Kien Vu — OGILVIE

Kien VuOF Dayton Dragons

Age 22 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION365 act + 243 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .290 / .323

PA243

HR6

SB12

K%32

BB%10

BABIP261

ISO138

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED68

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$19M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	79	17	6	0	3	7	35	3	7	1	215	303	405	708	190	341	38	8	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	77	21	8	0	4	9	25	3	7	1	273	371	532	903	260	354	27	10	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	CIN	—	365	310	61	11	5	9	37	138	14	26	5	197	310	352	662	155	313	38	10	293	83	-7	+3	+0	-2	+10	0.4
YTD	22	A+	CIN	—	365	295	73	14	6	12	52	103	14	26	5	247	385	458	843	210	333	28	14	373	144	+18	+3	+0	-2	+10	3.0
ROS	22	A+	CIN	0%	243	210	39	7	2	6	24	79	7	12	2	185	290	323	613	138	263	32	10	287	78	-6	+2	+0	-1	+7	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						265	0	0	268	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	CIN	—	366	311	61	11	5	9	37	138	14	26	5	196	309	350	660	154	311	38	10	293	83	-7	+3	+0	-2	+10	0.4
TOT	22	A+	CIN	—	608	520	100	18	7	15	61	217	21	38	7	192	302	340	642	148	291	36	10	291	81	-13	+5	+0	-4	+17	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CIN	35%	340	296	59	11	3	10	33	106	8	12	2	199	297	358	655	159	266	31	10	294	84	-6	+2	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2028	24	MLB	CIN	46%	609	531	109	20	5	19	59	184	14	22	4	205	301	369	670	164	270	30	10	300	88	-8	+3	+0	-4	+17	0.8
2029	25	MLB	CIN	52%	627	547	114	21	5	20	61	187	14	22	5	208	304	375	679	166	271	30	10	304	91	-7	+2	+0	-4	+18	1.0
2030	26	MLB	CIN	54%	638	557	116	21	5	21	62	189	14	23	5	208	303	377	680	169	272	30	10	306	92	-6	+3	+0	-4	+18	1.1
2031	27	MLB	CIN	54%	637	555	116	21	5	21	63	189	14	23	5	209	305	378	684	169	272	30	10	306	92	-6	+3	+0	-4	+18	1.1
2032	28	MLB	CIN	54%	629	547	114	21	5	20	63	187	14	21	4	208	306	375	681	166	271	30	10	305	91	-6	+3	-1	-4	+18	1.0
2033	29	MLB	CIN	53%	619	538	109	20	4	19	62	186	14	20	4	203	301	361	662	158	270	30	10	303	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.8
2027	23	MLB	CIN	35%	118	103	21	4	1	4	11	37	3	4	1	204	299	379	678	175	269	31	9	280	72	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	CIN	46%	282	246	50	9	2	9	27	85	7	10	2	203	300	366	666	163	272	30	10	286	77	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2029	25	MLB	CIN	52%	324	282	59	11	2	11	32	97	7	12	2	209	305	379	685	170	274	30	10	290	80	-7	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2030	26	MLB	CIN	54%	346	301	64	12	3	11	34	102	8	12	3	213	309	382	691	169	275	29	10	292	82	-7	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2031	27	MLB	CIN	54%	346	301	64	12	3	11	34	103	8	12	3	213	309	382	691	169	274	30	10	292	82	-7	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2032	28	MLB	CIN	54%	341	296	62	12	2	11	34	102	8	12	2	209	308	375	683	166	274	30	10	291	81	-7	+2	-0	-2	+10	0.2
2033	29	MLB	CIN	53%	329	286	59	11	2	11	33	99	7	10	2	206	304	374	678	168	273	30	10	289	80	-8	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2087	1816	379	71	15	68	205	625	48	72	15	209	305	377	682	168	274	30	10	290	80	-47	+8	-1	-13	+59	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	118	22	5	21	64	195	15	22	5	208	306	376	682	168	274	30	10	290	80	-15	+2	-0	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	4433	3860	793	148	34	139	434	1342	102	162	32	205	302	369	672	164	272	30	10	302	89	-53	+20	-2	-27	+126	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	116	22	5	20	64	197	15	24	5	205	302	367	670	163	273	30	10	302	89	-8	+3	-0	-4	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	77	21	8	0	4	9	25	3	7	1	273	371	532	903	260	354	27	10	387	154	+6	+1	—	—	+3	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Raul Mondesilast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA	6	2,604	108	89	251	326	456	-20	-6	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	28	23	251	326	456	-5.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	2,086	66	73	208	301	373	-13	+0	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	21	23	208	301	373	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kien Vu (OGILVIE)	22	21→26	48→53	63→68	60	192/302/340	148	291	15	38	36%	10%	81	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
●Bo Naylor 2022 · AA	22	32→42	47→55	54→50	38	173/235/303	129	259	15	11	38%	7%	44	-2.1	216/304/392	176	282	21	13	29%	10%	96	+1.5	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→37	43→60	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	56	-1.3	187/269/294	107	266	9	14	31%	9%	56	-1.3	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
●Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	67	-0.5	235/295/331	96	314	8	26	26%	7%	76	+0.0	261/318/388	127	324	12	31	22%	7%	96	+1.3
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	47→42	47→50	62→55	52	231/311/376	145	274	13	24	21%	9%	95	+1.4	218/293/352	134	280	12	14	25%	8%	81	+0.4	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Jeremy Moore 2009 · A	22	36→46	49→55	56→55	32	190/228/342	152	287	17	18	40%	4%	50	-1.7	229/265/379	150	332	15	17	34%	4%	76	+0.0	241/276/397	156	336	15	19	32%	4%	82	+0.4
✕Francisco Santana 2010 · A	22	43	42→50	57→55	43	212/261/324	112	266	9	13	24%	6%	59	-1.1	198/235/292	94	282	7	8	31%	4%	39	-2.5	164/182/259	96	230	6	6	32%	2%	4	-1.5
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→43	50→55	55→50	42	210/278/365	154	290	17	11	32%	7%	78	+0.2	216/261/364	148	282	14	11	28%	5%	70	-0.3	214/254/362	148	274	14	10	27%	4%	63	-0.6
●Will Benson 2021 · A	23	34→44	50→55	53→55	43	182/261/332	150	274	19	14	39%	9%	63	-0.8	211/311/389	178	311	20	18	35%	12%	98	+1.6	225/329/410	185	318	19	26	32%	12%	109	+1.7
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2015 · A	22	41	47→55	53→50	36	214/242/350	136	270	15	9	27%	4%	58	-1.2	204/243/288	84	283	6	8	29%	5%	42	-2.3	196/232/252	56	284	0	6	30%	4%	24	-0.9
●Cedric Mullins 2017 · A	22	43→53	47→55	56→60	39	220/252/364	144	270	14	16	24%	4%	66	-0.6	223/265/361	138	265	14	16	21%	5%	71	-0.3	250/319/421	170	288	19	27	19%	8%	106	+2.2
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Cody Rogers 2011 · A	22	39	47→40	56→50	42	202/265/336	134	274	15	14	31%	7%	65	-0.7	191/253/287	96	272	7	16	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/244/268	87	259	6	18	31%	6%	36	-2.1
✕Ronny Simon 2022 · A	22	39→49	50	53→55	42	205/263/357	153	269	17	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	221/270/363	142	283	16	22	27%	6%	74	-0.1	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→55	55→50	40	201/267/329	128	288	12	8	33%	6%	64	-0.8	209/259/340	131	294	14	8	32%	5%	63	-0.8	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Alex Binelas 2023 · AA	23	34→26	54→50	51→50	41	194/261/370	176	265	24	7	36%	8%	72	-0.2	200/264/348	148	298	18	12	37%	8%	68	-0.5	226/305/379	153	324	20	8	34%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2