Brady Ebel
SS Wilson Warbirds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ACarolina Mudc… | 66 | .241/.333/.259 | 0 | 0 | 49 | — | .217/.288/.233 |
| 2026 | 19 | A+/AMIL | 538 | .252/.417/.406 | 10 | 40 | 98 | — | .220/.349/.341 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBMIL | 8 | .224/.336/.345 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ50% MLB | 21 | MLBMIL | 258 | .230/.341/.366 | 6 | 6 | 105 | 1.1 | |
| 2029PROJ69% MLB | 22 | MLBMIL | 379 | .235/.344/.381 | 10 | 8 | 109 | 1.8 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 66 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 333 | 259 | 592 | 17 | 341 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 44 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 152 | 364 | 242 | 606 | 91 | 250 | 30 | 20 | 305 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Wilson Warbirds | — | 494 | 383 | 100 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 96 | 101 | 10 | 39 | 3 | 261 | 421 | 420 | 842 | 159 | 325 | 20 | 19 | 381 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 66 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 288 | 233 | 521 | 17 | 344 | 33 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 44 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 114 | 295 | 171 | 467 | 57 | 224 | 36 | 16 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Wilson Warbirds | — | 494 | 410 | 94 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 69 | 137 | 10 | 39 | 3 | 229 | 354 | 356 | 710 | 127 | 313 | 28 | 14 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 66 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 288 | 233 | 521 | 17 | 342 | 33 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 66 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 333 | 259 | 592 | 17 | 341 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 445 | 99 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 76 | 154 | 12 | 40 | 4 | 222 | 351 | 346 | 697 | 124 | 316 | 29 | 14 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 538 | 416 | 105 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 105 | 114 | 12 | 40 | 4 | 252 | 417 | 406 | 823 | 154 | 320 | 21 | 20 | 375 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 66 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 288 | 233 | 521 | 17 | 344 | 33 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 445 | 99 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 76 | 154 | 12 | 40 | 4 | 222 | 351 | 346 | 697 | 124 | 306 | 29 | 14 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 66 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 288 | 233 | 521 | 17 | 344 | 33 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 445 | 99 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 76 | 154 | 12 | 40 | 4 | 222 | 351 | 346 | 697 | 124 | 306 | 29 | 14 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | MIL | 4% | 588 | 499 | 112 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 75 | 137 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 227 | 339 | 348 | 687 | 121 | 290 | 23 | 13 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +2 | -1 | +6 | +13 | 0.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB CTX | MIL | 4% | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 336 | 345 | 681 | 121 | 284 | 25 | 12 | 312 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIL | 50% | 517 | 437 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 66 | 118 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 233 | 344 | 369 | 712 | 136 | 291 | 23 | 13 | 324 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIL | 69% | 550 | 467 | 110 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 69 | 123 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 237 | 347 | 383 | 730 | 145 | 292 | 22 | 13 | 330 | 109 | +6 | +1 | -0 | +6 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIL | 77% | 560 | 476 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 70 | 124 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 240 | 348 | 392 | 740 | 151 | 292 | 22 | 12 | 334 | 112 | +8 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +12 | 2.8 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIL | 78% | 578 | 493 | 119 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 71 | 127 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 242 | 348 | 397 | 746 | 155 | 293 | 22 | 12 | 335 | 113 | +9 | +1 | +1 | +6 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 79% | 590 | 504 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 72 | 130 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 243 | 348 | 399 | 747 | 156 | 293 | 22 | 12 | 336 | 113 | +9 | +1 | +1 | +6 | +13 | 3.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 79% | 599 | 512 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 16 | 73 | 132 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 243 | 348 | 399 | 747 | 156 | 293 | 22 | 12 | 336 | 113 | +9 | +1 | +1 | +6 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 78% | 596 | 509 | 123 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 73 | 132 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 242 | 347 | 396 | 743 | 155 | 292 | 22 | 12 | 334 | 112 | +9 | +1 | +1 | +6 | +13 | 3.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 77% | 585 | 500 | 120 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 71 | 131 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 240 | 345 | 392 | 737 | 152 | 292 | 22 | 12 | 332 | 111 | +7 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 75% | 568 | 486 | 115 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 69 | 128 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 238 | 342 | 385 | 728 | 148 | 291 | 23 | 12 | 328 | 108 | +6 | +1 | -0 | +6 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 74% | 552 | 472 | 112 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 127 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 235 | 339 | 378 | 717 | 143 | 289 | 23 | 12 | 324 | 105 | +4 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +12 | 2.1 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIL | 73% | 534 | 458 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 125 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 231 | 334 | 368 | 702 | 137 | 286 | 23 | 12 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIL | 72% | 511 | 438 | 98 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 122 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 225 | 328 | 355 | 683 | 130 | 283 | 24 | 12 | 311 | 97 | -2 | -2 | -3 | +5 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIL | 79% | 476 | 411 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 116 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 219 | 321 | 340 | 661 | 121 | 278 | 24 | 12 | 302 | 90 | -5 | -11 | -3 | +5 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | MIL | 50% | 258 | 219 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 59 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 230 | 341 | 366 | 708 | 136 | 286 | 23 | 13 | 322 | 105 | +2 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIL | 69% | 379 | 322 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 85 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 235 | 344 | 381 | 726 | 146 | 287 | 22 | 13 | 328 | 109 | +4 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +8 | 1.8 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIL | 77% | 429 | 366 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 53 | 95 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 238 | 346 | 391 | 736 | 153 | 287 | 22 | 12 | 332 | 112 | +6 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +9 | 2.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIL | 78% | 451 | 385 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 99 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 240 | 346 | 396 | 742 | 156 | 288 | 22 | 12 | 334 | 113 | +7 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 79% | 464 | 398 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 102 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 241 | 346 | 398 | 744 | 158 | 288 | 22 | 12 | 334 | 113 | +7 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +10 | 2.4 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 79% | 473 | 405 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 58 | 104 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 240 | 346 | 398 | 743 | 158 | 288 | 22 | 12 | 334 | 113 | +7 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +10 | 2.5 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 78% | 462 | 396 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 102 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 239 | 345 | 395 | 740 | 156 | 287 | 22 | 12 | 333 | 112 | +7 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +10 | 2.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 77% | 450 | 385 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 55 | 100 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 238 | 343 | 391 | 733 | 153 | 287 | 22 | 12 | 330 | 111 | +6 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 75% | 425 | 364 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 96 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 340 | 384 | 724 | 149 | 286 | 23 | 12 | 327 | 108 | +4 | +1 | -0 | +5 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 74% | 406 | 348 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 49 | 93 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 232 | 337 | 376 | 713 | 144 | 284 | 23 | 12 | 322 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIL | 73% | 389 | 334 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 91 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 228 | 332 | 366 | 698 | 138 | 281 | 23 | 12 | 317 | 101 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIL | 72% | 370 | 318 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 88 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 223 | 326 | 354 | 680 | 131 | 278 | 24 | 12 | 309 | 97 | -2 | -1 | -2 | +4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIL | 79% | 374 | 322 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 44 | 91 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 216 | 319 | 338 | 657 | 122 | 273 | 24 | 12 | 300 | 90 | -4 | -8 | -3 | +4 | +8 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 5330 | 4562 | 1066 | 199 | 24 | 140 | 651 | 1205 | 79 | 77 | 43 | 234 | 339 | 380 | 719 | 146 | 286 | 23 | 12 | 326 | 106 | +48 | -2 | -5 | +57 | +115 | 21.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 556 | 130 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 79 | 147 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 234 | 340 | 379 | 719 | 146 | 286 | 23 | 12 | 326 | 106 | +6 | -0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 2.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8030 | 6846 | 1607 | 321 | 41 | 189 | 989 | 1860 | 125 | 149 | 63 | 235 | 342 | 376 | 718 | 142 | 293 | 23 | 12 | 325 | 106 | +64 | -1 | -7 | +80 | +161 | 30.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 554 | 129 | 26 | 3 | 15 | 80 | 151 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 233 | 340 | 372 | 712 | 139 | 291 | 23 | 12 | 325 | 106 | +6 | -0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AWilson Warbirds · 494 PAwOBA .376 → .320 (−56)K% 20.4% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 14.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.045 | 22.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.045 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×1.045 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .376 → .320; ISO .159 → .139; BABIP .325 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 44 PAwOBA .299 → .238 (−60)K% 29.5% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 37.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 15.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.050 | 3.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 9.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 12.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .299 → .238; ISO .091 → .074; BABIP .250 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 66 PAwOBA .277 → .241 (−36)K% 25.8% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.76% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.03% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.71% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 32.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 2.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.214 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .277 → .241; ISO .017 → .014; BABIP .341 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).