Brendan Donovan — OGILVIE

Brendan Donovan2B Seattle Mariners

Age 29 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs MLB HR +3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 4.0 · 2026

wRC+†vL 89140vR 149

AVG/OBP/SLG.282 / .352 / .430

PA513

HR13

SB5

K%13

BB%8

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

EYE

49↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.3peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$6M	+4.0	$32M	+$26M
2027	Arb-3	$18M	+3.5	$29M	+$11M
Totals		$24M		$61M	+$37M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	480	424	89	18	2	6	41	111	11	4	2	.210	.296	.304	.600	.094	.267	23	9	.270	65	-19	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.4
2021	24	AA	4 teams	523	465	120	19	1	12	38	115	15	21	9	.258	.334	.381	.715	.123	.315	22	7	.315	100	-0	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.7
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	533	451	125	24	1	6	65	80	14	2	3	.277	.385	.375	.760	.098	.324	15	12	.342	120	+12	-1	-2	+2	+15	2.6
2023	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	371	327	91	11	1	11	33	53	9	5	1	.278	.360	.419	.779	.141	.303	14	9	.342	120	+8	+1	-4	+1	+11	1.7
2024	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	652	587	161	33	3	14	47	81	13	5	5	.274	.342	.412	.754	.138	.296	12	7	.332	113	+9	-1	+1	-7	+18	2.1
2025	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	515	460	132	30	0	11	42	67	7	3	3	.287	.356	.424	.780	.137	.313	13	8	.339	118	+10	-1	+0	+2	+15	2.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	71	56	17	3	0	3	9	12	5	1	1	.304	.443	.518	.961	.214	.333	17	13	.418	178	+6	-0	-3	+0	+2	0.6
ROS	29	MLB	SEA	442	390	111	22	1	12	38	61	11	4	2	.285	.364	.438	.803	.154	.311	14	9	.361	134	+17	+0	+2	+2	+13	3.4
TOT	29	MLB	SEA	513	446	128	25	1	15	47	73	16	5	3	.287	.375	.448	.824	.161	.313	14	9	.369	140	+23	-0	-1	+2	+15	4.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB	SEA	501	440	126	25	1	14	43	58	13	4	2	.286	.367	.443	.810	.157	.299	12	9	.358	132	+18	+0	+0	+2	+14	3.5
2028	31	MLB	SEA	486	429	121	24	1	13	42	58	12	2	1	.282	.362	.434	.796	.152	.298	12	9	.354	129	+16	+0	-0	+2	+14	3.2
2029	32	MLB	SEA	467	412	114	22	1	12	40	58	12	0	0	.277	.358	.422	.780	.146	.296	12	9	.349	125	+13	+0	-1	+2	+13	2.7
2030	33	MLB	SEA	437	386	105	20	1	10	37	57	11	0	0	.272	.353	.407	.759	.135	.295	13	8	.342	120	+10	+0	-2	+2	+12	2.2
2031	34	MLB	SEA	391	345	92	17	1	9	33	55	10	0	0	.267	.348	.400	.748	.133	.293	14	8	.335	115	+7	+0	-3	+1	+11	1.6
2032	35	MLB	SEA	337	298	77	14	1	7	28	51	8	0	0	.258	.338	.383	.721	.124	.290	15	8	.327	108	+3	+0	-4	+1	+10	1.0
2033	36	MLB	SEA	278	246	61	11	0	5	23	45	7	0	0	.248	.330	.354	.683	.106	.288	16	8	.317	101	+0	+0	-5	+1	+8	0.4
2034	37	MLB	SEA	215	191	46	8	0	4	17	37	5	0	0	.241	.319	.346	.665	.105	.284	17	8	.307	93	-2	+0	-6	+1	+6	-0.1
2035	38	MLB	SEA	148	131	30	5	0	2	12	26	4	0	0	.229	.313	.313	.626	.084	.279	18	8	.296	85	-3	+0	-7	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6776	5982	1601	303	15	148	579	1013	162	50	28	.268	.348	.398	.746	.130	.299	15	9	.333	113	+100	-1	-31	+15	+192	28.1
/ 162G	—			650	574	153	29	1	14	56	97	16	5	3	.267	.349	.394	.743	.127	.298	15	9	.333	113	+10	-0	-3	+1	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	480	402	107	26	3	8	63	91	11	4	2	.266	.380	.405	.786	.139	.322	19	13	.355	130	+16	+0	—	—	+14	3.0
2021	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	131	111	32	5	0	6	15	23	4	4	2	.288	.392	.495	.888	.207	.313	18	11	.392	158	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2021	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	219	185	59	10	1	4	25	39	6	8	5	.319	.417	.449	.865	.130	.379	18	11	.386	153	+13	-0	—	—	+6	1.9
2021	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	109	95	28	6	0	2	10	15	4	7	1	.295	.385	.421	.806	.126	.333	14	9	.366	138	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	64	52	16	5	0	2	10	8	1	2	1	.308	.429	.519	.948	.212	.326	12	16	.413	174	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	468	391	110	21	1	5	60	70	14	2	3	.281	.396	.379	.774	.097	.330	15	13	.355	130	+16	-1	-2	+2	+13	2.8
2022	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	65	57	17	3	0	1	8	8	0	0	0	.298	.385	.404	.788	.105	.333	12	12	.358	132	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	371	327	93	10	1	11	33	53	9	5	1	.284	.366	.422	.788	.138	.311	14	9	.354	129	+12	+1	-4	+1	+11	2.1
2024	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	652	587	163	34	3	14	47	81	13	5	5	.278	.345	.417	.762	.140	.300	12	7	.339	118	+13	-1	+1	-7	+18	2.5
2025	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	515	460	132	32	0	10	42	67	7	3	3	.287	.356	.422	.777	.135	.315	13	8	.345	122	+13	-1	+0	+2	+15	3.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2006	1765	498	97	5	40	182	271	43	15	12	.282	.363	.411	.774	.129	.312	14	9	.347	124	+54	-2	-5	-2	+57	10.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Donovan (OGILVIE)	29	60	45	45	60	.284/.365/.439	.155	.300	14	5	11%	9%	134	+3.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●John Jaso 2013 · MLB	29	53→56	49→50	50→45	64	.261/.361/.420	.159	.282	14	7	13%	13%	127	+3.6	.269/.363/.426	.157	.311	15	6	17%	12%	129	+3.7	.269/.352/.428	.159	.313	14	2	18%	10%	122	+1.8
✕Ryan Doumit 2010 · MLB	29	55→63	53→55	44→45	48	.278/.329/.454	.176	.303	20	6	16%	6%	123	+3.3	.263/.324/.427	.164	.296	18	4	17%	7%	113	+2.6	.264/.326/.432	.168	.299	19	0	18%	7%	108	+1.6
●Nick Markakis 2013 · MLB	29	59→63	46→55	48→50	57	.288/.357/.426	.138	.310	12	7	12%	9%	126	+3.5	.278/.342/.387	.109	.304	10	4	12%	9%	110	+2.4	.278/.356/.412	.134	.313	11	0	14%	10%	113	+3.0
✕Hyun Soo Kim 2017 · MLB	29	58	45	40→30	57	.282/.360/.411	.128	.320	12	5	16%	10%	124	+3.4	.251/.326/.354	.103	.301	9	5	18%	9%	95	+1.4	.224/.302/.280	.055	.282	2	0	19%	9%	61	-0.4
●Todd Walker 2002 · MLB	29	57→61	51→55	40→45	55	.284/.346/.450	.166	.302	17	6	13%	9%	128	+3.6	.285/.343/.435	.150	.307	14	5	12%	8%	122	+3.3	.282/.344/.431	.149	.300	13	3	11%	8%	115	+2.7
●David DeJesus 2010 · MLB	30	57→62	46→50	45	54	.278/.349/.417	.139	.306	11	8	13%	8%	120	+3.1	.276/.348/.415	.139	.312	11	6	14%	9%	119	+3.1	.267/.348/.398	.131	.306	10	6	15%	9%	110	+2.0
✕Omar Narváez 2020 · MLB	28	53→55	51→50	39→30	56	.268/.350/.424	.156	.304	20	2	19%	11%	123	+3.3	.249/.331/.395	.146	.296	17	2	21%	10%	108	+2.3	.232/.319/.347	.115	.283	11	0	21%	10%	84	+0.3
●Edwards Guzman 2006 · MLB	29	57→64	49→50	41→40	49	.284/.322/.432	.148	.285	18	7	8%	5%	114	+2.7	.293/.339/.422	.129	.297	15	5	7%	6%	118	+3.0	.300/.351/.407	.108	.305	12	2	6%	7%	117	+1.7
●Jose Vidro 2005 · MLB	30	60→65	50→55	44→40	60	.299/.372/.462	.163	.308	17	4	10%	10%	141	+4.6	.284/.353/.414	.130	.301	12	3	10%	9%	121	+3.2	.289/.357/.392	.103	.311	8	0	9%	9%	111	+2.1
✕Junior Spivey 2004 · MLB	29	55→61	51→55	47→50	53	.272/.354/.444	.172	.320	17	9	20%	10%	130	+3.8	.246/.330/.400	.154	.301	16	13	22%	10%	109	+2.4	.215/.311/.348	.133	.267	14	17	24%	10%	85	+0.4
●Adam Eaton 2018 · MLB	29	57→66	46→45	52→55	54	.278/.355/.422	.143	.324	12	13	18%	9%	124	+3.4	.275/.358/.408	.133	.322	12	13	17%	10%	122	+3.3	.272/.357/.399	.128	.318	11	13	17%	10%	116	+1.9
●Jorge Cantu 2011 · MLB	29	54→60	50→60	45→40	49	.269/.322/.425	.156	.297	17	4	16%	6%	112	+2.6	.242/.291/.403	.161	.268	21	3	18%	6%	93	+1.3	.259/.314/.473	.213	.273	31	3	18%	6%	122	+2.0
✕Scooter Gennett 2019 · MLB	29	56→60	53→55	46→50	46	.285/.335/.456	.171	.332	21	6	21%	7%	125	+3.5	.260/.307/.407	.147	.322	17	6	24%	6%	101	+1.8	.215/.239/.314	.099	.294	9	0	29%	2%	45	-0.5
●Gio Urshela 2021 · MLB	29	55→62	51→55	45→40	48	.279/.329/.448	.169	.312	18	4	17%	6%	121	+3.2	.275/.321/.424	.149	.326	16	4	20%	6%	111	+2.5	.278/.323/.408	.130	.332	14	2	20%	6%	104	+1.4
★Michael Young 2006 · MLB	29	63→68	51→55	52→50	51	.314/.360/.482	.167	.339	17	8	13%	7%	141	+4.6	.309/.358/.451	.142	.346	13	8	14%	7%	133	+4.0	.306/.357/.453	.147	.340	15	5	14%	7%	127	+4.0
●Mike Lamb 2005 · MLB	29	53→61	53→60	46→40	54	.268/.338/.440	.171	.298	20	4	18%	9%	122	+3.3	.267/.327/.445	.178	.296	20	4	17%	8%	118	+3.0	.276/.338/.445	.169	.300	19	2	15%	8%	116	+1.8
★Sean Casey 2003 · MLB	29	59→64	47→50	45→40	55	.289/.356/.434	.146	.309	14	4	12%	8%	128	+3.7	.296/.356/.438	.142	.307	15	4	9%	8%	129	+3.7	.306/.367/.452	.146	.314	15	3	8%	8%	132	+4.0
✕Andrew Benintendi 2023 · MLB	29	57→65	45→55	43→50	53	.278/.344/.406	.127	.321	12	10	17%	9%	115	+2.8	.258/.322/.390	.132	.294	13	9	16%	8%	102	+1.9	.242/.308/.388	.146	.268	17	6	17%	8%	91	+1.0
●Eric Hosmer 2018 · MLB	28	58→64	53→55	46→50	54	.293/.358/.468	.175	.326	22	6	17%	9%	137	+4.3	.273/.332/.436	.163	.323	20	5	21%	8%	118	+3.0	.267/.324/.416	.148	.317	18	4	21%	7%	106	+1.6
✕Mark Kotsay 2006 · MLB	30	58→63	46→50	43→50	54	.285/.341/.424	.139	.302	13	7	11%	8%	118	+3.0	.267/.323/.387	.120	.285	10	6	10%	8%	102	+1.8	.260/.319/.367	.106	.282	7	5	10%	8%	90	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)