Jaron ElkinsOF
Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 21
R/R
6'1" / 193 lbs
A
HR +15%K -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.4 · 2031
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .247 / .276
PA320
HR6
SB22
K%42
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
35→35
SPD
60→60
EYE
45↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $7M | $0.5M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 228 | 201 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 119 | 8 | 20 | 7 | .164 | .260 | .274 | .534 | .109 | .367 | 52 | 8 | .231 | 35 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 515 | 460 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 208 | 17 | 63 | 6 | .187 | .265 | .289 | .554 | .102 | .315 | 40 | 6 | .244 | 45 | -32 | +10 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Ontario Tower Buzzers | 80 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .174 | .269 | .348 | .617 | .174 | .321 | 49 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | LAD | 240 | 215 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 104 | 6 | 13 | 2 | .167 | .248 | .279 | .527 | .112 | .296 | 43 | 7 | .247 | 47 | -14 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -0.7 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | LAD | 320 | 284 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 143 | 9 | 22 | 4 | .169 | .253 | .296 | .549 | .127 | .296 | 45 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -18 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | LAD | 565 | 502 | 95 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 198 | 14 | 27 | 5 | .189 | .273 | .321 | .594 | .131 | .276 | 35 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -23 | +3 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | LAD | 610 | 541 | 105 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 205 | 15 | 25 | 4 | .194 | .279 | .331 | .610 | .137 | .278 | 34 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -19 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +17 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | LAD | 640 | 566 | 115 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 54 | 210 | 15 | 23 | 4 | .203 | .290 | .352 | .641 | .148 | .279 | 33 | 8 | .285 | 77 | -17 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | LAD | 657 | 580 | 118 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 57 | 212 | 15 | 22 | 3 | .203 | .291 | .353 | .645 | .150 | .280 | 32 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -15 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +19 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | LAD | 664 | 585 | 120 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 215 | 16 | 20 | 3 | .205 | .294 | .356 | .650 | .150 | .281 | 32 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +19 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | LAD | 665 | 585 | 120 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 59 | 216 | 16 | 19 | 3 | .205 | .295 | .356 | .651 | .150 | .281 | 32 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +19 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 660 | 581 | 118 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 59 | 215 | 15 | 17 | 2 | .203 | .293 | .353 | .646 | .150 | .280 | 33 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -15 | +3 | -1 | -4 | +19 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 650 | 571 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 59 | 214 | 15 | 16 | 2 | .200 | .291 | .343 | .635 | .144 | .279 | 33 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -16 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 640 | 562 | 110 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 58 | 213 | 15 | 15 | 1 | .196 | .288 | .335 | .623 | .139 | .277 | 33 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -17 | +3 | -2 | -4 | +18 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 625 | 550 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 56 | 210 | 14 | 13 | 0 | .195 | .285 | .335 | .620 | .140 | .276 | 34 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -19 | +3 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 607 | 533 | 101 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 207 | 14 | 11 | 0 | .189 | .282 | .321 | .603 | .131 | .274 | 34 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -21 | +2 | -4 | -4 | +17 | -0.9 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 577 | 507 | 95 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 52 | 201 | 13 | 10 | 0 | .187 | .280 | .318 | .597 | .130 | .272 | 35 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -22 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +16 | -1.2 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 529 | 465 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 189 | 12 | 9 | 0 | .183 | .275 | .303 | .578 | .120 | .270 | 36 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -23 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +15 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9072 | 8004 | 1558 | 299 | 49 | 233 | 774 | 3136 | 220 | 323 | 42 | .195 | .284 | .332 | .615 | .137 | .283 | 35 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -299 | +48 | -20 | -54 | +257 | -6.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 112 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 55 | 225 | 16 | 23 | 3 | .195 | .284 | .335 | .619 | .140 | .284 | 35 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -21 | +3 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 228 | 186 | 53 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 80 | 8 | 20 | 7 | .285 | .414 | .457 | .871 | .172 | .471 | 35 | 14 | .391 | 157 | +15 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 2.3 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 515 | 447 | 118 | 30 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 153 | 17 | 63 | 6 | .264 | .354 | .414 | .768 | .150 | .375 | 30 | 9 | .342 | 120 | +12 | +10 | — | — | +15 | 3.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jaron Elkins (OGILVIE) | 21 | 35 | 35 | 60 | 35 | .171/.247/.276 | .105 | .294 | 6 | 14 | 42% | 7% | 43 | -1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Kyren Paris 2023 · AA |
21 | 41→46 | 45 | 59→60 | 41 | .194/.274/.319 | .125 | .313 | 12 | 26 | 39% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .193/.278/.319 | .126 | .311 | 13 | 30 | 39% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .179/.270/.309 | .131 | .284 | 15 | 35 | 39% | 10% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Greg Golson 2007 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 32 | .193/.229/.296 | .102 | .288 | 9 | 17 | 35% | 4% | 38 | -2.6 | .214/.246/.322 | .108 | .326 | 10 | 19 | 36% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .259/.313/.348 | .089 | .368 | 5 | 31 | 29% | 5% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A |
21 | 42 | 38→30 | 61→70 | 39 | .197/.263/.279 | .082 | .306 | 5 | 36 | 35% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .204/.255/.272 | .068 | .280 | 3 | 37 | 27% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .203/.249/.256 | .053 | .266 | 2 | 51 | 23% | 5% | 33 | -1.4 |
|
✕Junior Perez 2022 · A |
21 | 38 | 44→45 | 53→55 | 36 | .179/.246/.295 | .117 | .318 | 11 | 16 | 44% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .184/.257/.299 | .115 | .319 | 12 | 23 | 42% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .172/.245/.284 | .112 | .290 | 12 | 29 | 42% | 8% | 41 | -1.8 |
|
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A |
23 | 40 | 40 | 54→65 | 40 | .192/.269/.282 | .090 | .299 | 8 | 28 | 36% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.284/.315 | .099 | .302 | 7 | 27 | 29% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .225/.290/.320 | .095 | .304 | 4 | 32 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Michael Crouse 2012 · A |
21 | 41→40 | 46→50 | 57→55 | 39 | .200/.264/.335 | .135 | .304 | 13 | 24 | 37% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .191/.258/.312 | .121 | .305 | 12 | 19 | 39% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .197/.265/.330 | .133 | .301 | 13 | 19 | 37% | 8% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
✕Monte Harrison 2017 · A |
21 | 39→43 | 39→50 | 53→60 | 36 | .182/.253/.263 | .081 | .299 | 6 | 16 | 38% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .205/.262/.331 | .126 | .332 | 14 | 18 | 40% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .194/.262/.320 | .126 | .338 | 17 | 41 | 45% | 7% | 56 | -0.6 |
|
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A |
22 | 40→47 | 42→45 | 56→55 | 37 | .197/.248/.304 | .107 | .299 | 10 | 21 | 36% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.256/.315 | .106 | .331 | 10 | 20 | 38% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .212/.260/.311 | .099 | .339 | 10 | 22 | 38% | 5% | 52 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A |
22 | 40 | 42→45 | 50→55 | 41 | .172/.280/.276 | .105 | .337 | 10 | 18 | 46% | 10% | 58 | -1.2 | .187/.287/.297 | .110 | .339 | 11 | 16 | 43% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .170/.275/.273 | .103 | .306 | 12 | 18 | 43% | 10% | 53 | -0.5 |
|
✕Kenny Wilson 2010 · A |
20 | 36→46 | 37→40 | 56→60 | 38 | .174/.245/.243 | .070 | .279 | 4 | 27 | 37% | 7% | 33 | -2.9 | .185/.260/.245 | .060 | .284 | 3 | 27 | 33% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .199/.267/.293 | .094 | .305 | 8 | 22 | 35% | 7% | 52 | -0.6 |
|
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A |
20 | 37 | 38→40 | 54→60 | 42 | .177/.252/.256 | .078 | .282 | 5 | 19 | 36% | 8% | 39 | -2.5 | .189/.255/.265 | .076 | .277 | 5 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .172/.238/.215 | .043 | .239 | 3 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Dasan Brown 2022 · A |
20 | 43→37 | 40 | 54→60 | 37 | .196/.276/.289 | .094 | .328 | 8 | 22 | 39% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .196/.265/.286 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 22 | 37% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .182/.253/.265 | .082 | .286 | 7 | 26 | 36% | 6% | 39 | -1.8 |
|
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A |
21 | 37→40 | 42→45 | 53→55 | 35 | .184/.244/.282 | .097 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 37% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .196/.251/.317 | .121 | .287 | 14 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .198/.249/.325 | .127 | .276 | 15 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A |
23 | 43 | 41→40 | 57→60 | 40 | .203/.269/.298 | .096 | .321 | 9 | 24 | 38% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .188/.271/.269 | .081 | .305 | 6 | 20 | 37% | 9% | 51 | -1.7 | .098/.228/.122 | .024 | .176 | 0 | 28 | 38% | 12% | -2 | -1.2 |
|
✕Aaron Whitefield 2018 · A |
21 | 42→45 | 41→40 | 55→60 | 37 | .206/.255/.301 | .094 | .296 | 9 | 23 | 32% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .183/.232/.260 | .077 | .291 | 6 | 24 | 37% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .204/.263/.306 | .102 | .311 | 9 | 38 | 35% | 7% | 54 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jeffrey Baez 2015 · A |
21 | 42→46 | 42→50 | 55→60 | 37 | .204/.253/.310 | .105 | .294 | 9 | 21 | 33% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .210/.253/.317 | .107 | .274 | 10 | 23 | 26% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .195/.249/.339 | .144 | .260 | 18 | 15 | 32% | 6% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Bubba Thompson 2019 · A |
21 | 45→55 | 42→50 | 55→65 | 32 | .212/.253/.323 | .111 | .332 | 9 | 21 | 38% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.243/.314 | .116 | .315 | 10 | 20 | 39% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .241/.284/.369 | .129 | .334 | 12 | 46 | 30% | 4% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A |
21 | 36→38 | 41→45 | 54→55 | 36 | .183/.230/.282 | .099 | .265 | 9 | 21 | 34% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | .186/.238/.285 | .099 | .283 | 10 | 17 | 36% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .179/.226/.278 | .098 | .281 | 10 | 17 | 38% | 4% | 29 | -2.2 |
|
✕Paulo Orlando 2007 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 40→45 | 55 | 30 | .204/.237/.300 | .097 | .315 | 7 | 17 | 37% | 3% | 43 | -2.2 | .214/.246/.317 | .103 | .300 | 8 | 18 | 31% | 3% | 50 | -1.7 | .255/.286/.368 | .112 | .317 | 9 | 14 | 22% | 3% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Justin Trapp 2012 · A |
21 | 42→45 | 38→45 | 54→55 | 38 | .200/.254/.279 | .078 | .296 | 5 | 20 | 33% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .214/.270/.315 | .101 | .294 | 9 | 16 | 29% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .213/.269/.307 | .093 | .289 | 9 | 15 | 28% | 6% | 55 | -1.2 |