Joshua Báez — OGILVIE

Joshua BáezRF Memphis Redbirds

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION368 act + 245 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .259 / .399

PA245

HR12

SB11

K%35

BB%6

BABIP243

ISO206

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 63

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER63

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.5M
2032	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$12M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	95	83	9	2	1	1	7	40	3	5	0	108	204	193	397	84	182	42	7	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	95	76	12	3	1	2	14	28	3	5	0	158	312	303	614	145	208	29	15	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	122	106	17	4	1	3	11	66	4	10	4	160	264	302	566	142	368	54	9	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	122	101	27	8	1	4	16	44	4	10	4	267	388	485	874	218	426	36	13	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	310	39	12	2	4	33	193	12	30	2	126	237	216	453	90	302	54	9	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	298	65	20	4	7	45	122	12	30	2	218	344	383	726	164	337	34	13	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	321	284	48	8	0	8	26	155	7	29	5	169	256	282	537	113	323	48	8	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	321	277	68	12	0	11	32	114	7	29	5	245	338	408	745	162	368	36	10	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	499	440	105	20	3	16	41	142	11	54	9	239	319	407	726	168	308	28	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	499	418	120	23	3	20	59	103	11	54	9	287	386	500	886	213	331	21	12	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	STL	—	368	338	68	12	3	23	17	133	9	14	2	201	258	459	717	257	242	36	5	300	88	-5	+2	+0	-4	+10	0.3
YTD	23	AAA	STL	—	368	328	82	16	3	28	27	111	9	14	2	250	324	573	897	323	280	30	7	383	151	+21	+2	+0	-4	+10	3.0
ROS	23	AAA	STL	40%	245	223	43	8	1	12	15	85	5	11	2	193	259	399	657	206	245	35	6	290	80	-5	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.1
ROS	23	MLB	STL	40%	98	90	18	3	1	5	6	34	2	5	1	200	265	422	688	222	245	35	6	274	68	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
FULL	23	AAA	STL	—	466	428	86	15	4	28	23	167	11	19	3	201	260	451	711	250	245	36	5	295	84	-9	+3	+0	-5	+13	0.2
TOT	23	AAA	STL	—	613	561	111	20	4	35	32	218	14	25	4	198	259	435	693	237	243	36	5	296	85	-11	+3	+0	-7	+17	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	STL	49%	571	518	104	19	3	27	37	190	11	25	4	201	269	405	674	205	250	33	6	296	84	-10	+3	+1	-6	+16	0.4
2028	25	MLB	STL	53%	587	532	109	20	3	28	39	190	11	26	4	205	273	412	685	207	254	32	7	301	88	-8	+4	+1	-6	+17	0.7
2029	26	MLB	STL	55%	592	535	111	20	3	28	41	188	11	26	4	207	278	413	691	206	256	32	7	303	90	-7	+4	+1	-6	+17	0.8
2030	27	MLB	STL	55%	591	534	110	20	3	27	41	187	11	26	4	206	276	406	683	200	257	32	7	304	90	-6	+4	+1	-6	+17	0.8
2031	28	MLB	STL	54%	586	528	109	20	3	27	42	186	11	24	4	206	279	409	688	203	256	32	7	302	90	-7	+3	-0	-6	+17	0.7
2032	29	MLB	STL	53%	579	522	106	19	3	26	41	185	11	22	4	203	275	400	676	197	255	32	7	300	88	-8	+3	-1	-6	+16	0.4
2033	30	MLB	STL	52%	570	513	105	19	3	26	41	184	11	20	3	205	278	405	683	201	253	32	7	297	86	-9	+3	-2	-6	+16	0.2
2027	24	MLB	STL	49%	279	253	50	9	1	13	18	93	6	12	2	198	267	395	662	198	250	33	6	280	73	-9	+2	+0	-3	+8	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	STL	53%	310	280	58	10	2	15	21	100	6	14	2	207	277	418	695	211	254	32	7	286	77	-8	+2	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	STL	55%	324	293	61	11	2	15	22	103	6	14	2	208	277	413	690	205	256	32	7	289	79	-8	+2	+0	-3	+9	0.0
2030	27	MLB	STL	55%	322	290	61	11	2	15	23	102	6	14	2	210	282	417	699	207	257	32	7	289	80	-7	+2	+0	-3	+9	0.1
2031	28	MLB	STL	54%	319	287	60	11	2	15	23	101	6	13	2	209	282	418	700	209	256	32	7	288	79	-8	+2	-0	-3	+9	-0.0
2032	29	MLB	STL	53%	308	277	56	10	1	14	22	98	6	12	2	202	275	397	673	195	254	32	7	286	77	-8	+2	-0	-3	+9	-0.1
2033	30	MLB	STL	52%	299	270	54	10	1	13	21	96	6	10	2	200	273	389	662	189	252	32	7	283	75	-8	+1	-1	-3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2259	2040	418	75	12	105	156	727	44	94	15	205	276	408	684	203	257	32	7	286	77	-59	+13	+0	-24	+64	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	120	22	3	30	45	209	13	27	4	204	276	405	681	201	256	32	7	286	77	-17	+4	+0	-7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	5716	5128	1015	191	29	233	415	1991	119	308	49	198	274	383	656	185	266	35	7	289	80	-131	+42	+0	-61	+162	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	115	22	3	26	47	226	14	35	6	197	273	379	652	182	266	35	7	289	80	-15	+5	+0	-7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	95	76	12	3	1	2	14	28	3	5	0	158	312	303	614	145	208	29	15	285	76	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	79	63	18	5	1	3	11	30	4	4	3	286	423	540	963	254	484	38	14	418	178	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	43	38	9	3	0	1	5	14	0	6	1	237	326	395	720	158	348	33	12	324	106	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	358	298	65	20	4	7	45	122	12	30	2	218	344	383	726	164	337	34	13	329	110	+4	+5	—	—	+10	2.0
2024	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	260	227	51	7	0	10	24	97	4	19	5	225	309	388	696	163	333	37	9	309	94	-2	+2	—	—	+7	0.8
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	50	17	5	0	1	8	17	3	10	0	340	459	500	959	160	500	28	13	430	187	+6	+2	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	331	273	74	15	1	16	41	67	8	34	7	271	380	509	889	238	294	20	12	383	151	+19	+4	—	—	+9	3.3
2025	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	168	145	46	8	2	4	18	36	3	20	2	317	399	483	882	166	400	21	11	390	157	+11	+3	—	—	+5	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	9	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
#1Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	/162	664	41	6	195	320	459	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
#2Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	11	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
	/162	664	35	4	227	287	459	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#4Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,290	105	96	205	273	406	-25	-2	1.8	1.9
	/162	664	30	28	205	273	406	-7.1	-0.6	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joshua Báez (OGILVIE)	23	43→47	59→63	51→50	46	198/259/435	237	243	35	25	36%	5%	85	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	58→60	53→50	38	203/263/401	197	283	27	17	38%	7%	82	+0.5	215/278/394	179	307	23	11	36%	7%	86	+0.8	210/275/374	164	298	21	8	35%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Ronny Simon 2023 · AA	23	39→49	52→50	56→55	39	210/253/374	164	262	21	22	29%	5%	70	-0.3	234/287/359	125	298	13	24	25%	6%	79	+0.3	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Oswald Peraza 2023 · MLB	23	45→52	50	57→60	41	234/284/381	148	293	18	31	27%	5%	85	+0.7	215/279/345	130	270	16	25	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/267/320	115	269	15	25	28%	6%	60	-0.6
●Esteury Ruiz 2022 · AA	23	43→53	49→50	59→70	38	218/273/363	145	295	16	35	31%	6%	76	+0.0	260/330/406	146	323	15	60	23%	6%	111	+2.5	268/342/410	142	331	14	74	22%	7%	114	+1.8
✕Leody Taveras 2022 · MLB	23	42→52	49→50	55	44	215/274/366	151	278	16	22	29%	7%	76	+0.1	242/293/384	142	305	15	19	25%	7%	89	+0.9	247/297/378	132	305	13	20	23%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Justin Maxwell 2008 · MLB	24	42→44	54→60	54→60	39	222/282/401	179	302	23	20	34%	6%	89	+1.0	219/294/375	156	303	18	28	32%	9%	88	+0.9	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Brewer Hicklen 2019 · A	23	42→43	47→55	57→60	33	207/261/344	137	318	15	23	38%	5%	66	-0.6	215/277/363	148	328	18	28	38%	6%	78	+0.2	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	39→44	48→55	53→55	45	191/295/337	145	304	16	31	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/290/385	167	318	20	24	36%	7%	89	+1.0	221/285/392	171	317	22	26	36%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	43→52	48→50	51→55	43	216/280/358	142	286	15	21	29%	7%	77	+0.1	206/268/350	144	278	16	17	31%	7%	70	-0.3	187/250/330	143	255	17	17	33%	7%	55	-0.7
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	35→45	48→65	51→50	38	185/248/327	142	271	17	15	37%	6%	56	-1.3	209/265/356	147	285	15	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
●Jose Siri 2019 · AA	24	39→49	49→65	59→55	33	204/242/356	151	294	16	22	36%	4%	60	-1.0	209/255/345	136	332	15	23	40%	5%	63	-0.9	236/285/460	223	322	30	25	35%	5%	104	+1.3
✕A.J. Vukovich 2023 · AA	22	42→52	50	55	33	221/252/364	143	298	19	21	33%	3%	66	-0.6	219/269/353	134	323	15	13	35%	6%	71	-0.3	237/291/395	158	341	19	3	35%	7%	87	+0.5
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	41→51	49→55	52→60	42	209/275/352	144	299	17	20	35%	8%	73	-0.1	247/306/415	168	344	19	26	32%	8%	102	+1.9	256/314/436	180	349	20	31	31%	7%	108	+1.9
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	37→46	48→60	54→50	36	196/246/338	142	285	17	16	37%	6%	57	-1.2	225/294/422	197	299	25	12	32%	8%	100	+1.7	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	54→60	53→50	37	208/268/384	176	312	22	17	40%	7%	79	+0.3	213/276/406	193	274	27	11	32%	7%	89	+0.9	206/270/403	197	248	29	10	30%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	46→55	52→55	42	202/273/338	137	283	13	17	32%	7%	69	-0.4	210/275/344	134	293	13	18	31%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→48	51→55	58→55	37	235/272/402	167	295	18	19	27%	4%	85	+0.7	240/277/395	155	301	17	23	26%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	40→50	53→55	50	37	207/268/379	172	301	21	14	37%	6%	78	+0.2	242/286/404	162	315	18	13	28%	5%	92	+1.2	251/292/407	156	316	18	12	26%	5%	92	+0.9