Landon Harmon
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 19
RHP
6'5" / 190 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%24.6%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 5 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 80% | 3.2 | 15.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 3.22 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | WSH | 14 | 14 | 62 | 263 | 65 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 4.5 | 24.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 78 | 322 | 77 | 34 | 8 | — | — | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.97 | 4.17 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | WSH | 21 | 21 | 95 | 403 | 100 | 42 | 12 | 100% | 4.5 | 24.9% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.30 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB | WSH | 28 | 28 | 134 | 567 | 142 | 56 | 16 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.1% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +1.9 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB | WSH | 33 | 33 | 175 | 739 | 191 | 70 | 21 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.8% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 2.8% | 4.12 | 4.04 | +2.8 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 33 | 33 | 180 | 760 | 201 | 69 | 21 | 100% | 5.5 | 26.5% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 3.92 | +3.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 32 | 32 | 180 | 760 | 206 | 67 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 27.1% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 2.7% | 3.90 | 3.83 | +3.3 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 31 | 31 | 180 | 760 | 209 | 66 | 21 | 100% | 5.8 | 27.4% | 8.7% | 18.7% | 2.7% | 3.82 | 3.77 | +3.4 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 30 | 30 | 180 | 760 | 210 | 66 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.7% | 8.7% | 19.0% | 2.7% | 3.78 | 3.75 | +3.5 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 30 | 30 | 177 | 749 | 207 | 66 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.6% | 8.8% | 18.9% | 2.8% | 3.78 | 3.78 | +3.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 29 | 29 | 172 | 726 | 200 | 65 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.5% | 8.9% | 18.6% | 2.9% | 3.83 | 3.87 | +3.1 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 27 | 27 | 164 | 694 | 189 | 63 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 3.93 | 4.00 | +2.7 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 26 | 26 | 154 | 652 | 176 | 62 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.9% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 3.2% | 4.08 | 4.18 | +2.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 24 | 24 | 144 | 608 | 161 | 60 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.5% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 3.5% | 4.26 | 4.38 | +1.7 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 22 | 22 | 133 | 562 | 147 | 57 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.1% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 4.47 | 4.60 | +1.2 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | WSH | 10 | 10 | 47 | 198 | 49 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 4.7 | 24.9% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 20 | 98 | 414 | 104 | 41 | 12 | 100% | 4.9 | 25.1% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB | WSH | 29 | 29 | 148 | 625 | 161 | 59 | 18 | 100% | 5.1 | 25.8% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 2.8% | 4.12 | 4.04 | +2.4 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 30 | 30 | 162 | 684 | 181 | 62 | 19 | 100% | 5.4 | 26.5% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 3.92 | +2.8 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 30 | 30 | 166 | 701 | 190 | 62 | 19 | 100% | 5.5 | 27.1% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 2.7% | 3.90 | 3.83 | +3.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 29 | 29 | 168 | 709 | 195 | 62 | 19 | 100% | 5.8 | 27.4% | 8.7% | 18.7% | 2.7% | 3.82 | 3.77 | +3.2 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 28 | 28 | 171 | 722 | 200 | 63 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 27.7% | 8.7% | 19.0% | 2.7% | 3.78 | 3.75 | +3.3 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 28 | 28 | 168 | 709 | 196 | 62 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.6% | 8.8% | 18.9% | 2.8% | 3.78 | 3.78 | +3.2 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 27 | 27 | 163 | 688 | 189 | 61 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.5% | 8.9% | 18.6% | 2.9% | 3.83 | 3.87 | +2.9 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 26 | 26 | 156 | 659 | 180 | 60 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 3.93 | 4.00 | +2.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 24 | 24 | 147 | 621 | 167 | 59 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.9% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 3.2% | 4.08 | 4.18 | +2.1 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 153 | 57 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.5% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 3.5% | 4.26 | 4.38 | +1.6 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 21 | 21 | 127 | 536 | 140 | 55 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.1% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 4.47 | 4.60 | +1.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 326 | 326 | 1857 | 7841 | 2104 | 722 | 232 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.8% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 3.0% | 4.00 | 3.63 | +38.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 227 | 78 | 25 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.8% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 3.0% | 4.00 | 3.63 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 5 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 80% | 3.2 | 15.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 3.22 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 50 | 200 | 738 | 115 | 84 | 0 | 80% | 3.2 | 15.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 3.22 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Landon Harmon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 24.6% | 10.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.15 | 25.4% | 15.5% | 405 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 85 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 85 |
| Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 83 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 80 |
| Brandon Young R 2029 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .297 | 3.46 | 22.4% | 14.1% | 150 | -0.61 | 3.11 | 420 | 80 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 79 |
| Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.12 | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 277 | +0.55 | 4.12 | 386 | 79 |
| Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.11 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .274 | 5.12 | 20.4% | -0.0% | 141 | +1.01 | 4.07 | 257 | 79 |
| Anderson Brito R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 79 |
| Reny Artiles R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.91 | 24.2% | 12.4% | 2.3% | .419 | 5.75 | 14.8% | -6.5% | 109 | +1.84 | 3.91 | 165 | 78 |
| Brandon Bailey R 2029 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.37 | 24.6% | 9.9% | 2.0% | .290 | 4.39 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 215 | +1.02 | 3.37 | 306 | 78 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2028 · 4.82 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.82 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .298 | 4.56 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.26 | 4.30 | 318 | 78 |
| Nate Dohm R 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 78 |
| Mikell Manzano R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.53 | 23.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .388 | 4.29 | 9.9% | 1.4% | 72 | +0.76 | 2.51 | 175 | 78 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 78 |
| Andry Rondon R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.98 | 15.6% | 1.1% | 49 | +0.52 | 3.26 | 105 | 77 |
| Chad Donato R 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 77 |
| Jose Montero R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.77 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .377 | 3.97 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 234 | +0.20 | 3.77 | 342 | 77 |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 77 |
| Michael Forret R 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.97 | 21.8% | 11.8% | 2.2% | .302 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.5% | 153 | -0.50 | 2.56 | 253 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 14 | 152 | 26.7% | 9.3% | 1.14 | 4.03 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| James Paxton ('24) | 8 | 106 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 1.12 | 3.89 |
| Kenta Maeda ('24) | 8 | 122 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 1.30 | 4.17 |