David McCabe
3B Columbus Clingstones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 184 | .160/.288/.231 | 2 | 2 | 30 | — | .120/.220/.192 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AAATL | 547 | .275/.372/.426 | 14 | 3 | 83 | — | .237/.301/.364 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/AAATL | 325 | .294/.382/.556 | 20 | 0 | 111 | — | .252/.320/.455 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBATL | 3 | .239/.306/.395 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ25% MLB | 28 | MLBATL | 110 | .237/.304/.391 | 3 | 0 | 95 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ36% MLB | 29 | MLBATL | 168 | .235/.302/.385 | 5 | 0 | 93 | 0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 118 | 100 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 260 | 357 | 350 | 707 | 90 | 333 | 23 | 13 | 317 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 348 | 292 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 66 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 281 | 391 | 428 | 819 | 147 | 332 | 19 | 15 | 367 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 176 | 146 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 385 | 493 | 878 | 226 | 333 | 27 | 15 | 384 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 96 | 72 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 453 | 361 | 814 | 83 | 455 | 30 | 24 | 379 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 141 | 117 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 137 | 284 | 214 | 497 | 77 | 192 | 30 | 17 | 246 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 43 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 302 | 282 | 584 | 51 | 391 | 37 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 112 | 98 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 324 | 398 | 722 | 163 | 302 | 29 | 12 | 322 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 435 | 371 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 58 | 89 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 286 | 384 | 434 | 818 | 148 | 347 | 20 | 13 | 364 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 105 | 91 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 319 | 380 | 505 | 885 | 187 | 391 | 27 | 8 | 373 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 220 | 188 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 282 | 384 | 580 | 963 | 298 | 311 | 25 | 13 | 416 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 118 | 105 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 296 | 305 | 600 | 76 | 313 | 30 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 348 | 315 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 88 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 232 | 299 | 349 | 648 | 117 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 176 | 154 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 201 | 293 | 364 | 657 | 162 | 287 | 37 | 11 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 141 | 125 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 120 | 220 | 192 | 412 | 72 | 181 | 35 | 11 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 112 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 261 | 320 | 582 | 117 | 278 | 35 | 7 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 435 | 392 | 96 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 107 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 312 | 375 | 687 | 130 | 305 | 25 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 105 | 93 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 330 | 419 | 749 | 140 | 354 | 32 | 6 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 220 | 197 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 315 | 472 | 787 | 234 | 286 | 30 | 9 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 118 | 105 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 296 | 305 | 600 | 76 | 319 | 30 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 118 | 100 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 260 | 357 | 350 | 707 | 90 | 333 | 23 | 13 | 317 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 620 | 555 | 122 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 58 | 180 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 220 | 295 | 348 | 643 | 128 | 290 | 29 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 620 | 510 | 141 | 29 | 1 | 17 | 103 | 142 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 276 | 399 | 437 | 836 | 161 | 347 | 23 | 17 | 374 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 163 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 117 | 217 | 178 | 395 | 61 | 177 | 35 | 11 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 156 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 288 | 231 | 519 | 71 | 240 | 32 | 15 | 252 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 547 | 495 | 117 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 147 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 301 | 364 | 665 | 127 | 307 | 27 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 547 | 469 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 14 | 71 | 121 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 372 | 426 | 798 | 151 | 338 | 22 | 13 | 355 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 291 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 320 | 450 | 770 | 196 | 322 | 30 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 325 | 279 | 82 | 13 | 0 | 20 | 37 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 382 | 556 | 938 | 262 | 339 | 25 | 11 | 402 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 118 | 107 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 224 | 296 | 299 | 595 | 75 | 313 | 30 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 620 | 556 | 122 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 58 | 180 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 219 | 295 | 347 | 642 | 128 | 288 | 29 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 161 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 118 | 217 | 180 | 398 | 62 | 181 | 35 | 11 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 547 | 496 | 117 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 147 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 301 | 363 | 664 | 127 | 299 | 27 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 294 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 320 | 446 | 765 | 194 | 308 | 30 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 161 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 118 | 217 | 180 | 398 | 62 | 181 | 35 | 11 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 547 | 496 | 117 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 147 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 301 | 363 | 664 | 127 | 299 | 27 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 294 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 320 | 446 | 765 | 194 | 308 | 30 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 2% | 375 | 339 | 81 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 111 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 306 | 395 | 701 | 156 | 314 | 30 | 8 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 306 | 395 | 701 | 156 | 314 | 33 | 0 | 311 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 25% | 446 | 404 | 96 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 131 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 304 | 391 | 695 | 154 | 311 | 29 | 8 | 309 | 95 | -2 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 36% | 470 | 426 | 100 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 138 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 302 | 385 | 687 | 150 | 309 | 29 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -4 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | ATL | 43% | 481 | 437 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 141 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 299 | 378 | 677 | 146 | 305 | 29 | 8 | 302 | 91 | -5 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB MLE | ATL | 48% | 244 | 221 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 295 | 369 | 665 | 141 | 301 | 29 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 25% | 110 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 304 | 391 | 695 | 154 | 311 | 29 | 8 | 309 | 95 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 36% | 168 | 151 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 302 | 385 | 687 | 150 | 309 | 29 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | ATL | 43% | 207 | 187 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 299 | 378 | 677 | 146 | 305 | 29 | 8 | 302 | 91 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB CTX | ATL | 48% | 117 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 295 | 369 | 665 | 141 | 301 | 29 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 602 | 543 | 125 | 24 | 0 | 17 | 49 | 176 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 299 | 368 | 667 | 138 | 305 | 29 | 8 | 303 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -6 | +2 | +13 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 586 | 135 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 53 | 190 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 298 | 367 | 665 | 137 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 303 | 86 | -7 | +0 | -6 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3590 | 3237 | 737 | 139 | 5 | 100 | 307 | 1053 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 228 | 297 | 366 | 664 | 139 | 301 | 29 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -16 | -0 | -16 | +6 | +39 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 133 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 56 | 191 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 297 | 365 | 662 | 138 | 301 | 29 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -6 | -0 | -6 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 220 PAwOBA .406 → .334 (−72)K% 24.5% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×0.988 | 20.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.045 | ×0.988 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.045 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 9.44% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .406 → .334; ISO .298 → .240; BABIP .311 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 105 PAwOBA .381 → .329 (−52)K% 26.7% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 29.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.52% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .381 → .329; ISO .187 → .144; BABIP .391 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAColumbus Clingstones · 435 PAwOBA .357 → .301 (−56)K% 20.5% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.46% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.87% | ÷1.036 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.53% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 22.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.16% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 7.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.108 | ×0.880 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.55% | ÷0.934 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.03% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 122, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .357 → .301; ISO .148 → .135; BABIP .347 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 112 PAwOBA .317 → .251 (−66)K% 28.6% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷1.140 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 22.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.162 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.961 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.56% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 94, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 95, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .317 → .251; ISO .163 → .119; BABIP .302 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMississippi Braves · 141 PAwOBA .241 → .195 (−46)K% 29.8% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.79% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.02% | ÷1.025 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 11.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.67% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 13.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.899 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.880 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷0.906 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 99, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .241 → .195; ISO .077 → .072; BABIP .192 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Rome Braves · 348 PAwOBA .361 → .285 (−76)K% 19.0% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.97% | ÷0.985 | ×1.310 | — | — | 25.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.23% | ÷1.045 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 8.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.22% | ÷0.977 | ×0.870 | ×1.009 | ×0.998 | 22.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷0.995 | ×0.780 | ×1.009 | ×0.998 | 5.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.087 | ×0.850 | ×1.009 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.98% | ÷1.022 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.42% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 117, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .361 → .285; ISO .147 → .125; BABIP .332 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAugusta GreenJackets · 176 PAwOBA .379 → .289 (−90)K% 26.7% → 36.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.70% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.34% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.23% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 21.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.08% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 6.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 92, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .379 → .289; ISO .226 → .169; BABIP .333 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAugusta GreenJackets · 118 PAwOBA .318 → .271 (−47)K% 22.9% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.88% | ÷1.050 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.71% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.03% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 25.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷0.931 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 7.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.127 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.97% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 110, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .318 → .271; ISO .090 → .074; BABIP .333 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .