Liam Hicks — OGILVIE

Liam HicksC Tampa Bay Rays

Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR +6%H +4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION518 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 100120vR 127

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%10

BB%10

BABIP284

ISO135

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$63M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

902.1%

xAVG

510.253

POWER40

Barrel%

153.7

Avg EV

1084.7

Bat Spd

1867.9

EYE60

Chase%

908.6%

SPEED40

Sprint

1325.7

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%14%▲13% over 77 PA (30d) · proj 15%

BB%11%·11% over 126 PA (45d) · proj 10%

ISO.134·.132 over 151 AB (60d) · proj .135xISO .097 vs .106 prior

HR/BB3.7%·3.8% over 132 BBE (60d) · proj 3.5%barrel% 3.9% vs 3.5% prior

BABIP.275·.291 over 127 BIP (60d) · proj .273xBABIP .270 vs .275 prior

SLASH.257/.349/.390·proj .250/.341/.385

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 463 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

397

—

wRC+

117

▶▶R

wOBA

275

342

▶▶R

ISO

039

142

▶▶R

BABIP

238

289

▶▶R

15.2%

13.1%

▶R

BB%

12.1%

9.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.3	$1M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.0	$25M	+$24M
2028	Arb-1	$6M	+2.9	$22M	+$17M
2029	Arb-2	$9M	+2.7	$18M	+$12M
2030	Arb-3	$12M	+2.3	$14M	+$6M
Totals		$27M		$80M	+$60M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	32	24	3	0	0	0	7	4	1	0	0	125	344	125	469		150	12	22	260	62	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	22	16	3	0	0	0	3	5	2	0	0	188	381	188	568		250	23	14	285	79	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2022	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	120	88	24	6	0	2	26	11	2	5	1	273	448	409	857	136	278	9	22	383	145	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	57	46	22	3	1	1	7	6	3	0	0	478	571	652	1.224	174	525	11	12	527	243	+10	+0	—	—	+1	1.1
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	316	253	68	14	1	3	49	52	12	4	0	269	411	368	778	99	325	16	16	361	130	+11	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2023	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	56	45	14	1	0	1	10	11	1	3	0	311	446	400	846	89	394	20	18	392	151	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	85	69	31	5	0	0	16	8	0	2	0	449	553	522	1.075	72	508	9	19	484	213	+11	+0	—	—	+2	1.4
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	406	107	20	0	6	64	58	16	3	1	264	385	357	742	94	289	12	13	340	116	+9	+0	—	—	+11	2.1
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	82	13	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	247	349	346	695	99	278	14	11	317	100	+0	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	390	332	82	13	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	247	349	346	695	99	278	14	11	317	100	+0	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	32	27	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	111	250	111	361		124	19	12	176	5	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	22	17	3	0	0	0	2	7	2	0	0	176	333	176	510		223	32	9	238	47	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	120	98	24	5	0	2	16	15	2	5	1	245	362	357	719	112	251	12	13	330	109	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	57	49	18	2	1	1	4	9	3	0	0	367	446	510	957	143	412	16	7	405	160	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	316	268	63	14	1	2	34	63	12	4	0	235	347	317	664	82	292	20	11	303	91	-3	+1	—	—	+7	0.4
2023	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	56	48	12	1	0	1	7	15	1	3	0	250	357	333	690	83	346	27	12	305	93	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	429	101	17	0	5	41	70	16	3	1	235	325	310	635	75	260	14	8	288	81	-11	+0	—	—	+11	-0.0
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	84	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	253	354	355	710	102	278	14	11	320	103	+1	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.9
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	32	27	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	111	250	111	361		143	19	12	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	32	24	3	0	0	0	7	4	1	0	0	125	344	125	469		150	12	22	260	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	199	164	46	8	1	3	22	31	7	5	1	280	389	396	785	116	316	16	11	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	199	150	49	9	1	3	36	22	7	5	1	327	477	460	937	133	351	11	18	413	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	457	392	92	18	1	4	50	96	13	9	0	235	341	316	657	82	299	21	11	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	457	367	113	20	1	4	75	71	13	9	0	308	442	401	842	93	371	16	16	388	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	429	101	17	0	5	41	70	16	3	1	235	325	310	635	75	265	14	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	406	107	20	0	6	64	58	16	3	1	264	385	357	742	94	289	12	13	340	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	84	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	253	354	355	710	102	286	14	11	320	103	+1	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.9
2025	26	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	390	332	82	13	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	247	349	346	695	99	278	14	11	317	103	+1	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.9
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	32	27	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	111	250	111	361		124	19	12	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	199	168	46	8	1	3	22	31	7	5	1	274	389	387	776	113	294	16	11	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	457	391	92	18	1	4	50	96	13	9	0	235	341	317	658	82	300	21	11	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	434	101	17	0	5	41	70	16	3	1	233	325	306	632	74	260	14	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	390	335	84	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	251	354	352	706	101	278	14	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	457	391	92	18	1	4	50	96	13	9	0	235	341	317	658	82	300	21	11	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	494	434	101	17	0	5	41	70	16	3	1	233	325	306	632	74	260	14	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	390	335	84	14	1	6	43	56	9	2	0	251	354	352	706	101	278	14	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	TB	—	518	448	127	14	1	19	51	50	11	3	0	283	371	446	817	163	280	10	10	352	124	+15	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.8
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	TB	—	518	448	128	14	1	18	51	50	11	3	0	286	373	442	815	156	284	10	10	360	124	+15	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.8
YTD	27	MLB RAW	TB	—	518	448	128	14	1	18	51	50	11	3	0	286	373	442	815	156	284	10	10	360	130	+19	+1	+1	+9	+11	4.1
ROS	27	MLB MLE	TB	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		276	10	10	346	120	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
ROS	27	MLB CTX	TB	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		284	10	10	338	120	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
FULL	27	MLB A+C	TB	—	528	457	130	14	1	18	52	51	11	3	0	284	371	438	809	153	284	10	10	360	124	+15	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.8
TOT	27	MLB MLE	TB	—	528	457	129	14	1	19	52	51	11	3	0	282	369	442	811	160	279	10	10	352	124	+15	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TB	100%	520	452	121	16	1	16	52	62	11	3	1	268	357	414	771	146	277	12	10	345	119	+12	+0	-4	+9	+11	3.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	TB	100%	520	451	121	16	1	16	53	64	11	3	0	268	359	415	774	146	276	12	10	343	118	+11	+1	-4	+9	+11	2.9
2029	30	MLB MLE	TB	100%	520	451	118	15	1	15	53	65	11	3	0	262	353	399	753	137	275	12	10	340	116	+10	+1	-5	+9	+11	2.7
2030	31	MLB MLE	TB	100%	504	438	113	14	1	14	51	64	10	2	0	258	349	390	739	132	272	13	10	335	113	+8	+0	-6	+9	+11	2.3
2031	32	MLB MLE	TB	100%	487	425	107	13	1	13	49	64	10	2	0	252	343	379	722	127	268	13	10	328	108	+5	+0	-6	+9	+11	1.9
2032	33	MLB MLE	TB	100%	407	355	87	10	0	11	41	56	8	1	0	245	337	366	703	121	264	14	10	320	103	+1	+0	-6	+7	+9	1.2
2033	34	MLB MLE	TB	96%	332	289	68	7	0	8	33	48	7	1	0	235	328	343	671	107	257	14	10	311	96	-1	+0	-7	+6	+7	0.5
2034	35	MLB MLE	TB	91%	194	169	38	4	0	4	19	29	4	0	0	225	318	320	637	95	251	15	10	300	89	-3	+0	-7	+3	+4	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	TB	100%	520	452	124	17	1	16	52	62	11	3	1	274	363	423	786	148	284	12	10	337	119	+12	+0	-4	+9	+11	3.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	TB	100%	520	451	122	16	1	16	53	64	11	3	0	271	361	417	778	146	283	12	10	335	118	+11	+1	-4	+9	+11	2.9
2029	30	MLB CTX	TB	100%	520	451	122	16	1	16	53	65	11	3	0	271	361	417	778	146	282	12	10	332	116	+10	+1	-5	+9	+11	2.7
2030	31	MLB CTX	TB	100%	504	438	117	15	1	15	51	64	10	2	0	267	357	409	765	142	279	13	10	327	113	+8	+0	-6	+9	+11	2.3
2031	32	MLB CTX	TB	100%	487	425	111	14	1	14	49	64	10	2	0	261	351	398	749	136	275	13	10	320	108	+5	+0	-6	+9	+11	1.9
2032	33	MLB CTX	TB	100%	407	355	90	11	0	11	41	56	8	1	0	254	344	377	722	124	271	14	10	312	103	+1	+0	-6	+7	+9	1.2
2033	34	MLB CTX	TB	96%	317	276	67	7	0	8	32	45	6	1	0	243	334	355	689	112	264	14	10	302	96	-1	+0	-6	+6	+7	0.5
2034	35	MLB CTX	TB	91%	177	154	36	4	0	4	18	27	3	0	0	234	326	338	663	104	257	15	10	291	89	-2	+0	-6	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3852	3343	873	113	6	106	393	504	79	17	1	261	353	394	746	133	278	13	10	323	105	+44	+3	-42	+69	+83	16.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	147	19	1	18	66	85	13	3	0	261	351	394	745	133	277	13	10	323	105	+7	+1	-7	+12	+14	2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5066	4383	1101	152	8	115	512	712	118	34	3	251	345	368	714	117	274	14	10	323	105	+43	+3	-43	+69	+84	16.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	142	20	1	15	66	91	15	4	0	253	347	372	719	119	275	14	10	323	105	+7	+1	-7	+12	+14	2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	11.0	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
/162	664	18	2	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#2Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#3Yunel Escobarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,957 PA	9.0	5,957	90	34	282	350	386	+53	+41	32.4	29.4
/162	664	10	4	+5.9	+4.6	3.6	pk7: 26
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.3	4,880	135	23	259	346	391	+81	+8	28.6	26.0
/162	664	18	3	+11.0	+1.1	3.9	pk7: 23
#4Marco Scutarolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,435 PA	8.2	5,435	76	55	278	342	389	+45	+27	27.4	25.6
/162	664	9	7	+5.5	+3.3	3.4	pk7: 24
#5Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#6Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	6.1	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
/162	664	12	4	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Liam Hicks (OGILVIE)	27	55	40	40	60	265/354/411	146	276	16	3	12%	10%	120	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Omar Narváez 2019 · MLB	27	54	44→50	38→30	58	262/345/378	116	306	11	2	18%	11%	108	+1.9	262/343/418	156	308	20	2	21%	10%	117	+2.6	260/342/411	151	304	20	0	20%	10%	111	+1.3
✕Esteban Quiroz 2019 · AAA	27	51→61	49→55	46→45	55	254/334/403	149	281	16	9	16%	9%	110	+2.1	224/308/405	181	280	21	7	27%	9%	101	+1.4	207/303/370	163	262	19	4	28%	10%	89	+0.3
●Adam Frazier 2019 · MLB	27	55→65	45→50	44→50	52	269/331/405	136	301	11	9	14%	8%	109	+2.0	272/332/409	137	301	12	6	13%	7%	110	+2.1	283/345/410	127	313	9	6	12%	7%	111	+1.7
●J.P. Crawford 2022 · MLB	27	55→58	42→45	41→50	53	263/333/375	112	310	9	6	18%	9%	103	+1.5	252/345/379	127	295	12	4	17%	12%	109	+2.0	249/350/384	135	299	14	5	20%	13%	109	+1.9
●Neil Walker 2014 · MLB	28	53→57	50→55	42→45	53	265/339/425	160	297	17	5	17%	9%	116	+2.5	271/339/454	183	299	22	4	17%	8%	124	+3.1	275/342/462	187	302	24	3	17%	8%	122	+2.7
✕Jake Cronenworth 2022 · MLB	28	53→58	51→50	48→50	54	267/339/445	178	291	17	7	15%	9%	121	+2.9	243/326/400	157	279	15	5	18%	9%	107	+1.8	236/332/377	141	279	13	5	19%	10%	101	+1.3
✕Terrence Long 2003 · MLB	27	53→58	47→50	43→45	51	262/317/408	146	288	14	6	15%	8%	104	+1.6	260/310/393	133	288	12	6	14%	7%	98	+1.2	267/313/387	120	295	10	5	13%	6%	93	+0.6
●Miguel Montero 2009 · MLB	26	47→57	50→55	42→40	51	240/310/398	158	269	18	3	18%	8%	101	+1.4	270/336/442	172	310	18	3	18%	8%	120	+2.8	272/357/433	161	325	17	0	20%	10%	117	+2.1
✕Jason Phillips 2004 · MLB	27	58→61	48→45	41→30	55	286/360/435	148	303	16	3	12%	8%	126	+3.2	243/307/366	123	261	13	2	12%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/339	110	248	11	0	13%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Colin Moran 2020 · MLB	27	54→57	50→55	35→30	47	272/325/427	155	322	17	2	21%	7%	112	+2.2	252/317/414	162	313	20	3	25%	8%	106	+1.8	231/305/386	154	290	20	1	26%	9%	94	+0.4
●Yunel Escobar 2010 · MLB	27	60→67	45	41→45	57	292/363/419	127	313	12	6	11%	9%	124	+3.1	268/341/371	103	292	10	6	11%	9%	105	+1.7	299/356/399	101	333	8	1	12%	7%	115	+2.0
✕Alex Verdugo 2023 · MLB	27	56→58	46→50	42→45	51	276/331/409	133	308	12	4	15%	7%	109	+2.0	250/309/381	131	281	12	4	15%	8%	95	+0.9	239/301/363	124	269	11	4	15%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Joe Panik 2018 · MLB	27	56→64	46→50	51→45	57	275/341/417	142	287	12	6	10%	9%	115	+2.4	257/323/362	105	277	9	6	10%	8%	96	+1.0	249/319/332	84	272	6	5	10%	9%	84	+0.1
●Josh Bard 2005 · MLB	27	49→59	49→50	41→30	51	248/303/395	147	269	17	4	15%	7%	97	+1.1	268/339/413	145	297	14	4	14%	10%	114	+2.3	276/354/403	128	310	10	1	14%	11%	110	+1.1
●Derek Dietrich 2016 · MLB	27	46→56	53→55	42→40	44	237/321/417	180	286	20	3	24%	6%	109	+2.0	260/344/425	165	320	16	3	23%	7%	120	+2.8	267/350/431	164	334	16	1	23%	7%	118	+2.1
✕Aledmys Díaz 2017 · MLB	26	53→58	51→55	43→45	50	267/327/439	172	293	18	7	16%	7%	116	+2.5	254/306/418	164	274	19	7	15%	6%	103	+1.5	255/316/426	170	274	20	3	15%	7%	104	+1.0
●Mike Lamb 2003 · MLB	27	57→61	44→60	42→40	53	280/339/399	118	303	12	3	12%	7%	110	+2.1	260/324/423	163	290	19	5	17%	8%	111	+2.1	275/334/461	186	304	21	2	17%	8%	117	+1.5
✕Willy Aybar 2010 · MLB	27	50→56	51→50	45→40	56	252/327/412	160	268	19	4	15%	10%	109	+2.0	236/314/372	136	274	15	5	19%	10%	95	+1.0	233/301/349	116	271	13	0	19%	8%	84	+0.1
●Jhonny Peralta 2009 · MLB	27	53→63	52→55	43→40	50	268/331/441	173	315	19	4	21%	8%	117	+2.6	264/324/417	153	308	16	2	19%	8%	109	+2.0	279/344/442	163	323	18	2	19%	8%	119	+2.6
✕Tucker Barnhart 2019 · MLB	28	52→55	44→45	40	55	250/326/373	123	291	11	3	18%	10%	99	+1.3	236/319/373	137	289	15	3	22%	10%	97	+1.1	229/314/361	132	289	15	1	24%	10%	86	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps