Cameron Cauley

SS Round Rock Express
Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AAA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.349 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+TEX404.235/.298/.411122740—.177/.216/.312
202522AATEX490.253/.329/.448152878—.218/.273/.378
202623AAATEX434.276/.369/.470163997—.249/.320/.400
202623MLBTEX65.207/.281/.34511740.5
2027PROJ45% MLB24MLBTEX70.237/.303/.38425910.3
2028PROJ59% MLB25MLBTEX274.238/.305/.388820931.2
2029PROJ65% MLB26MLBTEX310.238/.306/.389923931.4
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 2.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.349First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$6M2031Arb-2$9M2032Arb-3$12M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed98
BB%70
Max EV66
K%62
Chase%61
Whiff%54
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.8 / P90 22, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 68%
CompsRyan Bliss (age 24) · Esteury Ruiz (age 24) · Adalberto Mondesi (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†91
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .303 / .384
PA70
HR2
SB5
K%24
BB%9
BABIP290
ISO172
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +2.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
0.00.91.90.31.21.41.31.21.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$23M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT
xAVG
100.192
POWER
Avg EV
1085.5
SPEED
Sprint
9030.5
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.349 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.5M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.2$9M+$8M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.4$10M+$9M
2030Arb-1$6M+1.3$8M+$4M
2031Arb-2$9M+1.2$7M+$1M
2032Arb-3$12M+1.0$5M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $17M $41M +$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL Rangers — 10394 24440 8310 101 255314383697 128375 308 307 24 — — — — — —
202219 ADown East Wood Ducks — 331287 601132 38913 385 209308289597 80296 2711 277 33 — — — — — —
202320 A+Hickory Crawdads — 146125 31705 17441 142 248343424767 176329 3012 337 58 — — — — — —
202320 ADown East Wood Ducks — 275242 591237 30892 223 244332405737 161354 3211 330 57 — — — — — —
202320 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 8070 13114 9351 31 186287400688 214290 4411 307 94 — — — — — —
202421 A+Hickory Crawdads — 404370 8717612 331180 272 235298411709 176311 298 313 40 — — — — — —
202522 AAFrisco RoughRiders — 490435 11026715 471212 287 253329448777 195312 2510 339 78 — — — — — —
202623 MLBTexas Rangers — 6558 12311 5151 10 207281345626 138262 238 279 74 -2 +0 +0 +5 +1 0.5
202623 AAARound Rock Express — 434370 10218316 53882 391 276369470840 195319 2012 365 97 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 6558 12311 5151 10 207281345626 138262 238 279 75 -2 +0 +0 +5 +1 0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 10397 17320 5450 101 175216247463 72313 445 204 24 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 331299 52922 261223 385 174247237484 64273 378 217 33 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEHickory Crawdads — 146131 25505 11591 142 191259344602 153269 408 254 58 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 275250 481025 221192 223 192263308571 116336 438 252 57 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEHickory Crawdads — 404384 6812510 191560 272 177216312528 135262 395 227 40 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 490450 9822712 321522 287 218273378651 160291 317 283 78 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 6558 12311 5151 10 207281345626 138262 238 277 74 -2 +0 +0 +5 +1 0.5
202623 AAA MLERound Rock Express — 434385 9616312 381052 391 249320400720 151299 249 311 97 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 10397 17320 5450 101 175216247463 72321 445 204 24 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 10394 24440 8310 101 255314383697 128375 308 307 24 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 331299 52922 261223 385 174247237484 64282 378 217 33 — — — — — —
202219 A RAWDown East Wood Ducks — 331287 601132 38913 385 209308289597 80296 2711 277 33 — — — — — —
202320 A MLE3 teams — 501454 8718311 392114 396 192262317579 126322 428 253 57 — — — — — —
202320 A RAW3 teams — 501437 10320416 561684 396 236328410738 174339 3411 328 57 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEHickory Crawdads — 404384 6812510 191560 272 177216312528 135265 395 227 40 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAWHickory Crawdads — 404370 8717612 331180 272 235298411709 176311 298 313 40 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 490450 9822712 321522 287 218273378651 160296 317 283 78 — — — — — —
202522 AA RAWFrisco RoughRiders — 490435 11026715 471212 287 253329448777 195312 2510 339 78 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 499443 10819413 431203 401 244315393708 149303 249 307 94 — — — — — —
202623 AAA RAW2 teams — 499428 11421417 581033 401 266358453811 187311 2112 354 94 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 10397 17320 5450 101 175216247463 72313 445 204 24 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 331299 52922 261223 385 174247237484 64273 378 217 33 — — — — — —
202320 A MLE3 teams — 501453 8718311 392114 396 192262318579 126313 428 253 57 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEHickory Crawdads — 404382 6812510 191560 272 178216314530 136262 395 227 40 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 490453 9822712 321522 287 216273375648 159291 317 283 78 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 499450 10819413 431203 401 240315387702 147294 249 307 94 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLEHickory Crawdads — 404382 6812510 191560 272 178216314530 136262 395 227 40 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 490453 9822712 321522 287 216273375648 159291 317 283 78 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 499450 10819413 431203 401 240315387702 147294 249 307 94 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLETEX 45% 380345 8114310 30912 284 235302378680 142290 248 303 91 -4 +4 +3 +4 +8 0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXTEX 45% 7064 16312 6170 51 237303384687 147290 249 305 91 -1 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLETEX 59% 467423 10118412 381123 355 237304382685 145290 248 305 93 -4 +5 +4 +5 +10 2.0
202926 MLB MLETEX 65% 475430 10218412 391133 355 237305383687 146290 248 306 93 -4 +5 +4 +5 +10 2.1
203027 MLB MLETEX 67% 462418 9918312 381103 344 236304382686 145290 248 306 93 -4 +5 +4 +5 +10 2.0
203128 MLB MLETEX 67% 450407 9617312 371083 304 235303379682 143289 248 304 92 -4 +4 +3 +5 +10 1.8
203229 MLB MLETEX 66% 438396 9317311 361063 263 234302374676 141288 248 302 90 -5 +4 +2 +5 +9 1.5
203330 MLB MLETEX 65% 321290 671228 26792 162 231298367665 136287 258 297 87 -5 +2 +0 +3 +7 0.9
203431 MLB MLETEX 65% 302273 621127 24752 122 227293357651 131284 258 291 83 -6 +2 -0 +3 +7 0.5
203532 MLB MLETEX 70% 279254 571026 22711 81 222287346633 124280 258 284 78 -7 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.2
202825 MLB CTXTEX 59% 274248 591028 22652 203 238305388693 150290 248 308 93 -2 +3 +2 +3 +6 1.2
202926 MLB CTXTEX 65% 310280 661129 25742 233 238306389695 151290 248 309 93 -2 +3 +2 +3 +7 1.4
203027 MLB CTXTEX 67% 307277 661129 25732 223 238306388693 150290 248 308 93 -3 +3 +2 +3 +7 1.3
203128 MLB CTXTEX 67% 302272 641128 25732 203 236305385689 148289 248 307 92 -3 +3 +2 +3 +7 1.2
203229 MLB CTXTEX 66% 289261 621128 24702 172 235303380683 145288 248 304 90 -3 +3 +1 +3 +6 1.0
203330 MLB CTXTEX 65% 210190 44815 17521 111 232299372672 141286 258 300 87 -3 +2 +0 +2 +5 0.6
203431 MLB CTXTEX 65% 196177 40715 16491 81 228294363657 135284 258 294 83 -4 +1 -0 +2 +4 0.3
203532 MLB CTXTEX 70% 196178 40715 15501 51 223288350639 128280 268 286 78 -5 +1 -1 +2 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21491941 453791458 17452114 12717 233301378679 145288 248 303 78 -28 +19 +9 +28 +47 7.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 13724418 531584 385 233301380681 147287 248 303 78 -8 +6 +3 +8 +14 2.3
Career— MLE — 56775159 114021047132 436161733 39050 221286357643 136293 288 284 78 -43 +31 +15 +41 +74 12.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 13024515 501854 456 220286354639 134291 288 284 78 -8 +6 +3 +8 +14 2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAARound Rock Express · 434 PAwOBA .359 → .311 (−49)K% 20.3% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.28%÷1.000×1.200——24.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.21%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0508.85%
HBP% /PA0.46%—×0.940—×1.0500.45%
Singles /BIP23.05%÷1.000×0.930×0.996×1.05022.41%
Doubles /BIP6.38%÷1.000×0.830×0.996×1.0505.54%
Triples /BIP1.06%÷1.000×0.970×0.996×1.0501.08%
Home runs /BIP5.67%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0504.17%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .359 → .311; ISO .195 → .157; BABIP .319 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 490 PAwOBA .334 → .283 (−51)K% 24.7% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.69%÷0.971×1.220——31.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.59%÷1.080×0.700—×1.0426.48%
HBP% /PA0.41%—×0.870—×1.0420.37%
Singles /BIP19.75%÷0.975×0.920×0.970×1.04218.84%
Doubles /BIP8.28%÷0.968×0.840×0.970×1.0427.26%
Triples /BIP2.23%÷0.921×0.940×0.970×1.0422.30%
Home runs /BIP4.78%÷0.976×0.800—×1.0424.08%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 84, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .334 → .283; ISO .195 → .169; BABIP .312 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 404 PAwOBA .305 → .227 (−78)K% 29.2% → 38.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.21%÷0.988×1.310——38.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.92%÷1.019×0.600—×1.0274.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP20.63%÷1.026×0.870×0.991×1.02717.80%
Doubles /BIP6.75%÷0.994×0.780×0.991×1.0275.39%
Triples /BIP2.38%÷1.014×0.850×0.991×1.0272.03%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.014×0.880—×1.0274.24%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .305 → .227; ISO .176 → .137; BABIP .311 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ADown East Wood Ducks · 275 PAwOBA .323 → .252 (−71)K% 32.4% → 43.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.36%÷1.022×1.360——43.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.91%÷0.971×0.690—×1.0307.98%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.780—×1.0300.58%
Singles /BIP24.18%÷0.979×0.920×1.009×1.03023.61%
Doubles /BIP7.84%÷0.914×0.830×1.009×1.0307.40%
Triples /BIP1.96%÷1.124×0.910×1.009×1.0301.65%
Home runs /BIP4.58%÷1.082×0.800—×1.0303.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 83, 3B 125, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .323 → .252; ISO .161 → .116; BABIP .354 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Hickory Crawdads · 146 PAwOBA .335 → .254 (−81)K% 30.1% → 40.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.14%÷0.974×1.310——40.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.64%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0427.28%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.770—×1.0420.55%
Singles /BIP23.46%÷1.040×0.870×0.950×1.04219.43%
Doubles /BIP8.64%÷0.960×0.780×0.950×1.0426.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850×0.950×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP6.17%÷0.948×0.880—×1.0425.97%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 108, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .335 → .254; ISO .176 → .150; BABIP .329 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ADown East Wood Ducks · 331 PAwOBA .271 → .217 (−54)K% 27.5% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.49%÷1.014×1.360——36.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.18%÷1.027×0.690—×1.0457.85%
HBP% /PA0.91%—×0.780—×1.0450.74%
Singles /BIP22.45%÷0.994×0.920×0.985×1.04521.38%
Doubles /BIP5.61%÷1.008×0.830×0.985×1.0454.75%
Triples /BIP1.53%÷1.150×0.910×0.985×1.0451.25%
Home runs /BIP1.02%÷0.912×0.800—×1.0450.94%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .271 → .217; ISO .080 → .063; BABIP .296 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Rangers · 103 PAwOBA .303 → .204 (−98)K% 30.1% → 43.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.10%÷0.988×1.440——43.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.77%÷1.071×0.620—×1.0224.60%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP25.40%÷0.994×0.820×1.050×1.02222.48%
Doubles /BIP6.35%÷1.015×0.720×1.050×1.0224.84%
Triples /BIP6.35%÷1.064×0.720×1.050×1.0224.61%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.015×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 113, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .303 → .204; ISO .128 → .079; BABIP .375 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .