Cameron Cauley — OGILVIE

Cameron CauleySS Round Rock Express

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION366 act + 244 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .273 / .329

PA244

HR5

SB15

K%29

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO122

MLB%30%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT36

xwOBA

100.254

POWER45

Avg EV

1082.9

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED66

Sprint

9030.4

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$12M	+$9M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+1.9	$11M	+$6M
2031	Arb-3	$10M	+1.7	$9M	+$3M
Totals		$24M		$55M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	103	98	16	2	2	0	4	46	0	10	1	163	196	224	421	61	302	45	4	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	103	94	24	4	4	0	8	31	0	10	1	255	314	383	697	128	375	30	8	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	303	50	8	2	2	22	126	3	38	5	165	229	224	453	59	271	38	7	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	287	60	11	3	2	38	91	3	38	5	209	308	289	597	80	296	27	11	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	3 teams	—	501	456	85	19	2	10	37	218	4	39	6	186	254	303	556	116	323	44	7	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	3 teams	—	501	437	103	20	4	16	56	168	4	39	6	236	328	410	738	174	339	34	11	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	404	383	65	12	5	8	20	162	0	27	2	170	211	290	501	120	266	40	5	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	404	370	87	17	6	12	33	118	0	27	2	235	298	411	709	176	311	29	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	490	454	99	22	7	14	28	166	2	28	7	218	267	390	656	172	305	34	6	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	490	435	110	26	7	15	47	121	2	28	7	253	329	448	777	195	312	25	10	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	TEX	—	366	324	69	9	3	6	34	97	2	29	0	213	292	315	606	102	283	27	9	272	66	-14	+6	+0	+4	+10	0.6
YTD	23	AAA	TEX	—	366	311	81	12	4	8	47	76	2	29	0	260	361	402	763	141	319	21	13	340	118	+8	+6	+0	+4	+10	2.8
ROS	23	AAA	TEX	30%	244	222	46	8	2	5	19	71	1	15	1	207	273	329	602	122	277	29	8	270	65	-10	+3	+1	+3	+7	0.4
ROS	23	MLB	TEX	30%	73	67	14	2	1	2	6	21	0	4	0	209	274	358	632	149	278	29	8	268	64	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
FULL	23	AAA	TEX	—	439	391	83	11	4	8	40	118	2	33	0	212	289	322	611	110	281	27	9	271	66	-17	+7	+0	+5	+12	0.7
TOT	23	AAA	TEX	—	610	546	115	17	5	11	53	168	3	44	1	211	284	321	605	110	281	28	9	271	66	-24	+8	+1	+7	+17	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TEX	44%	599	544	116	20	6	13	47	172	3	33	2	213	279	344	623	131	282	29	8	279	71	-19	+6	+3	+6	+17	1.4
2028	25	MLB	TEX	51%	604	547	118	21	5	14	49	170	3	34	2	216	284	349	633	133	283	28	8	285	76	-16	+6	+3	+6	+17	1.7
2029	26	MLB	TEX	54%	604	546	119	21	5	15	49	168	4	34	2	218	287	357	644	139	283	28	8	288	78	-15	+6	+3	+6	+17	1.9
2030	27	MLB	TEX	54%	599	540	119	21	5	15	50	166	4	33	2	220	291	361	652	141	284	28	8	289	79	-14	+6	+3	+6	+17	1.9
2031	28	MLB	TEX	54%	591	533	115	20	5	14	49	165	4	31	2	216	287	351	638	135	283	28	8	288	79	-14	+5	+3	+6	+17	1.7
2032	29	MLB	TEX	53%	579	522	114	20	5	14	49	163	3	29	2	218	289	356	646	138	283	28	8	286	77	-15	+5	+2	+6	+16	1.5
2033	30	MLB	TEX	52%	567	511	110	19	5	13	48	161	3	25	1	215	286	348	635	133	282	28	8	284	75	-16	+5	+1	+6	+16	1.2
2027	24	MLB	TEX	44%	264	240	51	9	2	6	21	76	1	15	1	212	279	342	620	129	283	29	8	276	70	-9	+3	+2	+3	+7	0.5
2028	25	MLB	TEX	51%	306	276	60	10	3	7	25	86	2	17	1	217	287	351	639	134	284	28	8	282	74	-9	+3	+2	+3	+9	0.8
2029	26	MLB	TEX	54%	325	294	64	11	3	8	26	90	2	18	1	218	286	357	643	139	285	28	8	285	76	-9	+3	+2	+3	+9	0.9
2030	27	MLB	TEX	54%	324	292	64	11	3	8	27	90	2	18	1	219	290	360	649	140	285	28	8	286	77	-8	+3	+2	+3	+9	0.9
2031	28	MLB	TEX	54%	320	288	64	11	3	8	27	89	2	17	1	222	293	365	658	142	285	28	8	285	76	-9	+3	+1	+3	+9	0.9
2032	29	MLB	TEX	53%	307	276	60	10	3	7	26	86	2	15	1	217	289	351	641	134	284	28	8	283	75	-9	+3	+1	+3	+9	0.7
2033	30	MLB	TEX	52%	297	268	57	10	2	7	25	84	2	13	1	213	285	343	628	131	283	28	8	281	73	-9	+2	+1	+3	+8	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2216	2001	434	74	20	53	183	622	13	117	7	217	287	353	640	136	285	28	8	282	74	-65	+21	+10	+24	+63	5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	128	22	6	16	54	182	4	34	2	218	289	358	647	140	285	28	8	282	74	-19	+6	+3	+7	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	6216	5659	1172	213	56	137	471	1954	34	376	35	207	272	337	609	130	287	31	8	271	66	-241	+61	+21	+67	+176	8.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	122	22	6	14	49	204	4	39	4	206	272	334	606	128	286	31	8	271	66	-25	+6	+2	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	103	94	24	4	4	0	8	31	0	10	1	255	314	383	697	128	375	30	8	307	93	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	287	60	11	3	2	38	91	3	38	5	209	308	289	597	80	296	27	11	277	70	-11	+6	—	—	+9	0.4
2023	20	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	146	125	31	7	0	5	17	44	1	14	2	248	343	424	767	176	329	30	12	337	116	+3	+2	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	275	242	59	12	3	7	30	89	2	22	3	244	332	405	737	161	354	32	11	330	111	+3	+3	—	—	+8	1.5
2023	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	80	70	13	1	1	4	9	35	1	3	1	186	287	400	688	214	290	44	11	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	404	370	87	17	6	12	33	118	0	27	2	235	298	411	709	176	311	29	8	313	98	-1	+5	—	—	+11	1.5
2025	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	490	435	110	26	7	15	47	121	2	28	7	253	329	448	777	195	312	25	10	339	118	+10	+3	—	—	+14	2.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,239	53	118	217	282	353	+24	+16	4.7	4.7
	/162	664	16	35	217	282	353	+7.1	+4.7	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cameron Cauley (OGILVIE)	23	35→36	40→45	70→66	50	211/284/321	110	281	11	44	28%	9%	66	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	43→37	45	58→60	43	208/292/338	130	293	11	31	31%	7%	78	+0.2	200/284/319	119	303	12	26	35%	8%	70	-0.3	152/256/252	100	238	14	36	39%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Jorge Mateo 2018 · AA	23	39→46	44→50	63→65	36	197/241/326	129	286	10	34	34%	5%	51	-1.7	198/238/314	116	291	8	24	34%	4%	46	-2.0	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40→45	55→65	40	189/270/275	87	300	7	31	37%	8%	53	-1.5	224/290/323	99	311	6	26	28%	7%	72	-0.2	245/309/346	101	327	3	32	24%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	44	47→50	58→50	45	221/288/362	141	302	14	18	31%	8%	81	+0.4	208/272/332	124	270	14	11	27%	8%	66	-0.6	216/281/385	169	263	20	13	26%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	46→45	43→50	57→65	42	221/284/333	112	302	10	27	29%	6%	72	-0.2	215/268/322	107	303	8	24	30%	5%	62	-0.9	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Eric Brown Jr. 2023 · A	22	45→33	43→40	58→65	45	218/293/335	117	292	10	27	28%	8%	77	+0.1	191/260/272	81	254	7	28	26%	7%	46	-2.0	158/229/228	70	213	6	17	28%	7%	19	-1.6
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Daniel Carroll 2012 · A	23	44	45	58→60	41	212/287/330	118	324	13	31	36%	8%	73	-0.1	207/281/307	100	312	9	28	34%	7%	64	-0.8	179/256/244	65	282	4	28	35%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42→40	47→45	53→55	40	210/270/346	137	300	15	21	34%	7%	69	-0.4	202/265/316	114	286	11	24	32%	7%	59	-1.1	197/264/288	92	275	8	27	30%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Tito Polo 2018 · AA	23	47→50	42→45	57→60	39	226/279/334	108	306	9	29	28%	5%	69	-0.4	219/269/323	104	291	8	25	27%	5%	63	-0.9	205/253/302	97	261	8	34	24%	5%	47	-0.5
✕Sergio Garcia 2013 · AAA	22	40	48→45	54→60	38	210/257/348	138	274	17	26	30%	5%	65	-0.7	212/245/313	101	297	10	25	31%	4%	49	-1.8	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	42	41→40	58→60	40	198/267/289	91	321	9	25	38%	8%	53	-1.5	189/272/270	81	309	6	19	37%	9%	52	-1.6	97/227/121	24	177	0	28	39%	12%	-4	-1.2
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	38→41	45	54→55	44	193/273/319	127	275	13	17	33%	8%	65	-0.7	202/283/330	128	276	13	17	30%	8%	72	-0.2	194/281/320	126	262	13	19	29%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Kyren Paris 2023 · AA	21	41→49	47→50	60	41	197/277/337	139	311	14	27	39%	8%	71	-0.3	196/281/328	132	312	14	30	38%	10%	71	-0.3	182/275/315	133	288	15	35	39%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Christopher Bostick 2016 · AA	23	43→53	44→45	55	39	216/262/337	122	282	11	18	27%	5%	63	-0.8	230/278/336	106	305	8	11	26%	5%	69	-0.4	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2