Rio Foster — OGILVIE

Rio FosterOF Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 219 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .295 / .322

PA28

HR1

K%31

BB%9

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	20	ROK	ACL Angels	—	25	23	4	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	1	174	240	174	414		308	40	8	201	22	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	86	77	29	7	0	2	8	18	1	3	0	377	442	545	987	169	474	21	9	437	182	+8	+1	—	—	+2	1.1
2024	21	ROK	ACL Angels	—	232	189	51	14	4	4	32	64	9	13	4	270	400	450	850	180	382	28	14	379	143	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	378	303	81	18	2	10	60	96	13	8	1	267	410	439	849	172	357	25	16	383	145	+20	+1	—	—	+8	3.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	25	24	2	0	0	0	1	15	0	0	1	83	120	83	203		260	60	4	114	-37	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	86	80	23	5	0	2	5	25	1	3	0	287	337	425	762	138	403	29	6	333	112	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	232	202	36	9	2	3	19	92	9	13	4	178	278	287	565	109	300	40	8	258	61	-11	+1	—	—	+5	-0.5
2025	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	378	324	63	13	2	8	39	132	13	8	1	194	306	321	627	127	285	35	10	275	72	-12	+1	—	—	+8	-0.3
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	25	24	2	0	0	0	1	15	0	0	1	83	120	83	203		222	60	4	114	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	—	25	23	4	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	1	174	240	174	414		308	40	8	201	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	318	281	60	14	2	5	25	117	10	16	4	214	301	331	632	117	342	37	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	318	266	80	21	4	6	40	82	10	16	4	301	411	477	889	177	411	26	13	395	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	378	324	63	13	2	8	39	132	13	8	1	194	306	321	627	127	296	35	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	378	303	81	18	2	10	60	96	13	8	1	267	410	439	849	172	357	25	16	383	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	25	24	2	0	0	0	1	15	0	0	1	83	120	83	203		260	60	4	114	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	318	280	60	14	2	5	25	117	10	16	4	214	301	332	633	118	328	37	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	378	323	63	13	2	8	39	132	13	8	1	195	306	322	628	127	285	35	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	25	24	2	0	0	0	1	15	0	0	1	83	120	83	203		260	60	4	114	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	318	280	60	14	2	5	25	117	10	16	4	214	301	332	633	118	328	37	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	378	323	63	13	2	8	39	132	13	8	1	195	306	322	628	127	285	35	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	28	24	5	1	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	208	321	375	696	167	288	32	11	284	79	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAA	30%	412	361	76	16	2	9	39	125	9	7	1	211	303	341	644	130	289	30	9	292	84	-8	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAA	44%	454	399	85	17	2	11	43	134	9	7	1	213	304	348	652	135	290	30	9	296	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAA	51%	480	421	90	18	2	12	46	140	10	8	1	214	306	352	658	138	290	29	10	298	88	-7	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	490	430	93	19	2	12	47	143	10	8	1	216	308	353	661	137	290	29	10	299	88	-7	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	493	432	93	19	2	12	48	144	10	8	1	215	308	352	660	137	289	29	10	298	88	-7	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	487	427	91	18	2	12	47	143	10	7	1	213	306	349	655	136	288	29	10	296	86	-8	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	480	421	89	18	2	11	47	143	9	7	1	211	304	342	646	131	287	30	10	293	85	-9	+1	-2	-3	+10	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAA	30%	125	109	24	5	1	3	12	38	3	2	0	220	315	367	681	147	289	30	10	277	84	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAA	44%	201	176	38	8	1	5	19	60	4	3	1	216	307	358	664	142	289	30	9	281	87	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAA	51%	244	214	46	9	1	6	23	71	5	4	1	215	306	350	656	136	289	29	9	284	88	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	257	225	48	10	1	6	25	75	5	4	1	213	306	347	653	133	289	29	10	285	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	263	231	49	10	1	6	25	77	5	4	1	212	303	342	645	130	288	29	10	284	88	-4	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	256	224	48	10	1	6	25	75	5	4	1	214	307	348	655	134	287	29	10	282	86	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	250	219	46	9	1	6	24	74	5	4	1	210	302	342	645	132	286	30	10	279	85	-5	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1596	1398	299	61	7	38	153	470	32	25	6	214	306	349	655	135	291	29	10	282	83	-25	+3	-2	-10	+35	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	122	25	3	15	62	191	13	10	2	214	305	348	653	134	292	29	10	282	83	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4045	3544	747	153	18	93	385	1245	91	76	13	211	304	343	647	132	294	31	10	292	83	-53	+8	-4	-20	+72	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	121	25	3	15	62	200	15	12	2	213	307	346	653	134	297	31	10	292	83	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.4	1,597	38	25	215	303	350	-10	+0	1.2	1.2
/162	664	16	10	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rio Foster (OGILVIE)	23	45	45	45	60	202/295/322	121	288	6	5	31%	9%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Heyward 2019 · A	23	41→40	45	44→50	44	202/276/324	121	289	13	10	33%	8%	71	-0.8	193/283/319	126	292	14	9	36%	10%	73	-0.6	164/259/285	121	253	15	5	39%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	44→43	45→50	46→45	46	211/291/336	125	311	13	8	34%	10%	78	-0.3	206/287/361	155	334	19	4	40%	10%	83	+0.1	204/288/352	148	322	17	2	39%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Jabari Henry 2014 · A	23	42→41	46→55	45	49	209/282/340	131	262	12	7	25%	9%	76	-0.4	200/278/360	160	268	19	6	31%	9%	80	-0.1	182/263/345	163	243	21	5	33%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Rainel Rosario 2011 · A	22	43→52	46→50	46→50	44	209/286/349	139	300	12	8	32%	8%	80	-0.2	209/265/306	97	310	8	9	33%	6%	61	-1.5	249/305/384	135	283	16	6	18%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Tyler Saladino 2012 · A	23	44→47	47→45	45→55	43	218/283/362	143	294	13	7	29%	7%	82	-0.0	219/288/314	95	284	7	20	24%	8%	72	-0.7	253/298/364	112	301	10	25	19%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Will Crouch 2006 · A	23	43	45→50	43→45	46	210/298/337	127	296	12	7	31%	9%	82	+0.0	201/279/328	127	278	14	4	31%	8%	73	-0.6	171/255/303	132	222	18	0	31%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Christian Franklin 2023 · A	23	48→53	41→45	43→55	46	216/310/319	104	338	8	9	35%	10%	83	+0.1	221/313/331	110	316	10	19	30%	10%	86	+0.3	230/326/326	95	317	7	24	27%	11%	86	+0.3
✕Cory Vaughn 2012 · A	23	44→42	44→45	43→50	43	213/289/327	113	296	11	7	30%	7%	76	-0.4	198/275/321	123	277	13	13	32%	8%	70	-0.9	184/262/302	119	255	13	16	32%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Joey Metropoulos 2007 · A	23	44→43	44→45	45	47	217/294/333	116	283	11	6	26%	8%	80	-0.2	209/276/332	123	299	12	7	32%	7%	72	-0.7	138/200/278	140	208	16	0	41%	5%	30	-0.7
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A	23	40→47	47→50	46→45	43	206/271/340	134	280	15	8	31%	7%	72	-0.7	225/282/366	141	294	13	6	27%	7%	82	-0.0	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Buddy Kennedy 2022 · AA	23	43→51	48→45	50	44	220/286/355	135	294	17	12	30%	8%	81	-0.1	223/304/336	113	290	10	8	25%	9%	84	+0.1	227/314/338	111	280	9	4	21%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Josh Elander 2014 · A	23	48→49	47→50	48→45	43	237/290/372	135	302	14	7	26%	6%	86	+0.3	219/284/325	106	292	9	9	26%	7%	73	-0.6	177/253/255	78	246	6	14	28%	8%	47	-0.7
●Justyn-Henry Malloy 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→50	47→45	48	222/295/339	117	300	12	10	29%	9%	81	-0.1	232/323/370	138	327	16	5	31%	11%	99	+1.2	232/338/377	145	320	16	5	30%	12%	104	+1.4
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2013 · A	23	48→40	44→45	47→50	49	234/313/351	116	303	11	11	25%	9%	91	+0.6	209/276/331	122	274	12	13	27%	7%	72	-0.7	195/260/321	126	253	14	13	28%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Zach DeLoach 2022 · AA	23	45→51	46→45	45→50	43	222/287/358	136	309	13	7	31%	7%	82	-0.0	225/299/349	124	322	13	8	31%	9%	84	+0.2	223/301/339	116	322	12	10	32%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Jeremy Hunt 2007 · A	23	46→45	43→50	46→30	46	224/293/335	111	302	10	4	28%	8%	79	-0.2	220/279/343	123	281	13	2	26%	7%	76	-0.4	216/275/343	127	267	15	0	25%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Anderson Gomes 2008 · A	23	47→40	43→45	43→50	43	231/282/342	110	302	10	6	26%	6%	76	-0.4	217/271/331	114	303	11	8	30%	7%	70	-0.9	160/218/266	106	229	13	10	35%	6%	33	-0.9
✕Jimmy Herron 2019 · A	23	45	44→45	41→55	46	222/285/331	109	272	12	6	23%	7%	76	-0.4	197/269/292	95	258	8	14	25%	8%	61	-1.5	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Steve Selsky 2012 · A	23	45→52	49→45	48→45	45	226/292/376	149	293	17	7	28%	8%	88	+0.5	239/298/365	126	319	12	9	28%	6%	88	+0.4	249/317/346	97	354	7	4	29%	7%	89	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps