Anthony Crespo
P
FCL Mets
Age 22
RHP
6'0" / 197 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.6 · 2028
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%23.0%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 12 | 12 | 50 | 204 | 53 | 22 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 17.7% | 13.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 3.24 | 4.12 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 12 | 12 | 50 | 204 | 53 | 22 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 26.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 1.0% | 3.24 | 2.82 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Mets | 6 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 17% | 1.6 | 22.9% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.72 | 5.56 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Mets | 6 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 17% | 1.6 | 22.9% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.72 | 6.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 7 | 35 | 148 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 7 | 36 | 153 | 36 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 7 | 37 | 157 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.3% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 6 | 38 | 159 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 24.6% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 6 | 38 | 159 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 24.8% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 6 | 37 | 157 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.8% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 37 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYM | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.3% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.12 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.6% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.8% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.8% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 30 | 174 | 735 | 181 | 64 | 21 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.6% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 3.72 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 74 | 24 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.6% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 3.72 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 21 | 13 | 63 | 270 | 50 | 38 | 5 | 62% | 3.0 | 18.5% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 3.14 | 4.31 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 41 | 200 | 857 | 159 | 119 | 16 | 62% | 3.0 | 18.5% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 3.14 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Crespo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.13 | 24.3% | 15.5% | 111 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 87 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 87 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 86 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 84 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 82 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 80 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 80 |
| Chris Campos R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 79 |
| Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 79 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| John Matthews R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 79 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 78 |
| Rico Garcia R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 78 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 78 |
| Yon Castro R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.21 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 1.4% | .297 | 4.53 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 167 | +1.32 | 3.21 | 274 | 78 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 78 |
| Evan McKendry R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | .256 | 5.40 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 324 | +1.16 | 4.14 | 474 | 77 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .319 | 4.99 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 83 | +1.14 | 3.85 | 156 | 77 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 77 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 37 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 1.13 | 4.17 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |