Brady Ebel — OGILVIE

Brady EbelSS Wilson Warbirds

Age 19 L/R 6'3" / 195 lbs A BB +10%HR +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 3.5 · 2034

wRC+†10

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .289 / .344

PA80

HR2

K%30

BB%8

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25↗51

PWR

30↗48

SPD

50↘45

FLD

40↗50

EYE

60→60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.5	$23M	+$22M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.9	$27M	+$26M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.4	$33M	+$26M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.5	$35M	+$24M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.3	$34M	+$18M
Totals		$38M		$184M	+$146M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	66	60	13	1	0	0	4	23	2	0	1	.217	.288	.233	.521	.017	.351	35	6	.227	32	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Wilson Warbirds	76	65	8	2	0	0	9	24	1	2	0	.123	.240	.154	.394	.031	.190	32	12	.194	7	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
ROS	19	MLB	MIL	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	.278	25	0	.275	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	MLB	MIL	80	69	8	2	0	0	9	25	1	2	0	.116	.228	.145	.373	.029	.178	31	11	.198	10	-8	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 14%	MIL	192	167	37	6	1	5	21	46	2	4	1	.222	.316	.359	.675	.138	.274	24	11	.308	94	-1	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.6
2028	21	MLB 31%	MIL	326	282	65	11	2	9	37	75	4	6	1	.230	.328	.379	.708	.149	.277	23	11	.318	102	+1	+1	-1	+3	+9	1.4
2029	22	MLB 51%	MIL	423	365	85	15	2	13	49	95	6	8	1	.233	.333	.392	.725	.159	.278	22	12	.325	107	+3	+1	-1	+5	+12	2.0
2030	23	MLB 73%	MIL	488	422	99	17	3	15	57	108	6	9	2	.235	.334	.396	.730	.161	.279	22	12	.330	111	+6	+1	-1	+5	+14	2.5
2031	24	MLB 89%	MIL	530	454	109	19	3	17	64	115	7	9	2	.240	.343	.407	.750	.167	.279	22	12	.334	114	+8	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.9
2032	25	MLB	MIL	554	474	113	19	3	18	68	119	7	9	1	.238	.342	.405	.748	.167	.280	21	12	.338	117	+10	+1	-1	+6	+16	3.3
2033	26	MLB	MIL	568	484	117	20	3	19	71	122	8	9	1	.242	.348	.413	.761	.171	.280	21	12	.339	118	+11	+1	-1	+6	+16	3.4
2034	27	MLB	MIL	571	486	117	20	3	19	72	124	8	9	1	.241	.348	.412	.760	.171	.280	22	13	.339	118	+12	+1	-1	+6	+16	3.5
2035	28	MLB	MIL	569	485	116	20	3	19	72	124	7	9	1	.239	.346	.410	.756	.171	.280	22	13	.338	117	+11	+1	-2	+6	+16	3.3
2036	29	MLB	MIL	561	478	114	19	3	19	71	124	7	8	0	.238	.345	.410	.755	.172	.279	22	13	.336	115	+10	+2	-3	+6	+16	3.1
2037	30	MLB	MIL	551	469	111	19	3	18	70	124	7	8	0	.237	.344	.405	.749	.168	.277	23	13	.333	113	+8	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.8
2038	31	MLB	MIL	537	457	107	18	3	17	68	123	7	7	0	.234	.342	.398	.740	.164	.276	23	13	.329	110	+6	+1	-4	+6	+15	2.5
2039	32	MLB	MIL	519	442	101	17	2	16	66	121	6	6	0	.229	.337	.385	.721	.156	.275	23	13	.325	107	+4	+1	-5	+6	+15	2.1
2040	33	MLB	MIL	490	419	92	15	2	14	62	118	6	6	0	.220	.329	.365	.694	.146	.273	24	13	.319	103	+1	+1	-5	+5	+14	1.7
2041	34	MLB	MIL	443	379	82	13	2	12	56	110	5	6	0	.216	.325	.356	.681	.140	.271	25	13	.313	98	-1	+1	-6	+5	+13	1.2
2042	35	MLB	MIL	389	333	70	11	2	10	48	101	5	5	0	.210	.319	.345	.664	.135	.269	26	12	.305	92	-4	+1	-7	+4	+11	0.6
2043	36	MLB	MIL	329	282	57	9	1	8	40	89	4	5	0	.202	.310	.326	.636	.124	.266	27	12	.296	85	-6	+1	-7	+4	+9	0.1
2044	37	MLB	MIL	265	228	45	7	1	6	32	74	3	4	0	.197	.304	.316	.620	.118	.263	28	12	.287	77	-7	+1	-8	+3	+8	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	MIL	196	169	33	5	1	4	23	56	2	3	0	.195	.299	.308	.607	.112	.258	29	12	.276	69	-7	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8571	7339	1683	281	43	258	1051	1992	109	130	12	.229	.335	.385	.719	.155	.278	23	12	.324	106	+62	+21	-67	+92	+243	35.8
/ 162G	—			650	557	127	21	3	20	80	151	8	10	1	.228	.333	.384	.718	.156	.275	23	12	.324	106	+5	+2	-5	+7	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	66	58	14	1	0	0	6	17	2	0	1	.241	.333	.259	.592	.017	.341	26	9	.283	75	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Ebel (OGILVIE)	19	25→51	30→48	50→45	60	.214/.289/.344	.129	.292	2	1	30%	8%	78	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	44→50	45	51	.220/.307/.353	.132	.309	10	8	30%	11%	87	+0.8	.194/.270/.290	.096	.293	8	5	33%	9%	56	-1.3	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	40	40→45	46→45	47	.186/.285/.282	.096	.298	8	6	36%	11%	61	-1.0	.184/.262/.261	.077	.294	6	6	36%	9%	44	-2.1	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→47	43→50	46→50	46	.188/.269/.299	.110	.273	10	7	33%	10%	58	-1.2	.198/.288/.331	.133	.275	13	9	30%	11%	74	-0.1	.206/.294/.357	.151	.275	17	10	30%	11%	81	+0.4
★Austin Meadows 2014 · A	19	45→55	43→65	49→55	43	.214/.282/.336	.122	.308	10	6	32%	8%	72	-0.2	.242/.292/.362	.120	.310	9	10	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.255/.336/.495	.240	.289	30	8	23%	10%	129	+2.7
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→52	43→50	52→55	54	.219/.321/.336	.117	.295	9	17	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.230/.314/.374	.144	.298	13	20	25%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.316/.381	.152	.296	15	21	26%	10%	95	+0.9
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	44→52	49→65	49→45	45	.226/.283/.369	.143	.276	17	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.250/.300/.421	.171	.300	23	7	24%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→49	44→55	48→45	41	.207/.263/.315	.109	.281	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	.234/.289/.391	.157	.301	19	7	28%	7%	89	+1.0	.233/.291/.410	.177	.289	23	6	27%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→40	41→50	46→40	44	.207/.262/.297	.091	.272	9	9	27%	7%	53	-1.5	.205/.256/.301	.096	.278	8	7	27%	6%	51	-1.7	.210/.263/.325	.115	.276	10	3	27%	6%	59	-0.6
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	46→56	48→55	42→45	40	.227/.283/.373	.146	.325	15	6	34%	7%	82	+0.5	.215/.270/.360	.145	.319	14	6	35%	6%	73	-0.1	.230/.314/.391	.161	.298	19	6	28%	10%	98	+1.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Willy Adames 2015 · A	19	48→53	41→60	47→50	46	.224/.293/.338	.114	.316	6	6	29%	8%	76	+0.1	.224/.290/.335	.111	.332	7	8	32%	8%	75	-0.0	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	.219/.281/.317	.098	.274	8	11	23%	8%	66	-0.6	.241/.317/.373	.132	.280	15	17	19%	9%	97	+1.5	.233/.312/.369	.136	.267	17	23	19%	9%	90	+0.8
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	43→50	48→40	45	.202/.300/.317	.115	.331	10	6	38%	10%	76	+0.1	.235/.325/.382	.147	.300	16	5	25%	10%	103	+1.9	.239/.326/.387	.148	.293	17	4	23%	9%	102	+1.4
✕John Drennen 2006 · A	19	39→49	46→45	47→45	42	.204/.263/.332	.129	.261	15	8	28%	6%	63	-0.8	.218/.275/.321	.103	.282	9	6	25%	6%	65	-0.7	.244/.295/.365	.121	.292	9	1	19%	6%	81	+0.3
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→55	52→55	41	.212/.263/.298	.086	.291	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.258/.304/.406	.148	.329	14	21	25%	5%	99	+1.7	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
●Travis Snider 2007 · A	19	47→53	49→55	47→50	43	.236/.291/.385	.149	.313	18	7	30%	7%	89	+0.9	.245/.301/.404	.159	.345	17	4	32%	7%	98	+1.6	.246/.310/.419	.172	.343	19	2	32%	8%	103	+1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)