Kien Vu — OGILVIE

Kien VuLF Dayton Dragons

Age 22 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION527 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP265

ISO145

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	77	21	8	0	4	9	25	3	7	1	273	371	532	903	260	354	27	10	387	148	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	79	17	6	0	3	7	35	3	7	1	215	303	405	708	190	327	38	8	304	92	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	79	17	6	0	3	7	35	3	7	1	215	303	405	708	190	341	38	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	77	21	8	0	4	9	25	3	7	1	273	371	532	903	260	354	27	10	387	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	81	17	6	0	3	7	35	3	7	1	210	303	395	698	185	327	38	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	81	17	6	0	3	7	35	3	7	1	210	303	395	698	185	327	38	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	CIN	—	527	455	87	15	6	15	46	199	20	32	7	191	294	349	643	158	294	38	9	281	77	-15	+4	+0	-6	+11	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	CIN	—	348	279	75	13	6	15	49	98	15	27	5	269	405	520	925	251	353	28	14	402	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	CIN	—	179	156	27	5	1	5	17	55	5	5	2	173	275	314	589	141	229	31	9	271	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		261	30	10	283	78	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	CIN	—	537	464	88	15	6	15	47	202	20	32	7	190	292	345	637	155	291	38	9	281	77	-15	+4	+0	-6	+12	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	35%	340	298	60	11	3	11	30	109	9	12	3	201	294	369	663	168	264	32	9	291	83	-7	+1	+0	-4	+7	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	46%	412	362	74	13	3	14	37	128	10	14	3	204	296	373	669	169	267	31	9	297	87	-6	+2	+0	-4	+9	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	615	540	112	20	5	21	55	187	15	21	5	207	298	380	678	172	269	30	9	301	90	-7	+2	+0	-7	+13	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	614	539	111	20	4	21	55	185	15	21	5	206	297	375	672	169	269	30	9	302	91	-7	+2	+0	-7	+13	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	609	533	111	20	4	21	56	184	15	21	5	208	301	379	680	171	269	30	9	303	91	-7	+2	+0	-7	+13	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	601	527	107	19	4	20	55	183	14	20	4	203	295	368	663	165	268	30	9	302	90	-7	+2	-1	-6	+13	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	449	393	80	14	3	15	42	137	11	14	3	204	298	369	667	165	267	31	9	300	89	-6	+2	-1	-5	+10	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	439	385	78	14	3	14	41	136	10	12	3	203	296	364	660	161	266	31	9	297	87	-7	+1	-2	-5	+10	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	CIN	35%	118	104	21	4	1	4	10	38	3	4	1	202	291	375	666	173	267	32	8	278	83	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	46%	190	166	34	6	1	7	17	59	5	7	1	205	298	380	677	175	270	31	9	286	87	-3	+1	+0	-2	+4	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	318	279	59	11	2	12	28	97	8	11	2	211	302	394	696	183	272	31	9	290	90	-4	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	333	292	61	11	2	12	30	101	8	11	3	209	300	384	684	175	273	30	9	292	91	-4	+1	+0	-4	+7	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	330	289	61	11	2	12	30	100	8	11	3	211	303	388	690	176	272	30	9	292	91	-4	+1	+0	-4	+7	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	326	285	60	11	2	12	30	99	8	11	2	211	303	389	693	179	272	30	9	291	90	-4	+1	-0	-3	+7	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	238	208	45	8	2	9	22	73	6	7	2	216	309	404	713	188	271	31	9	289	89	-3	+1	-1	-3	+5	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	230	202	41	7	2	8	21	71	5	6	1	203	294	376	670	173	269	31	9	286	87	-4	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2083	1825	382	69	14	76	188	638	51	68	15	209	301	387	688	178	272	31	9	289	89	-27	+8	-2	-22	+45	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	120	22	4	24	59	199	16	21	5	211	303	390	693	179	274	31	9	289	89	-8	+2	-1	-7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4180	3665	751	137	29	140	379	1287	102	142	32	205	297	373	670	168	271	31	9	300	89	-54	+15	-4	-44	+89	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	117	21	5	22	59	200	16	22	5	205	298	375	673	170	271	31	9	300	89	-9	+2	-1	-7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.1	2,085	70	69	206	294	373	-13	+0	2.7	2.6
/162	664	22	22	-4.0	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kien Vu (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	48→53	59→64	56	186/282/337	151	261	5	8	33%	9%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	47→50	58→55	46	200/276/339	139	268	15	19	30%	9%	74	-0.5	213/284/345	132	280	14	17	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→38	43→55	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	61	-1.5	190/272/302	112	268	10	14	30%	10%	64	-1.3	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2015 · A	22	41	47→55	53→50	36	214/242/350	136	270	15	9	27%	4%	63	-1.4	206/245/291	85	283	6	8	28%	5%	50	-2.3	204/239/264	60	290	0	6	28%	4%	38	-0.8
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/276/353	144	286	15	11	31%	7%	77	-0.3	217/263/366	149	281	15	11	28%	5%	75	-0.5	215/257/366	151	272	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Bo Naylor 2022 · AA	22	33→43	45→55	54→50	39	176/236/295	119	259	13	11	36%	7%	49	-2.4	212/299/376	164	277	19	13	29%	10%	91	+0.7	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	216/275/390	173	253	21	15	24%	7%	85	+0.2	224/289/407	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+0.9	221/290/400	179	249	21	19	21%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Derek Fisher 2016 · A	22	43→50	50→55	55	42	218/282/367	149	303	18	18	33%	8%	82	+0.0	229/299/385	156	321	18	19	32%	8%	93	+0.8	225/302/403	177	309	23	18	33%	9%	95	+0.7
✕Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	71	-0.8	236/296/330	94	314	8	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	261/318/385	124	324	11	31	22%	7%	95	+0.9
●Will Benson 2021 · A	23	34→44	50→55	52→55	42	180/258/327	147	274	18	14	40%	9%	65	-1.2	207/304/370	163	306	17	18	35%	11%	92	+0.7	219/322/395	175	313	17	26	32%	12%	101	+1.0
✕Cody Rogers 2011 · A	22	39→41	47→45	56→50	41	201/264/334	133	273	15	14	31%	7%	68	-1.0	197/257/299	102	279	8	16	31%	6%	57	-1.8	190/251/284	94	271	7	18	31%	6%	49	-1.9
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Jeremy Moore 2009 · A	22	36→46	49→50	56→55	32	190/228/342	152	287	17	18	40%	4%	56	-1.9	228/265/370	142	334	14	17	34%	4%	76	-0.4	240/276/387	147	339	13	19	32%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	36	193/240/341	148	278	18	14	37%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/387	180	291	23	14	36%	7%	83	+0.1	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Aristides Aquino 2016 · A	22	39→41	46→60	52→50	34	200/235/330	130	266	13	10	30%	3%	56	-1.9	200/242/346	146	267	16	8	31%	4%	62	-1.4	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	47→50	53→55	46	189/281/323	135	287	14	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	211/290/332	121	325	11	16	35%	9%	78	-0.3	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	43→40	46→45	56→50	44	213/280/360	147	287	12	14	29%	8%	80	-0.2	202/260/324	122	280	11	15	30%	6%	64	-1.3	187/244/301	115	257	12	15	31%	6%	50	-1.5
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	187/257/301	114	274	12	9	35%	7%	58	-1.7	198/280/293	95	349	7	8	41%	9%	65	-1.2	152/277/229	77	359	3	4	50%	12%	49	-0.5
✕Nicky Delmonico 2014 · A	22	39→47	48→50	48→45	46	203/280/344	141	266	16	8	30%	9%	77	-0.3	216/272/353	137	293	13	6	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Francisco Santana 2010 · A	22	43	42→50	57→55	43	212/261/324	112	266	9	13	24%	6%	63	-1.3	196/233/289	93	282	6	8	31%	4%	45	-2.7	161/180/254	93	230	6	6	32%	2%	13	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps