Joshua Báez — OGILVIE

Joshua BáezRF Memphis Redbirds

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs MLB HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION561 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP250

ISO163

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 46 / POW 62

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT46

xAVG

120.220

POWER62

Barrel%

8313.1

Avg EV

9092.8

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED51

Sprint

9029.1

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%32%·32% over 100 PA (30d) · proj 32%

BB%6%▼4% over 100 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.215▲▲.304 over 92 AB (60d) · proj .164

HR/BB8.0%▲▲11.5% over 61 BBE (60d) · proj 6.1%

BABIP.252·.296 over 54 BIP (60d) · proj .249

SLASH.206/.264/.420▲▲proj .193/.263/.356

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.9M		$5M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	95	76	12	3	1	2	14	28	3	5	0	158	312	303	614	145	208	29	15	285	79	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	79	63	18	5	1	3	11	30	4	4	3	286	423	540	963	254	484	38	14	418	169	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	43	38	9	3	0	1	5	14	0	6	1	237	326	395	720	158	348	33	12	324	106	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	298	65	20	4	7	45	122	12	30	2	218	344	383	726	164	337	34	13	329	109	+4	+5	—	—	+8	1.7
2024	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	260	227	51	7	0	10	24	97	4	19	5	225	309	388	696	163	333	37	9	309	95	-2	+2	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	50	17	5	0	1	8	17	3	10	0	340	459	500	959	160	500	28	13	430	177	+6	+2	—	—	+1	0.9
2025	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	331	273	74	15	1	16	41	67	8	34	7	271	380	509	889	238	294	20	12	383	145	+18	+4	—	—	+7	3.0
2025	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	168	145	46	8	2	4	18	36	3	20	2	317	399	483	882	166	400	21	11	390	150	+10	+3	—	—	+4	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	95	83	9	2	1	1	7	40	3	5	0	108	204	193	397	84	162	42	7	191	15	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2022	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	79	66	12	3	1	2	8	44	4	4	3	182	308	348	656	167	438	56	10	289	82	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	43	40	6	2	0	1	3	20	0	6	1	150	209	275	484	125	259	47	7	193	17	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	310	43	14	2	5	33	182	12	30	2	139	248	245	493	106	293	51	9	226	39	-26	+5	—	—	+8	-1.3
2024	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	260	234	37	5	0	7	18	130	4	19	5	158	230	269	500	111	280	50	7	219	34	-20	+2	—	—	+6	-1.3
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	52	12	3	0	1	6	25	3	10	0	231	344	346	690	115	432	41	10	310	96	-0	+2	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	331	287	68	14	1	12	29	82	8	34	7	237	324	418	742	181	267	25	9	318	101	+1	+4	—	—	+7	1.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	168	153	38	6	2	4	12	51	3	20	2	248	315	392	708	144	335	30	7	296	86	-3	+3	—	—	+4	0.4
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	95	83	9	2	1	1	7	40	3	5	0	108	204	193	397	84	182	42	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	95	76	12	3	1	2	14	28	3	5	0	158	312	303	614	145	208	29	15	285	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	122	106	18	5	1	3	11	64	4	10	4	170	273	321	593	151	375	52	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	122	101	27	8	1	4	16	44	4	10	4	267	388	485	874	218	426	36	13	385	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	310	43	14	2	5	33	182	12	30	2	139	248	245	493	106	302	51	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	298	65	20	4	7	45	122	12	30	2	218	344	383	726	164	337	34	13	329	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	286	49	8	0	8	24	155	7	29	5	171	252	283	536	112	325	48	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	321	277	68	12	0	11	32	114	7	29	5	245	338	408	745	162	368	36	10	332	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	499	440	104	20	3	15	41	133	11	54	9	236	317	398	715	161	298	27	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	499	418	120	23	3	20	59	103	11	54	9	287	386	500	886	213	331	21	12	385	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	95	85	9	2	1	1	7	40	3	5	0	106	204	188	393	82	162	42	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	122	106	18	5	1	3	11	64	4	10	4	170	273	321	593	151	375	52	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	310	43	14	2	5	33	182	12	30	2	139	248	245	493	106	293	51	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	287	49	8	0	8	24	155	7	29	5	171	252	282	535	111	309	48	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	499	444	104	20	3	15	41	133	11	54	9	234	317	394	711	160	290	27	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	310	43	14	2	5	33	182	12	30	2	139	248	245	493	106	293	51	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	287	49	8	0	8	24	155	7	29	5	171	252	282	535	111	309	48	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	499	444	104	20	3	15	41	133	11	54	9	234	317	394	711	160	290	27	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	STL	—	561	515	106	24	3	31	28	195	12	23	4	206	263	445	708	239	254	35	5	299	89	-8	+3	+0	-6	+12	0.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	23	MLB RAW	STL	—	100	92	23	7	0	7	4	32	3	2	1	250	303	554	857	304	296	32	4	367	89	-1	+0	+0	-6	+2	-0.5
YTD	23	AAA RAW	STL	—	461	410	105	22	3	34	37	136	9	21	3	256	331	573	904	317	290	30	8	386	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	MLB RAW	STL	—	100	92	23	7	0	7	4	32	3	2	1	250	303	554	857	304	296	32	4	367	134	+4	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.5
ROS	23	AAA MLE	STL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		251	33	11	292	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB CTX	STL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		250	33	11	271	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	STL	—	109	100	24	7	0	7	5	35	3	2	1	240	296	520	816	280	288	32	5	359	89	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
TOT	23	AAA MLE	STL	—	570	523	107	24	3	31	29	198	12	23	4	205	262	440	702	235	253	35	5	299	89	-8	+3	+0	-6	+12	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	65%	580	528	109	22	3	27	36	188	11	27	5	206	271	413	684	206	256	32	6	297	87	-9	+3	+1	-6	+13	0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	65%	625	569	120	24	3	29	40	196	11	29	5	211	276	417	692	206	259	31	6	302	90	-7	+4	+1	-7	+14	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	STL	65%	612	556	117	23	3	28	40	189	11	28	5	210	277	414	690	203	261	31	7	304	92	-6	+4	+1	-7	+13	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	STL	65%	600	543	115	23	3	27	41	185	11	28	5	212	281	414	695	203	261	31	7	305	92	-5	+4	+1	-6	+13	0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	STL	65%	588	533	111	22	2	26	40	182	10	26	5	208	276	403	680	195	260	31	7	304	92	-6	+3	-0	-6	+13	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	STL	65%	576	521	109	22	2	26	40	179	10	24	4	209	278	409	687	200	259	31	7	302	90	-7	+3	-1	-6	+12	0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	STL	65%	548	495	102	20	2	24	38	172	10	20	4	206	276	400	676	194	257	31	7	298	88	-8	+2	-2	-6	+12	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	65%	377	344	69	14	2	16	23	122	7	17	3	201	265	392	657	192	254	32	6	276	87	-6	+2	+0	-4	+8	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	65%	406	370	75	15	2	17	26	128	7	19	3	203	268	392	660	189	257	32	6	282	90	-5	+3	+0	-4	+9	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	STL	65%	398	362	75	15	2	17	26	123	7	18	3	207	273	401	674	193	259	31	7	284	92	-4	+2	+0	-4	+9	0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	STL	65%	390	354	74	15	2	16	26	120	7	18	3	209	276	398	675	189	259	31	7	285	92	-4	+2	+0	-4	+8	0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	STL	65%	382	346	72	14	2	16	26	118	7	17	3	208	277	399	676	191	259	31	7	284	92	-4	+2	-0	-4	+8	0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	STL	65%	374	338	69	14	1	16	26	116	7	15	3	204	275	393	668	189	257	31	7	282	90	-4	+2	-1	-4	+8	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	STL	65%	356	322	65	13	1	15	25	112	6	13	2	202	272	388	660	186	255	31	7	279	88	-5	+2	-1	-4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2692	2444	500	100	12	113	179	842	48	117	20	205	272	394	666	189	257	31	7	282	83	-31	+15	+0	-29	+58	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	120	24	3	27	43	203	12	28	5	203	271	392	663	188	256	31	7	282	83	-8	+4	+0	-7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5533	4978	1007	205	25	219	392	1868	111	310	53	202	275	385	661	183	269	34	7	291	83	-48	+23	+0	-44	+90	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	119	24	3	26	46	219	13	36	6	203	276	388	664	185	270	34	7	291	83	-8	+4	+0	-7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,064	138	137	210	274	411	-33	-1	3.4	3.4
/162	664	30	30	-7.1	-0.2	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joshua Báez (OGILVIE)	23	42→46	57→62	52→51	45	197/260/399	202	251	13	14	34%	6%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	51→55	56→55	42	220/284/382	162	298	19	23	32%	7%	86	+0.3	202/275/330	128	280	14	17	31%	8%	72	-0.7	185/267/299	114	254	13	16	31%	9%	59	-1.1
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	56→60	53→50	39	201/262/388	187	274	25	17	36%	7%	80	-0.1	212/275/381	169	303	21	11	35%	7%	83	+0.1	207/271/362	155	296	20	8	36%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Justin Maxwell 2008 · MLB	24	42→44	54→60	54→60	39	222/282/401	179	302	23	20	34%	6%	91	+0.6	217/293/366	149	301	17	28	32%	9%	86	+0.3	221/295/426	205	300	26	17	34%	9%	99	+0.6
●Ronny Simon 2023 · AA	23	39→49	51→50	56→60	39	211/255/370	159	265	20	22	29%	5%	73	-0.6	230/286/350	120	294	11	24	24%	7%	80	-0.2	266/329/370	104	332	7	30	21%	8%	98	+0.9
✕Casper Wells 2009 · AA	24	42→44	55→60	53→50	44	224/296/411	187	269	22	16	26%	7%	99	+1.2	221/289/404	183	287	21	10	30%	7%	94	+0.9	222/294/415	193	276	22	7	27%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	42→50	52→55	60→55	48	218/298/397	180	264	19	29	25%	8%	96	+1.0	219/284/371	152	274	16	24	25%	8%	84	+0.2	224/284/362	138	278	14	23	24%	7%	80	-0.1
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Joe Benson 2011 · AA	23	44→50	52→55	51→50	42	224/295/399	175	308	18	16	32%	7%	95	+1.0	215/280/364	149	297	14	14	31%	7%	81	-0.1	209/280/316	107	280	8	13	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Dustin Harris 2023 · AA	24	46→54	53→50	54→60	47	239/301/409	169	278	21	19	23%	7%	99	+1.3	222/293/348	126	288	13	29	26%	8%	82	+0.0	236/302/353	118	292	12	34	22%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Terry Evans 2007 · AA	25	45→52	51→55	53→55	38	231/285/389	157	311	20	20	32%	5%	89	+0.5	236/279/383	147	328	16	21	32%	5%	84	+0.2	230/270/375	145	320	15	23	32%	5%	77	-0.2
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	44→48	54→60	56→55	46	229/301/421	192	292	21	23	28%	8%	102	+1.5	232/297/428	196	269	23	20	23%	8%	103	+1.5	239/321/429	190	289	21	17	24%	10%	108	+2.1
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	53→60	53→50	38	207/267/377	170	307	21	17	39%	7%	80	-0.2	209/273/389	180	270	24	11	31%	7%	85	+0.2	200/266/380	180	243	26	10	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	216/275/390	173	253	21	15	24%	7%	85	+0.2	224/289/407	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+0.9	221/290/400	179	249	21	19	21%	7%	91	+0.4
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	43→46	53→60	49→50	42	221/285/395	175	301	21	15	33%	8%	91	+0.6	225/299/424	199	289	26	11	31%	9%	103	+1.5	218/297/418	200	274	27	10	30%	9%	97	+0.9
✕Jarred Kelenic 2022 · MLB	23	41→51	55→60	49→50	47	222/289/410	188	265	24	13	26%	8%	95	+1.0	228/292/404	176	298	19	14	29%	8%	95	+1.0	229/293/402	173	305	19	14	30%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	51→50	51→55	45	218/285/381	163	274	18	17	27%	7%	87	+0.4	175/249/292	117	254	14	21	35%	7%	54	-2.0	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Chris Amador 2006 · A	23	43→45	51→50	54→55	35	225/263/385	160	302	20	24	32%	4%	80	-0.2	216/259/334	118	299	12	19	31%	4%	65	-1.2	210/255/324	113	288	12	19	30%	4%	59	-1.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2023 · MLB	23	46→52	48→45	57→60	41	232/284/367	135	293	16	31	27%	6%	83	+0.1	212/278/332	120	269	14	25	26%	7%	73	-0.6	200/266/303	103	265	13	24	28%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	45→52	48→55	51→55	44	224/288/368	143	289	15	21	27%	7%	84	+0.2	210/273/359	149	279	16	17	30%	7%	78	-0.3	189/253/336	146	255	17	17	32%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	47→53	50→55	52→50	40	237/280/396	159	303	17	15	28%	5%	88	+0.4	217/268/361	144	284	16	12	28%	5%	76	-0.4	230/272/404	174	301	22	8	31%	5%	85	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps