Andrew Cabezas — OGILVIE

Andrew Cabezas P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 29 RHP 5'10" / 175 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%22.2%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	11	9	46	186	44	14	4	82%	4.2	16.1%	9.4%	6.7%	3.0%	2.74	4.59	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Elizabethton Twins	11	9	46	186	44	14	4	82%	4.2	23.7%	7.5%	16.1%	2.2%	2.74	3.23	—
2019	22	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	23	22	114	483	90	40	11	96%	5.0	13.8%	9.8%	4.0%	3.0%	3.54	4.80	—
2019	22	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	23	22	114	483	90	40	11	96%	5.0	18.6%	8.3%	10.4%	2.3%	3.54	3.83	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	23	8	71	295	82	25	8	35%	3.1	21.4%	9.7%	11.7%	3.7%	3.57	4.55	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	23	8	71	295	82	25	8	35%	3.1	27.8%	8.5%	19.3%	2.7%	3.57	3.31	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	49	197	53	15	5	0%	1.4	21.3%	8.5%	12.8%	3.2%	3.31	4.16	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	49	197	53	15	5	0%	1.4	26.9%	7.6%	19.3%	2.5%	3.31	3.18	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	14	0	20	98	22	10	5	0%	1.5	18.2%	11.2%	7.0%	5.0%	4.43	5.72	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	14	0	20	98	22	10	5	0%	1.5	18.2%	11.2%	7.0%	5.0%	4.43	5.72	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	14	0	20	98	22	10	5	0%	1.5	22.4%	10.2%	12.2%	5.1%	4.43	5.61	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	MIN	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.7%	12.5%	3.0%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.0%	12.0%	3.2%	4.59	4.66	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIN	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.0%	12.0%	3.2%	4.59	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.0%	12.0%	3.2%	4.59	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.0%	12.0%	3.2%	4.59	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		107	39	300	1259	219	121	42	36%	2.8	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	3.3%	3.45	4.68	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	26	200	838	146	81	28	36%	2.8	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	3.3%	3.45	4.68	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Cabezas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	22.2%	9.7%	3.0%	—	4.66	22.0%	12.0%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	75
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	73
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	71
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	70
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	70
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	69
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	69
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	69
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	68
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	67
Josh Lindblom R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	30	SW	3.91	18.7%	5.5%	3.1%	.333	3.50	27.2%	18.8%	45	-0.41	3.50	348	66
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	65
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	65
Michael Mariot R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	29	SU	4.62	21.8%	7.5%	4.4%	.328	4.65	17.7%	9.5%	136	+0.03	2.40	676	64
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	63
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	63
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	63
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	63
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	63
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	63