E.J. Exposito

SS Erie SeaWolves
Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2133MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+ATL477.238/.314/.417133151—.182/.229/.331
202524AA/A+ATL388.239/.306/.391121148—.187/.238/.319
202625AADET481.231/.321/.438231964—.193/.261/.351
2027PROJMLE26MLBDET3.199/.256/.3430070-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBDET45.200/.258/.34411710.0
Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO77
BB%55
wRC+54
wOBA49
Chase%47
K%43
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsWendell Rijo (age 26) · Jermaine Palacios (age 26) · Ryan Cordell (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .256 / .343
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%6
BABIP256
ISO154
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.02728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE20
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 AAugusta GreenJackets — 11494 22303 17263 23 234368362730 128292 2315 339 64 — — — — — —
202322 AAugusta GreenJackets — 449375 781918 611366 235 208328328656 120294 3014 300 36 — — — — — —
202423 A+Rome Emperors — 477424 10129413 441153 318 238314417732 179292 249 322 51 — — — — — —
202524 AAColumbus Clingstones — 232214 47715 10563 62 220264332596 112266 244 263 33 — — — — — —
202524 A+Rome Emperors — 156134 36617 16425 50 269368485853 216337 2710 376 71 — — — — — —
202625 AAErie SeaWolves — 481420 9716123 531243 197 231321438760 207266 2611 334 64 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 11499 19302 12343 23 192298283581 91266 3011 263 64 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 449392 611316 441876 235 156251240491 84252 4210 222 36 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLERome Emperors — 477444 8121313 241543 318 182229331560 149236 325 243 51 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEColumbus Clingstones — 232217 40614 7683 62 184220276497 92229 293 217 33 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLERome Emperors — 156141 27417 9565 50 191265383647 191243 366 273 71 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 481436 8413118 371523 197 193261351611 158235 328 263 64 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 11499 19302 12343 23 192298283581 91270 3011 263 64 — — — — — —
202221 A RAWAugusta GreenJackets — 11494 22303 17263 23 234368362730 128292 2315 339 64 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 449392 611316 441876 235 156251240491 84267 4210 222 36 — — — — — —
202322 A RAWAugusta GreenJackets — 449375 781918 611366 235 208328328656 120294 3014 300 36 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLERome Emperors — 477444 8121313 241543 318 182229331560 149241 325 243 51 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAWRome Emperors — 477424 10129413 441153 318 238314417732 179292 249 322 51 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 388358 6610111 161248 112 184236310546 126240 324 240 48 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 388348 8313212 26988 112 239306391697 152291 257 308 48 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 481436 8413118 371523 197 193261351611 158244 328 263 64 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAWErie SeaWolves — 481420 9716123 531243 197 231321438760 207266 2611 334 64 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 11498 19302 12343 23 194298286584 92266 3011 263 64 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 449396 611316 441876 235 154251237489 83252 4210 222 36 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLERome Emperors — 477447 8121313 241543 318 181229329558 148236 325 243 51 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 388361 6610111 161248 112 183236307543 125235 324 240 48 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 481438 8413118 371523 197 192261349610 158235 328 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLERome Emperors — 477447 8121313 241543 318 181229329558 148236 325 243 51 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 388361 6610111 161248 112 183236307543 125235 324 240 48 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 481438 8413118 371523 197 192261349610 158235 328 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEDET 2% 380350 7113112 241163 103 203259353612 150260 316 272 70 -13 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXDET 2% 33 0000 010 00 199256343599 145256 330 267 70 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEDET 27% 167153 32615 11501 41 204262353614 149262 307 273 71 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
202827 MLB CTXDET 27% 4542 7101 3140 10 200258344601 144257 317 268 71 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4542 7101 3140 10 167222262484 95222 317 268 54 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 10014014 432020 140 165220257477 92220 317 268 54 -22 +3 +0 +7 +14 0.2
Career— MLE — 22312025 37271860 15474825 9427 184250316566 132251 347 248 54 -11 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 10821217 452187 278 183249312561 129251 347 248 54 -23 +2 +0 +7 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 481 PAwOBA .329 → .263 (−65)K% 25.8% → 31.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.78%÷1.000×1.220——31.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.02%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9987.70%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.850—×0.9980.53%
Singles /BIP19.26%÷1.000×0.970×0.954×0.99817.79%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷1.000×0.860×0.954×0.9984.43%
Triples /BIP0.34%÷1.000×0.950×0.954×0.9980.31%
Home runs /BIP7.77%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9986.05%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .329 → .263; ISO .207 → .160; BABIP .266 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAColumbus Clingstones · 232 PAwOBA .261 → .217 (−45)K% 24.1% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.14%÷1.011×1.220——29.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.31%÷1.036×0.680—×1.0122.86%
HBP% /PA1.29%—×0.840—×1.0121.10%
Singles /BIP21.52%÷1.038×0.920×0.952×1.01218.39%
Doubles /BIP4.43%÷0.951×0.910×0.952×1.0124.09%
Triples /BIP0.63%÷1.108×0.880×0.952×1.0120.48%
Home runs /BIP3.16%÷0.934×0.800—×1.0122.74%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 122, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .261 → .217; ISO .112 → .096; BABIP .266 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Rome Emperors · 156 PAwOBA .368 → .273 (−95)K% 26.9% → 35.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.92%÷0.983×1.310——35.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.26%÷1.020×0.600—×0.9885.96%
HBP% /PA3.21%—×0.770—×0.9882.44%
Singles /BIP23.91%÷1.098×0.870×0.950×0.98817.78%
Doubles /BIP6.52%÷1.173×0.780×0.950×0.9884.07%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷1.075×0.850×0.950×0.9880.81%
Home runs /BIP7.61%÷0.819×0.880—×0.9888.08%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 120, 2B 135, 3B 115, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .368 → .273; ISO .216 → .194; BABIP .337 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Rome Emperors · 477 PAwOBA .316 → .243 (−73)K% 24.1% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.11%÷0.982×1.310——32.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.22%÷1.092×0.600—×0.9985.06%
HBP% /PA0.63%—×0.770—×0.9980.48%
Singles /BIP17.80%÷0.993×0.870×0.950×0.99814.78%
Doubles /BIP9.39%÷0.985×0.780×0.950×0.9987.05%
Triples /BIP1.29%÷0.900×0.850×0.950×0.9981.16%
Home runs /BIP4.21%÷0.831×0.880—×0.9984.45%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 96, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .316 → .243; ISO .179 → .159; BABIP .292 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAugusta GreenJackets · 449 PAwOBA .298 → .222 (−76)K% 30.3% → 41.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.29%÷0.990×1.360——41.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.59%÷0.967×0.690——9.70%
HBP% /PA1.34%—×0.780——1.04%
Singles /BIP20.92%÷0.961×0.920×0.950—19.02%
Doubles /BIP7.95%÷1.063×0.830×0.950—5.90%
Triples /BIP0.42%÷0.900×0.910×0.950—0.40%
Home runs /BIP3.35%÷0.976×0.800——2.74%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 92, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .298 → .222; ISO .120 → .085; BABIP .294 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAugusta GreenJackets · 114 PAwOBA .331 → .263 (−68)K% 22.8% → 29.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.81%÷1.050×1.360——29.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.91%÷0.998×0.690—×1.01510.47%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.780—×1.0152.08%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷0.951×0.920×0.950×1.01521.95%
Doubles /BIP4.41%÷0.931×0.830×0.950×1.0153.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.976×0.910×0.950×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP4.41%÷1.127×0.800—×1.0153.18%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 110, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .331 → .263; ISO .128 → .094; BABIP .292 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).