Felix Reyes
RF Lehigh Valley IronPigs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+PHI | 353 | .243/.287/.375 | 8 | 3 | 43 | — | .199/.229/.316 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 484 | .320/.358/.550 | 18 | 14 | 117 | — | .295/.324/.476 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAAPHI | 380 | .287/.323/.511 | 21 | 5 | 82 | — | .244/.272/.407 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBPHI | 38 | .158/.158/.263 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -0.8 | |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 26 | MLBPHI | 14 | .262/.290/.455 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 27 | MLBPHI | 90 | .260/.290/.451 | 4 | 1 | 101 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 28 | MLBPHI | 126 | .258/.289/.444 | 5 | 1 | 99 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 109 | 97 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 206 | 294 | 299 | 593 | 93 | 275 | 25 | 6 | 276 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 400 | 706 | 1.106 | 412 | 231 | 10 | 5 | 471 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 54 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 241 | 286 | 526 | 122 | 233 | 33 | 9 | 241 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 143 | 137 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 241 | 268 | 387 | 654 | 146 | 282 | 22 | 3 | 287 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 39 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 297 | 343 | 640 | 86 | 250 | 10 | 3 | 276 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 277 | 250 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 264 | 319 | 416 | 735 | 152 | 261 | 11 | 6 | 319 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 353 | 325 | 79 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 61 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 287 | 375 | 662 | 132 | 269 | 17 | 5 | 289 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 26 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 308 | 391 | 699 | 130 | 294 | 19 | 8 | 308 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 395 | 367 | 123 | 34 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 61 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 335 | 371 | 572 | 943 | 237 | 362 | 15 | 5 | 404 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 63 | 57 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 295 | 474 | 769 | 228 | 261 | 17 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 38 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 158 | 263 | 421 | 105 | 179 | 24 | 0 | 184 | 8 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 380 | 356 | 102 | 17 | 0 | 21 | 17 | 74 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 287 | 323 | 511 | 834 | 225 | 305 | 19 | 4 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 38 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 158 | 263 | 421 | 105 | 179 | 24 | 0 | 184 | 11 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 109 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 162 | 239 | 242 | 481 | 81 | 238 | 34 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 400 | 706 | 1.106 | 412 | 175 | 15 | 5 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 54 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 140 | 204 | 260 | 464 | 120 | 213 | 44 | 7 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 143 | 139 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 165 | 183 | 266 | 449 | 101 | 218 | 31 | 1 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 39 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 270 | 314 | 585 | 86 | 220 | 13 | 3 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 277 | 255 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 40 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 231 | 274 | 349 | 623 | 118 | 232 | 14 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 353 | 332 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 199 | 229 | 316 | 545 | 117 | 221 | 22 | 3 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 26 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 269 | 360 | 629 | 120 | 287 | 23 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 395 | 372 | 111 | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 73 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 298 | 327 | 484 | 811 | 185 | 333 | 18 | 3 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 38 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 158 | 263 | 421 | 105 | 179 | 24 | 0 | 180 | 8 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 380 | 361 | 88 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 12 | 89 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 244 | 272 | 407 | 679 | 163 | 272 | 23 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 129 | 116 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 172 | 256 | 276 | 532 | 103 | 243 | 31 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 129 | 114 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 219 | 310 | 360 | 670 | 140 | 268 | 22 | 6 | 306 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 197 | 189 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 69 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 153 | 184 | 249 | 432 | 95 | 214 | 35 | 3 | 188 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 197 | 186 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 220 | 260 | 360 | 620 | 140 | 271 | 25 | 5 | 274 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 316 | 290 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 45 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 231 | 274 | 345 | 618 | 114 | 240 | 14 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 316 | 285 | 75 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 263 | 316 | 407 | 723 | 144 | 260 | 11 | 6 | 314 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 353 | 332 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 199 | 229 | 316 | 545 | 117 | 228 | 22 | 3 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 353 | 325 | 79 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 61 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 287 | 375 | 662 | 132 | 269 | 17 | 5 | 289 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 484 | 455 | 135 | 33 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 297 | 326 | 479 | 805 | 182 | 337 | 19 | 4 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 484 | 447 | 143 | 37 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 77 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 320 | 358 | 550 | 908 | 230 | 346 | 16 | 5 | 388 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 399 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 12 | 98 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 262 | 393 | 655 | 158 | 269 | 23 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 418 | 394 | 108 | 18 | 0 | 22 | 17 | 83 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 308 | 487 | 795 | 213 | 293 | 20 | 4 | 344 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 129 | 115 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 174 | 256 | 278 | 534 | 104 | 228 | 31 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 197 | 188 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 69 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 154 | 184 | 250 | 434 | 96 | 217 | 35 | 3 | 188 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 316 | 296 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 45 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 226 | 274 | 338 | 611 | 111 | 231 | 14 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 353 | 337 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 196 | 229 | 312 | 541 | 116 | 221 | 22 | 3 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 484 | 461 | 135 | 33 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 293 | 326 | 473 | 799 | 180 | 330 | 19 | 4 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 401 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 12 | 98 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 234 | 262 | 392 | 653 | 157 | 264 | 23 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 353 | 337 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 196 | 229 | 312 | 541 | 116 | 221 | 22 | 3 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 484 | 461 | 135 | 33 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 293 | 326 | 473 | 799 | 180 | 330 | 19 | 4 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 401 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 12 | 98 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 234 | 262 | 392 | 653 | 157 | 264 | 23 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 10% | 342 | 326 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 82 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 259 | 287 | 444 | 731 | 185 | 301 | 24 | 3 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 10% | 14 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 290 | 455 | 745 | 193 | 302 | 21 | 0 | 324 | 102 | +0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 31% | 290 | 276 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 287 | 439 | 727 | 182 | 300 | 24 | 3 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | PHI | 42% | 300 | 284 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 73 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 287 | 433 | 720 | 178 | 298 | 24 | 4 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | PHI | 46% | 294 | 278 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 72 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 285 | 425 | 711 | 174 | 296 | 24 | 4 | 311 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 48% | 289 | 273 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 283 | 416 | 699 | 168 | 294 | 25 | 4 | 306 | 93 | -2 | -0 | -5 | -3 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 31% | 90 | 87 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 260 | 290 | 451 | 741 | 191 | 301 | 24 | 3 | 323 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | PHI | 42% | 126 | 119 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 289 | 444 | 734 | 187 | 299 | 25 | 4 | 320 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | PHI | 46% | 135 | 128 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 288 | 436 | 724 | 182 | 297 | 24 | 4 | 316 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 48% | 140 | 132 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 286 | 426 | 712 | 176 | 294 | 24 | 4 | 311 | 93 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 529 | 504 | 124 | 21 | 0 | 22 | 19 | 129 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 246 | 278 | 419 | 696 | 173 | 287 | 24 | 4 | 307 | 82 | -6 | +1 | -7 | -10 | +11 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 619 | 153 | 26 | 0 | 27 | 23 | 159 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 247 | 279 | 420 | 699 | 173 | 288 | 24 | 4 | 307 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -8 | -12 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3210 | 3026 | 728 | 133 | 11 | 105 | 115 | 741 | 27 | 49 | 18 | 241 | 275 | 396 | 671 | 155 | 281 | 23 | 4 | 289 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -16 | -19 | +29 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 613 | 147 | 27 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 150 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 240 | 273 | 393 | 666 | 153 | 280 | 23 | 4 | 289 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -8 | -9 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 380 PAwOBA .354 → .290 (−64)K% 19.5% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 21.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.38% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .354 → .290; ISO .225 → .165; BABIP .305 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 395 PAwOBA .399 → .349 (−50)K% 15.4% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.44% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.56% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×1.012 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | ×0.962 | ×1.012 | 9.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | ×1.012 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.90% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.73% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .399 → .349; ISO .237 → .192; BABIP .362 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 26 PAwOBA .299 → .271 (−29)K% 19.2% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.075 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 27.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.30% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 99, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .299 → .271; ISO .130 → .105; BABIP .294 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 353 PAwOBA .288 → .232 (−55)K% 17.3% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.28% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 22.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.38% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 3.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.70% | ÷1.035 | ×0.870 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 16.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.850 | ×1.000 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.926 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.87% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 89, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .288 → .232; ISO .132 → .115; BABIP .269 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AClearwater Threshers · 277 PAwOBA .319 → .272 (−47)K% 10.8% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.83% | ÷1.020 | ×1.360 | — | — | 14.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.14% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | — | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.09% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | — | 3.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.056 | ×0.910 | ×0.961 | — | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 111, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .319 → .272; ISO .152 → .123; BABIP .261 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 39 PAwOBA .283 → .259 (−24)K% 10.3% → 13.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.26% | ÷0.993 | ×1.310 | — | — | 13.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.56% | ÷0.973 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 1.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.81% | ÷1.006 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 22.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.071 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.858 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 114, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .283 → .259; ISO .086 → .093; BABIP .250 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Phillies · 143 PAwOBA .281 → .194 (−87)K% 21.7% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.68% | ÷1.004 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.80% | ÷0.989 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 1.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷0.981 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 17.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.178 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 3.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 3.06% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .281 → .194; ISO .146 → .097; BABIP .282 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AClearwater Threshers · 54 PAwOBA .235 → .173 (−62)K% 33.3% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 15.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 2.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 2.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.62% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .235 → .173; ISO .122 → .088; BABIP .233 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .