Dean Moss — OGILVIE

Dean MossOF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION174 act + 146 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .283 / .338

PA146

HR3

K%24

BB%7

BABIP271

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-3	$1M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.2M
Totals		$8M		$11M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TB	—	174	154	32	6	2	3	13	39	4	7	3	208	287	331	618	123	252	22	7	264	60	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
YTD	20	A	TB	—	174	146	35	7	3	3	20	27	4	7	3	240	345	390	735	151	269	16	11	327	108	+2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.6
ROS	20	A	TB	0%	146	133	29	5	1	3	10	35	2	4	1	218	283	338	621	120	282	24	7	289	80	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
ROS	20	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	280	72	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TB	—	174	155	32	6	2	3	13	39	4	7	3	206	287	329	616	123	250	22	7	264	60	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
TOT	20	A	TB	—	320	287	61	11	3	6	23	74	6	11	4	213	285	334	619	122	261	23	7	275	69	-11	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	455	412	94	17	4	10	33	107	7	9	3	228	296	362	658	133	281	24	7	293	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.2
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	523	471	110	20	5	12	39	122	8	10	3	234	303	374	677	140	283	23	7	298	86	-8	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.5
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	566	510	119	22	5	13	43	131	8	11	3	233	303	373	676	139	284	23	8	301	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.7
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	595	536	125	23	5	14	45	137	9	11	3	233	303	373	677	140	285	23	8	304	90	-6	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.8
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	614	553	129	23	5	15	47	141	9	12	3	233	304	374	678	141	285	23	8	304	91	-6	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.9
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	626	564	131	24	5	15	48	144	9	12	4	232	303	372	675	140	285	23	8	304	91	-6	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.9
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	629	566	132	24	5	15	49	145	9	12	4	233	304	373	677	140	285	23	8	305	91	-6	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.9
2034	28	MLB	TB	55%	626	563	131	24	5	15	49	145	9	12	3	233	304	373	677	140	284	23	8	304	90	-7	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.8
2035	29	MLB	TB	53%	617	554	128	23	5	15	49	144	9	11	3	231	304	372	676	141	283	23	8	302	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.6
2036	30	MLB	TB	53%	607	545	125	22	5	14	48	143	9	11	3	229	302	365	667	136	282	24	8	299	87	-9	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.4
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	156	142	33	6	2	3	11	37	2	3	1	232	297	366	663	134	285	24	7	284	76	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	253	228	53	9	2	6	19	59	4	5	1	232	303	368	671	136	287	23	8	289	79	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	307	277	65	11	3	7	23	71	4	6	2	235	303	372	674	137	288	23	7	292	82	-6	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	330	297	70	12	3	8	25	76	5	6	2	236	306	377	683	141	289	23	8	294	83	-6	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	344	310	73	13	3	8	26	79	5	7	2	235	305	374	679	139	289	23	8	295	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	352	317	74	13	3	8	27	81	5	7	2	233	304	369	673	136	289	23	8	295	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	348	313	73	13	3	8	27	80	5	7	2	233	304	371	675	137	288	23	8	295	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2034	28	MLB	TB	55%	343	308	73	13	3	8	27	79	5	6	2	237	309	377	685	140	288	23	8	294	83	-7	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.1
2035	29	MLB	TB	53%	330	296	70	12	3	8	26	77	5	6	2	236	309	378	687	142	287	23	8	292	82	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.0
2036	30	MLB	TB	53%	319	286	67	12	3	7	25	75	5	6	2	234	307	371	678	136	286	24	8	290	80	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3082	2775	651	114	28	71	236	714	45	59	18	235	305	373	678	138	289	23	8	293	82	-62	+5	-2	-18	+87	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	137	24	6	15	50	151	9	12	4	234	304	373	677	138	288	23	8	293	82	-13	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6004	5407	1253	227	50	141	460	1394	88	115	33	232	302	370	673	139	285	23	8	301	89	-76	+10	-4	-36	+170	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	135	25	5	15	50	151	10	12	4	231	302	368	670	137	284	23	8	301	89	-8	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,402	79	63	233	300	373	-20	+0	3.8	3.5
	/162	664	15	12	233	300	373	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dean Moss (OGILVIE)	20	55	44	50	—	213/285/334	122	261	6	11	23%	7%	69	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50	47→45	49→50	47	249/302/385	136	294	15	11	21%	7%	92	+1.2	235/320/365	130	278	12	13	19%	10%	95	+1.4	231/321/358	127	270	11	12	18%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	50→51	43→50	48→50	42	239/289/356	118	318	10	10	27%	6%	79	+0.3	241/295/386	145	303	13	11	24%	6%	90	+1.0	240/293/384	145	293	13	11	22%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Caleb Gindl 2010 · A	21	49→55	47→50	50	44	238/297/374	135	325	14	11	30%	8%	88	+0.9	242/300/365	123	302	11	8	22%	7%	87	+0.8	238/296/373	135	295	13	4	23%	7%	83	+0.5
●David Dahl 2014 · A	20	50→54	44→55	53→55	41	246/281/379	132	305	10	10	23%	4%	82	+0.5	233/267/357	124	308	10	16	27%	4%	69	-0.4	250/303/422	172	323	18	12	27%	7%	99	+1.3
✕John Drennen 2007 · A	20	47→56	43→50	45	44	229/290/340	111	297	10	8	26%	6%	76	+0.0	217/271/318	101	276	9	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	246/296/375	130	293	10	1	19%	6%	85	+0.5
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	46→56	45→50	49→45	43	227/292/347	120	278	12	9	23%	5%	80	+0.4	244/297/370	126	294	14	7	21%	5%	88	+0.9	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
●Luis Matos 2022 · A	20	51→56	46→50	51→50	41	252/287/384	132	290	13	14	19%	4%	86	+0.8	226/274/349	123	254	13	12	17%	5%	72	-0.2	241/293/396	155	250	19	13	13%	6%	90	+0.8
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2022 · A	21	50→52	47→50	51→50	44	240/303/387	146	325	13	11	29%	7%	93	+1.3	214/268/331	117	309	10	8	32%	6%	64	-0.8	219/274/338	119	308	10	8	31%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	51→59	41→45	50	44	246/290/344	98	299	8	12	20%	6%	76	+0.1	259/306/354	95	312	6	10	18%	6%	85	+0.7	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Jordan Schafer 2008 · A	21	48→54	45→50	49→65	39	232/272/366	134	315	11	13	29%	5%	75	-0.0	220/283/343	123	311	10	14	30%	8%	74	-0.1	214/293/291	78	289	5	53	26%	10%	59	-0.5
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→51	44→50	50→40	45	216/272/344	128	281	10	8	26%	7%	69	-0.4	233/298/343	110	302	8	4	24%	9%	80	+0.4	236/304/339	103	303	8	2	23%	9%	79	+0.2
●Erik Komatsu 2009 · A	21	45→55	46→45	48→50	45	227/279/361	134	265	14	7	20%	6%	77	+0.1	246/307/357	111	293	9	12	18%	7%	87	+0.8	264/329/370	106	303	8	17	15%	8%	98	+1.1
✕Billy McKinney 2015 · A	20	45→53	43→55	49→45	44	220/285/331	111	292	10	6	27%	7%	72	-0.2	232/290/348	116	298	9	4	24%	7%	78	+0.2	214/276/391	177	259	19	2	25%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Fernando Martinez 2009 · AA	20	51→54	44→50	47→45	40	248/290/368	120	316	11	8	25%	5%	82	+0.5	231/279/368	137	287	14	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	243/290/390	147	314	17	1	27%	4%	87	+0.5
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
✕Hank Conger 2008 · A	20	47→56	46→50	48→45	42	234/273/366	131	279	14	9	22%	5%	76	+0.0	246/290/382	136	290	15	4	20%	6%	87	+0.8	247/299/378	130	287	14	2	19%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→49	42→50	47→45	45	219/283/320	101	283	10	12	26%	7%	68	-0.5	232/313/374	142	284	14	9	22%	10%	95	+1.4	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Taylor Lindsey 2012 · A	20	50→52	43→50	51→45	38	241/269/365	123	300	8	9	23%	3%	72	-0.2	242/278/373	131	281	13	6	19%	4%	79	+0.3	235/275/364	129	266	14	5	18%	5%	72	-0.2