Brendan Donovan — OGILVIE

Brendan Donovan3B Seattle Mariners

Age 29 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs MLB K +7%HR -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 7-Day (D7)

2026 ROS PROJECTION199 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 87118vR 129

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .278 / .294

PA18

HR0

K%17

BB%6

BABIP302

ISO59

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

904.9%

xAVG

780.274

POWER45

Barrel%

376.4

Avg EV

4588.7

Bat Spd

2368.5

EYE60

Chase%

9023.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

1325.7

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%13%·14% over 58 PA (60d) · proj 13%

BB%8%·7% over 58 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.127▼.057 over 53 AB (60d) · proj .151xISO .094 vs .162 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB2.3%▼0.0% over 45 BBE (60d) · proj 3.3%barrel% 2.7% vs 7.0% prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.307·.333 over 45 BIP (60d) · proj .306xBABIP .259 vs .346 prior

SLASH.278/.344/.405▼proj .283/.350/.433

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1238 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

384

854

—

wRC+

136

▶▶R

wOBA

283

369

▶▶R

ISO

090

167

▶▶R

BABIP

278

322

▶R

14.6%

12.2%

▶▶R

BB%

6.3%

8.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.5M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.4M
2027	Arb-3	$11M	+2.3	$17M	+$7M
Totals		$12M		$17M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	402	107	26	3	8	63	91	11	4	2	266	380	405	786	139	322	19	13	355	126	+15	+0	—	—	+10	2.6
2021	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	131	111	32	5	0	6	15	23	4	4	2	288	392	495	888	207	313	18	11	392	151	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2021	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	219	185	59	10	1	4	25	39	6	8	5	319	417	449	865	130	379	18	11	386	147	+12	-0	—	—	+5	1.7
2021	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	109	95	28	6	0	2	10	15	4	7	1	295	385	421	806	126	333	14	9	366	134	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	64	52	16	5	0	2	10	8	1	2	1	308	429	519	948	212	326	12	16	413	166	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	468	391	110	21	1	5	60	70	14	2	3	281	396	379	774	97	330	15	13	355	127	+15	-1	-2	+2	+10	2.4
2022	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	65	57	17	3	0	1	8	8	0	0	0	298	385	404	788	105	333	12	12	358	129	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	327	93	10	1	11	33	53	9	5	1	284	366	422	788	138	311	14	9	354	126	+11	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.8
2024	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	163	34	3	14	47	81	13	5	5	278	345	417	762	140	300	12	7	339	116	+12	-1	+1	-7	+14	2.0
2025	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	460	132	32	0	10	42	67	7	3	3	287	356	422	777	135	315	13	8	345	120	+12	-1	+0	+2	+11	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2006	1765	498	97	5	40	182	271	43	15	12	282	363	411	774	129	312	14	9	347	121	+51	-2	-5	-2	+43	8.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	425	90	19	3	6	40	120	11	4	2	212	296	313	609	101	267	25	8	267	67	-19	+0	—	—	+10	-0.9
2021	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	131	116	27	4	0	4	10	29	4	4	2	233	315	371	686	138	270	22	8	308	95	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	219	194	53	8	1	3	16	49	6	8	5	273	347	371	718	98	335	22	7	320	103	+1	-0	—	—	+5	0.5
2021	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	109	98	26	5	0	2	7	20	4	7	1	265	339	378	717	112	317	18	6	310	96	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	468	391	110	21	1	5	60	70	14	2	3	281	396	379	774	97	330	15	13	354	126	+14	-1	-2	+2	+10	2.4
2022	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	65	60	16	3	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	267	323	367	690	100	292	15	8	286	80	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	327	94	10	1	12	33	53	9	5	1	287	369	434	803	147	311	14	9	352	125	+11	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.7
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	164	34	3	15	47	81	13	5	5	279	346	424	770	145	300	12	7	341	117	+13	-1	+1	-7	+14	2.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	460	133	32	0	11	42	67	7	3	3	289	358	430	788	141	315	13	8	342	118	+11	-1	+0	+2	+11	2.4
2019	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	425	90	19	3	6	40	120	11	4	2	212	296	313	609	101	277	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	402	107	26	3	8	63	91	11	4	2	266	380	405	786	139	322	19	13	355	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	523	465	121	20	1	10	38	112	15	21	9	260	336	372	708	112	319	21	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	4 teams	—	523	443	135	26	1	14	60	85	15	21	9	305	405	463	868	158	347	16	11	386	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	533	451	126	24	1	6	65	80	14	2	3	279	387	377	764	98	327	15	12	346	120	+13	-1	-2	+2	+12	2.3
2022	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	533	448	127	24	1	6	68	78	14	2	3	283	394	382	776	98	331	15	13	356	120	+13	-1	-2	+2	+12	2.3
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	327	94	10	1	12	33	53	9	5	1	287	369	434	803	147	312	14	9	352	125	+11	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.7
2023	26	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	327	93	10	1	11	33	53	9	5	1	284	366	422	788	138	311	14	9	354	125	+11	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.7
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	164	34	3	15	47	81	13	5	5	279	346	424	770	145	300	12	7	341	117	+13	-1	+1	-7	+14	2.1
2024	27	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	163	34	3	14	47	81	13	5	5	278	345	417	762	140	300	12	7	339	117	+13	-1	+1	-7	+14	2.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	460	133	32	0	11	42	67	7	3	3	289	358	430	788	141	316	13	8	342	118	+11	-1	+0	+2	+11	2.4
2025	28	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	460	132	32	0	10	42	67	7	3	3	287	356	422	777	135	315	13	8	345	118	+11	-1	+0	+2	+11	2.4
2019	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	480	426	90	19	3	6	40	120	11	4	2	211	296	312	608	101	267	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	523	465	121	20	1	10	38	112	15	21	9	260	336	372	708	112	312	21	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	533	449	126	24	1	6	65	80	14	2	3	281	387	379	765	98	326	15	12	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	326	94	10	1	12	33	53	9	5	1	288	369	436	804	147	311	14	9	352	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	164	34	3	15	47	81	13	5	5	279	346	424	770	145	300	12	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	461	133	32	0	11	42	67	7	3	3	289	358	430	787	141	315	13	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	371	326	94	10	1	12	33	53	9	5	1	288	369	436	804	147	311	14	9	352	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	652	587	164	34	3	15	47	81	13	5	5	279	346	424	770	145	300	12	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	515	461	133	32	0	11	42	67	7	3	3	289	358	430	787	141	315	13	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	SEA	—	199	175	42	7	1	4	15	34	7	1	1	240	325	360	685	120	273	17	8	307	94	-1	-0	-3	+1	+4	0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	SEA	—	159	137	38	7	1	3	15	23	6	1	1	277	373	409	782	131	312	14	9	353	94	-1	-0	-3	+1	+3	-0.0
YTD	29	A+ RAW	SEA	—	23	21	2	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	95	136	95	232		118	22	0	111	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	AAA RAW	SEA	—	17	17	3	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	353	529	176	154	18	0	229	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB RAW	SEA	—	159	137	38	7	1	3	15	23	6	1	1	277	373	409	782	131	312	14	9	353	125	+5	-0	-3	+1	+3	0.6
ROS	29	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	18	17	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	235	278	294	572	59	305	17	6	342	118	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
ROS	29	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	18	17	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	235	278	294	572	59	302	17	6	322	118	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
FULL	29	MLB A+C	SEA	—	177	154	42	8	1	3	16	26	6	1	1	273	364	396	760	123	310	15	9	350	96	-1	-0	-3	+1	+4	0.0
TOT	29	MLB MLE	SEA	—	217	192	46	8	1	4	16	37	7	1	1	240	321	354	675	115	275	17	7	310	96	-1	-0	-3	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	639	569	160	30	2	15	50	94	15	4	2	281	355	420	775	139	311	15	8	344	119	+15	+0	-8	+2	+14	2.3
2028	31	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	626	558	154	29	1	14	49	94	14	4	2	276	349	407	756	131	309	15	8	340	116	+12	+0	-9	+2	+14	2.0
2029	32	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	614	547	148	27	1	13	48	94	14	3	1	271	345	395	740	124	305	15	8	333	111	+8	+0	-9	+2	+13	1.5
2030	33	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	529	471	125	22	1	11	41	84	12	2	1	265	340	386	726	121	299	16	8	324	106	+4	+0	-9	+2	+11	0.8
2031	34	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	447	400	102	17	1	8	34	74	10	1	1	255	329	362	691	107	292	17	8	314	99	-1	-0	-9	+2	+10	0.1
2032	35	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	378	339	83	13	1	6	28	65	8	1	0	245	317	342	660	97	285	17	7	302	91	-4	+0	-9	+1	+8	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	639	569	159	30	2	14	50	94	15	4	2	279	353	413	766	134	308	15	8	324	119	+15	+0	-8	+2	+14	2.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	626	558	153	29	1	14	49	94	14	4	2	274	348	405	753	131	306	15	8	320	116	+12	+0	-9	+2	+14	2.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	614	547	147	27	1	13	48	94	14	3	1	269	343	393	736	124	302	15	8	313	111	+8	+0	-9	+2	+13	1.5
2030	33	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	529	471	124	22	1	10	41	84	12	2	1	263	338	378	716	115	297	16	8	305	106	+4	+0	-9	+2	+11	0.8
2031	34	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	447	400	101	17	1	8	34	74	10	1	1	253	327	360	687	107	290	17	8	295	99	-1	-0	-9	+2	+10	0.1
2032	35	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	378	339	82	13	1	6	28	65	8	1	0	242	315	339	654	97	282	17	7	284	91	-4	+0	-9	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5257	4666	1268	236	12	105	433	779	116	30	19	272	348	395	743	123	305	15	8	324	108	+84	-2	-58	+10	+114	15.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	156	29	1	13	54	96	14	4	2	270	347	392	739	121	304	15	8	324	108	+10	-0	-7	+1	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6325	5616	1504	278	16	127	516	1021	142	55	30	268	345	391	735	123	306	16	8	328	108	+84	-2	-58	+10	+114	15.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	155	29	2	13	53	105	15	6	3	269	346	393	739	125	307	16	8	328	108	+10	-0	-7	+1	+14	1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Headleylast yr '18 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,740 PA	8.6	5,740	130	93	263	343	400	+6	+26	27.7	26.7
/162	664	15	11	+0.8	+3.1	3.2	pk7: 26
#2Orlando Hudsonlast yr '12 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,413 PA	8.2	5,413	93	85	273	341	412	+17	+34	28.6	26.6
/162	664	11	10	+2.1	+4.2	3.5	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.8	5,871	122	35	275	348	403	+21	-21	27.0	23.7
/162	664	14	4	+2.4	-2.4	3.1	pk7: 20
#3Martín Pradolast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,812 PA	8.8	5,812	99	40	287	335	412	-3	+10	23.7	23.3
/162	664	11	5	-0.4	+1.2	2.7	pk7: 23
#4David Freeselast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,195 PA	6.3	4,195	112	8	277	351	423	+11	+7	23.1	21.0
/162	664	18	1	+1.7	+1.1	3.7	pk7: 19
#5Neil Walkerlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,071 PA	7.6	5,071	149	31	268	339	429	+1	-35	20.5	19.8
/162	664	20	4	+0.2	-4.6	2.7	pk7: 19
#6César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	7.2	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.1
/162	664	10	13	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Donovan (OGILVIE)	29	60	45	45	60	274/348/412	138	305	11	4	14%	8%	118	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●David DeJesus 2010 · MLB	30	57→62	46→50	44→45	54	280/348/423	142	308	12	8	13%	8%	119	+2.7	274/347/415	141	310	12	6	15%	9%	117	+2.6	268/349/403	135	306	10	6	15%	9%	112	+1.8
●Todd Walker 2003 · MLB	30	59→61	47→55	41→45	54	291/347/438	147	315	13	6	13%	8%	122	+2.9	281/340/437	156	297	15	3	11%	8%	119	+2.7	280/340/440	160	291	16	1	10%	8%	116	+2.1
✕Jake Cronenworth 2023 · MLB	29	50→58	50	48→50	55	251/334/417	167	281	16	4	17%	10%	114	+2.3	240/328/389	149	280	14	6	19%	10%	105	+1.7	236/332/377	141	279	13	5	19%	10%	101	+1.3
✕Mark Kotsay 2006 · MLB	30	58→63	47→50	42→50	54	286/340/426	140	300	13	7	10%	8%	117	+2.6	265/321/383	118	284	9	6	10%	8%	99	+1.3	260/320/367	106	282	7	5	10%	8%	91	+0.5
●Derek Dietrich 2018 · MLB	29	52→59	50→55	42→40	48	258/346/427	169	313	16	2	22%	8%	120	+2.8	246/336/438	192	296	23	4	24%	7%	120	+2.8	211/314/378	168	272	21	2	29%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Edwards Guzman 2006 · MLB	29	58→63	48→45	41→40	50	288/327/430	143	289	16	7	8%	5%	114	+2.3	288/336/402	114	296	12	5	7%	7%	109	+2.0	296/347/392	97	303	10	2	6%	7%	110	+1.2
✕Johnny Estrada 2005 · MLB	29	61→65	45	46→30	52	294/360/426	132	325	11	3	13%	7%	124	+3.1	279/322/407	128	299	11	2	11%	5%	106	+1.8	277/309/400	123	291	12	0	9%	3%	92	+0.5
●Adam Frazier 2020 · MLB	28	55→65	46→50	43→50	51	271/330/415	145	298	12	6	14%	7%	111	+2.1	269/331/391	122	299	10	8	13%	7%	105	+1.7	262/325/368	106	291	7	11	12%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Josh Bard 2008 · MLB	30	58→60	45→50	43→30	59	284/360/422	138	316	11	3	14%	11%	123	+3.0	234/303/353	119	270	10	3	17%	9%	86	+0.3	234/277/350	116	282	11	0	21%	6%	73	-0.2
✕John Baker 2010 · MLB	29	55→59	46→45	42→45	52	267/342/405	138	326	13	3	21%	9%	113	+2.3	246/327/358	112	310	8	5	21%	10%	97	+1.1	196/273/239	43	268	3	2	26%	9%	45	-1.0
●Mark Ellis 2006 · MLB	29	58→63	48→50	43→50	55	285/352/435	150	306	14	4	12%	9%	123	+3.0	262/331/411	149	287	15	8	14%	8%	111	+2.1	250/324/395	145	273	15	10	14%	8%	102	+1.3
✕Andrew Benintendi 2023 · MLB	29	58→64	45→55	44→50	53	283/347/411	128	325	12	9	17%	9%	116	+2.5	255/319/388	133	289	14	8	16%	8%	101	+1.4	232/298/405	173	257	22	2	20%	8%	95	+0.7
✕Stephen Drew 2012 · MLB	29	53→57	47→55	49→45	53	257/325/413	156	299	12	8	18%	9%	108	+1.9	233/309/391	158	288	15	6	23%	10%	97	+1.1	217/290/393	176	232	21	0	17%	9%	90	+0.2
✕Chris Stynes 2002 · MLB	29	59→67	48→50	43→45	50	290/339/436	145	319	15	8	14%	6%	119	+2.7	254/320/395	141	282	13	5	15%	8%	103	+1.5	240/313/373	134	266	11	3	14%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Mike Fontenot 2009 · MLB	29	56→59	48→50	47→45	52	276/341/434	158	321	13	8	18%	9%	119	+2.7	254/319/392	138	301	11	7	18%	8%	101	+1.4	244/310/370	127	290	9	6	18%	8%	88	+0.2
●Yunel Escobar 2012 · MLB	29	57→67	43→45	43→45	59	274/352/383	108	296	10	5	11%	10%	112	+2.2	256/321/359	103	281	10	5	12%	8%	94	+0.9	299/356/399	101	333	8	1	12%	7%	115	+2.0
✕Hyun Soo Kim 2017 · MLB	29	57	44→45	39→30	57	278/357/401	122	316	11	5	15%	10%	118	+2.6	247/323/352	105	297	9	5	18%	9%	94	+0.9	226/304/285	59	284	2	0	19%	9%	68	-0.4
●Kolten Wong 2019 · MLB	28	53→61	46→50	49→55	54	259/343/400	141	289	12	10	15%	9%	113	+2.3	268/344/406	138	304	13	17	16%	8%	114	+2.4	273/348/413	139	312	13	20	16%	8%	113	+1.6
●Ronnie Belliard 2005 · MLB	30	56→58	45→50	44→45	55	271/336/406	135	304	11	5	15%	9%	111	+2.1	276/327/422	146	303	14	4	14%	7%	111	+2.1	278/335/422	143	308	14	3	14%	7%	111	+1.8
✕Omar Narváez 2022 · MLB	30	51→54	49→50	45→30	53	257/337/400	144	302	17	2	20%	10%	110	+2.1	219/299/329	110	264	10	3	20%	9%	80	-0.1	189/278/267	78	230	8	0	20%	10%	57	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps