Jake Holton — OGILVIE

Jake Holton1B Sacramento River Cats

Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 242 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION300 act + 200 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .303 / .354

PA200

HR5

K%26

BB%10

BABIP267

ISO143

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	315	270	64	14	3	8	28	94	14	1	2	237	340	400	740	163	327	30	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	315	257	72	16	4	8	41	66	14	1	2	280	407	467	874	187	344	21	13	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	496	428	97	21	2	15	49	138	17	5	5	227	330	390	720	164	296	28	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	496	404	105	19	3	13	72	94	17	5	5	260	393	418	811	158	308	19	15	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	463	405	88	14	1	12	42	99	14	0	1	217	312	346	658	128	257	21	9	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	463	379	93	13	2	14	68	68	14	0	1	245	380	401	781	156	264	15	15	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	369	94	17	0	15	26	115	11	6	2	255	323	423	745	168	325	28	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	351	98	21	0	14	44	91	11	6	2	279	377	459	836	179	336	22	11	370	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	2 teams	—	515	466	100	24	2	17	42	158	6	7	2	215	288	384	672	170	284	31	8	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	2 teams	—	515	448	122	34	2	21	60	121	6	7	2	272	366	498	864	225	329	23	12	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	SF	—	300	253	47	10	1	5	34	71	7	1	0	186	299	292	592	107	230	24	11	270	65	-12	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.9
YTD	28	AAA	SF	—	300	239	52	12	1	6	48	55	7	1	0	218	364	351	715	134	250	18	16	327	108	+3	+0	+0	-5	+8	0.6
ROS	28	AAA	SF	10%	200	175	37	8	1	5	19	51	4	1	0	211	303	354	657	143	258	26	10	291	81	-4	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.2
ROS	28	MLB	SF	10%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	253	25	10	272	66	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
FULL	28	AAA	SF	—	320	271	50	11	1	5	36	76	7	1	0	185	296	288	584	103	230	24	11	270	65	-13	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.9
TOT	28	AAA	SF	—	500	428	84	18	2	10	53	122	11	2	0	196	301	318	619	121	244	24	11	278	71	-16	+0	+0	-9	+14	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SF	27%	323	283	59	12	1	8	31	82	6	2	0	208	300	343	643	134	261	25	10	292	82	-7	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	SF	27%	88	78	15	3	0	2	8	22	2	1	0	192	284	308	592	115	256	25	9	274	68	-3	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	108	96	18	4	0	2	10	27	2	1	0	188	278	292	569	104	239	25	9	273	67	-4	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	108	24	0	12	60	162	12	6	0	187	277	291	568	104	238	25	9	273	67	-24	+1	-2	-12	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	2722	2396	539	110	10	80	237	737	72	22	12	225	313	379	693	154	288	27	9	302	89	-33	-0	-1	-49	+77	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	128	26	2	19	57	176	17	5	3	224	313	376	689	152	286	27	9	302	89	-8	-0	-0	-12	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	128	104	32	8	1	3	16	24	7	0	2	308	433	490	923	183	372	19	12	410	172	+10	-1	—	—	+4	1.4
2021	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	187	153	40	8	3	5	25	42	7	1	0	261	389	451	840	190	324	22	13	373	144	+9	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2022	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	26	23	5	0	0	0	1	8	2	0	0	217	308	217	525		333	31	4	257	55	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	470	381	100	19	3	13	71	86	15	5	5	262	397	430	828	168	306	18	15	374	144	+23	-1	—	—	+13	3.7
2023	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	463	379	93	13	2	14	68	68	14	0	1	245	380	401	781	156	264	15	15	356	130	+16	-0	—	—	+13	2.9
2024	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	351	98	21	0	14	44	91	11	6	2	279	377	459	836	179	336	22	11	370	142	+19	+0	—	—	+12	3.2
2025	27	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	464	405	104	29	2	19	54	118	4	6	1	257	350	479	829	222	316	25	12	365	138	+20	+1	—	—	+13	3.4
2025	27	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	51	43	18	5	0	2	6	3	2	1	1	419	510	674	1.184	256	421	6	12	514	251	+9	-0	—	—	+1	1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Holton (OGILVIE)	28	45	60	45	50	196/301/318	121	244	10	2	24%	11%	71	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tagg Bozied 2007 · AAA	28	46→48	52→55	43→45	44	235/302/403	167	287	20	5	25%	6%	98	+1.6	229/291/399	170	273	21	6	24%	7%	92	+1.2	242/304/415	173	298	20	5	25%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Brock Peterson 2012 · AAA	28	45→50	51→55	43→40	41	233/289/393	160	300	19	4	29%	6%	90	+1.0	231/285/391	160	302	20	4	29%	6%	88	+0.9	214/273/350	137	292	16	1	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Stefan Gartrell 2012 · AAA	28	44→52	52→55	45	41	229/284/398	169	291	21	5	29%	6%	89	+1.0	222/279/386	164	311	21	8	34%	7%	84	+0.6	211/271/373	162	302	22	8	36%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Yermín Mercedes 2021 · AAA	28	47→53	52→50	49→45	44	241/294/405	164	289	20	6	24%	6%	95	+1.4	236/294/371	135	283	17	7	22%	7%	86	+0.8	233/294/363	130	277	17	6	22%	7%	81	+0.3
●Jeff Bailey 2007 · AAA	28	44→49	53→55	45	47	231/307/403	172	284	21	4	26%	8%	101	+1.8	231/312/398	167	280	20	7	24%	9%	102	+1.8	228/314/394	167	271	20	6	23%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA	28	44→40	51→50	44→40	46	224/299/381	157	295	19	3	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/268/341	133	272	15	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	175/228/284	109	227	11	2	28%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Jonathan Rodríguez 2018 · AAA	28	49→50	49→55	43→50	48	242/313/388	146	322	18	5	29%	9%	98	+1.6	231/308/393	162	313	20	6	30%	10%	98	+1.6	203/291/371	168	270	22	3	32%	10%	85	+0.4
●Robbie Tenerowicz 2023 · AAA	28	44→51	50→55	42→45	44	225/314/382	157	293	18	5	28%	7%	98	+1.6	239/325/398	159	286	19	4	23%	6%	108	+2.3	237/327/396	158	280	20	3	22%	6%	105	+1.8
✕Chris Jacobs 2016 · AAA	27	44→41	49→55	46→40	43	223/297/369	146	307	18	3	32%	8%	88	+0.9	217/273/324	107	324	11	6	34%	6%	65	-0.7	187/220/268	81	294	13	0	40%	3%	24	-0.7
✕Anthony García 2019 · AAA	27	43→47	50→55	42→45	47	223/293/376	152	263	18	5	23%	7%	88	+0.9	227/296/365	138	292	16	7	26%	8%	85	+0.7	220/289/317	97	302	12	2	30%	8%	70	-0.1
●David Fry 2023 · AAA	27	45→47	51→55	48→45	44	232/295/390	158	284	18	4	25%	7%	92	+1.2	242/316/414	172	296	20	7	24%	8%	107	+2.2	238/322/421	183	291	23	7	25%	9%	107	+1.0
✕Jerry Sands 2016 · MLB	28	44→46	49→60	42→45	48	225/294/374	149	277	17	3	25%	8%	87	+0.8	237/298/396	159	294	18	4	25%	8%	94	+1.3	238/300/412	174	297	20	3	26%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Ben Guez 2015 · AAA	28	40→50	52→55	44→50	41	211/282/378	167	279	20	10	32%	6%	84	+0.6	210/283/366	156	307	19	16	36%	7%	81	+0.4	201/298/374	173	254	25	29	31%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Nick Gorneault 2007 · AAA	28	47→48	51→55	48→50	42	236/288/406	169	310	17	8	29%	6%	92	+1.2	216/273/359	143	283	16	12	29%	7%	74	-0.1	201/260/332	132	262	16	12	29%	7%	58	-0.9
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2019 · AAA	29	41→46	54→55	44→45	43	220/278/397	178	262	23	6	26%	6%	87	+0.8	226/278/371	145	264	16	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	220/269/366	146	240	13	0	15%	5%	70	-0.1
●Prentice Redman 2008 · AAA	28	46→54	48→55	43→50	45	229/291/372	143	284	15	8	24%	7%	85	+0.7	236/294/404	168	273	20	9	21%	7%	95	+1.4	237/293/411	174	268	21	9	20%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Marquez Smith 2013 · AAA	28	47→53	47→55	46→40	41	234/283/374	140	295	15	3	26%	5%	82	+0.5	232/303/374	142	296	14	4	25%	8%	91	+1.1	232/312/375	143	301	14	3	26%	9%	93	+0.9
✕Jerad Head 2011 · AAA	28	47→46	52→55	47→50	40	241/291/414	173	293	20	7	25%	5%	97	+1.5	223/274/373	150	276	17	7	26%	4%	79	+0.3	214/266/354	140	264	16	6	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Kyle Jensen 2016 · AAA	28	38→48	53→60	46→40	37	205/255/378	173	271	22	3	33%	5%	72	-0.2	200/249/354	154	293	19	3	37%	5%	63	-0.8	181/233/319	138	273	18	1	39%	5%	45	-1.4
✕Rob Segedin 2017 · MLB	28	48→53	51→50	44→45	44	243/303/410	166	296	19	5	24%	6%	100	+1.7	229/279/372	143	285	16	6	25%	6%	80	+0.4	205/249/313	107	252	12	0	24%	5%	50	-0.4