Liam Hicks — OGILVIE

Liam HicksC Miami Marlins

Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION342 act + 228 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 79107vR 117

AVG/OBP/SLG.266 / .354 / .417

PA228

HR7

K%13

BB%10

BABIP280

ISO151

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

902.6%

xwOBA

540.313

POWER40

Barrel%

143.5

Avg EV

1085.0

Bat Spd

1867.9

EYE60

Chase%

9010.7%

SPEED40

Sprint

1625.8

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 463 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

397

—

wRC+

120

▶▶R

wOBA

275

342

▶▶R

ISO

039

142

▶▶R

BABIP

238

289

▶▶R

15.2%

13.1%

▶R

BB%

12.1%

9.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+1.8	$14M	+$14M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.0	$22M	+$22M
2028	Arb-1	$5M	+2.9	$20M	+$16M
2029	Arb-2	$8M	+2.6	$17M	+$11M
2030	Arb-3	$11M	+2.3	$14M	+$6M
Totals		$26M		$86M	+$68M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	32	27	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	111	250	111	361		143	19	12	172	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	32	24	3	0	0	0	7	4	1	0	0	125	344	125	469		150	12	22	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	3 teams	—	199	164	46	8	1	3	22	31	7	5	1	280	389	396	785	116	316	16	11	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	3 teams	—	199	150	49	9	1	3	36	22	7	5	1	327	477	460	937	133	351	11	18	413	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	457	392	93	21	1	5	50	100	13	9	0	237	343	334	677	97	304	22	11	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	457	367	113	20	1	4	75	71	13	9	0	308	442	401	842	93	371	16	16	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	432	104	17	0	7	38	74	16	3	1	241	325	329	654	88	270	15	8	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	406	107	20	0	6	64	58	16	3	1	264	385	357	742	94	289	12	13	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	85	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	256	357	358	715	102	289	14	11	321	104	+2	+0	+1	+7	+11	2.2
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	82	13	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	247	349	346	695	99	278	14	11	317	101	+0	+0	+1	+7	+11	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	MIA	—	342	297	86	9	1	13	33	30	5	2	0	290	370	458	828	168	281	9	10	356	131	+12	+0	+1	+6	+10	3.0
YTD	27	MLB	MIA	—	342	297	86	9	1	13	33	30	5	2	0	290	370	458	828	168	281	9	10	362	135	+14	+0	+1	+6	+10	3.1
ROS	27	MLB	MIA	100%	228	199	53	7	1	7	23	29	4	2	0	266	354	417	771	151	277	13	10	340	119	+5	+0	-1	+4	+6	1.5
ROS	27	MLB	MIA	100%	228	199	53	7	1	7	23	29	4	2	0	266	354	417	771	151	273	13	10	323	105	+1	+0	-1	+4	+6	1.1
FULL	27	MLB	MIA	—	570	496	139	16	2	20	56	59	9	4	0	280	364	442	805	161	281	10	10	343	121	+13	+1	-1	+10	+16	4.1
TOT	27	MLB	MIA	—	570	496	139	16	2	20	56	59	9	4	0	280	364	442	805	161	281	10	10	350	126	+17	+1	-1	+10	+16	4.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIA	100%	520	454	120	16	2	15	52	66	9	3	1	264	351	407	759	143	277	13	10	340	118	+11	+0	-4	+9	+15	3.2
2028	29	MLB	MIA	100%	520	454	119	16	1	15	52	67	9	3	1	262	350	401	750	139	277	13	10	338	117	+10	+0	-5	+9	+15	3.0
2029	30	MLB	MIA	100%	520	454	118	16	1	15	52	69	9	3	1	260	348	399	746	139	275	13	10	335	115	+9	+0	-5	+9	+15	2.8
2030	31	MLB	MIA	100%	504	440	113	15	1	14	51	68	8	2	0	257	345	391	736	134	273	13	10	331	111	+6	+0	-6	+9	+14	2.5
2031	32	MLB	MIA	100%	487	427	107	14	1	13	49	68	8	2	0	251	339	379	718	129	269	14	10	324	106	+3	+0	-7	+9	+14	2.0
2032	33	MLB	MIA	100%	407	357	87	10	1	10	41	59	6	1	0	244	332	361	693	118	264	14	10	316	100	-0	+0	-7	+7	+12	1.2
2033	34	MLB	MIA	96%	332	291	70	8	1	8	33	50	5	1	0	241	328	357	686	117	258	15	10	306	92	-3	+0	-7	+6	+9	0.6
2034	35	MLB	MIA	91%	194	170	38	4	0	4	19	31	3	0	0	224	312	318	630	94	251	16	10	295	84	-3	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.1
2027	28	MLB	MIA	100%	520	454	119	16	2	15	52	66	9	3	1	262	350	405	755	143	273	13	10	323	105	+3	+0	-4	+9	+15	2.4
2028	29	MLB	MIA	100%	520	454	117	16	1	15	52	67	9	3	1	258	346	396	742	139	272	13	10	321	104	+2	+0	-5	+9	+15	2.2
2029	30	MLB	MIA	100%	520	454	115	15	1	14	52	69	9	3	1	253	342	383	725	130	271	13	10	318	102	+1	+0	-5	+9	+15	2.0
2030	31	MLB	MIA	100%	504	440	112	15	1	14	51	68	8	2	0	255	343	389	731	134	268	13	10	314	98	-1	+0	-6	+9	+14	1.7
2031	32	MLB	MIA	100%	487	427	105	13	1	13	49	68	8	2	0	246	335	372	707	126	264	14	10	307	93	-4	+0	-7	+9	+14	1.3
2032	33	MLB	MIA	100%	407	357	86	10	1	10	41	59	6	1	0	241	329	359	688	118	260	14	10	300	88	-6	+0	-7	+7	+12	0.7
2033	34	MLB	MIA	96%	317	278	64	7	1	7	31	48	5	1	0	230	318	338	657	108	254	15	10	290	80	-7	+0	-7	+6	+9	0.1
2034	35	MLB	MIA	91%	177	155	35	4	0	4	17	28	3	0	0	226	314	329	643	103	247	16	10	280	73	-5	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4070	3550	888	116	10	105	411	558	70	19	3	250	340	377	717	127	269	14	10	312	97	-15	+3	-46	+73	+115	13.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	143	19	2	17	66	89	11	3	0	252	342	383	725	131	271	14	10	312	97	-2	+1	-7	+12	+18	2.1
Career	—			—	5284	4593	1156	166	12	122	529	774	107	36	5	252	343	373	715	121	277	15	10	321	104	+25	+5	-47	+94	+150	23.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	141	20	1	15	65	95	13	4	1	250	341	368	709	119	274	15	10	321	104	+3	+0	-6	+12	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	32	24	3	0	0	0	7	4	1	0	0	125	344	125	469		150	12	22	260	57	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	22	16	3	0	0	0	3	5	2	0	0	188	381	188	568		250	23	14	285	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	120	88	24	6	0	2	26	11	2	5	1	273	448	409	857	136	278	9	22	383	151	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	57	46	22	3	1	1	7	6	3	0	0	478	571	652	1.224	174	525	11	12	527	261	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	316	253	68	14	1	3	49	52	12	4	0	269	411	368	778	99	325	16	16	361	134	+12	+1	—	—	+9	2.3
2023	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	56	45	14	1	0	1	10	11	1	3	0	311	446	400	846	89	394	20	18	392	158	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	85	69	31	5	0	0	16	8	0	2	0	449	553	522	1.075	72	508	9	19	484	228	+12	+0	—	—	+2	1.5
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	406	107	20	0	6	64	58	16	3	1	264	385	357	742	94	289	12	13	340	118	+10	+0	—	—	+14	2.5
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	82	13	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	247	349	346	695	99	278	14	11	317	101	+0	+0	+1	+7	+11	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	390	332	82	13	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	247	349	346	695	99	278	14	11	317	101	+0	+0	+1	+7	+11	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#3Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#4Marco Scutarolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,435 PA	11	5,435	76	55	278	342	389	+45	+27	27.4	25.6
	/162	664	9	7	278	342	389	+5.5	+3.3	3.4	pk7: 24
#5Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#6Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	12	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
	/162	664	12	4	264	350	391	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	4,704	126	24	256	340	387	+78	+8	26.0	23.5
	/162	664	18	3	256	340	387	+11.0	+1.1	3.7	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Liam Hicks (OGILVIE)	27	55	40	40	60	280/364/442	161	281	20	4	10%	10%	126	+4.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Omar Narváez 2019 · MLB	27	54→55	44→50	38→30	58	261/344/377	115	305	11	2	18%	11%	108	+2.3	264/345/424	160	309	20	2	21%	10%	121	+3.2	264/345/421	157	307	21	0	20%	10%	117	+1.7
✕Donovan Walton 2022 · MLB	28	54→59	52→55	40→45	49	273/335/444	171	296	20	6	16%	7%	122	+3.3	237/297/372	135	271	13	8	17%	7%	88	+0.9	254/316/372	119	283	14	5	16%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Brian Buscher 2009 · MLB	28	53→57	46→45	39→45	49	262/318/390	128	289	14	4	15%	7%	101	+1.8	236/306/350	114	268	12	4	16%	8%	85	+0.7	213/296/304	91	245	8	0	16%	10%	69	-0.1
✕Tucker Barnhart 2019 · MLB	28	51→54	44→45	40	55	248/325/372	123	289	11	3	18%	10%	98	+1.6	236/318/373	137	289	15	3	22%	10%	97	+1.5	228/313/361	133	287	15	1	24%	10%	86	+0.4
✕Colin Moran 2020 · MLB	27	55→57	49→55	35→30	47	272/325/423	151	324	17	2	21%	7%	112	+2.6	250/316/408	158	312	19	3	25%	8%	105	+2.1	230/303/380	150	291	19	1	27%	9%	91	+0.6
●J.P. Crawford 2022 · MLB	27	55→58	43→45	41→50	53	265/335/379	114	313	9	6	18%	9%	105	+2.1	254/347/384	130	298	12	4	17%	12%	111	+2.5	252/352/390	138	302	14	5	20%	13%	113	+2.6
●Adam Frazier 2019 · MLB	27	56→66	45→50	45→50	52	270/332/403	133	302	10	9	14%	8%	110	+2.4	273/333/408	135	303	11	6	13%	7%	111	+2.5	285/346/410	126	315	9	6	12%	7%	113	+2.2
✕Jason Castro 2014 · MLB	27	53→54	52→50	45→30	52	261/337/440	178	325	18	4	24%	10%	121	+3.2	226/299/380	154	302	17	3	29%	9%	91	+1.1	234/334/405	172	309	21	0	29%	12%	109	+1.1
●Neil Walker 2014 · MLB	28	53→57	49→55	42→45	53	264/338/418	155	297	16	5	17%	9%	117	+2.9	269/338/446	177	298	21	4	17%	8%	124	+3.4	273/340/454	181	300	23	3	17%	8%	122	+2.9
✕Aledmys Díaz 2017 · MLB	26	53→58	51→55	43→45	50	265/325/433	168	294	17	7	17%	7%	115	+2.8	253/304/412	159	274	18	7	15%	6%	102	+1.8	252/313/418	165	272	19	3	15%	7%	102	+1.1
●Jonathan India 2023 · MLB	26	51→53	49→50	45→50	51	252/343/402	151	306	16	8	22%	9%	115	+2.8	242/338/384	142	289	15	10	20%	10%	108	+2.3	238/339/373	135	282	14	9	20%	11%	104	+2.0
✕Terrence Long 2003 · MLB	27	53→58	47→50	43→45	51	262/317/408	146	288	14	6	15%	8%	105	+2.1	260/310/393	133	288	12	6	14%	7%	98	+1.6	267/313/387	120	295	10	5	13%	6%	92	+0.9
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	53→55	43→45	54	244/335/417	174	281	21	4	21%	10%	116	+2.8	221/317/358	137	264	16	6	22%	10%	94	+1.3	226/309/345	119	258	14	6	18%	9%	85	+0.4
●Derek Dietrich 2016 · MLB	27	47→57	53→55	42→40	44	239/322/419	180	289	20	3	24%	6%	111	+2.5	261/345/426	165	321	16	3	23%	7%	122	+3.3	269/351/431	163	335	16	1	23%	7%	121	+2.6
●Brendan Donovan 2023 · MLB	26	55→59	43→50	44→50	55	264/355/375	111	314	10	9	18%	10%	113	+2.6	275/351/407	132	308	13	7	14%	9%	119	+3.1	280/351/417	137	307	14	5	13%	8%	118	+2.5
●John Jaso 2012 · MLB	28	50→57	43→50	46→45	60	240/324/361	121	262	10	5	13%	11%	96	+1.5	262/361/415	153	297	14	7	16%	12%	125	+3.5	272/376/431	159	312	15	6	16%	13%	132	+2.1
✕John Baker 2010 · MLB	29	55→59	46→45	42→45	52	267/342/405	138	326	13	3	21%	9%	115	+2.7	247/327/359	112	311	8	5	21%	10%	97	+1.5	194/271/237	43	268	3	2	26%	9%	36	-1.0
●Asdrúbal Cabrera 2013 · MLB	27	54→63	50→55	47→50	51	269/331/426	157	299	17	11	17%	8%	115	+2.8	249/311/407	158	287	16	10	19%	7%	102	+1.9	271/332/450	180	303	21	3	18%	8%	119	+2.9
●Stephen Drew 2009 · MLB	26	53→57	51→55	51→45	50	265/319/440	175	297	16	6	17%	7%	114	+2.7	264/326/434	170	303	14	7	17%	8%	115	+2.8	260/328/422	162	301	12	7	17%	9%	108	+2.0
●Michael Stefanic 2023 · MLB	27	57→62	44→45	44→45	51	277/339/394	117	306	12	7	14%	7%	111	+2.5	270/347/361	91	301	7	8	12%	9%	105	+2.1	272/357/352	80	303	6	7	11%	9%	104	+1.5