Braylon Payne
CF Wisconsin Timber Rattlers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ACarolina Mudc… | 19 | .438/.526/.625 | 0 | 4 | 172 | — | .353/.421/.529 |
| 2025 | 18 | ACarolina Mudc… | 342 | .240/.356/.382 | 8 | 31 | 63 | — | .199/.288/.291 |
| 2026 | 19 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 507 | .271/.352/.534 | 28 | 26 | 93 | — | .228/.291/.441 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBMIL | 1 | .215/.283/.402 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 21 | MLBMIL | 147 | .221/.291/.417 | 6 | 5 | 96 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 22 | MLBMIL | 230 | .225/.297/.427 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0.7 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 19 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 438 | 526 | 625 | 1.151 | 188 | 538 | 16 | 16 | 501 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 342 | 288 | 69 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 103 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 240 | 356 | 382 | 738 | 142 | 341 | 30 | 15 | 334 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 110 | 101 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 277 | 321 | 525 | 846 | 248 | 348 | 28 | 6 | 362 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 357 | 310 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 23 | 42 | 105 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 277 | 369 | 561 | 930 | 284 | 346 | 29 | 12 | 402 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 40 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 282 | 314 | 596 | 114 | 350 | 40 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 353 | 421 | 529 | 950 | 176 | 491 | 21 | 11 | 422 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 342 | 302 | 60 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 136 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 199 | 288 | 291 | 580 | 93 | 331 | 40 | 11 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 110 | 104 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 231 | 266 | 433 | 699 | 202 | 319 | 35 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 357 | 322 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 30 | 134 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 227 | 299 | 444 | 743 | 217 | 313 | 38 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 353 | 421 | 529 | 950 | 176 | 462 | 21 | 11 | 422 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 19 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 438 | 526 | 625 | 1.151 | 188 | 538 | 16 | 16 | 501 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 342 | 302 | 60 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 136 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 199 | 288 | 291 | 580 | 93 | 337 | 40 | 11 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 342 | 288 | 69 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 103 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 240 | 356 | 382 | 738 | 142 | 341 | 30 | 15 | 334 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 507 | 462 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 24 | 38 | 186 | 3 | 26 | 9 | 227 | 290 | 439 | 730 | 212 | 319 | 37 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 507 | 446 | 121 | 21 | 6 | 28 | 53 | 152 | 3 | 26 | 9 | 271 | 352 | 534 | 886 | 262 | 347 | 30 | 10 | 382 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 353 | 421 | 529 | 950 | 176 | 491 | 21 | 11 | 422 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 342 | 301 | 60 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 136 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 199 | 288 | 292 | 581 | 93 | 331 | 40 | 11 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 507 | 461 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 24 | 38 | 186 | 3 | 26 | 9 | 228 | 290 | 440 | 731 | 213 | 314 | 37 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 353 | 421 | 529 | 950 | 176 | 491 | 21 | 11 | 422 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 342 | 301 | 60 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 136 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 199 | 288 | 292 | 581 | 93 | 331 | 40 | 11 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 507 | 461 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 24 | 38 | 186 | 3 | 26 | 9 | 228 | 290 | 440 | 731 | 213 | 314 | 37 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | MIL | 0% | 571 | 516 | 112 | 19 | 4 | 23 | 47 | 183 | 3 | 19 | 6 | 215 | 284 | 399 | 683 | 183 | 281 | 32 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB CTX | MIL | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 283 | 402 | 685 | 187 | 276 | 0 | 0 | 302 | 90 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIL | 35% | 426 | 384 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 131 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 221 | 292 | 413 | 705 | 192 | 282 | 31 | 8 | 311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIL | 49% | 474 | 427 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 21 | 41 | 141 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 226 | 298 | 424 | 722 | 198 | 283 | 30 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIL | 54% | 526 | 472 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 23 | 46 | 153 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 230 | 302 | 431 | 733 | 201 | 284 | 29 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 578 | 518 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 26 | 51 | 165 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 232 | 306 | 435 | 740 | 202 | 285 | 29 | 9 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 56% | 590 | 529 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 26 | 52 | 166 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 234 | 307 | 435 | 743 | 202 | 286 | 28 | 9 | 326 | 107 | +5 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 2.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 56% | 599 | 537 | 126 | 22 | 4 | 26 | 53 | 169 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 233 | 307 | 435 | 742 | 202 | 285 | 28 | 9 | 326 | 107 | +5 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 2.3 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 596 | 534 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 26 | 53 | 169 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 232 | 306 | 432 | 738 | 200 | 285 | 28 | 9 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 585 | 524 | 120 | 21 | 3 | 25 | 52 | 167 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 230 | 304 | 428 | 732 | 197 | 283 | 29 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 568 | 510 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 24 | 50 | 163 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 228 | 301 | 421 | 722 | 193 | 282 | 29 | 9 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 552 | 496 | 112 | 19 | 3 | 23 | 48 | 161 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 225 | 298 | 413 | 711 | 188 | 280 | 29 | 9 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIL | 52% | 534 | 480 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 21 | 46 | 157 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 221 | 293 | 403 | 696 | 183 | 276 | 29 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIL | 52% | 511 | 460 | 98 | 16 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 153 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 215 | 286 | 390 | 677 | 175 | 272 | 30 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -7 | -1 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | MIL | 35% | 147 | 133 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 221 | 291 | 417 | 708 | 196 | 278 | 31 | 8 | 312 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIL | 49% | 230 | 207 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 69 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 225 | 297 | 427 | 725 | 202 | 279 | 30 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIL | 54% | 285 | 256 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 83 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 229 | 302 | 434 | 736 | 205 | 280 | 29 | 9 | 323 | 104 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 320 | 287 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 91 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 231 | 305 | 438 | 743 | 207 | 281 | 28 | 9 | 326 | 106 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 56% | 330 | 296 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 93 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 233 | 306 | 439 | 745 | 206 | 281 | 28 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 56% | 337 | 302 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 30 | 95 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 232 | 306 | 439 | 745 | 206 | 281 | 28 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 330 | 296 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 93 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 231 | 305 | 436 | 741 | 204 | 280 | 28 | 9 | 326 | 106 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 321 | 288 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 91 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 229 | 303 | 431 | 734 | 201 | 279 | 28 | 9 | 323 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 303 | 271 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 87 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 227 | 300 | 424 | 725 | 198 | 278 | 29 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 290 | 261 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 84 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 224 | 297 | 416 | 713 | 193 | 275 | 29 | 9 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIL | 52% | 278 | 251 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 82 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 220 | 292 | 406 | 698 | 187 | 272 | 29 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -2 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIL | 52% | 265 | 239 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 79 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 214 | 285 | 393 | 679 | 179 | 268 | 30 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -3 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3436 | 3087 | 699 | 112 | 19 | 155 | 300 | 992 | 20 | 96 | 34 | 226 | 299 | 426 | 725 | 199 | 278 | 29 | 9 | 319 | 99 | +7 | +6 | +1 | +12 | +74 | 10.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 132 | 21 | 4 | 29 | 57 | 188 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 226 | 299 | 425 | 724 | 199 | 278 | 29 | 9 | 319 | 99 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7617 | 6842 | 1549 | 262 | 48 | 316 | 667 | 2288 | 44 | 252 | 87 | 226 | 299 | 417 | 716 | 191 | 288 | 30 | 9 | 315 | 99 | +10 | +11 | +0 | +24 | +146 | 19.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 132 | 22 | 4 | 27 | 57 | 195 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 226 | 299 | 416 | 715 | 190 | 288 | 30 | 9 | 315 | 99 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 357 PAwOBA .390 → .313 (−77)K% 29.4% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 37.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 8.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.042 | 21.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×1.042 | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.993 | ×1.042 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 9.35% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .390 → .313; ISO .284 → .221; BABIP .346 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 110 PAwOBA .355 → .300 (−55)K% 28.2% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×1.050 | 20.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.966 | ×1.050 | 7.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.966 | ×1.050 | 2.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 6.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .355 → .300; ISO .248 → .206; BABIP .348 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 342 PAwOBA .328 → .262 (−66)K% 30.1% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.12% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.20% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 11.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.95% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.045 | 26.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.86% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×1.045 | 4.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.16% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×1.045 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.32% | ÷1.214 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .328 → .262; ISO .142 → .098; BABIP .341 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ACarolina Mudcats · 19 PAwOBA .489 → .422 (−67)K% 15.8% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.013 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 11.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.46% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 34.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 7.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.101 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 113, 2B 92, 3B 101, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .489 → .422; ISO .188 → .172; BABIP .538 → .491. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .