Kellon Lindsey

SS Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP40OGV rank#173ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202519A/ROK2 orgs161.274/.384/.40031163—.206/.295/.290
202620A/ROKLAD312.294/.431/.527132098—.224/.333/.392
2027PROJMLE21MLBLAD422.221/.312/.3611112920.5
2028PROJ43% MLB22MLBLAD107.221/.312/.36633950.2
2029PROJ61% MLB23MLBLAD207.224/.314/.37267970.6
Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$10M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed92
wOBA88
wRC+88
ISO87
BB%86
Chase%86
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 17, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 83%
CompsMasyn Winn (age 21) · Jett Williams (age 20) · Jordan Lawlar (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 198 proj PA
wRC+†92
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .309 / .358
PA198
HR5
SB6
K%28
BB%11
ISO140
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -1.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.81.70.20.60.91.11.21.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$18M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$2M
2031Arb-1$4M+1.1$6M+$4M
2032Arb-2$7M+1.2$7M+$3M
2033Arb-3$10M+1.1$6M+$0.3M
Totals $23M $24M +$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202519 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 142118 33702 22451 102 280397390787 110431 3215 359 69 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Dodgers — 1917 4101 160 10 235278471748 235273 325 309 20 — — — — — —
202620 AOntario Tower Buzzers — 290229 669411 50754 181 288423507929 218379 2617 403 97 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Dodgers — 2216 6102 690 20 3755458121.358 438800 4127 561 108 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202519 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 142124 26501 16621 102 210305274579 65398 4411 270 69 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 1917 3101 190 10 176222412634 235199 475 198 20 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 290245 55739 351024 181 224331388719 163326 3512 312 97 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 2218 4101 4130 20 222364444808 222573 5918 328 108 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 161141 29602 17711 112 206296291586 85386 4411 262 63 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW2 teams — 161135 37803 23511 112 274384400784 126410 3214 353 63 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 312263 598310 391154 201 224333392725 167350 3712 313 98 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 312245 7210413 56844 201 294431527958 233393 2718 414 98 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 161142 29602 17711 112 204296289584 85375 4411 262 63 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 312266 598310 391154 201 222333387721 165343 3712 313 98 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202519 A MLE2 teams — 161142 29602 17711 112 204296289584 85375 4411 262 63 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 312266 598310 391154 201 222333387721 165343 3712 313 98 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLELAD 0% 422370 8214311 451174 122 221312361673 140289 2811 304 92 -4 +2 -3 +5 +9 0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLELAD 43% 248218 49917 26672 81 224315370685 145290 2710 308 95 -2 +1 -1 +3 +5 0.6
202923 MLB MLELAD 61% 340298 671229 36913 112 227317376694 149291 2711 312 97 -1 +1 -1 +4 +7 1.0
203024 MLB MLELAD 66% 401352 8014211 421064 143 230319381700 152292 2610 314 99 -1 +2 -0 +4 +9 1.4
203125 MLB MLELAD 69% 435383 8916313 451144 153 231319384703 153292 2610 315 99 -0 +2 -0 +5 +9 1.6
203226 MLB MLELAD 70% 451396 9216313 471175 163 231319385704 153291 2610 315 100 -0 +2 -0 +5 +10 1.7
203327 MLB MLELAD 69% 456402 9317313 471194 163 230318382701 152291 2610 314 99 -1 +2 -0 +5 +10 1.6
203428 MLB MLELAD 74% 454400 9216313 471194 153 229317378694 149290 2610 312 97 -2 +2 -1 +5 +10 1.4
203529 MLB MLELAD 76% 445392 8816212 461184 143 226314371685 145289 2710 308 95 -3 +2 -2 +5 +10 1.2
203630 MLB MLELAD 78% 435383 8515211 451174 133 223310364674 141287 2710 304 92 -4 +1 -2 +5 +9 0.9
203731 MLB MLELAD 79% 417368 8014210 421144 113 219306354660 135284 2710 298 88 -6 +1 -3 +4 +9 0.6
203832 MLB MLELAD 80% 394349 741329 391093 93 214300342642 128281 2810 291 83 -8 +1 -4 +4 +9 0.2
203933 MLB MLELAD 81% 359318 661128 351023 83 208293328620 119276 2810 282 77 -10 +0 -4 +4 +8 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXLAD 43% 10794 22413 11291 31 221312366678 145283 2710 305 95 -1 +0 -1 +1 +2 0.2
202923 MLB CTXLAD 61% 207181 41716 22552 71 224314372687 149284 2711 309 97 -1 +1 -1 +2 +4 0.6
203024 MLB CTXLAD 66% 265232 52918 28703 92 226316377693 151285 2611 311 99 -0 +1 -0 +3 +6 0.9
203125 MLB CTXLAD 69% 299263 591019 31783 102 227316380696 153285 2610 312 99 -0 +1 -0 +3 +6 1.1
203226 MLB CTXLAD 70% 315276 631129 33823 112 228316381697 153285 2610 313 100 -0 +1 -0 +3 +7 1.2
203327 MLB CTXLAD 69% 314275 621119 33823 112 227315378694 152284 2611 311 99 -0 +1 -0 +3 +7 1.1
203428 MLB CTXLAD 74% 336295 6711210 35883 112 225313374687 149284 2610 309 97 -1 +1 -1 +4 +7 1.1
203529 MLB CTXLAD 76% 340299 6711210 35903 112 223311368679 145282 2610 305 95 -2 +1 -1 +4 +7 0.9
203630 MLB CTXLAD 78% 340299 651119 35913 102 220307360668 140281 2710 301 92 -3 +1 -2 +4 +7 0.7
203731 MLB CTXLAD 79% 331291 631119 34903 92 216303351654 135278 2710 295 88 -5 +1 -2 +4 +7 0.5
203832 MLB CTXLAD 80% 316279 591018 32882 82 211297339636 128275 2810 288 83 -6 +1 -3 +3 +7 0.2
203933 MLB CTXLAD 81% 290257 53917 29822 63 205290324614 119270 2810 279 77 -8 +0 -3 +3 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 34603041 6731151597 35892531 10623 221310365674 143283 2710 303 93 -29 +12 -14 +37 +75 8.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 12722318 671746 204 222311366677 144285 2710 303 93 -5 +2 -3 +7 +14 1.6
Career— MLE — 55064836 108119031146 574153451 18737 224312366679 143294 2810 305 93 -39 +18 -20 +54 +109 12.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 12722417 681816 224 222312364676 142293 2810 305 93 -5 +2 -3 +7 +14 1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 290 PAwOBA .395 → .312 (−83)K% 25.9% → 35.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.86%÷1.000×1.360——35.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.24%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01512.07%
HBP% /PA1.38%—×0.780—×1.0151.09%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×1.01524.19%
Doubles /BIP5.84%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×1.0154.68%
Triples /BIP2.60%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×1.0152.28%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0155.80%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .395 → .312; ISO .218 → .174; BABIP .379 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Dodgers · 22 PAwOBA .547 → .328 (−219)K% 40.9% → 58.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.91%÷1.000×1.440——58.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA27.27%÷1.000×0.620—×0.98516.66%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP42.86%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98534.62%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.720—×0.98510.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP28.57%÷1.000×0.780—×0.98521.95%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .547 → .328; ISO .438 → .255; BABIP .800 → .573. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 142 PAwOBA .353 → .270 (−82)K% 31.7% → 43.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.69%÷0.987×1.360——43.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.49%÷0.981×0.690—×1.03011.22%
HBP% /PA0.70%—×0.780—×1.0300.57%
Singles /BIP32.88%÷1.004×0.920×1.019×1.03031.62%
Doubles /BIP9.59%÷1.054×0.830×1.019×1.0307.93%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.019×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP2.74%÷1.055×0.800—×1.0302.14%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .353 → .270; ISO .110 → .077; BABIP .431 → .398. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 19 PAwOBA .317 → .198 (−119)K% 31.6% → 45.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.58%÷0.993×1.440——45.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷0.997×0.620—×0.9953.26%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷0.996×0.820—×0.99514.90%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.102×0.720—×0.9955.91%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.060×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP9.09%÷1.187×0.780—×0.9955.94%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .317 → .198; ISO .235 → .135; BABIP .273 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).