Konnor Pilkington
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 28
LHP
6'3" / 240 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 149 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122131vR 140
ERA5.02
FIP5.39
K%23.6%
BB%15.6%
K-BB%7.9%
ROS IP149
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 219 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p7429.1%
K%
p7927.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.382
FB+1.7 (59%)
CH-0.6 (22%)
SL-5.2 (19%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 8 | 7 | 14 | 68 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 88% | 1.8 | 11.0% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 7.07 | 4.47 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 8 | 7 | 14 | 68 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 88% | 1.8 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 7.07 | 3.53 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 129 | 543 | 138 | 50 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 4.12 | 3.92 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 129 | 543 | 138 | 50 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 25.4% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 1.7% | 4.12 | 3.03 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 22 | 21 | 101 | 389 | 120 | 39 | 11 | 95% | 4.6 | 25.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 3.04 | 4.76 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 22 | 21 | 101 | 389 | 120 | 39 | 11 | 95% | 4.6 | 30.8% | 10.0% | 20.8% | 2.8% | 3.04 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 23 | 115 | 510 | 108 | 58 | 14 | 82% | 4.1 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.49 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 23 | 115 | 510 | 108 | 58 | 14 | 82% | 4.1 | 21.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.87 | 4.32 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 77 | 381 | 79 | 64 | 17 | 67% | 2.8 | 18.2% | 17.7% | 0.4% | 4.9% | 8.22 | 6.50 | -1.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 77 | 381 | 79 | 64 | 17 | 67% | 2.8 | 20.7% | 16.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.22 | 6.43 | -1.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | 33 | 21 | 78 | 359 | 79 | 49 | 7 | 64% | 2.4 | 19.4% | 14.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 5.91 | 4.22 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | 33 | 21 | 78 | 359 | 79 | 49 | 7 | 64% | 2.4 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 5.91 | 4.13 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 68 | 3 | 70 | 301 | 84 | 44 | 9 | 4% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 3.34 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 68 | 3 | 70 | 301 | 84 | 44 | 9 | 4% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 3.34 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 48 | 6 | 70 | 328 | 61 | 57 | 10 | 12% | 1.5 | 16.4% | 18.2% | -1.9% | 3.4% | 5.17 | 5.87 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | DET | 142 | 0 | 149 | 629 | 148 | 98 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.39 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | DET | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.39 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | DET | — | — | 219 | 957 | 209 | 155 | 32 | — | — | 21.9% | 16.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 5.54 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | DET | — | — | 15 | 63 | 15 | 10 | 2 | — | — | 23.6% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 136 | 0 | 142 | 601 | 137 | 90 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.43 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | DET | 127 | 0 | 134 | 565 | 125 | 84 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.38 | 5.55 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | DET | 119 | 0 | 125 | 527 | 112 | 78 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 14.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.56 | 5.72 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 50 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.43 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | DET | 70 | 0 | 74 | 312 | 69 | 46 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.38 | 5.55 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | DET | 80 | 0 | 84 | 355 | 76 | 52 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 14.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.56 | 5.72 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 263 | 11 | 314 | 1341 | 296 | 192 | 49 | 4% | 1.2 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 5.05 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 7 | 200 | 855 | 189 | 122 | 31 | 4% | 1.2 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 5.05 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 259 | 124 | 652 | 2879 | 581 | 390 | 89 | 48% | 2.5 | 20.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.81 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 38 | 200 | 883 | 178 | 120 | 27 | 48% | 2.5 | 20.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.81 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Konnor Pilkington (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.39 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 3.5% | — | 5.56 | 22.1% | 7.2% | 401 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Vail L 2024 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 67 |
| Will Lamb L 2024 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 65 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 64 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 64 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 3.8% | .328 | 4.42 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.59 | 3.47 | 315 | 64 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 63 |
| Trey Jeans L 2024 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 63 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.53 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.70 | 3.03 | 299 | 63 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 63 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 63 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.25 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 4.7% | .357 | 3.80 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 92 | -1.45 | 2.17 | 310 | 62 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 62 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2024 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 62 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.86 | 19.8% | 17.8% | 4.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 118 | 61 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 61 |
| Brian Holmes L 2024 · 6.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.01 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 205 | 61 |
| Manny Banuelos L 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.84 | 18.7% | 12.8% | 4.9% | .322 | 2.92 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 72 | -2.92 | 2.92 | 486 | 60 |
| Tyler Thomas L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.90 | 18.9% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 279 | 60 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.24 | 27.0% | 16.2% | 4.3% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.02 | 280 | 60 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 60 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 137 | 22.5% | 15.1% | 1.43 | 5.28 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |