Jonah Bride
1B Round Rock Express| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | AAAMIA | 330 | .267/.413/.454 | 11 | 2 | 101 | — | .235/.343/.384 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLBMIA | 272 | .276/.366/.461 | 11 | 0 | 135 | 0.4 | |
| 2025 | 29 | AAAMIN | 175 | .281/.425/.453 | 5 | 1 | 97 | — | .240/.345/.353 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLBMIN | 125 | .170/.250/.188 | 0 | 0 | 25 | -0.5 | |
| 2026 | 30 | AAATEX | 545 | .279/.412/.410 | 10 | 9 | 91 | — | .241/.336/.337 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 31 | MLBTEX | 24 | .228/.321/.362 | 1 | 0 | 93 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ33% MLB | 32 | MLBTEX | 82 | .221/.313/.346 | 2 | 0 | 87 | -0.2 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 466 | 402 | 112 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 97 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 279 | 374 | 418 | 792 | 139 | 342 | 21 | 9 | 356 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 334 | 264 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 412 | 424 | 836 | 159 | 302 | 17 | 17 | 377 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 71 | 52 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 451 | 462 | 912 | 212 | 270 | 17 | 23 | 414 | 167 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 187 | 162 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 303 | 247 | 550 | 43 | 246 | 17 | 10 | 261 | 63 | -8 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 78 | 61 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 393 | 526 | 590 | 1.116 | 197 | 468 | 15 | 17 | 492 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 87 | 73 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 412 | 603 | 1.015 | 288 | 317 | 13 | 13 | 429 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 106 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 291 | 205 | 496 | 34 | 221 | 21 | 10 | 239 | 47 | -7 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 323 | 259 | 79 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 305 | 436 | 544 | 980 | 239 | 330 | 15 | 17 | 425 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 272 | 232 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 366 | 461 | 827 | 185 | 306 | 20 | 11 | 359 | 135 | +11 | -0 | -2 | -11 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 330 | 262 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 60 | 56 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 267 | 413 | 454 | 867 | 187 | 298 | 17 | 18 | 387 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 125 | 112 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 250 | 188 | 438 | 18 | 257 | 31 | 9 | 211 | 25 | -11 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 175 | 139 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 281 | 425 | 453 | 879 | 173 | 333 | 19 | 19 | 395 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 545 | 437 | 122 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 94 | 82 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 279 | 412 | 410 | 822 | 130 | 316 | 15 | 17 | 370 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 690 | 594 | 131 | 19 | 0 | 12 | 71 | 148 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 316 | 313 | 629 | 93 | 267 | 21 | 10 | 287 | 81 | -16 | -1 | +3 | -7 | +15 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 466 | 417 | 91 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 129 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 296 | 321 | 617 | 103 | 284 | 28 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 334 | 283 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 71 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 223 | 333 | 367 | 701 | 145 | 252 | 21 | 11 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 187 | 162 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 303 | 247 | 550 | 43 | 246 | 17 | 10 | 262 | 63 | -8 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 78 | 65 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 449 | 462 | 910 | 123 | 411 | 18 | 12 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 87 | 76 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 353 | 539 | 892 | 263 | 276 | 15 | 9 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 106 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 291 | 205 | 496 | 34 | 221 | 21 | 10 | 238 | 47 | -7 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 323 | 279 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 58 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 258 | 351 | 434 | 785 | 176 | 286 | 18 | 11 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 272 | 233 | 67 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 288 | 374 | 489 | 863 | 202 | 306 | 20 | 11 | 368 | 135 | +11 | -0 | -2 | -11 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 330 | 281 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 67 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 343 | 384 | 727 | 149 | 269 | 20 | 12 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 125 | 113 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 242 | 186 | 428 | 18 | 257 | 31 | 8 | 205 | 25 | -11 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 175 | 150 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 345 | 353 | 698 | 113 | 304 | 23 | 13 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 545 | 469 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 62 | 99 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 241 | 336 | 337 | 673 | 96 | 277 | 18 | 11 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 466 | 417 | 91 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 129 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 296 | 321 | 617 | 103 | 293 | 28 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 466 | 402 | 112 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 97 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 279 | 374 | 418 | 792 | 139 | 342 | 21 | 9 | 356 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 343 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 334 | 364 | 699 | 143 | 260 | 21 | 11 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 405 | 316 | 83 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 73 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 419 | 430 | 849 | 168 | 297 | 17 | 18 | 384 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 352 | 303 | 77 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 351 | 380 | 730 | 125 | 293 | 17 | 10 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 352 | 296 | 80 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 379 | 405 | 785 | 135 | 308 | 16 | 12 | 354 | 104 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 367 | 87 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 80 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 237 | 336 | 379 | 715 | 142 | 273 | 19 | 11 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 429 | 347 | 94 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 67 | 71 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 271 | 400 | 458 | 859 | 187 | 302 | 17 | 16 | 379 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 602 | 514 | 132 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 70 | 122 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 355 | 424 | 779 | 167 | 293 | 20 | 12 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 602 | 494 | 134 | 24 | 1 | 22 | 90 | 111 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 271 | 392 | 457 | 849 | 186 | 302 | 18 | 15 | 375 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 300 | 263 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 79 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 302 | 281 | 583 | 72 | 284 | 26 | 11 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 300 | 251 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 352 | 335 | 687 | 104 | 301 | 24 | 15 | 318 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 545 | 469 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 62 | 99 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 241 | 336 | 337 | 673 | 96 | 285 | 18 | 11 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 545 | 437 | 122 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 94 | 82 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 279 | 412 | 410 | 822 | 130 | 316 | 15 | 17 | 370 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 466 | 417 | 91 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 129 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 296 | 321 | 617 | 103 | 284 | 28 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 344 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 334 | 363 | 698 | 142 | 252 | 21 | 11 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 352 | 304 | 77 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 253 | 351 | 378 | 729 | 125 | 290 | 17 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 371 | 87 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 80 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 235 | 336 | 375 | 711 | 140 | 270 | 19 | 11 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 602 | 519 | 132 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 70 | 122 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 355 | 420 | 775 | 166 | 286 | 20 | 12 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 300 | 262 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 79 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 302 | 282 | 584 | 73 | 284 | 26 | 11 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 545 | 473 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 62 | 99 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 239 | 336 | 334 | 670 | 95 | 277 | 18 | 11 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 602 | 519 | 132 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 70 | 122 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 355 | 420 | 775 | 166 | 286 | 20 | 12 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 300 | 262 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 79 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 302 | 282 | 584 | 73 | 284 | 26 | 11 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 545 | 473 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 62 | 99 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 239 | 336 | 334 | 670 | 95 | 277 | 18 | 11 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB MLE | TEX | 10% | 380 | 332 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 77 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 320 | 356 | 676 | 129 | 266 | 20 | 11 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +8 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB CTX | TEX | 10% | 24 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 321 | 362 | 682 | 134 | 266 | 21 | 12 | 309 | 93 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | TEX | 33% | 250 | 219 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 312 | 340 | 652 | 120 | 261 | 21 | 11 | 297 | 87 | -4 | -0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | TEX | 33% | 82 | 72 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 313 | 346 | 659 | 124 | 261 | 21 | 11 | 299 | 87 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 772 | 666 | 147 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 80 | 165 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 316 | 317 | 633 | 96 | 267 | 21 | 10 | 289 | 93 | -17 | -1 | +2 | -8 | +17 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 561 | 124 | 19 | 0 | 12 | 67 | 139 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 316 | 319 | 635 | 98 | 267 | 21 | 10 | 289 | 93 | -14 | -1 | +1 | -7 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3587 | 3103 | 728 | 133 | 11 | 78 | 375 | 755 | 66 | 26 | 14 | 235 | 330 | 360 | 690 | 125 | 282 | 21 | 10 | 305 | 93 | -22 | -1 | +0 | -16 | +26 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 562 | 132 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 68 | 137 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 235 | 330 | 359 | 690 | 125 | 282 | 21 | 10 | 305 | 93 | -12 | -0 | +0 | -9 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAARound Rock Express · 545 PAwOBA .367 → .303 (−64)K% 15.0% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 11.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×0.962 | 21.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×0.962 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×0.962 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .367 → .303; ISO .130 → .103; BABIP .316 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 175 PAwOBA .388 → .312 (−76)K% 18.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.86% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.86% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 12.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.58% | ÷0.944 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×0.972 | 22.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.49% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.972 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.72% | ÷1.253 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .388 → .312; ISO .173 → .120; BABIP .333 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 330 PAwOBA .382 → .318 (−63)K% 17.0% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.97% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 12.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×0.982 | 19.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×0.982 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.985 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×0.982 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.34% | ÷0.925 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.97% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .382 → .318; ISO .187 → .156; BABIP .298 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 323 PAwOBA .419 → .341 (−78)K% 15.2% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.17% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.34% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 11.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×0.992 | 20.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.05% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.992 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.133 | ×0.970 | ×1.014 | ×0.992 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.32% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .419 → .341; ISO .239 → .185; BABIP .330 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMidland RockHounds · 87 PAwOBA .427 → .382 (−46)K% 12.6% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.64% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.64% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 8.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷1.067 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 14.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.52% | ÷1.007 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 12.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.793 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 6.37% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 113, 2B 101, 3B 86, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .427 → .382; ISO .288 → .280; BABIP .317 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 78 PAwOBA .480 → .402 (−78)K% 15.4% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 11.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 4.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.65% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 30.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.24% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 9.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .480 → .402; ISO .197 → .145; BABIP .468 → .411. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAMidland RockHounds · 334 PAwOBA .373 → .306 (−66)K% 17.1% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.07% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 11.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.69% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷1.096 | ×0.940 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 19.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.31% | ÷1.018 | ×0.870 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 4.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.127 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.838 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 125, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .373 → .306; ISO .159 → .148; BABIP .302 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Stockton Ports · 466 PAwOBA .349 → .269 (−81)K% 20.8% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.82% | ÷1.007 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.44% | ÷1.075 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.65% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 2.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.23% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.90% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷0.958 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.114 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 2.68% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 92, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .349 → .269; ISO .139 → .105; BABIP .342 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .