David HensleyOF Jaguares de Nayarit
Age 30 R/R 6'6" / 219 lbs INTL HR +5%H +3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .276 / .303
PA200
HR4
SB5
K%34
BB%11
MLB%0%
BAT: -8.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -1.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: -2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +5.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
2727
PWR
4040
SPD
5656
EYE
5872
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2030

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-2$0.4M
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $-6M $-6M +$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201822 AQuad Cities River Bandits 268242 43823 231030 26 .178.249.264.514 .087.290 389 .232 36 -19 -2 +0 -3 +8 -1.7
201923 A2 teams 429400 801515 241240 116 .200.245.280.525 .080.272 296 .233 36 -31 -0 +0 -5 +12 -2.4
202125 AA2 teams 510470 1152428 361613 123 .245.303.355.658 .111.354 327 .289 79 -12 +1 +0 -5 +14 -0.2
202226 AAA2 teams 498428 1122859 651412 207 .262.362.414.775 .152.367 2813 .342 120 +11 +1 -1 +5 +14 3.1
202327 AAA2 teams 387336 581026 481411 103 .173.278.268.546 .095.272 3612 .248 48 -23 +1 -0 +1 +11 -1.0
202428 AAA3 teams 492438 862218 521551 213 .196.283.306.589 .110.283 3211 .265 61 -22 +3 -2 -5 +14 -1.2
202529 INTL2 teams 147127 9202 16751 12 .071.181.134.314 .063.135 5111 .167 -14 -19 -1 +0 -2 +4 -1.7
▸ 2026 Season
202630 MLBDET 200175 33714 22681 51 .189.283.309.591 .120.269 3411 .267 63 -8 +1 -2 -2 +6 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202731 MLB 7%DET 185162 31614 20621 41 .191.284.315.599 .123.270 3411 .269 64 -7 +0 -4 -2 +5 -0.8
202832 MLB 18%DET 166147 29614 17551 31 .197.285.333.618 .136.270 3310 .269 64 -7 +0 -5 -2 +5 -0.9
202933 MLB 27%DET 136120 23503 14451 20 .192.281.308.590 .117.270 3310 .266 62 -6 +0 -5 -1 +4 -0.9
203034 MLB 41%DET 9686 15302 10320 10 .174.260.279.539 .105.268 3310 .261 58 -5 +0 -6 -1 +3 -0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 35143131 6341361658 347116212 9233 .202.285.312.596 .109.298 3310 .267 63 -148 +5 -26 -21 +100 -9.2
/ 162G 650579 11725311 642152 176 .202.284.313.596 .111.297 3310 .267 63 -27 +1 -5 -4 +18 -1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201822 AQuad Cities River Bandits 268234 491124 31790 26 .209.302.325.627 .115.294 2912 .285 76 -7 -2 +8 -0.2
201923 A+Fayetteville Woodpeckers 11198 321100 11230 02 .327.394.439.833 .112.416 2110 .368 139 +5 -1 +3 0.7
201923 AQuad Cities River Bandits 318290 691136 25720 114 .238.298.359.657 .121.293 238 .293 83 -6 +1 +9 0.3
202125 AACorpus Christi Hooks 445396 1162539 461042 113 .293.369.439.809 .146.377 2310 .361 135 +17 +1 +13 3.2
202125 INTLCangrejeros de Santurce 6558 20200 6151 10 .345.415.379.795 .034.465 239 .366 138 +3 +0 +2 0.5
202226 MLBHouston Astros 3429 10211 560 00 .345.441.5861.027 .241.409 1815 .447 200 +4 +0 -1 +5 +1 0.9
202226 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 464379 11330410 801032 207 .298.423.478.901 .179.383 2217 .400 164 +34 +1 +13 4.9
202327 MLBHouston Astros 9484 10101 10350 10 .119.213.167.379 .048.188 3711 .187 1 -10 +0 -0 +1 +3 -0.7
202327 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 293236 521026 54821 93 .220.368.356.724 .136.307 2818 .334 113 +4 +1 +8 1.4
202428 MLBMiami Marlins 5852 11101 6170 10 .212.293.288.582 .077.294 2910 .271 65 -2 +0 -2 -5 +2 -0.8
202428 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 358303 712017 54891 172 .234.352.376.728 .142.309 2515 .333 113 +5 +3 +10 1.8
202428 INTLTigres del Licey 7659 17500 16220 31 .288.440.373.813 .085.447 2921 .374 145 +4 +0 +2 0.6
202529 AAAToledo Mud Hens 5847 4101 9261 00 .085.246.170.416 .085.150 4516 .210 19 -5 +0 +2 -0.4
202529 INTLJaguares de Nayarit 8977 19420 10240 12 .247.333.351.684 .104.345 2711 .305 91 -1 -1 +3 0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 186165 31413 21580 20 .188.280.279.558 .091.269 3111 .261 58 -9 +0 -3 +1 +5 -0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
David Hensley (OGILVIE) 30 27 40 56 72 .184/.276/.303 .119.269 45 34% 11% 63 -0.3
Eric Stamets
2022 · MLB
30 37→47 43→45 55→50 41 .189/.250/.298 .109.260 1114 31% 6% 49 -1.8 .188/.258/.305 .117.268 1313 33% 7% 55 -1.4 .146/.225/.246.100.213121636%6%24-1.3
Brandon Hicks
2016 · MLB
30 37→40 46→50 47→50 40 .188/.262/.313 .125.291 146 38% 8% 58 -1.2 .194/.263/.307 .113.327 1210 41% 8% 57 -1.2 .169/.240/.260.091.301111245%8%32-1.5
Deven Marrero
2021 · MLB
30 39→48 44→45 53→50 41 .199/.251/.311 .112.272 1212 31% 6% 52 -1.6 .211/.271/.328 .117.293 1410 31% 7% 65 -0.7 .198/.263/.297.099.27313831%8%50-0.6
Jake Hager
2023 · MLB
30 41→51 45→50 50 45 .205/.269/.326 .121.270 1211 28% 8% 64 -0.8 .203/.255/.313 .110.287 98 31% 6% 54 -1.4 .181/.222/.281.100.2686234%4%28-0.9
David Matranga
2007 · AAA
30 38 44→45 47→50 42 .195/.261/.312 .117.253 1310 28% 6% 58 -1.2 .211/.282/.335 .124.279 1411 28% 7% 72 -0.2 .212/.294/.334.122.28413928%8%75+0.0
Brett Carroll
2013 · MLB
30 42→45 47→55 47→50 43 .215/.279/.349 .135.272 1511 26% 6% 75 -0.0 .208/.273/.344 .136.278 1611 30% 7% 71 -0.3 .183/.263/.334.151.230221131%8%60-0.5
Ryan Cordell
2021 · MLB
29 42→41 45→55 49→50 40 .211/.264/.333 .122.283 1311 30% 6% 63 -0.8 .207/.271/.370 .163.326 2214 41% 7% 77 +0.1 .151/.220/.316.164.233261847%7%40-0.9
Josh Prince
2018 · AA
30 44→46 43→40 50→60 44 .215/.273/.321 .107.283 1016 27% 7% 64 -0.8 .232/.299/.347 .115.329 1114 30% 8% 82 +0.5 .231/.306/.335.104.330101530%10%79+0.2
Taylor Featherston
2019 · MLB
29 38→45 45→50 54→50 37 .192/.249/.311 .118.281 1312 35% 6% 52 -1.6 .183/.238/.309 .126.331 159 47% 5% 47 -1.9 .155/.208/.283.128.30317552%4%25-2.6
Drew Jackson
2022 · AAA
29 42→45 45 56→55 45 .205/.290/.325 .121.298 1225 33% 9% 73 -0.1 .214/.291/.328 .114.349 1222 38% 9% 74 -0.1 .184/.261/.252.069.34982045%8%38-0.9
Jonathan Davis
2022 · MLB
30 41→51 45 52→55 47 .202/.302/.325 .123.271 1219 28% 9% 79 +0.3 .222/.307/.336 .114.302 1022 28% 9% 83 +0.6 .221/.303/.332.112.308102229%9%76+0.0
Jeff Mathis
2013 · MLB
30 38→46 45→50 46→45 39 .199/.241/.323 .124.256 136 28% 5% 51 -1.7 .202/.261/.317 .115.275 124 29% 7% 58 -1.2 .213/.264/.317.104.2918128%6%54-0.4
Tyler Saladino
2019 · MLB
30 46 43→45 50→55 46 .226/.288/.333 .106.286 1116 24% 7% 73 -0.1 .218/.288/.375 .157.282 1914 29% 8% 85 +0.7 .199/.273/.380.181.248241430%8%77+0.1
D.J. Peterson
2022 · AAA
30 40→44 48→55 50→40 39 .209/.262/.347 .138.280 1610 31% 5% 67 -0.5 .208/.279/.374 .166.290 216 34% 7% 82 +0.5 .176/.257/.344.168.23623135%8%62-0.5
Jack López
2023 · MLB
30 38→44 41→45 54→55 33 .191/.233/.290 .099.290 919 36% 4% 39 -2.5 .207/.250/.324 .117.300 1216 34% 5% 55 -1.4 .207/.250/.317.110.296121533%4%50-1.2
Grayson Greiner
2022 · MLB
29 40 44→45 47→30 40 .200/.262/.313 .113.299 134 36% 7% 58 -1.2 .195/.259/.307 .112.360 126 45% 7% 55 -1.4 .163/.227/.268.105.32115351%7%28-0.9
Chris Rabago
2022 · AAA
29 40 40 47→55 44 .195/.262/.284 .089.273 913 30% 8% 50 -1.7 .197/.263/.291 .094.306 910 36% 7% 53 -1.5 .156/.228/.224.068.2655540%6%17-1.2
Webster Rivas
2021 · AAA
30 45 43→40 47→40 43 .223/.274/.331 .108.282 116 25% 6% 67 -0.5 .218/.291/.315 .097.292 94 26% 9% 70 -0.3 .209/.293/.290.081.2837126%10%62-0.4
Kristopher Negrón
2016 · MLB
30 43→50 41→45 52→55 41 .210/.264/.309 .099.275 914 27% 5% 57 -1.2 .219/.273/.336 .117.292 1117 28% 5% 68 -0.5 .225/.289/.349.123.323141432%7%74-0.0
Aramis Garcia
2023 · MLB
30 42→41 43→50 43→45 36 .212/.254/.318 .106.286 125 30% 4% 55 -1.4 .197/.247/.340 .143.272 207 34% 5% 59 -1.1 .174/.239/.321.147.23822637%6%49-0.8