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Koss 2023 · AA	25	44→45	47→45	51→50	35	222/262/353	131	297	15	12	30%	4%	72	-0.7	227/273/346	119	296	11	15	26%	5%	74	-0.6	249/300/376	127	307	13	14	23%	5%	89	+0.2
✕Eduardo Diaz 2022 · AA	25	39→45	50	51→50	36	207/254/358	151	276	19	13	32%	4%	70	-0.8	214/260/341	127	297	13	13	31%	5%	68	-1.0	212/255/331	118	294	10	14	30%	4%	60	-1.2
✕Trent Giambrone 2019 · AA	25	41	46→45	48→55	42	213/264/338	125	266	15	16	26%	6%	69	-0.9	194/252/324	130	265	15	16	32%	7%	61	-1.5	161/224/262	101	227	11	16	33%	7%	35	-2.0
✕Cody Puckett 2012 · AA	25	39→40	49→50	50	38	205/256/358	153	272	16	12	31%	5%	71	-0.8	203/249/331	128	250	15	10	25%	5%	61	-1.5	192/237/307	114	230	15	9	24%	5%	50	-1.7
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	185/248/306	121	260	15	19	34%	7%	56	-1.9	181/262/305	124	259	14	22	34%	8%	62	-1.4	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	37→35	45→50	51→55	39	190/251/306	117	268	13	16	34%	6%	57	-1.8	204/278/330	126	297	13	15	34%	8%	73	-0.6	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Kevin Smith 2021 · AA	25	38→45	50→55	49→50	35	201/246/353	152	281	19	13	35%	5%	66	-1.1	206/260/360	154	284	18	15	33%	6%	72	-0.7	202/253/359	157	273	20	15	33%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Jalen Miller 2022 · AA	25	35→43	46→45	47→50	40	189/239/316	127	250	15	12	31%	6%	54	-2.0	207/273/334	127	281	12	15	29%	8%	72	-0.7	195/273/318	122	260	11	20	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	38→40	44→50	51→50	39	193/251/307	114	272	12	15	33%	6%	57	-1.8	199/261/336	137	306	16	11	38%	7%	68	-1.0	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	45→40	48→55	42	208/268/333	125	282	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.9	232/303/339	107	302	9	27	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/321/332	91	311	6	48	22%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	37	201/256/323	123	294	12	21	35%	6%	63	-1.4	207/285/328	121	308	10	26	34%	8%	75	-0.5	192/286/323	131	289	10	39	34%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Derrick Mitchell 2012 · AA	25	43→45	47→50	50→55	40	219/268/354	135	284	14	17	28%	6%	74	-0.5	205/256/325	120	262	13	15	26%	6%	63	-1.4	183/237/294	111	230	12	15	26%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Gabriel Cancel 2021 · AA	24	40→45	46→50	50	36	206/252/336	131	281	14	11	32%	5%	64	-1.3	193/247/318	125	300	14	16	38%	6%	58	-1.7	171/235/293	122	264	14	16	39%	7%	46	-1.0
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Jesus Valdez 2023 · AA	25	43	46→45	52→50	38	214/265/341	127	304	15	12	34%	6%	70	-0.9	204/240/326	122	294	14	7	34%	4%	57	-1.8	195/255/286	91	276	10	3	32%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	46→45	52→50	42	198/262/325	127	277	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	189/270/297	108	298	10	14	37%	9%	63	-1.4	173/262/275	101	278	9	12	37%	10%	52	-1.2
✕Bryan Arias 2022 · AA	25	39	47→45	48→50	39	196/264/326	130	298	16	13	38%	7%	67	-1.1	196/272/297	101	297	9	14	34%	8%	63	-1.3	184/271/275	91	278	8	17	34%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Jeudy Valdez 2014 · AA	25	42→45	45→50	48→55	36	213/249/340	127	278	12	15	28%	4%	63	-1.4	209/256/310	101	273	9	11	26%	5%	59	-1.7	188/239/253	65	243	5	9	24%	6%	38	-1.5
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41→42	45	53→50	43	205/281/329	124	284	13	14	31%	8%	74	-0.6	189/257/296	107	273	11	13	33%	7%	57	-1.8	162/232/259	97	233	10	12	34%	7%	37	-1.8
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42	47→50	52→55	42	211/281/355	143	283	14	15	30%	7%	80	-0.2	210/290/349	139	286	16	22	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/288/338	135	274	17	27	31%	9%	77	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps