E.J. Exposito — OGILVIE

E.J. ExpositoSS Erie SeaWolves

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION284 act + 189 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .256 / .360

PA189

HR7

SB6

K%34

BB%7

BABIP257

ISO168

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1.0M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	100	21	3	0	2	11	34	3	2	3	210	307	300	607	90	297	30	10	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	94	22	3	0	3	17	26	3	2	3	234	368	362	730	128	292	23	15	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	395	61	11	1	7	41	197	6	23	5	154	244	241	485	86	273	44	9	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	375	78	19	1	8	61	136	6	23	5	208	328	328	656	120	294	30	14	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	477	444	87	22	4	15	24	160	3	31	8	196	242	365	607	169	263	34	5	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	477	424	101	29	4	13	44	115	3	31	8	238	314	417	732	179	292	24	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	388	357	65	9	1	13	17	129	8	11	2	182	236	322	558	140	235	33	4	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	388	348	83	13	2	12	26	98	8	11	2	239	306	391	697	152	291	25	7	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	DET	—	284	253	42	7	0	12	27	102	1	11	4	166	249	336	585	170	211	36	10	260	57	-14	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
YTD	25	AA	DET	—	284	241	50	9	0	14	39	79	1	11	4	207	320	419	739	212	238	28	14	328	109	+3	+1	+0	+3	+8	1.5
ROS	25	AA	DET	2%	189	172	33	6	1	7	14	65	1	6	2	191	256	360	616	168	243	34	7	265	61	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	DET	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						239	25	0	254	53	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	DET	—	288	257	42	7	0	12	27	103	1	11	4	163	246	331	576	167	207	36	9	260	57	-14	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
TOT	25	AA	DET	—	473	425	75	13	1	19	41	167	2	17	6	176	252	346	598	169	230	35	9	262	59	-22	+1	+0	+5	+13	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	DET	31%	365	332	63	12	1	13	27	121	3	10	3	190	257	349	606	160	251	33	7	274	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2028	27	MLB	DET	42%	388	352	69	13	1	14	30	125	3	10	3	196	265	358	623	162	255	32	8	278	71	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2029	28	MLB	DET	48%	401	364	71	13	1	14	31	128	3	10	3	195	264	352	615	157	257	32	8	279	72	-13	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.3
2027	26	MLB	DET	31%	113	103	19	4	0	4	8	37	1	3	1	184	250	340	590	155	246	33	7	263	59	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	DET	42%	163	148	29	5	1	6	13	53	1	4	1	196	265	365	630	169	250	33	8	266	62	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	DET	48%	192	173	34	6	1	7	15	61	2	5	1	197	268	364	633	168	252	32	8	268	63	-8	+1	-0	+2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	472	428	82	15	2	17	36	152	4	12	3	192	261	355	616	164	248	32	8	266	62	-20	+1	-0	+5	+13	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	113	21	3	23	50	209	6	17	4	192	262	355	617	163	249	32	8	266	62	-28	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	2771	2516	470	89	10	85	195	959	30	103	29	187	254	331	585	145	257	35	7	259	57	-136	+9	-1	+30	+79	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	110	21	2	20	46	225	7	24	7	186	253	331	584	144	256	35	7	259	57	-32	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	94	22	3	0	3	17	26	3	2	3	234	368	362	730	128	292	23	15	339	118	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	449	375	78	19	1	8	61	136	6	23	5	208	328	328	656	120	294	30	14	300	88	-6	+3	—	—	+13	0.9
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	477	424	101	29	4	13	44	115	3	31	8	238	314	417	732	179	292	24	9	322	104	+2	+3	—	—	+14	1.9
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	232	214	47	7	1	5	10	56	3	6	2	220	264	332	596	112	266	24	4	263	59	-11	+0	—	—	+7	-0.4
2025	24	A+	Rome Emperors	—	156	134	36	6	1	7	16	42	5	5	0	269	368	485	853	216	337	27	10	376	146	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	475	17	12	196	262	360	+5	+3	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	17	196	262	360	+7.1	+4.2	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
E.J. Exposito (OGILVIE)	25	40	40	50	20	176/252/346	169	230	19	17	35%	9%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Koss 2023 · AA	25	43→44	48→45	50	35	220/260/357	138	296	17	12	32%	4%	68	-0.5	226/272/347	121	295	12	15	27%	5%	70	-0.3	231/280/346	114	294	10	18	24%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Eduardo Diaz 2022 · AA	25	38→44	50	51→50	35	202/248/350	149	274	19	13	34%	4%	62	-0.9	208/253/335	127	294	13	13	33%	4%	59	-1.1	203/244/323	120	284	10	14	32%	4%	48	-1.4
✕Cody Puckett 2012 · AA	25	39	50	50	37	204/255/361	157	274	17	12	32%	5%	68	-0.5	202/248/336	134	252	17	10	27%	5%	57	-1.2	190/234/311	121	230	17	9	25%	5%	43	-1.6
✕Trent Giambrone 2019 · AA	25	41	48→50	48→55	42	214/267/352	137	269	18	16	28%	6%	70	-0.3	195/254/328	133	265	16	16	32%	7%	59	-1.1	163/226/265	102	227	12	16	33%	7%	27	-1.9
✕Kevin Smith 2021 · AA	25	37→43	53→55	49→50	35	202/248/370	168	283	22	13	37%	5%	67	-0.5	205/258/363	158	283	19	15	33%	6%	69	-0.4	200/251/358	158	270	20	15	33%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Jeudy Valdez 2014 · AA	25	41→43	48→50	48→55	35	214/249/355	141	282	15	15	30%	4%	63	-0.9	211/259/318	107	279	10	11	27%	6%	56	-1.3	190/243/257	66	249	6	9	25%	6%	33	-1.4
✕Jalen Miller 2022 · AA	25	35→43	50	47→50	38	193/240/343	150	255	19	12	33%	6%	56	-1.3	208/274/348	140	284	15	15	30%	8%	72	-0.2	193/271/328	135	257	13	20	29%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	36→33	48→45	50→55	39	191/255/325	133	271	17	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	215/291/341	126	313	13	16	33%	8%	78	+0.2	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	41	50	45→50	40	211/280/359	148	289	19	12	33%	7%	78	+0.2	207/275/357	150	271	18	12	30%	6%	76	+0.0	200/269/348	148	259	18	13	30%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	47→40	48→55	41	209/268/345	136	287	15	14	32%	7%	69	-0.4	232/305/339	107	304	9	27	25%	8%	82	+0.5	243/325/332	89	317	5	48	23%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Ryan Cordell 2017 · AA	25	44→42	50	53→50	40	227/271/380	153	285	18	14	27%	5%	79	+0.3	205/253/335	130	274	14	13	30%	5%	59	-1.1	189/242/308	119	257	13	13	31%	5%	46	-0.9
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→41	45→50	51→50	38	192/249/314	122	273	13	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	201/262/346	145	307	18	11	38%	7%	67	-0.5	192/257/340	148	302	19	10	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	39	50→45	52→50	42	203/267/350	147	284	19	12	35%	8%	70	-0.3	186/269/295	109	300	11	14	38%	9%	56	-1.3	169/260/268	98	276	9	12	38%	10%	43	-1.2
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Derrick Mitchell 2012 · AA	25	44→47	47→50	50→55	41	223/274/361	138	293	14	17	28%	6%	76	+0.0	208/258/335	127	267	14	15	27%	6%	62	-0.9	186/238/305	119	233	13	15	26%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	41→44	48→50	52→55	44	208/287/345	137	294	16	17	33%	8%	77	+0.1	192/272/329	137	274	17	20	34%	8%	67	-0.5	185/267/314	129	265	14	19	33%	9%	58	-0.7
✕Stone Garrett 2021 · AA	25	40→37	48→55	51→50	31	207/244/351	144	307	16	15	38%	3%	60	-1.0	215/257/384	169	296	22	15	34%	5%	75	-0.0	219/280/389	170	298	21	11	33%	7%	83	+0.4