Hayden Alvarez — OGILVIE

Hayden AlvarezOF Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 190 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.4 · 2033

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .309 / .365

PA289

HR7

SB17

K%23

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

34↗51

PWR

35↗42

SPD

55↗57

FLD

40↗51

EYE

50↗58

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.1	$29M	+$28M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.4	$33M	+$32M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.4	$34M	+$27M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.3	$34M	+$23M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+3.1	$33M	+$18M
Totals		$36M		$196M	+$160M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Angels	217	189	35	7	2	1	18	48	2	32	6	.185	.263	.259	.522	.074	.238	22	8	.229	33	-16	+4	+0	-1	+6	-0.8
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	297	262	70	8	2	2	24	73	3	33	9	.267	.336	.336	.672	.069	.356	25	8	.291	81	-6	+3	+0	-2	+8	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	80	72	14	3	0	2	8	25	0	9	0	.194	.275	.319	.594	.125	.267	31	10	.254	53	-4	+2	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	LAA	209	186	43	8	1	5	19	51	2	8	1	.231	.309	.366	.675	.134	.287	24	9	.300	88	-3	+1	-0	-1	+6	0.3
TOT	19	MLB	LAA	289	258	57	11	1	7	27	76	2	17	1	.221	.300	.353	.652	.132	.284	26	9	.287	78	-7	+3	-0	-2	+8	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	LAA	357	314	77	15	2	9	36	71	4	13	2	.245	.331	.392	.722	.146	.283	20	10	.320	103	+1	+2	-1	-2	+10	1.1
2028	21	MLB 28%	LAA	454	399	99	19	2	13	47	88	5	15	2	.248	.335	.404	.738	.155	.285	19	10	.329	110	+5	+2	-1	-3	+13	1.7
2029	22	MLB 48%	LAA	520	453	114	22	2	16	56	98	6	16	2	.252	.342	.415	.757	.163	.286	19	11	.337	116	+9	+2	-1	-3	+15	2.3
2030	23	MLB 65%	LAA	564	491	124	23	3	18	62	105	6	16	2	.253	.343	.422	.765	.169	.286	19	11	.342	120	+13	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.7
2031	24	MLB 82%	LAA	593	514	133	25	3	20	67	108	7	16	2	.259	.352	.436	.788	.177	.286	18	11	.346	123	+16	+2	-1	-4	+17	3.1
2032	25	MLB	LAA	609	527	136	25	3	21	70	110	7	16	2	.258	.353	.436	.789	.178	.287	18	11	.350	126	+18	+2	-1	-4	+17	3.3
2033	26	MLB	LAA	616	532	138	26	3	21	72	111	7	15	2	.259	.355	.438	.793	.179	.287	18	12	.351	127	+19	+2	-1	-4	+17	3.4
2034	27	MLB	LAA	616	531	136	25	3	21	73	112	7	15	2	.256	.354	.433	.787	.177	.287	18	12	.351	127	+19	+2	-1	-4	+17	3.4
2035	28	MLB	LAA	611	526	135	25	3	21	73	112	7	14	1	.257	.355	.435	.790	.179	.287	18	12	.350	126	+18	+2	-2	-4	+17	3.3
2036	29	MLB	LAA	601	517	132	24	3	20	72	112	7	13	1	.255	.354	.429	.783	.174	.286	19	12	.348	125	+17	+2	-2	-4	+17	3.1
2037	30	MLB	LAA	591	508	128	24	2	19	71	112	7	12	0	.252	.352	.419	.771	.167	.285	19	12	.345	122	+15	+2	-3	-4	+17	2.8
2038	31	MLB	LAA	577	497	123	23	2	18	69	112	6	11	0	.247	.346	.410	.757	.163	.284	19	12	.341	119	+13	+2	-4	-3	+16	2.5
2039	32	MLB	LAA	558	480	118	22	2	17	67	111	6	10	0	.246	.345	.406	.752	.160	.282	20	12	.337	116	+10	+2	-4	-3	+16	2.0
2040	33	MLB	LAA	528	454	110	20	2	16	63	109	6	9	0	.242	.342	.401	.743	.159	.281	21	12	.331	112	+7	+2	-5	-3	+15	1.6
2041	34	MLB	LAA	481	416	99	18	2	14	57	103	5	8	0	.238	.337	.392	.729	.154	.279	21	12	.325	107	+4	+2	-6	-3	+14	1.0
2042	35	MLB	LAA	425	368	85	15	2	11	50	95	4	8	0	.231	.329	.372	.702	.141	.277	22	12	.317	101	+0	+2	-6	-3	+12	0.5
2043	36	MLB	LAA	365	316	70	12	1	9	42	86	4	7	0	.222	.320	.351	.672	.130	.274	24	12	.308	94	-3	+1	-7	-2	+10	0.0
2044	37	MLB	LAA	300	260	57	10	1	7	34	73	3	6	0	.219	.316	.346	.663	.127	.271	24	11	.298	86	-5	+1	-7	-2	+8	-0.4
2045	38	MLB	LAA	230	200	42	7	1	5	26	58	2	4	0	.210	.307	.330	.637	.120	.266	25	11	.287	78	-6	+1	-8	-1	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10319	8940	2204	403	47	304	1168	2058	113	297	34	.247	.341	.404	.745	.158	.286	20	11	.332	112	+144	+46	-62	-62	+292	36.6
/ 162G	—			650	563	138	25	3	19	74	130	7	19	2	.245	.341	.401	.742	.156	.285	20	11	.332	112	+9	+3	-4	-4	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Angels	217	176	44	10	3	1	31	35	2	32	6	.250	.368	.358	.726	.108	.301	16	14	.323	105	+1	+4	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	18	A	Inland Empire 66ers	76	62	22	5	0	0	10	8	2	9	4	.355	.459	.435	.895	.081	.407	11	13	.398	163	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2025	18	ROK	ACL Angels	221	182	61	5	3	2	31	41	1	24	5	.335	.433	.429	.861	.093	.413	19	14	.380	149	+12	+3	—	—	+6	2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Alvarez (OGILVIE)	19	34→51	35→42	55→57	58	.233/.309/.365	.132	.290	7	7	23%	9%	92	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	48→58	43→60	52→60	46	.224/.316/.343	.119	.317	10	15	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.228/.285/.372	.144	.324	14	22	33%	5%	83	+0.6	.284/.330/.497	.213	.339	28	17	24%	5%	131	+2.8
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	47→56	46→55	52→50	49	.229/.293/.374	.145	.263	10	13	18%	7%	86	+0.8	.234/.297/.369	.135	.275	12	12	19%	7%	86	+0.8	.257/.353/.419	.161	.284	18	7	16%	11%	121	+2.9
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→52	43→50	52→55	54	.219/.321/.336	.117	.295	9	17	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.230/.314/.374	.144	.298	13	20	25%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.316/.381	.152	.296	15	21	26%	10%	95	+0.9
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→56	42→60	54→55	47	.230/.289/.338	.108	.295	8	12	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.221/.296/.327	.106	.300	7	12	26%	10%	76	+0.0	.247/.358/.450	.204	.280	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→49	41→60	54→50	47	.220/.290/.316	.096	.269	8	15	21%	7%	70	-0.3	.218/.267/.324	.106	.281	10	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→54	45	52→40	48	.224/.296/.359	.134	.268	11	6	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.237/.302/.349	.112	.294	10	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	50	42→50	55→60	45	.239/.309/.350	.112	.290	8	21	20%	6%	87	+0.8	.239/.306/.357	.118	.298	8	23	22%	5%	88	+0.9	.244/.313/.382	.138	.303	11	27	22%	6%	94	+1.0
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	50→56	43→50	53→50	45	.244/.303/.364	.121	.284	10	14	18%	5%	88	+0.9	.234/.278/.360	.126	.269	13	13	18%	5%	76	+0.0	.237/.289/.387	.150	.248	18	13	13%	6%	86	+0.6
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	56→70	38	.227/.269/.356	.129	.308	8	18	28%	5%	71	-0.3	.204/.253/.311	.107	.309	9	27	35%	5%	53	-1.5	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	46→60	53→55	40	.243/.287/.379	.136	.324	13	8	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.267/.312/.417	.150	.332	13	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	.305/.346/.482	.177	.358	22	13	20%	5%	135	+4.6
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	.233/.310/.344	.110	.300	9	12	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.223/.286/.295	.072	.303	4	10	26%	6%	63	-0.9	.219/.279/.260	.041	.287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	48→52	43→60	51→55	43	.233/.283/.353	.119	.294	8	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.238/.282/.338	.100	.277	6	12	16%	5%	71	-0.3	.239/.297/.453	.213	.275	26	12	23%	6%	106	+1.2
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	46→56	44→50	49→45	43	.229/.294/.349	.120	.281	12	9	22%	5%	81	+0.4	.243/.297/.369	.126	.293	13	7	21%	5%	87	+0.8	.254/.307/.383	.129	.303	13	6	20%	5%	92	+0.9
★Jason Heyward 2009 · A	19	51→60	44→55	52→50	44	.250/.294/.374	.124	.300	11	9	20%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.334/.425	.164	.305	17	10	19%	9%	117	+2.9	.255/.348/.438	.183	.301	21	14	22%	12%	121	+3.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)