Ryjeteri Merite P ACL Reds
Age 20 LHP 6'3" / 150 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 123
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%22.8%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
K: +2.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+3KBB: -1.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -2.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +3.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: +0.24 (64 IP)+0.2WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4050
CMD3045
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202418ROKDSL Reds33416420100%1.225.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%2.452.57
202418ROKDSL Reds33416420100%1.225.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%2.452.55
202519ROKDSL Reds1411331384415079%2.421.7%13.6%8.1%0.0%0.812.99
202519ROKDSL Reds1411331384415079%2.431.9%10.9%21.0%0.0%0.811.81
▸ 2026 Season
202620ROKACL Reds117371697022364%3.428.2%16.3%11.9%2.5%3.384.15+0.2
ROS20MLBCIN552711326133100%5.422.8%11.3%11.5%2.9%4.574.57-0.0
ROS20MLBCIN022.8%11.3%11.5%2.9%4.574.57
2026 TOT20MLBCIN642829635633.9%12.3%21.6%2.2%3.874.32+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721MLBCIN552811928133100%5.623.2%10.6%12.7%2.8%4.474.41+0.0
202721MLBCIN3314591462100%4.723.2%10.6%12.7%2.8%4.474.41+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career3314581462100%4.623.2%10.6%12.7%2.8%4.474.03+0.1
/ 200 IP41412008442038729100%4.823.2%10.6%12.7%2.8%4.474.03+3.2
Career2821743238248475%2.725.2%14.9%10.3%1.3%2.183.57+1.1
/ 200 IP75572008692191301175%2.725.2%14.9%10.3%1.3%2.183.57+4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ryjeteri Merite (OGILVIE) 4.57 22.8%11.3%2.9% 4.41 23.2%12.7%28 -0.16
Blake Townsend L 2026 · 3.96 FIP 20 SP- 3.96 26.7%11.2%3.1%.286 4.11 18.5%4.8%96 +0.15 3.40 263 85
Johan Simon L 2026 · 3.42 FIP 20 SP- 3.42 19.8%10.2%1.3%.302 4.50 17.6%1.1%41 +1.08 3.42 158 85
Jordan Woods L 2026 · 4.61 FIP 20 SP 4.61 20.5%10.3%3.5%.329 4.13 20.3%7.4%112 -0.48 3.74 143 84
Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP 20 SP- 4.43 21.0%10.1%3.3%.300 3.20 165 84
Benony Robles L 2026 · 3.58 FIP 20 SP- 3.58 22.3%10.1%2.0%.262 5.00 19.2%4.5%135 +1.42 3.58 271 82
Fernando Sanchez L 2027 · 4.05 FIP 21 SP 4.05 24.8%11.8%2.8%.318 3.89 17.7%6.9%213 -0.16 3.12 303 80
Yereny Teus L 2026 · 3.59 FIP 20 SP 3.59 23.3%10.3%2.1%.276 3.80 23.0%7.5%68 +0.21 2.98 166 79
Tommy Sommer L 2028 · 4.59 FIP 22 SP- 4.59 23.9%9.3%4.2%.196 5.30 18.6%6.1%205 +0.71 4.20 230 78
Aidan Deakins L 2027 · 3.83 FIP 21 SP- 3.83 18.9%8.5%2.3%.323 5.29 17.1%6.0%62 +1.46 3.83 119 78
Luke Little L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 20 SP- 4.00 25.8%12.5%2.7%.200 2.91 28.0%12.2%155 -1.09 2.76 250 78
Bailey Horn L 2029 · 5.16 FIP 23 SP- 5.16 19.7%12.7%3.9%.300 4.71 22.7%9.5%152 -0.45 4.13 265 77
Jaylen Nowlin L 2027 · 3.48 FIP 21 SP- 3.48 26.8%13.3%1.8%.352 5.07 19.1%6.1%254 +1.59 3.48 357 76
Thomas Ireland L 2027 · 4.50 FIP 21 SP- 4.50 16.7%8.7%3.1%.286 3.55 17.3%8.3%177 -0.95 2.94 221 76
Mac Lardner L 2029 · 4.63 FIP 23 SP- 4.63 18.9%8.5%3.7%.332 4.35 17.5%8.1%119 -0.28 3.54 186 75
Dalton Lehnen L 2027 · 3.95 FIP 21 SP 3.95 19.8%7.6%2.8%.398 4.61 15.8%2.9%189 +0.66 3.95 222 75
Jagger Haynes L 2026 · 4.14 FIP 20 SP 4.14 19.7%13.0%1.9%.303 5.26 17.9%3.4%302 +1.12 4.14 328 75
Bodi Rascon L 2026 · 4.55 FIP 20 SP- 4.55 15.4%8.8%3.0%.271 5.56 15.7%3.9%143 +1.01 4.55 218 75
Starlin Savinon L 2026 · 3.85 FIP 20 SP- 3.85 19.3%14.7%1.0%.302 3.38 22.1%5.2%25 -0.47 3.38 127 74
Bryan Sammons L 2028 · 3.60 FIP 22 SP- 3.60 22.7%10.5%2.0%.275 3.91 18.4%8.4%228 +0.31 3.53 688 74
Ryan Rolison L 2027 · 3.88 FIP 21 SP 3.88 21.2%9.2%2.6%.200 4.10 19.1%11.5%191 +0.22 3.63 362 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22723.0%10.9%1.114.52
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72