Dasan Hill

P Vancouver Canadians

Age 21 LHP 6'5" / 165 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.2 · 2031

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP49ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	MIX2 levels	19	19	62	3.19	2.78	31.1%	15.0%	—	K 22.7% · BB 17.5% · FIP 4.12
2026	20	A+TOR	21	21	61	5.28	2.48	34.1%	15.3%	—	K 26.3% · BB 17.6% · FIP 3.59
2027PROJ	21	MLBTOR	16	16	90	4.78	4.78	27.1%	17.4%	0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBTOR	12	12	64	4.53	4.40	27.5%	14.8%	0.4
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBTOR	23	23	124	4.30	4.15	27.9%	13.1%	1.1

Next 3 projected WAR 1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$7M2032Arb-2$11M2033Arb-3$16M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff59Control47Command44FB velo59

Career WAR1 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 26, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 75%

CompsDalton Rogers (age 22) · DJ Herz (age 21) · Alex Clemmey (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%27.1%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%9.7%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$34M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5560

CTRL4045

CMD3045

K†6565

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+1.9	$11M	+$7M
2032	Arb-2	$11M	+2.0	$11M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$16M	+1.9	$10M	+$0.9M
Totals		$37M		$51M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	62	267	83	40	2	100%	3.3	22.7%	17.5%	5.1%	1.3%	3.19	4.12	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	62	267	83	40	2	100%	3.3	22.7%	17.5%	5.1%	1.3%	3.19	4.12	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	19	62	267	83	40	2	100%	3.3	31.1%	15.0%	16.1%	0.7%	3.19	2.78	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	21	21	61	287	98	44	2	100%	2.9	26.3%	17.6%	8.7%	0.9%	5.28	3.59	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	21	21	61	287	98	44	2	100%	2.9	26.3%	17.6%	8.7%	0.9%	5.28	3.59	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	21	21	61	287	98	44	2	100%	2.9	34.1%	15.3%	18.8%	0.7%	5.28	2.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TOR	16	16	90	380	103	66	10	100%	5.6	27.1%	17.4%	9.7%	2.5%	4.78	4.78	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	24	24	130	551	152	81	14	100%	5.4	27.5%	14.8%	12.8%	2.5%	4.53	4.40	+0.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	TOR	31	31	169	715	199	93	18	100%	5.5	27.9%	13.1%	14.8%	2.5%	4.30	4.15	+1.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	TOR	31	31	175	739	208	88	18	100%	5.6	28.2%	11.9%	16.2%	2.5%	4.11	3.98	+1.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	TOR	30	30	177	748	213	84	19	100%	5.9	28.4%	11.2%	17.2%	2.5%	3.97	3.87	+2.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	TOR	30	30	177	748	214	84	19	100%	5.9	28.6%	11.2%	17.4%	2.5%	3.90	3.85	+2.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	TOR	29	29	174	737	211	83	19	100%	6.0	28.6%	11.3%	17.3%	2.5%	3.89	3.89	+2.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	TOR	28	28	169	715	204	82	19	100%	6.0	28.5%	11.4%	17.1%	2.6%	3.94	3.97	+1.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	TOR	27	27	162	683	193	80	19	100%	6.0	28.2%	11.7%	16.6%	2.8%	4.04	4.10	+1.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	TOR	25	25	152	642	179	77	19	100%	6.1	27.9%	12.0%	15.9%	3.0%	4.18	4.28	+1.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	TOR	24	24	142	598	165	74	19	100%	5.9	27.5%	12.3%	15.2%	3.2%	4.36	4.48	+0.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	TOR	22	22	131	554	150	70	19	100%	6.0	27.1%	12.7%	14.3%	3.5%	4.57	4.71	+0.3
2039	33	MLB MLE	TOR	20	20	120	508	135	67	19	100%	6.0	26.6%	13.2%	13.4%	3.7%	4.80	4.96	-0.1
2040	34	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	110	462	120	63	19	100%	6.1	26.0%	13.7%	12.3%	4.0%	5.06	5.23	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	12	12	64	270	74	40	7	100%	5.3	27.5%	14.8%	12.8%	2.5%	4.53	4.40	+0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	TOR	23	23	124	524	146	68	13	100%	5.4	27.9%	13.1%	14.8%	2.5%	4.30	4.15	+1.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TOR	26	26	145	612	172	73	15	100%	5.6	28.2%	11.9%	16.2%	2.5%	4.11	3.98	+1.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	TOR	27	27	157	663	188	75	17	100%	5.8	28.4%	11.2%	17.2%	2.5%	3.97	3.87	+1.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	TOR	27	27	162	684	196	77	17	100%	6.0	28.6%	11.2%	17.4%	2.5%	3.90	3.85	+2.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	TOR	27	27	162	684	196	77	17	100%	6.0	28.6%	11.3%	17.3%	2.5%	3.89	3.89	+1.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	TOR	26	26	158	667	190	76	18	100%	6.1	28.5%	11.4%	17.1%	2.6%	3.94	3.97	+1.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	TOR	26	26	154	650	184	76	18	100%	5.9	28.2%	11.7%	16.6%	2.8%	4.04	4.10	+1.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	TOR	24	24	144	608	170	73	18	100%	6.0	27.9%	12.0%	15.9%	3.0%	4.18	4.28	+1.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	TOR	22	22	135	570	157	70	18	100%	6.1	27.5%	12.3%	15.2%	3.2%	4.36	4.48	+0.7
2038	32	MLB CTX	TOR	21	21	125	528	143	67	18	100%	6.0	27.1%	12.7%	14.3%	3.5%	4.57	4.71	+0.3
2039	33	MLB CTX	TOR	19	19	114	481	128	63	18	100%	6.0	26.6%	13.2%	13.4%	3.7%	4.80	4.96	-0.1
2040	34	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	99	418	109	57	17	100%	6.2	26.0%	13.7%	12.3%	4.0%	5.06	5.23	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		297	297	1742	7357	2051	892	211	100%	5.9	27.9%	12.1%	15.8%	2.9%	4.22	3.86	+21.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	235	102	24	100%	5.9	27.9%	12.1%	15.8%	2.9%	4.22	3.86	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		40	40	123	554	136	97	6	100%	3.1	24.5%	17.6%	7.0%	1.1%	4.23	3.85	+15.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	65	200	898	221	158	10	100%	3.1	24.5%	17.6%	7.0%	1.1%	4.23	3.85	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dasan Hill (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	27.1%	17.4%	2.5%	—	4.16	27.9%	14.8%	475	-0.62	—	—	—
Dalton Rogers L 2023 · 4.31 FIP	22	SP	4.31	25.3%	16.7%	2.2%	.327	4.58	19.6%	4.1%	268	+0.27	3.47	364	81
DJ Herz L 2022 · 4.57 FIP	21	SP	4.57	26.4%	18.9%	2.4%	.246	3.70	26.2%	12.9%	222	-0.87	3.54	423	80
Alex Clemmey L 2024 · 4.22 FIP	19	SP	4.22	23.3%	19.0%	1.2%	.313	5.26	20.2%	4.5%	245	+1.04	4.22	337	80
Steve Hajjar L 2022 · 3.67 FIP	21	SP	3.67	30.2%	14.9%	2.2%	.282	6.17	16.4%	-7.8%	97	+2.50	3.67	141	78
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	75
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	75
Jacob Bresnahan L 2024 · 4.95 FIP	19	SP	4.95	20.2%	14.1%	3.2%	.292	3.92	23.2%	11.1%	208	-1.03	3.03	277	74
Brent Killam L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP	4.29	29.1%	14.5%	3.3%	.284	6.64	18.4%	9.6%	80	+2.35	4.29	121	74
DL Hall L 2019 · 3.72 FIP	20	SP	3.72	25.8%	17.9%	1.0%	.289	3.68	32.5%	18.6%	122	-0.04	3.49	548	73
Ronan Kopp L 2023 · 4.66 FIP	21	SP-	4.66	27.6%	19.2%	2.6%	.287	4.18	25.3%	7.3%	154	-0.48	2.93	284	73
John Beller L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	19.7%	14.1%	2.3%	.326	4.35	22.2%	7.1%	90	-0.13	4.16	170	72
Doug Nikhazy L 2022 · 4.99 FIP	22	SP	4.99	21.8%	19.9%	2.2%	.270	4.75	20.9%	8.5%	312	-0.24	4.12	463	72
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	72
Samy Natera Jr. L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	22.9%	13.3%	4.2%	.294	3.26	30.7%	17.2%	124	-1.88	1.94	208	72
Miguel Flores L 2024 · 4.30 FIP	19	SP	4.30	21.2%	16.5%	1.6%	.294	4.90	17.4%	-0.3%	127	+0.60	4.30	173	71
Maddux Bruns L 2023 · 4.67 FIP	21	SP	4.67	22.3%	18.0%	2.1%	.261	4.55	18.6%	-1.9%	93	-0.12	3.50	235	71
Andrew Sears L 2024 · 4.25 FIP	21	SP	4.25	19.6%	15.4%	1.6%	.248	4.06	19.9%	11.0%	177	-0.19	3.71	266	71
Brent Headrick L 2021 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	22.9%	14.0%	2.6%	.383	4.55	24.0%	17.0%	227	+0.19	2.36	414	70
Larson Kindreich L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	24.3%	18.6%	1.6%	.275	4.96	22.3%	6.1%	149	+0.69	4.16	214	70
Rylan Kaufman L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	22	SP	4.60	19.3%	12.1%	2.9%	.305	4.75	18.9%	4.5%	131	+0.15	4.01	212	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	10.4	149	27.8%	12.4%	1.10	4.25
Bob Turley ('51-'63, 17 WAR*)	8.6	156	27.0%*	13.0%*	0.97*	4.22*
Bill Hallahan ('25-'38, 18 WAR*)	8.7	158	26.9%*	12.0%*	0.78*	4.17*
Sam Jones ('51-'64, 20 WAR*)	8.2	183	29.1%*	11.5%*	0.96*	3.94*
Rich Harden ('11)	4.6	103	24.2%	10.7%	1.02	3.76
Hideo Nomo ('08)	9.9	180	22.7%	10.7%	1.14	4.24
Ubaldo Jiménez ('17)	9.3	170	21.3%	10.5%	0.90	4.34