Maddux Bruns
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 24
LHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131140vR 149
ERA5.80
FIP5.80
K%18.0%
BB%19.3%
K-BB%-1.3%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 4 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 1.2 | 16.7% | 23.3% | -6.7% | 6.7% | 16.20 | 8.31 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 4 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 1.2 | 16.7% | 23.3% | -6.7% | 6.7% | 16.20 | 10.50 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 21 | 21 | 44 | 216 | 67 | 45 | 1 | 100% | 2.1 | 23.0% | 24.6% | -1.6% | 0.4% | 5.68 | 4.50 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 21 | 21 | 44 | 216 | 67 | 45 | 1 | 100% | 2.1 | 31.0% | 20.8% | 10.2% | 0.5% | 5.68 | 3.42 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 97 | 430 | 126 | 67 | 7 | 100% | 3.7 | 22.3% | 18.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.99 | 4.73 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 97 | 430 | 126 | 67 | 7 | 100% | 3.7 | 29.3% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 1.6% | 3.99 | 3.51 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 10 | 10 | 28 | 128 | 37 | 20 | 0 | 100% | 2.8 | 22.3% | 18.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 2.22 | 3.50 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 10 | 10 | 28 | 128 | 37 | 20 | 0 | 100% | 2.8 | 28.9% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 2.22 | 2.61 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 56 | 277 | 62 | 43 | 2 | 100% | 3.5 | 17.1% | 17.8% | -0.7% | 1.1% | 6.95 | 4.50 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 56 | 277 | 62 | 43 | 2 | 100% | 3.5 | 22.4% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 0.7% | 6.95 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 15 | 0 | 16 | 99 | 20 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 33.3% | -17.0% | 1.2% | 14.94 | 6.61 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 43 | 47 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 19.3% | -1.3% | 2.5% | 5.80 | 5.80 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 19.3% | -1.3% | 2.5% | 5.80 | 5.80 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 73 | 340 | 63 | 77 | 7 | — | — | 18.6% | 22.5% | -3.9% | 2.1% | 7.77 | 5.97 | -1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.0% | 19.3% | -1.3% | 2.5% | 5.80 | 5.42 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 58 | 244 | 46 | 41 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.9% | 16.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.53 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 58 | 244 | 47 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.38 | 5.34 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 57 | 240 | 47 | 39 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.6% | 16.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.33 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 55 | 233 | 46 | 37 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.6% | 16.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.35 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 53 | 223 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.4% | 16.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.45 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.9% | 16.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.53 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 32 | 27 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 19.4% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.38 | 5.34 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 30 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.6% | 16.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.33 | 5.33 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 39 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.6% | 16.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.35 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 16.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.45 | 5.51 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 35 | 34 | 202 | 853 | 166 | 139 | 23 | 97% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.40 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 138 | 23 | 97% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.40 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 92 | 77 | 246 | 1180 | 243 | 243 | 17 | 84% | 2.7 | 20.6% | 20.6% | -0.0% | 1.4% | 5.71 | 4.75 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 63 | 200 | 959 | 197 | 197 | 14 | 84% | 2.7 | 20.6% | 20.6% | -0.0% | 1.4% | 5.71 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Maddux Bruns (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.80 | 18.0% | 19.3% | 2.5% | — | 5.37 | 19.3% | 2.9% | 172 | -0.43 | — | — | — |
| Cole Reynolds L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 85 |
| Noah Dean L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.37 | 21.1% | 18.6% | 3.1% | .266 | 8.10 | 20.9% | -5.7% | 11 | +2.73 | 4.50 | 217 | 81 |
| Seth Lonsway L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.11 | 13.8% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .317 | 3.99 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 272 | -1.12 | 3.33 | 457 | 78 |
| Larson Kindreich L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.39 | 21.5% | 18.8% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.71 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 79 | -0.68 | 4.15 | 214 | 76 |
| Dante Biasi L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.06 | 18.7% | 15.9% | 2.8% | .288 | 7.16 | 20.1% | 1.7% | 69 | +2.10 | 4.88 | 224 | 75 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 75 |
| Brooks Gosswein L 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.58 | 15.2% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 165 | 73 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 72 |
| Matt Imhof L 2024 · 5.73 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.73 | 15.9% | 21.3% | 2.3% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.99 | 131 | 70 |
| Rio Britton L 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.77 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 128 | 69 |
| Franklyn Soriano L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.15 | 13.2% | 17.5% | 1.7% | .209 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 241 | 69 |
| Ricardo Estrada L 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.31 | 16.7% | 16.1% | 2.9% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 262 | 68 |
| Wyatt Crowell L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.01 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 2.1% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 198 | 68 |
| Caden Grice L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.28 | 17.3% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 68 |
| Tyler Matzek L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.38 | 17.7% | 23.2% | 1.5% | .256 | 4.87 | 22.2% | 0.9% | 21 | -0.51 | 1.60 | 190 | 66 |
| Nathan Kirby L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.11 | 17.7% | 16.2% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.89 | 25.3% | 8.7% | 38 | -1.22 | 3.89 | 145 | 66 |
| Brett Adcock L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.22 | 17.4% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 301 | 65 |
| Mason Green L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.22 | 17.9% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .278 | 4.28 | 19.1% | 6.4% | 225 | -0.94 | 3.56 | 410 | 65 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.14 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 3.95 | 15.5% | 4.2% | 121 | -1.19 | 3.67 | 288 | 63 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 56 | 19.1% | 16.8% | 1.04 | 5.47 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |