Christian FranklinLF
Rochester Red Wings
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 26
R/R
5'9" / 195 lbs
AAA
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.8 · 2027
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .320 / .346
PA129
HR3
SB6
K%26
BB%11
MLB%40%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40↗47
PWR
38↗42
SPD
51↘50
FLD
57↘55
EYE
60↗61
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.8 | $3M | +$3M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.8M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $9M | $9M | -$0.1M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 87 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .157 | .322 | .229 | .550 | .071 | .270 | 37 | 14 | .258 | 56 | -4 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | 4 teams | 390 | 337 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 131 | 13 | 13 | 8 | .196 | .300 | .320 | .620 | .125 | .286 | 34 | 9 | .277 | 71 | -13 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 427 | 367 | 87 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 119 | 6 | 34 | 7 | .237 | .340 | .332 | .672 | .095 | .331 | 28 | 12 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +4 | +0 | -5 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 535 | 469 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 56 | 129 | 7 | 19 | 9 | .241 | .331 | .371 | .702 | .130 | .309 | 24 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +15 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 92 | 80 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 1 | .250 | .348 | .287 | .635 | .037 | .370 | 28 | 12 | .287 | 78 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 37 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .242 | .324 | .364 | .688 | .121 | .315 | 27 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| TOT | 26 | MLB | WSH | 129 | 113 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .248 | .341 | .310 | .651 | .062 | .355 | 28 | 12 | .292 | 82 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 48% | WSH | 336 | 290 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 73 | 4 | 12 | 3 | .241 | .339 | .359 | .698 | .117 | .294 | 22 | 12 | .314 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 50% | WSH | 364 | 315 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 80 | 4 | 12 | 3 | .238 | .335 | .359 | .694 | .121 | .294 | 22 | 12 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 55% | WSH | 373 | 322 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 83 | 5 | 11 | 3 | .236 | .335 | .354 | .689 | .118 | .293 | 22 | 12 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 59% | WSH | 378 | 327 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 85 | 5 | 10 | 3 | .235 | .333 | .352 | .685 | .116 | .292 | 22 | 11 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 62% | WSH | 369 | 320 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .234 | .331 | .353 | .684 | .119 | .290 | 23 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -3 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 64% | WSH | 354 | 307 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 83 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .225 | .322 | .329 | .651 | .104 | .289 | 23 | 11 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 67% | WSH | 326 | 282 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 79 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .223 | .322 | .323 | .645 | .099 | .288 | 24 | 11 | .296 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB 69% | WSH | 284 | 247 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 71 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .219 | .316 | .312 | .627 | .093 | .286 | 25 | 11 | .290 | 80 | -6 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4260 | 3686 | 844 | 143 | 21 | 77 | 478 | 1060 | 64 | 135 | 44 | .229 | .328 | .342 | .670 | .113 | .298 | 25 | 11 | .302 | 89 | -51 | +9 | -10 | -46 | +121 | 2.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 562 | 129 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 73 | 162 | 10 | 21 | 7 | .230 | .329 | .343 | .672 | .114 | .299 | 25 | 11 | .302 | 89 | -8 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 87 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | .402 | .292 | .695 | .092 | .293 | 26 | 20 | .340 | 119 | +2 | -1 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 288 | 234 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 74 | 9 | 9 | 6 | .248 | .382 | .410 | .793 | .162 | .320 | 26 | 15 | .358 | 132 | +11 | -1 | — | — | +8 | 1.8 |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 51 | 42 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .238 | .373 | .429 | .801 | .190 | .333 | 27 | 10 | .363 | 136 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 30 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .360 | .467 | .800 | 1.267 | .440 | .389 | 17 | 17 | .526 | 261 | +5 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | 21 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .300 | .333 | .400 | .733 | .100 | .400 | 24 | 5 | .328 | 109 | +0 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 427 | 347 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 71 | 89 | 6 | 34 | 7 | .268 | .401 | .366 | .767 | .098 | .344 | 21 | 17 | .354 | 129 | +14 | +4 | — | — | +12 | 3.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 535 | 445 | 121 | 23 | 5 | 12 | 80 | 110 | 7 | 19 | 9 | .272 | .391 | .427 | .818 | .155 | .336 | 21 | 15 | .368 | 140 | +24 | +0 | — | — | +15 | 4.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Christian Franklin (OGILVIE) | 26 | 40→47 | 38→42 | 51→50 | 61 | .227/.320/.346 | .119 | .302 | 3 | 4 | 26% | 11% | 92 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Matt Vierling 2023 · MLB |
26 | 49→55 | 45→50 | 52→50 | 46 | .242/.298/.366 | .124 | .292 | 13 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .252/.312/.387 | .135 | .309 | 14 | 10 | 22% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .252/.317/.390 | .138 | .311 | 14 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
✕Cole Gillespie 2011 · MLB |
27 | 47→57 | 47→50 | 53→50 | 49 | .231/.303/.375 | .144 | .291 | 13 | 14 | 24% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .229/.300/.353 | .124 | .288 | 11 | 15 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .252/.314/.361 | .109 | .301 | 9 | 13 | 19% | 8% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Mark Zagunis 2019 · MLB |
26 | 48→53 | 44→45 | 50 | 50 | .230/.317/.351 | .121 | .308 | 12 | 10 | 27% | 10% | 91 | +1.1 | .222/.290/.334 | .112 | .345 | 10 | 11 | 35% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .213/.273/.327 | .114 | .369 | 7 | 9 | 41% | 6% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Victor Robles 2022 · MLB |
25 | 47→50 | 44→50 | 50→60 | 45 | .227/.308/.353 | .126 | .291 | 11 | 19 | 25% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .237/.306/.340 | .103 | .303 | 8 | 25 | 23% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .280/.351/.382 | .102 | .349 | 6 | 51 | 20% | 6% | 110 | +0.8 |
|
✕Manuel Margot 2021 · MLB |
26 | 51→53 | 46→50 | 54→60 | 50 | .249/.308/.386 | .137 | .288 | 12 | 23 | 18% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .257/.315/.377 | .120 | .299 | 11 | 18 | 17% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .260/.315/.371 | .111 | .303 | 9 | 15 | 17% | 7% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Drew Ferguson 2019 · AAA |
26 | 50→49 | 43→45 | 50→55 | 47 | .240/.318/.355 | .116 | .324 | 11 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .228/.312/.337 | .109 | .317 | 10 | 21 | 29% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .209/.299/.311 | .101 | .298 | 10 | 30 | 30% | 10% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jason Donald 2011 · MLB |
26 | 48→55 | 43→45 | 55→50 | 45 | .234/.296/.354 | .120 | .302 | 10 | 14 | 25% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .240/.296/.343 | .103 | .316 | 7 | 13 | 25% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .238/.290/.334 | .095 | .321 | 6 | 11 | 26% | 5% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Rymer Liriano 2017 · MLB |
26 | 48→52 | 45 | 50→55 | 42 | .231/.295/.358 | .127 | .328 | 13 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .205/.268/.333 | .128 | .307 | 16 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .186/.255/.312 | .126 | .282 | 17 | 11 | 38% | 8% | 53 | -1.0 |
|
✕Cal Stevenson 2023 · MLB |
26 | 46→56 | 43→45 | 53→60 | 51 | .225/.303/.337 | .112 | .295 | 11 | 20 | 26% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .237/.325/.359 | .122 | .309 | 12 | 27 | 25% | 11% | 96 | +1.5 | .238/.332/.360 | .122 | .307 | 12 | 34 | 24% | 12% | 98 | +0.9 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2019 · MLB |
27 | 46→52 | 46→50 | 54→55 | 46 | .227/.295/.361 | .133 | .280 | 14 | 24 | 24% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .231/.302/.374 | .143 | .296 | 14 | 16 | 26% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .220/.291/.371 | .151 | .284 | 16 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Chris Pettit 2011 · AAA |
26 | 49→55 | 44→50 | 54→50 | 44 | .240/.294/.362 | .122 | .291 | 10 | 16 | 21% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .194/.259/.307 | .113 | .266 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .176/.246/.282 | .106 | .244 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 41 | -1.5 |
|
✕Michael Taylor 2012 · MLB |
26 | 49→59 | 48→55 | 52→50 | 46 | .245/.303/.387 | .142 | .296 | 15 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 94 | +1.3 | .233/.303/.360 | .127 | .296 | 13 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .232/.307/.356 | .124 | .295 | 12 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 85 | +0.6 |
|
✕Óscar Mercado 2021 · MLB |
26 | 49→53 | 46→55 | 55→60 | 46 | .241/.295/.372 | .132 | .285 | 13 | 25 | 21% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .224/.288/.371 | .147 | .263 | 15 | 21 | 21% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .223/.288/.374 | .151 | .263 | 15 | 26 | 21% | 7% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕L.J. Hoes 2016 · MLB |
26 | 54→62 | 39→40 | 50 | 50 | .255/.320/.343 | .087 | .314 | 5 | 18 | 20% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .231/.288/.327 | .096 | .273 | 9 | 15 | 18% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .220/.273/.304 | .084 | .251 | 9 | 9 | 16% | 6% | 55 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jonathan Davis 2018 · AA |
26 | 44→52 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 47 | .214/.297/.333 | .120 | .288 | 11 | 18 | 28% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .228/.305/.348 | .120 | .295 | 11 | 19 | 25% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .216/.301/.330 | .114 | .280 | 10 | 22 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
●Logan Forsythe 2013 · MLB |
26 | 50→57 | 42→50 | 51→50 | 51 | .240/.322/.348 | .107 | .307 | 9 | 15 | 23% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .241/.315/.373 | .132 | .292 | 13 | 11 | 21% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .262/.352/.412 | .150 | .323 | 15 | 7 | 22% | 11% | 118 | +2.7 |
|
✕Luis González 2023 · MLB |
27 | 48→50 | 46→45 | 52→50 | 49 | .236/.310/.364 | .128 | .299 | 14 | 18 | 25% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .235/.308/.352 | .117 | .309 | 10 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .219/.300/.302 | .083 | .281 | 4 | 28 | 22% | 9% | 68 | -0.1 |
|
✕Richie Palacios 2023 · MLB |
26 | 51→53 | 44→50 | 58→55 | 50 | .246/.318/.376 | .130 | .305 | 9 | 20 | 21% | 8% | 97 | +1.5 | .232/.317/.355 | .123 | .273 | 12 | 18 | 19% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .220/.315/.334 | .114 | .255 | 12 | 20 | 18% | 11% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Lastings Milledge 2011 · MLB |
26 | 55→58 | 42→50 | 49→55 | 48 | .266/.322/.377 | .111 | .308 | 9 | 16 | 17% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .254/.308/.368 | .114 | .287 | 11 | 19 | 15% | 6% | 91 | +1.1 | .253/.306/.362 | .109 | .280 | 11 | 27 | 14% | 6% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
●Aaron Altherr 2017 · MLB |
26 | 46→51 | 47→55 | 52→50 | 45 | .230/.295/.376 | .145 | .292 | 14 | 15 | 26% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .226/.305/.386 | .160 | .295 | 17 | 11 | 28% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .211/.294/.374 | .163 | .277 | 18 | 8 | 29% | 9% | 84 | +0.3 |