Jonah Bride3B Round Rock Express
Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION357 act + 238 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 6175vR 110
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .318 / .356
PA238
HR6
K%23
BB%11
BABIP277
ISO130
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +16.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+17REPTotal WAR: +1.40+1.4WAR
0.00.91.90.11.4+$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT40
Whiff%
906.2%
xwOBA
330.288
POWER40
Barrel%
214.5
Avg EV
3087.6
Bat Spd
2168.2
EYE60
Chase%
8824.4%
SPEED45
Sprint
3626.8
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 397 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
166
231
wRC+
65
114
▶▶R
wOBA
270
335
▶▶R
ISO
050
191
▶▶R
BABIP
290
291
K%
25.3%
22.5%
R
BB%
12.7%
7.8%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Arb-3$7M+1.4$10M+$4M
Totals $7M $11M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201923 A+Stockton Ports 466419 911337 2712817 20 217292313604 95293 276 268 63
201923 A+Stockton Ports 466402 11218410 449717 20 279374418792 139342 219 356 131
202125 AA2 teams 405344 7511215 459212 20 218329392722 174249 2311 317 101
202125 AA2 teams 405316 8313212 736912 20 263419430849 168297 1718 384 152
202226 MLB3 teams 352303 781709 36629 10 257353403756 145294 1810 333 113 +5 +0 +1 +1 +10 1.8
202226 MLB3 teams 352296 801907 43559 10 270379405785 135308 1612 354 129 +11 +0 +1 +1 +10 2.4
202327 AAA2 teams 429367 8416111 47838 53 229329368697 139263 1911 310 95
202327 AAA2 teams 429347 9422213 67718 53 271400458859 187302 1716 379 148
202428 AAA2 teams 602513 13524123 711228 21 263361448810 185296 2012 350 126
202428 AAA2 teams 602494 13424122 901118 21 271392457849 186302 1815 375 145
202529 AAA2 teams 300262 581103 33793 11 221315298613 76302 2611 277 70
202529 AAA2 teams 300251 581105 44723 11 231352335687 104301 2415 318 102
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD30 AAATEX 357309 701307 40843 82 227321337658 110283 2411 297 85 -6 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.6
YTD30 AAATEX 357292 791609 57653 82 271395418813 147314 1816 364 137 +15 +1 +0 +1 +10 2.8
ROS30 AAATEX 10% 238208 47906 26552 41 226318356674 130276 2311 307 93 -2 +0 +1 +1 +7 0.8
ROS30 MLBTEX 10% 2421 5101 360 00 238333429762 190278 2512 301 89 -0 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.1
FULL30 AAATEX 381330 751408 43903 82 227322342664 115283 2411 297 86 -6 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.7
TOT30 AAATEX 595517 11722013 661395 123 226320344664 118280 2311 301 88 -8 +1 +1 +2 +17 1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731 MLBTEX 36% 630549 12222115 701476 72 222317348665 126273 2311 303 90 -7 +1 +1 +2 +18 1.5
202832 MLBTEX 51% 376327 721309 42894 41 220316343659 122269 2411 296 85 -6 +0 -1 +1 +11 0.5
202731 MLBTEX 36% 226197 44806 25532 31 223317355672 132275 2311 297 86 -4 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.4
202832 MLBTEX 51% 191166 35604 21452 20 211307319626 108270 2411 291 81 -4 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 1131978 21534023 12025216 63 220315325640 105268 2211 290 80 -25 +0 +2 -5 +32 0.4
/ 162G 650562 12420013 691459 32 221315326641 105270 2211 290 80 -15 -0 +1 -3 +18 0.2
Career 37983292 762136898 39785769 289 231327367694 135280 2310 309 94 -24 +2 +4 +1 +108 9.2
/ 162G 650563 13023117 6814712 52 231327366692 135279 2310 309 94 -4 +0 +1 +0 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201923 A+Stockton Ports 466402 11218410 449717 20 279374418792 139342 219 356 131 +16 +0 +13 3.0
202125 AAMidland RockHounds 334264 701129 57579 20 265412424836 159302 1717 377 147 +18 +0 +9 2.8
202125 INTLMesa Solar Sox 7152 13203 16123 00 250451462912 212270 1723 414 175 +6 +0 +2 0.8
202226 MLBOakland Athletics 187162 33401 19324 10 204303247550 43246 1710 261 58 -9 +0 +1 +1 +5 -0.2
202226 AAALas Vegas Aviators 7861 24602 13124 00 3935265901.116 197468 1517 492 234 +12 +0 +2 1.4
202226 AAMidland RockHounds 8773 23904 11111 00 3154126031.015 288317 1313 429 187 +9 +0 +2 1.1
202327 MLBOakland Athletics 10688 15300 11224 01 170291205496 34221 2110 239 41 -7 -0 +2 +2 +3 -0.1
202327 AAALas Vegas Aviators 323259 7919213 56494 52 305436544980 239330 1517 425 184 +31 +0 +9 4.1
202428 MLBMiami Marlins 272232 6410011 30553 01 276366461827 185306 2011 359 133 +10 -0 -2 -11 +8 0.5
202428 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp 330262 7014111 60565 20 267413454867 187298 1718 387 155 +20 +0 +9 3.1
202529 MLBMinnesota Twins 125112 19200 11391 00 170250188438 18257 319 211 20 -11 +0 +2 +1 +4 -0.5
202529 AAASt. Paul Saints 175139 39905 33332 11 281425453879 173333 1919 395 160 +12 -0 +5 1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 690594 13119012 7114812 12 221316313629 93267 2110 287 78 -17 -1 +3 -7 +20 -0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#2Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA
91,5192019240310353+10+134.04.4
/16266498+4.2+5.51.8pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,142236220311325+4+21.11.1
/162664133+2.4+1.00.6pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jonah Bride (OGILVIE) 30 40 40 45 60 226/320/344 118280 1312 23% 11% 88 +1.4
John Mayberry Jr.
2014 · MLB
30 46→48 51→55 45→50 47 237/295/399 163280 187 23% 7% 94 +1.3 215/284/374 159260 186 24% 8% 83 +0.6 182/261/34516321318224%9%65-0.2
Michael McKenry
2016 · MLB
31 46→47 49→55 43→40 53 230/316/381 151281 168 24% 10% 98 +1.6 203/297/330 127279 126 29% 11% 78 +0.2 175/277/28410924710231%11%55-0.6
Anthony Recker
2014 · MLB
30 42→48 52→55 43→45 47 220/295/386 166285 216 30% 9% 92 +1.2 208/278/363 155281 196 32% 8% 78 +0.2 196/276/34014426018331%9%67-0.2
Curt Casali
2019 · MLB
30 47 45→50 38→30 47 234/298/355 121285 143 23% 7% 83 +0.6 239/320/398 159300 195 26% 10% 105 +2.1 220/318/36214229017028%11%89+0.4
Pedro Severino
2022 · MLB
29 48 48→50 47→45 48 241/306/377 137298 164 24% 8% 93 +1.3 234/292/369 135299 159 26% 7% 85 +0.7 224/277/350126286141126%6%69-0.2
Steve Holm
2009 · MLB
29 48 47→50 43→40 51 238/314/376 138280 145 20% 8% 96 +1.5 216/280/324 108269 94 22% 7% 68 -0.5 195/257/288932487123%6%48-0.7
Brandon Larson
2006 · MLB
30 45→42 50 46→45 44 229/296/383 154293 186 28% 7% 91 +1.1 226/275/382 156289 206 28% 6% 81 +0.4 216/261/36615027121529%5%68-0.3
Dusty Brown
2012 · MLB
30 42 47→45 42→30 44 215/272/352 137271 145 26% 7% 72 -0.2 218/293/379 161275 186 26% 9% 88 +0.9 197/307/36516923418024%13%90+0.3
David Bote
2022 · MLB
29 42→48 49→55 47→45 51 215/300/363 148259 175 24% 10% 88 +0.9 225/293/375 150288 168 27% 7% 87 +0.8 225/292/38015528917827%7%85+0.4
Nick Hundley
2014 · MLB
30 45→46 49→55 40 45 229/288/378 149279 173 25% 7% 85 +0.7 239/287/375 136292 155 23% 6% 84 +0.6 241/291/40916829818125%6%89+0.5
Dixon Machado
2022 · AAA
30 44→54 49→45 46→55 48 225/297/375 150279 177 25% 8% 89 +0.9 237/310/334 97284 98 19% 9% 83 +0.6 231/311/319882768618%9%76+0.1
Gerald Laird
2009 · MLB
29 51→47 45→50 42→50 46 248/303/377 129294 126 20% 6% 91 +1.1 227/295/337 110264 97 17% 7% 78 +0.2 268/338/3691013106314%8%97+0.4
P.J. Higgins
2023 · MLB
30 52→55 46→45 49→40 50 251/325/390 139322 135 25% 9% 104 +2.0 234/289/356 122305 123 26% 7% 80 +0.4 221/271/32810728811026%6%62-0.7
Kevin Plawecki
2021 · MLB
30 50→56 46→45 46→30 50 248/320/385 138292 135 19% 8% 101 +1.8 246/309/350 104292 94 18% 7% 87 +0.8 234/299/315812886020%7%70-0.1
Devin Mesoraco
2018 · MLB
30 41→49 46→60 47→40 51 207/298/337 130248 146 22% 9% 80 +0.4 229/309/396 167260 215 21% 9% 99 +1.7 221/303/39717623724019%9%90+0.5
Elias Díaz
2021 · MLB
30 51→56 43→50 44→45 49 248/304/357 109287 113 18% 7% 85 +0.7 219/278/353 134251 162 19% 7% 75 -0.0 242/293/38013829016022%6%85+0.3
Deibinson Romero
2017 · AAA
30 43→45 48→55 42→40 49 217/284/361 144251 154 21% 8% 79 +0.3 238/297/362 124270 147 17% 7% 85 +0.7 255/314/35610128113214%6%89+0.5
Austin Wynns
2022 · MLB
31 44→51 46→45 48→30 46 222/280/346 124262 156 22% 6% 74 -0.1 240/303/354 114301 125 23% 7% 85 +0.7 240/304/3389830810224%7%78+0.1
Tommy Field
2017 · MLB
30 40→50 47→45 48→45 46 207/275/338 131249 156 24% 7% 70 -0.3 201/253/310 109252 117 24% 5% 53 -1.5 180/226/266872277524%4%27-2.5
Garrett Stubbs
2023 · MLB
30 48 48→45 53→50 55 239/325/383 144296 1611 24% 11% 102 +1.9 225/298/335 110290 1112 25% 8% 79 +0.3 217/287/3079028191125%7%65-0.2