Jake Cronenworth

Jake Cronenworth2B San Diego Padres

Age 32 L/R 5'11" / 187 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION162 act + 366 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 74102vR 113

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .333 / .382

PA366

HR8

SB5

K%20

BB%10

BABIP283

ISO145

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.0%

xwOBA

650.326

POWER45

Barrel%

417.0

Avg EV

4188.4

Bat Spd

5772.1

EYE60

Chase%

9022.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1244 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

335

909

—

wRC+

114

▶▶R

wOBA

289

335

▶R

ISO

078

160

▶▶R

BABIP

274

283

▶R

18.8%

19.7%

◀L

BB%

10.5%

11.7%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$5M	+0.5	$2M	-$2M
2027	Ext	$11M	+1.4	$10M	+$0.1M
2028	Ext	$11M	+0.6	$2M	-$7M
2029	Ext	$11M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	$11M	—	—	—
Totals		$50M		$13M	-$27M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$27M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	2 teams	—	506	446	113	17	7	3	46	114	9	14	8	253	335	343	678	90	331	23	9	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	2 teams	—	506	425	120	18	7	4	67	83	9	14	8	282	391	386	777	104	340	16	13	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	2 teams	—	561	504	116	21	4	3	50	120	4	13	6	230	305	306	610	75	295	21	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	2 teams	—	561	486	133	22	5	3	66	88	4	13	6	274	364	358	722	84	327	16	12	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	2 teams	—	496	459	115	18	4	4	28	86	3	22	3	251	298	333	631	83	296	17	6	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	2 teams	—	496	443	112	21	4	4	44	74	3	22	3	253	324	345	670	93	291	15	9	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	406	359	101	21	3	7	34	71	10	12	5	281	360	415	775	134	331	17	8	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	406	344	115	26	4	10	49	62	10	12	5	334	432	520	952	186	382	15	12	419	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	192	172	50	16	3	4	18	30	1	3	1	291	361	488	850	198	331	16	9	372	143	+9	+0	+5	+1	+5	2.1
2020	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	192	172	49	15	3	4	18	30	1	3	1	285	356	477	833	192	324	16	9	365	138	+8	+0	+5	+1	+5	2.0
2021	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	643	572	156	35	7	23	55	90	10	4	3	273	347	479	826	206	288	14	9	350	126	+19	-0	+1	+2	+18	4.1
2021	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	643	567	151	33	7	21	55	90	10	4	3	266	339	460	799	194	283	14	9	349	125	+18	-0	+1	+2	+18	4.1
2022	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	684	590	144	32	4	18	70	131	16	3	0	244	340	403	744	159	281	19	10	326	108	+6	+1	+2	+2	+19	3.1
2022	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	684	587	140	30	4	17	70	131	16	3	0	239	334	390	724	152	275	19	10	324	106	+5	+1	+2	+2	+19	3.0
2023	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	522	459	108	25	7	11	46	97	11	6	1	235	320	392	712	157	272	19	9	310	96	-3	+1	-4	-9	+15	-0.1
2023	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	522	458	105	24	7	10	46	97	11	6	1	229	314	378	692	148	267	19	9	308	94	-3	+1	-4	-9	+15	-0.1
2024	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	656	580	143	31	3	18	61	118	11	5	2	247	330	403	733	157	280	18	9	325	107	+5	+0	-3	-12	+19	0.9
2024	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	656	577	139	29	3	17	61	118	11	5	2	241	324	390	714	149	274	18	9	319	103	+2	+0	-3	-12	+19	0.6
2025	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	515	420	106	21	1	12	69	107	15	3	3	252	377	393	770	140	305	21	13	340	118	+11	-1	+1	+2	+15	2.8
2025	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	515	419	103	20	1	11	69	107	15	3	3	246	371	377	748	131	299	21	13	337	116	+9	-1	+1	+2	+15	2.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	MLB	SD	—	162	143	28	3	0	3	15	36	3	3	0	196	286	280	565	84	240	22	9	261	58	-8	+1	+1	+1	+5	-0.1
YTD	32	MLB	SD	—	162	143	28	3	0	3	15	36	3	3	0	196	286	280	565	84	240	22	9	263	60	-7	+1	+1	+1	+5	-0.0
ROS	32	MLB	SD	100%	366	317	75	16	3	8	38	74	8	5	1	237	333	382	715	145	279	20	10	322	105	+2	+1	-1	+1	+10	1.3
ROS	32	MLB	SD	100%	366	317	73	15	3	8	38	74	8	5	1	230	328	372	700	142	275	20	10	303	90	-4	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.7
FULL	32	MLB	SD	—	528	460	101	18	3	11	53	110	11	8	1	220	315	343	658	124	264	21	10	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.6
TOT	32	MLB	SD	—	528	460	103	19	3	11	53	110	11	8	1	224	319	350	669	126	270	21	10	303	90	-6	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	SD	100%	566	490	113	24	4	12	59	117	12	5	1	231	328	369	697	139	276	21	10	316	100	+0	+1	-6	+2	+16	1.3
2028	34	MLB	SD	100%	478	415	93	19	3	10	50	102	10	3	0	224	322	357	679	133	269	21	10	307	93	-4	+1	-6	+2	+14	0.6
2029	35	MLB	SD	100%	404	351	75	14	3	8	42	89	8	2	0	214	312	339	651	125	261	22	10	295	84	-7	+0	-7	+1	+11	-0.1
2030	36	MLB	SD	100%	336	292	60	11	2	6	34	77	7	1	0	205	303	318	622	113	253	23	10	284	75	-9	+0	-7	+1	+10	-0.6
2027	33	MLB	SD	100%	566	490	112	23	4	12	59	117	12	5	1	229	326	365	692	137	273	21	10	297	86	-9	+1	-6	+2	+16	0.4
2028	34	MLB	SD	100%	478	415	91	18	3	10	50	102	10	3	0	219	318	349	667	130	266	21	10	288	78	-12	+1	-6	+2	+14	-0.2
2029	35	MLB	SD	100%	404	351	75	14	3	8	42	89	8	2	0	214	312	339	651	125	257	22	10	277	70	-14	+0	-7	+1	+11	-0.7
2030	36	MLB	SD	100%	336	292	59	11	2	6	34	77	7	1	0	202	300	315	615	113	250	23	10	266	62	-15	+0	-7	+1	+10	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5362	4645	1097	232	40	124	542	1032	109	40	12	236	329	383	713	147	276	19	10	313	98	-14	+3	-25	-6	+152	11.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	133	28	5	15	66	125	13	5	1	236	330	384	713	147	276	19	10	313	98	-2	+1	-3	-1	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	7331	6426	1568	321	58	147	700	1423	135	101	34	244	331	381	712	137	290	19	10	315	99	-7	+7	-25	+1	+208	18.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	138	28	5	13	62	126	12	9	3	242	330	377	707	135	287	19	10	315	99	-1	+1	-2	+0	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	126	111	19	3	1	1	13	26	2	2	1	171	270	243	513	72	214	21	10	244	45	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2016	22	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	380	314	101	15	6	3	54	57	7	12	7	322	432	436	868	115	381	15	14	389	156	+24	-0	—	—	+11	3.5
2017	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	180	158	45	6	0	1	19	19	1	1	1	285	363	342	705	57	317	11	11	323	105	+1	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
2017	23	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	381	328	88	16	5	2	47	69	3	12	5	268	364	366	730	98	333	18	12	332	112	+5	+0	—	—	+11	1.7
2018	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	26	25	6	3	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	240	269	360	629	120	300	19	4	279	72	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2018	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	470	418	106	18	4	4	43	69	3	21	3	254	328	344	672	91	291	15	9	303	90	-5	+3	—	—	+13	1.1
2019	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	406	344	115	26	4	10	49	62	10	12	5	334	432	520	952	186	382	15	12	419	179	+36	+0	—	—	+12	4.9
2020	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	192	172	49	15	3	4	18	30	1	3	1	285	356	477	833	192	324	16	9	365	138	+8	+0	+5	+1	+5	2.0
2021	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	643	567	151	33	7	21	55	90	10	4	3	266	339	460	799	194	283	14	9	349	125	+18	-0	+1	+2	+18	4.1
2022	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	684	587	140	30	4	17	70	131	16	3	0	239	334	390	724	152	275	19	10	324	106	+5	+1	+2	+2	+19	3.0
2023	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	522	458	105	24	7	10	46	97	11	6	1	229	314	378	692	148	267	19	9	308	94	-3	+1	-4	-9	+15	-0.1
2024	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	656	577	139	29	3	17	61	118	11	5	2	241	324	390	714	149	274	18	9	319	103	+2	+0	-3	-12	+19	0.6
2025	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	515	419	103	20	1	11	69	107	15	3	3	246	371	377	748	131	299	21	13	337	116	+9	-1	+1	+2	+15	2.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3212	2780	687	151	25	80	319	573	64	24	10	247	337	406	743	159	282	18	10	330	111	+39	+1	+2	-14	+91	12.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jed Lowrielast yr '22 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,188 PA	13	5,188	121	8	257	330	407	+31	+28	25.3	24.5
	/162	664	15	1	257	330	407	+4.0	+3.5	3.2	pk7: 24
#2Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#3Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,686	132	44	237	327	383	+20	-1	18.7	17.6
	/162	664	15	5	237	327	383	+2.4	-0.1	2.2	pk7: 16
#4Aaron Hickslast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA	12	3,651	109	71	231	330	383	+7	-9	11.8	12.4
	/162	664	20	13	231	330	383	+1.3	-1.6	2.1	pk7: 13
#5Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#6Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Cronenworth (OGILVIE)	32	50	45	55	60	224/319/350	126	270	11	8	21%	10%	90	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Sogard 2020 · MLB	34	51→57	47→45	51→55	55	253/327/390	137	282	14	10	16%	10%	105	+2.1	242/301/356	114	279	11	9	17%	8%	85	+0.7	230/283/297	67	273	4	6	16%	6%	57	-0.3
✕Ehire Adrianza 2022 · MLB	32	49	46→50	47→50	53	240/321/379	139	286	13	4	20%	10%	99	+1.7	230/306/351	121	284	11	8	22%	9%	86	+0.8	213/297/285	72	274	7	7	23%	9%	63	-0.2
✕Jack Hannahan 2012 · MLB	32	46→56	46→45	47→45	50	226/301/358	132	281	13	5	24%	9%	85	+0.7	232/305/339	107	293	9	4	22%	9%	82	+0.5	231/311/319	88	291	6	0	21%	10%	77	+0.0
✕Austin Barnes 2022 · MLB	32	45→55	48→50	50	51	228/313/367	139	281	15	8	24%	10%	94	+1.3	225/310/352	127	268	15	8	21%	10%	89	+0.9	218/305/316	98	261	12	7	20%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Eddie Taubensee 2001 · MLB	32	52	46→45	47→30	51	257/316/383	126	286	14	4	16%	8%	98	+1.6	250/314/385	135	282	15	6	17%	8%	98	+1.6	248/312/359	111	274	14	0	15%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Stephen Drew 2015 · MLB	32	42→52	49→55	50→45	52	212/289/369	157	261	15	5	24%	10%	84	+0.6	218/290/389	171	242	20	3	19%	9%	89	+1.0	216/289/390	174	231	21	0	17%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Daniel Descalso 2018 · MLB	31	46→55	47→50	52→45	56	228/320/370	142	273	14	7	21%	11%	97	+1.5	220/322/371	151	285	15	5	26%	13%	98	+1.6	204/318/354	150	268	15	2	27%	14%	89	+0.5
✕Ryan Flaherty 2018 · MLB	32	47→45	45→55	49→45	52	232/313/352	120	290	13	5	24%	10%	89	+1.0	228/295/358	130	298	14	7	27%	8%	83	+0.6	219/282/353	134	289	16	5	29%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Chris Coghlan 2017 · MLB	32	49→59	48→50	51→55	55	240/326/399	159	286	14	10	21%	11%	106	+2.2	216/297/345	129	263	12	6	22%	9%	81	+0.4	188/268/288	100	230	9	2	22%	8%	51	-0.5
✕Jose Lobatón 2017 · MLB	32	46	45→50	47→30	51	228/302/349	121	276	13	4	22%	9%	84	+0.6	215/285/353	138	268	16	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	189/255/319	130	245	15	1	29%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Nick Ahmed 2022 · MLB	32	48→51	45→55	51→55	49	234/295/368	134	281	11	9	21%	8%	85	+0.7	225/276/341	116	284	10	10	23%	6%	70	-0.3	218/261/296	78	281	6	10	24%	5%	50	-0.6
✕Jace Peterson 2022 · MLB	32	49→58	50	54→55	55	244/331/405	161	298	18	16	24%	11%	111	+2.5	227/313/357	130	291	13	18	25%	11%	91	+1.1	219/308/336	117	282	11	21	25%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Russ Johnson 2005 · MLB	32	48→47	47→50	50→45	54	238/319/374	135	278	14	14	19%	10%	98	+1.6	240/307/383	143	268	15	7	16%	9%	95	+1.4	234/303/369	135	255	14	5	14%	9%	87	+0.5
✕Ramón Vázquez 2009 · MLB	32	51→59	45	46→50	54	247/322/378	131	298	11	4	21%	10%	99	+1.7	237/312/328	91	296	6	4	20%	9%	82	+0.5	229/303/283	55	290	2	2	20%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Mitch Maier 2013 · MLB	31	49→56	44→50	52→50	52	237/315/359	121	301	11	9	24%	10%	92	+1.2	233/301/356	123	318	13	9	28%	9%	85	+0.7	275/351/375	100	348	10	11	22%	11%	105	+0.5
✕Gordon Beckham 2019 · MLB	32	49→56	45→50	47→45	49	242/301/370	128	276	13	8	18%	7%	89	+0.9	237/294/384	147	294	15	10	24%	6%	89	+1.0	224/279/392	167	293	16	8	28%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Mike Fontenot 2012 · MLB	32	51→59	44→50	47→45	51	246/312/376	130	289	10	8	18%	8%	95	+1.4	237/293/334	97	295	6	7	21%	7%	76	+0.0	234/286/307	74	297	3	5	21%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Jose Munoz 2012 · AAA	33	48→49	43→45	48→50	55	230/308/345	115	272	9	9	19%	10%	85	+0.7	209/283/308	99	275	9	8	26%	9%	66	-0.6	192/274/275	83	255	8	5	26%	9%	51	-0.7
✕Keith Osik 2002 · MLB	33	50	46→40	52→50	56	244/331/375	131	267	14	9	15%	9%	103	+1.9	225/302/328	103	266	10	5	18%	9%	79	+0.3	220/303/299	78	265	6	0	18%	10%	70	-0.1
✕Rob Brantly 2021 · AAA	32	48→57	45→50	48→30	47	236/293/357	122	267	12	5	17%	6%	82	+0.5	238/305/344	106	282	10	5	19%	5%	85	+0.7	234/310/322	88	281	7	2	18%	5%	79	+0.1