Erigaldi Perez — OGILVIE

Erigaldi Perez P Hill City Howlers

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.9 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%18.1%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$53M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$6M		$23M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	10	10	40	160	26	8	1	100%	4.0	11.1%	6.2%	4.8%	0.6%	3.63	3.31	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	10	10	40	160	26	8	1	100%	4.0	11.1%	6.2%	4.8%	0.6%	3.63	3.31	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	10	10	40	160	26	8	1	100%	4.0	16.2%	5.0%	11.2%	0.6%	3.63	2.72	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	12	6	38	169	34	9	3	50%	3.1	13.7%	6.7%	7.0%	1.8%	5.02	3.77	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	12	6	38	169	34	9	3	50%	3.1	13.7%	6.7%	7.0%	1.8%	5.02	3.77	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	12	6	38	169	34	9	3	50%	3.1	20.1%	5.3%	14.8%	1.8%	5.02	3.05	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	19	17	84	357	87	36	6	89%	4.4	17.4%	12.1%	5.3%	2.2%	4.20	4.38	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	19	17	84	357	87	36	6	89%	4.4	17.4%	12.1%	5.3%	2.2%	4.20	4.38	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	CLE	8	6	32	141	38	12	1	75%	4.0	27.0%	8.5%	18.4%	0.7%	3.62	2.29	—
2026	20	A RAW	CLE	11	11	51	216	49	24	5	100%	4.7	22.7%	11.1%	11.6%	2.3%	4.56	3.86	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CLE	17	17	86	363	70	25	10	100%	5.1	19.4%	6.8%	12.5%	2.8%	4.32	4.27	+0.6
2028	22	MLB MLE	CLE	18	18	90	381	79	25	11	100%	5.0	20.7%	6.5%	14.2%	2.8%	4.18	4.09	+0.9
2029	23	MLB MLE	CLE	18	18	94	396	85	25	11	100%	5.2	21.6%	6.2%	15.3%	2.8%	4.06	3.97	+1.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	CLE	17	17	96	405	90	25	11	100%	5.6	22.1%	6.1%	16.0%	2.7%	3.96	3.88	+1.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	CLE	17	17	97	410	92	24	11	100%	5.7	22.5%	5.9%	16.5%	2.7%	3.88	3.83	+1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	CLE	16	16	97	410	93	24	11	100%	6.1	22.7%	5.9%	16.8%	2.7%	3.84	3.81	+1.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	CLE	16	16	96	404	92	24	11	100%	6.0	22.7%	6.0%	16.7%	2.8%	3.84	3.85	+1.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	CLE	15	15	93	392	88	24	11	100%	6.2	22.6%	6.1%	16.4%	2.9%	3.89	3.93	+1.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	CLE	15	15	89	374	83	24	11	100%	5.9	22.3%	6.3%	16.0%	3.0%	3.99	4.06	+0.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	CLE	14	14	83	352	77	23	11	100%	6.0	22.0%	6.6%	15.3%	3.2%	4.14	4.24	+0.6
2037	31	MLB MLE	CLE	13	13	78	328	77	20	11	100%	6.0	23.6%	6.2%	17.4%	3.4%	4.16	4.17	+0.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	72	304	70	20	11	100%	6.0	23.1%	6.6%	16.5%	3.7%	4.30	4.39	+0.4
2039	33	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	66	279	63	20	11	100%	6.0	22.6%	7.0%	15.6%	4.0%	4.51	4.64	+0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	CLE	8	8	42	177	34	12	5	100%	5.2	19.4%	6.8%	12.5%	2.8%	4.32	4.27	+0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	CLE	13	13	66	279	58	18	8	100%	5.1	20.7%	6.5%	14.2%	2.8%	4.18	4.09	+0.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	79	334	72	21	9	100%	5.3	21.6%	6.2%	15.3%	2.8%	4.06	3.97	+0.9
2030	24	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	86	363	80	22	10	100%	5.7	22.1%	6.1%	16.0%	2.7%	3.96	3.88	+1.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	89	376	84	22	10	100%	5.9	22.5%	5.9%	16.5%	2.7%	3.88	3.83	+1.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	91	384	87	23	10	100%	6.1	22.7%	5.9%	16.8%	2.7%	3.84	3.81	+1.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	91	384	87	23	11	100%	6.1	22.7%	6.0%	16.7%	2.8%	3.84	3.85	+1.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	88	372	84	23	11	100%	5.9	22.6%	6.1%	16.4%	2.9%	3.89	3.93	+1.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	CLE	14	14	84	355	79	22	11	100%	6.0	22.3%	6.3%	16.0%	3.0%	3.99	4.06	+0.8
2036	30	MLB CTX	CLE	13	13	79	334	73	22	11	100%	6.1	22.0%	6.6%	15.3%	3.2%	4.14	4.24	+0.6
2037	31	MLB CTX	CLE	12	12	74	312	74	19	11	100%	6.2	23.6%	6.2%	17.4%	3.4%	4.16	4.17	+0.6
2038	32	MLB CTX	CLE	11	11	68	287	66	19	11	100%	6.2	23.1%	6.6%	16.5%	3.7%	4.29	4.38	+0.4
2039	33	MLB CTX	CLE	10	10	63	266	60	19	11	100%	6.3	22.6%	7.0%	15.6%	4.0%	4.50	4.63	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		173	173	1000	4221	939	265	127	100%	5.8	22.2%	6.3%	16.0%	3.0%	4.05	3.67	+14.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	188	53	25	100%	5.8	22.2%	6.3%	16.0%	3.0%	4.05	3.67	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		41	33	161	686	103	65	12	80%	3.9	15.0%	9.4%	5.6%	1.7%	4.25	3.98	+11.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	41	200	852	128	80	15	80%	3.9	15.0%	9.4%	5.6%	1.7%	4.25	3.98	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erigaldi Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	18.1%	7.0%	2.9%	—	4.11	20.6%	14.1%	270	-0.31	—	—	—
Jack Perkins R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	21	SP-	4.34	13.6%	5.4%	3.1%	.312	4.91	16.4%	7.5%	156	+0.57	4.34	176	86
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	85
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	85
Pedro Garcia R 2022 · 4.69 FIP	20	SP-	4.69	15.5%	6.8%	3.7%	.221	5.80	13.9%	0.2%	139	+1.11	4.69	247	83
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	83
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	82
Elieser Hernández R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	20	SP-	3.52	17.1%	6.5%	1.9%	.302	4.53	17.9%	9.2%	237	+1.01	3.52	787	82
Lucas Long R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	22	SP-	4.84	14.5%	5.9%	4.0%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.1%	386	-0.90	3.42	441	82
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	82
Hyun-il Choi R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	19	SP-	3.97	18.4%	5.2%	3.2%	.293	4.26	19.1%	14.1%	106	+0.29	3.97	455	81
Francys Peguero R 2016 · 3.38 FIP	20	SP-	3.38	17.0%	4.6%	2.1%	.305	4.93	15.6%	9.0%	116	+1.55	2.85	293	81
Peyton Remy R 2018 · 3.57 FIP	21	SP-	3.57	19.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.280	4.75	16.3%	5.2%	140	+1.18	3.57	286	81
Geoffrey Bramblett R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	21	SP	3.75	15.1%	5.8%	2.2%	.223	5.35	11.3%	1.5%	81	+1.60	3.75	130	81
Robert Colina R 2021 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	19.0%	9.8%	3.1%	.312	3.69	21.5%	12.7%	111	-0.73	3.25	266	81
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	80
Jose Vasquez R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	20	SP	4.11	13.5%	6.0%	2.5%	.287	4.68	15.2%	1.6%	68	+0.57	3.60	162	80
Andrew Cabezas R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	21	SP-	4.59	16.1%	9.4%	3.0%	.210	4.70	16.7%	6.9%	185	+0.11	4.16	300	80
Tommy Bergjans R 2015 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP	3.39	17.2%	8.1%	1.3%	.327	4.36	15.7%	9.7%	268	+0.97	3.39	322	80
Pedro Barrios R 2018 · 4.31 FIP	19	SP	4.31	14.7%	6.7%	2.9%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	159	80
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.70	17.9%	10.2%	162	+0.21	3.86	278	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.8	83	22.0%	6.3%	1.16	4.07
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45