Cooper Ingle
C Columbus Clippers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+CLE | 408 | .305/.419/.478 | 11 | 7 | 111 | — | .267/.355/.398 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/AACLE | 510 | .260/.392/.419 | 10 | 0 | 96 | — | .228/.333/.361 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAACLE | 473 | .297/.426/.528 | 20 | 2 | 118 | — | .256/.354/.428 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCLE | 24 | .095/.208/.095 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0.7 | |
| 2027PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBCLE | 63 | .241/.341/.389 | 2 | 0 | 108 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ56% MLB | 26 | MLBCLE | 250 | .242/.340/.389 | 6 | 1 | 108 | 1.1 | |
| 2029PROJ66% MLB | 27 | MLBCLE | 292 | .241/.338/.388 | 7 | 1 | 106 | 1.3 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 69 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 288 | 464 | 385 | 848 | 96 | 341 | 12 | 25 | 396 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 103 | 89 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 379 | 416 | 794 | 135 | 324 | 16 | 14 | 359 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 305 | 252 | 79 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 313 | 433 | 500 | 933 | 187 | 345 | 13 | 17 | 415 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 107 | 82 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 387 | 329 | 716 | 122 | 239 | 14 | 20 | 337 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 403 | 333 | 91 | 29 | 0 | 9 | 65 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 273 | 393 | 441 | 835 | 168 | 319 | 17 | 16 | 372 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 24 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 208 | 95 | 304 | 222 | 50 | 12 | 163 | -4 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +1 | 0.7 | |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 473 | 381 | 113 | 26 | 1 | 20 | 86 | 108 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 297 | 426 | 528 | 954 | 231 | 362 | 23 | 18 | 417 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 24 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 208 | 95 | 304 | 222 | 50 | 12 | 163 | -4 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +1 | 0.7 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 69 | 56 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 406 | 357 | 763 | 89 | 317 | 14 | 19 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 103 | 93 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 269 | 340 | 398 | 738 | 129 | 323 | 19 | 10 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 305 | 266 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 267 | 361 | 398 | 759 | 132 | 309 | 16 | 12 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 107 | 88 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 321 | 284 | 605 | 102 | 221 | 18 | 14 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 403 | 349 | 84 | 25 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 241 | 336 | 381 | 717 | 140 | 298 | 22 | 12 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 24 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 208 | 95 | 304 | 222 | 50 | 12 | 162 | -4 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +1 | 0.7 | |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 473 | 407 | 104 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 61 | 130 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 256 | 354 | 428 | 781 | 172 | 328 | 27 | 13 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 69 | 56 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 406 | 357 | 763 | 89 | 326 | 14 | 19 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 69 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 288 | 464 | 385 | 848 | 96 | 341 | 12 | 25 | 396 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 359 | 96 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 70 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 267 | 355 | 398 | 754 | 131 | 313 | 17 | 12 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 408 | 341 | 104 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 305 | 419 | 478 | 897 | 173 | 339 | 14 | 16 | 401 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 437 | 101 | 32 | 0 | 8 | 64 | 109 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 335 | 359 | 694 | 128 | 287 | 21 | 13 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 510 | 415 | 108 | 36 | 0 | 10 | 86 | 85 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 260 | 392 | 419 | 811 | 159 | 302 | 17 | 17 | 365 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 497 | 428 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 64 | 142 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 347 | 411 | 758 | 164 | 331 | 29 | 13 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 497 | 402 | 115 | 26 | 1 | 20 | 89 | 120 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 286 | 416 | 505 | 921 | 219 | 357 | 24 | 18 | 404 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 69 | 56 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 406 | 357 | 763 | 89 | 317 | 14 | 19 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 356 | 96 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 70 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 270 | 355 | 402 | 757 | 132 | 313 | 17 | 12 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 437 | 101 | 32 | 0 | 8 | 64 | 109 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 335 | 359 | 694 | 128 | 282 | 21 | 13 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 497 | 429 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 64 | 142 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 347 | 410 | 757 | 163 | 323 | 29 | 13 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 356 | 96 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 70 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 270 | 355 | 402 | 757 | 132 | 313 | 17 | 12 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 437 | 101 | 32 | 0 | 8 | 64 | 109 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 335 | 359 | 694 | 128 | 282 | 21 | 13 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 497 | 429 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 64 | 142 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 347 | 410 | 757 | 163 | 323 | 29 | 13 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 30% | 380 | 327 | 79 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 103 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 340 | 388 | 728 | 147 | 319 | 27 | 13 | 327 | 108 | +3 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +8 | 1.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 30% | 63 | 55 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 341 | 389 | 729 | 147 | 320 | 27 | 13 | 328 | 108 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 56% | 445 | 385 | 93 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 55 | 120 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 339 | 389 | 727 | 148 | 317 | 27 | 12 | 327 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 66% | 445 | 386 | 93 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 54 | 119 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 337 | 387 | 724 | 147 | 315 | 27 | 12 | 326 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 71% | 445 | 387 | 93 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 119 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 334 | 383 | 717 | 145 | 313 | 27 | 12 | 323 | 105 | +2 | -0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 71% | 445 | 388 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 52 | 119 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 331 | 378 | 709 | 142 | 310 | 27 | 12 | 319 | 102 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +8 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 71% | 445 | 389 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 120 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 327 | 371 | 698 | 138 | 307 | 27 | 11 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +8 | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB MLE | CLE | 72% | 422 | 369 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 115 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 322 | 361 | 683 | 132 | 304 | 27 | 11 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB MLE | CLE | 72% | 391 | 342 | 76 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 109 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 315 | 348 | 663 | 124 | 300 | 28 | 11 | 301 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -5 | +7 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB MLE | CLE | 72% | 202 | 176 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 332 | 640 | 115 | 294 | 28 | 11 | 291 | 83 | -4 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 56% | 250 | 216 | 52 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 67 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 340 | 389 | 729 | 148 | 318 | 27 | 12 | 328 | 108 | +2 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 66% | 292 | 253 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 78 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 338 | 388 | 725 | 147 | 316 | 27 | 12 | 326 | 106 | +2 | -0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 71% | 314 | 271 | 65 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 84 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 335 | 384 | 719 | 145 | 314 | 27 | 12 | 323 | 105 | +2 | -0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 71% | 316 | 274 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 85 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 331 | 379 | 710 | 142 | 311 | 27 | 12 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 71% | 318 | 276 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 86 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 327 | 372 | 700 | 138 | 308 | 27 | 12 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB CTX | CLE | 72% | 302 | 263 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 322 | 362 | 685 | 132 | 305 | 27 | 12 | 310 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB CTX | CLE | 72% | 280 | 245 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 316 | 349 | 665 | 125 | 301 | 28 | 11 | 302 | 90 | -3 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB CTX | CLE | 72% | 145 | 128 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 308 | 333 | 642 | 115 | 295 | 28 | 11 | 292 | 83 | -3 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2241 | 1947 | 455 | 106 | 3 | 52 | 265 | 613 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 234 | 329 | 371 | 700 | 138 | 311 | 27 | 12 | 314 | 102 | -4 | -1 | -17 | +48 | +49 | 7.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 565 | 132 | 31 | 1 | 15 | 77 | 178 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 329 | 372 | 700 | 138 | 312 | 27 | 12 | 314 | 102 | -1 | -0 | -5 | +14 | +14 | 2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4934 | 4283 | 1022 | 244 | 8 | 111 | 594 | 1266 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 239 | 334 | 377 | 712 | 138 | 311 | 26 | 12 | 319 | 102 | -2 | -0 | -25 | +70 | +75 | 12.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 564 | 135 | 32 | 1 | 15 | 78 | 167 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 239 | 334 | 379 | 714 | 140 | 312 | 26 | 12 | 319 | 102 | -0 | -0 | -5 | +13 | +14 | 2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 473 PAwOBA .409 → .342 (−67)K% 22.8% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.83% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 12.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.048 | 23.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.048 | 8.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.048 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.37% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .409 → .342; ISO .231 → .184; BABIP .362 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 403 PAwOBA .366 → .318 (−48)K% 17.4% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.37% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.953 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 12.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.15% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×1.027 | 19.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.03% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | ×0.979 | ×1.027 | 9.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.950 | ×0.979 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.42% | ÷0.926 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .366 → .318; ISO .168 → .147; BABIP .319 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 107 PAwOBA .333 → .282 (−51)K% 14.0% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.02% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.63% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 14.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.80% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.43% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 13.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.45% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 8.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .333 → .282; ISO .122 → .101; BABIP .239 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lake County Captains · 305 PAwOBA .405 → .337 (−68)K% 13.1% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.11% | ÷1.023 | ×1.270 | — | — | 16.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.72% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 12.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.06% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 22.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.49% | ÷0.978 | ×0.810 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 7.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.023 | ×0.850 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.25% | ÷1.190 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.89% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .405 → .337; ISO .187 → .143; BABIP .345 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAkron RubberDucks · 103 PAwOBA .350 → .318 (−32)K% 15.5% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.53% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.59% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 10.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 23.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷0.944 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 7.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷0.966 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 105, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .350 → .318; ISO .135 → .120; BABIP .324 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lake County Captains · 69 PAwOBA .388 → .341 (−47)K% 11.6% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.028 | ×1.270 | — | — | 14.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.64% | ÷0.971 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 18.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 21.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.36% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 10.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 102, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .388 → .341; ISO .096 → .094; BABIP .341 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).