Drew Ferguson

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1992-08-03

Age (2027)34

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	25	AAA/INTL2 orgs	402	.274/.407/.375	4	7	98	—	.263/.370/.352
2019	26	AAATEX	483	.281/.398/.440	11	27	86	—	.226/.317/.344
2021	28	AAANYM	116	.186/.310/.237	1	8	23	—	.154/.241/.202

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	192	174	50	10	1	1	16	32	0	10	4	287	347	374	721	86	343	17	8	323	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	58	52	17	4	1	3	6	13	0	2	0	327	397	615	1.012	288	389	22	10	437	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	392	326	102	25	2	14	45	82	13	28	9	313	417	531	947	218	373	21	11	410	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	50	46	13	1	1	1	2	10	1	1	1	283	327	413	740	130	343	20	4	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	115	103	23	7	0	1	12	21	0	3	1	223	304	320	625	97	272	18	10	287	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	364	312	91	18	0	8	45	77	5	15	5	292	388	426	815	135	366	21	12	367	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	35	32	3	1	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	94	147	125	272	31	150	34	6	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	292	233	71	11	3	4	46	61	10	6	4	305	439	429	869	124	394	21	16	393	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	110	92	18	4	0	0	13	21	4	1	4	196	321	239	560	43	250	19	12	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	483	402	113	19	6	11	68	105	10	27	7	281	398	440	838	159	353	22	14	376	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	116	97	18	2	0	1	18	39	0	8	2	186	310	237	547	52	298	34	16	265	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	22	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	192	179	43	7	1	1	11	45	0	10	4	240	284	307	591	67	306	23	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	58	53	15	3	1	2	5	15	0	2	0	283	345	491	835	208	351	26	9	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	392	341	83	18	2	10	30	114	13	28	9	243	328	396	724	152	309	29	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	115	106	21	6	0	1	9	27	0	3	1	198	261	283	544	85	254	23	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	364	329	80	16	0	6	29	96	5	15	5	243	314	347	661	103	324	26	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	292	247	65	9	2	3	32	80	10	6	4	263	370	352	722	89	369	27	11	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	483	424	96	15	4	9	46	132	10	27	7	226	317	344	661	118	300	27	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	116	104	16	2	0	1	12	48	0	8	2	154	241	202	443	48	272	41	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	192	179	43	7	1	1	11	45	0	10	4	240	284	307	591	67	311	23	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	192	174	50	10	1	1	16	32	0	10	4	287	347	374	721	86	343	17	8	323	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	500	438	107	23	3	13	39	143	14	31	10	244	326	400	725	155	326	29	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	500	424	132	30	4	18	53	105	14	31	10	311	405	528	934	217	371	21	11	404	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	514	467	107	23	0	7	40	132	5	18	6	229	297	323	620	94	305	26	8	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	514	447	117	26	0	9	59	110	5	18	6	262	354	380	734	119	329	21	11	333	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	402	340	91	13	3	5	44	110	14	7	8	268	374	368	742	100	377	27	11	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	402	325	89	15	3	4	59	82	14	7	8	274	407	375	782	102	351	20	15	359	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	483	424	96	15	4	9	46	132	10	27	7	226	317	344	661	118	304	27	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	483	402	113	19	6	11	68	105	10	27	7	281	398	440	838	159	353	22	14	376	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	116	104	16	2	0	1	12	48	0	8	2	154	241	202	443	48	273	41	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA RAW	Syracuse Mets	—	116	97	18	2	0	1	18	39	0	8	2	186	310	237	547	52	298	34	16	265	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	192	179	43	7	1	1	11	45	0	10	4	240	284	307	591	67	306	23	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	500	443	107	23	3	13	39	143	14	31	10	242	326	395	721	153	314	29	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	514	464	107	23	0	7	40	132	5	18	6	231	297	325	622	95	307	26	8	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	402	341	91	13	3	5	44	110	14	7	8	267	374	367	741	100	369	27	11	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	483	424	96	15	4	9	46	132	10	27	7	226	317	344	661	118	300	27	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	116	103	16	2	0	1	12	48	0	8	2	155	241	204	445	49	272	41	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2207	1952	460	83	11	36	192	610	43	101	37	236	318	345	663	109	321	28	9	294	85	-39	+5	+0	-24	+48	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	135	24	3	11	57	180	13	30	11	235	318	344	663	110	320	28	9	294	85	-12	+2	+0	-7	+14	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAASyracuse Mets · 116 PAwOBA .260 → .202 (−58)K% 33.6% → 41.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.62%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	41.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.52%	÷1.006	×0.690	—	×0.982	10.45%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.86%	÷1.032	×0.930	×1.032	×0.982	23.61%
Doubles /BIP	3.45%	÷0.897	×0.830	×1.032	×0.982	3.23%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.986	×0.920	×1.032	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.72%	÷1.039	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.14%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 106, 2B 79, 3B 97, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .260 → .202; ISO .052 → .038; BABIP .298 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAARound Rock Express · 483 PAwOBA .368 → .295 (−73)K% 21.7% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.74%	÷1.022	×1.290	—	—	27.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.87%	÷1.030	×0.710	—	×1.003	9.59%
HBP% /PA	2.07%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	2.04%
Singles /BIP	25.93%	÷0.966	×0.900	×0.950	×1.003	23.02%
Doubles /BIP	6.40%	÷0.995	×0.810	×0.950	×1.003	4.96%
Triples /BIP	2.02%	÷1.126	×0.810	×0.950	×1.003	1.38%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷0.948	×0.780	—	×1.003	3.06%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 125, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .368 → .295; ISO .159 → .124; BABIP .353 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 292 PAwOBA .385 → .330 (−55)K% 20.9% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.89%	÷0.982	×1.290	—	—	27.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.41%	÷1.025	×0.710	—	×1.018	10.87%
HBP% /PA	3.42%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	3.42%
Singles /BIP	30.81%	÷0.962	×0.900	×1.016	×1.018	29.83%
Doubles /BIP	6.40%	÷0.974	×0.810	×1.016	×1.018	5.50%
Triples /BIP	1.74%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.016	×1.018	1.27%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷0.951	×0.780	—	×1.018	1.94%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .385 → .330; ISO .124 → .101; BABIP .394 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 364 PAwOBA .357 → .293 (−64)K% 21.2% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.15%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	26.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.09%	÷1.056	×0.700	—	×0.998	8.00%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	1.19%
Singles /BIP	27.66%	÷1.014	×0.920	×0.994	×0.998	24.89%
Doubles /BIP	7.66%	÷0.964	×0.840	×0.994	×0.998	6.62%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	×0.994	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.40%	÷1.035	×0.800	—	×0.998	2.63%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .357 → .293; ISO .135 → .109; BABIP .366 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 115 PAwOBA .280 → .237 (−43)K% 18.3% → 23.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.26%	÷0.992	×1.290	—	—	23.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.43%	÷1.028	×0.710	—	×1.033	7.45%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.29%	÷0.978	×0.900	×1.003	×1.033	17.44%
Doubles /BIP	8.54%	÷0.926	×0.810	×1.003	×1.033	7.73%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.003	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.22%	÷0.963	×0.780	—	×1.033	1.02%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .280 → .237; ISO .097 → .083; BABIP .272 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 392 PAwOBA .405 → .308 (−97)K% 20.9% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.92%	÷0.962	×1.340	—	—	29.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.48%	÷1.046	×0.710	—	×0.988	7.70%
HBP% /PA	3.32%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	2.59%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.982	×0.910	×0.969	×0.988	22.18%
Doubles /BIP	10.25%	÷1.070	×0.820	×0.969	×0.988	7.52%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷0.900	×0.760	×0.969	×0.988	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	5.74%	÷1.252	×0.920	—	×0.988	4.16%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .405 → .308; ISO .218 → .155; BABIP .373 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 58 PAwOBA .425 → .350 (−75)K% 22.4% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.41%	÷1.055	×1.220	—	—	25.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.34%	÷0.932	×0.700	—	×1.012	7.86%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷0.967	×0.920	—	×1.012	22.22%
Doubles /BIP	10.26%	÷1.017	×0.840	—	×1.012	8.57%
Triples /BIP	2.56%	÷0.977	×0.940	—	×1.012	2.50%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.196	×0.800	—	×1.012	5.21%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 111, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .425 → .350; ISO .288 → .216; BABIP .389 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 192 PAwOBA .318 → .259 (−60)K% 16.7% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.960	×1.360	—	—	23.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.021	×0.690	—	×0.990	5.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.76%	÷0.989	×0.920	×1.011	×0.990	24.93%
Doubles /BIP	7.04%	÷1.106	×0.830	×1.011	×0.990	5.29%
Triples /BIP	0.70%	÷0.900	×0.910	×1.011	×0.990	0.71%
Home runs /BIP	0.70%	÷1.032	×0.800	—	×0.990	0.54%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 98, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .318 → .259; ISO .086 → .065; BABIP .343 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .