Christian Franklin
LF Norfolk Tides| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AATennessee Smo… | 427 | .268/.401/.366 | 5 | 34 | 90 | — | .242/.342/.332 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAAWSH | 535 | .272/.391/.427 | 12 | 19 | 95 | — | .241/.333/.359 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAABAL | 443 | .249/.380/.365 | 7 | 20 | 80 | — | .224/.321/.312 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBBAL | 59 | .180/.305/.220 | 0 | 3 | 60 | -0.6 | |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 27 | MLBBAL | 16 | .238/.333/.343 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ25% MLB | 28 | MLBBAL | 125 | .236/.330/.342 | 2 | 4 | 91 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ32% MLB | 29 | MLBBAL | 91 | .234/.327/.338 | 1 | 3 | 89 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 87 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 200 | 402 | 292 | 695 | 92 | 293 | 26 | 20 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 288 | 234 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 74 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 248 | 382 | 410 | 793 | 162 | 320 | 26 | 15 | 358 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 51 | 42 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 238 | 373 | 429 | 801 | 190 | 333 | 27 | 10 | 363 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Cubs | — | 30 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 360 | 467 | 800 | 1.267 | 440 | 389 | 17 | 17 | 526 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 21 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 300 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 100 | 400 | 24 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 427 | 347 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 71 | 89 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 268 | 401 | 366 | 767 | 98 | 344 | 21 | 17 | 354 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 535 | 445 | 121 | 23 | 5 | 12 | 80 | 110 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 272 | 391 | 427 | 818 | 155 | 336 | 21 | 15 | 368 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 59 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 180 | 305 | 220 | 525 | 40 | 257 | 25 | 12 | 259 | 60 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 443 | 362 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 70 | 109 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 249 | 380 | 365 | 745 | 116 | 335 | 25 | 16 | 342 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 59 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 180 | 305 | 220 | 525 | 40 | 257 | 25 | 12 | 259 | 61 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 87 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 157 | 322 | 229 | 550 | 71 | 266 | 38 | 14 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 288 | 248 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 97 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 198 | 302 | 302 | 604 | 105 | 277 | 34 | 10 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 51 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 186 | 314 | 349 | 663 | 163 | 279 | 37 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 300 | 444 | 744 | 222 | 281 | 23 | 10 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 427 | 368 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 111 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 242 | 342 | 332 | 674 | 90 | 323 | 26 | 12 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 535 | 468 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 128 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 241 | 333 | 359 | 692 | 118 | 313 | 24 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 59 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 180 | 305 | 220 | 525 | 40 | 257 | 25 | 12 | 256 | 60 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 443 | 384 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 131 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 224 | 321 | 312 | 634 | 89 | 318 | 30 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 87 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 157 | 322 | 229 | 550 | 71 | 278 | 38 | 14 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 87 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 200 | 402 | 292 | 695 | 92 | 293 | 26 | 20 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 390 | 338 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 130 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 192 | 295 | 308 | 602 | 115 | 282 | 33 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 390 | 321 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 98 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 259 | 385 | 442 | 827 | 184 | 333 | 25 | 14 | 370 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 427 | 368 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 111 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 242 | 342 | 332 | 674 | 90 | 329 | 26 | 12 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 427 | 347 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 71 | 89 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 268 | 401 | 366 | 767 | 98 | 344 | 21 | 17 | 354 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 535 | 468 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 128 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 241 | 333 | 359 | 692 | 118 | 313 | 24 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 535 | 445 | 121 | 23 | 5 | 12 | 80 | 110 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 272 | 391 | 427 | 818 | 155 | 336 | 21 | 15 | 368 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 434 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55 | 146 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 219 | 319 | 302 | 621 | 83 | 316 | 29 | 11 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 502 | 412 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 77 | 124 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 240 | 371 | 347 | 719 | 107 | 325 | 25 | 15 | 332 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 87 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 157 | 322 | 229 | 550 | 71 | 266 | 38 | 14 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 390 | 338 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 130 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 192 | 295 | 308 | 602 | 115 | 278 | 33 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 427 | 368 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 111 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 242 | 342 | 332 | 674 | 90 | 323 | 26 | 12 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 535 | 466 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 128 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 242 | 333 | 361 | 693 | 118 | 313 | 24 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 433 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55 | 146 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 219 | 319 | 303 | 622 | 83 | 311 | 29 | 11 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 427 | 368 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 111 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 242 | 342 | 332 | 674 | 90 | 323 | 26 | 12 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 535 | 466 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 128 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 242 | 333 | 361 | 693 | 118 | 313 | 24 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 433 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55 | 146 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 219 | 319 | 303 | 622 | 83 | 311 | 29 | 11 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | BAL | 10% | 380 | 330 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 101 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 234 | 330 | 336 | 666 | 102 | 317 | 27 | 11 | 305 | 92 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | BAL | 10% | 16 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 343 | 676 | 105 | 321 | 25 | 12 | 309 | 92 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | BAL | 25% | 499 | 435 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 54 | 132 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 232 | 327 | 335 | 662 | 102 | 314 | 26 | 11 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +2 | +1 | -5 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | BAL | 32% | 284 | 248 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 75 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 230 | 323 | 331 | 655 | 101 | 311 | 26 | 11 | 300 | 89 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | BAL | 37% | 281 | 246 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 75 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 227 | 319 | 326 | 646 | 99 | 307 | 27 | 10 | 296 | 86 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | BAL | 25% | 125 | 109 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 330 | 342 | 672 | 105 | 319 | 26 | 10 | 307 | 91 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | BAL | 32% | 91 | 80 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 234 | 327 | 338 | 665 | 104 | 315 | 26 | 11 | 304 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | BAL | 37% | 104 | 91 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 322 | 333 | 655 | 102 | 312 | 27 | 11 | 300 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 379 | 330 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 100 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 224 | 321 | 318 | 639 | 94 | 304 | 26 | 11 | 296 | 86 | -7 | +1 | -0 | -9 | +8 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 566 | 128 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 70 | 172 | 10 | 21 | 5 | 226 | 321 | 323 | 645 | 97 | 307 | 26 | 11 | 296 | 86 | -12 | +2 | -1 | -15 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3160 | 2742 | 618 | 108 | 16 | 45 | 340 | 871 | 57 | 126 | 41 | 225 | 323 | 326 | 649 | 100 | 312 | 28 | 11 | 295 | 86 | -18 | +4 | -1 | -18 | +28 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 564 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 70 | 179 | 12 | 26 | 8 | 223 | 322 | 321 | 643 | 98 | 309 | 28 | 11 | 295 | 86 | -9 | +2 | -0 | -9 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 443 PAwOBA .336 → .286 (−49)K% 24.6% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.60% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 24.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.94% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .336 → .286; ISO .116 → .095; BABIP .335 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAARochester Red Wings · 535 PAwOBA .360 → .309 (−51)K% 20.6% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.56% | ÷1.028 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.95% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.18% | ÷0.987 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 23.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.58% | ÷0.960 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .360 → .309; ISO .155 → .126; BABIP .336 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATennessee Smokies · 427 PAwOBA .348 → .301 (−47)K% 20.8% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.84% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.63% | ÷0.959 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 11.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.52% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 26.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.059 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.985 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.94% | ÷0.854 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .348 → .301; ISO .098 → .091; BABIP .344 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+South Bend Cubs · 288 PAwOBA .352 → .265 (−87)K% 25.7% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.69% | ÷0.966 | ×1.270 | — | — | 33.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.58% | ÷1.060 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 2.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.75% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 22.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.140 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.197 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.71% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 98, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .352 → .265; ISO .162 → .107; BABIP .320 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 51 PAwOBA .354 → .266 (−88)K% 27.5% → 36.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.45% | ÷1.011 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.84% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 6.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 15.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 8.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 2.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 2.93% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .354 → .266; ISO .190 → .142; BABIP .333 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Cubs · 30 PAwOBA .512 → .358 (−154)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 9.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 15.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 3.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 6.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 7.45% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .512 → .358; ISO .440 → .314; BABIP .389 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 87 PAwOBA .333 → .258 (−75)K% 26.4% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.44% | ÷0.961 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.54% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | — | 14.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.75% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 4.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | — | — | 19.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | — | — | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.977 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.95% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 95, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .333 → .258; ISO .092 → .072; BABIP .293 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .