Drew McDaniel
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 46 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%22.0%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP46
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 107 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 8.44 | 2.82 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 8.44 | 2.73 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 20 | 17 | 78 | 352 | 67 | 27 | 7 | 85% | 3.9 | 14.1% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.60 | 5.03 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 20 | 17 | 78 | 352 | 67 | 27 | 7 | 85% | 3.9 | 19.0% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 4.60 | 3.59 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 61 | 251 | 65 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 5.1 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 4.13 | 4.72 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 61 | 251 | 65 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 5.1 | 25.9% | 7.2% | 18.7% | 2.0% | 4.13 | 2.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 17 | 15 | 61 | 258 | 60 | 27 | 13 | 88% | 3.6 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.57 | 6.57 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 8 | 46 | 193 | 42 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.49 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 107 | 451 | 102 | 44 | 19 | — | — | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 4.53 | 5.67 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.11 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 8 | 46 | 193 | 43 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 43 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 7 | 7 | 44 | 184 | 41 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 14 | 81 | 342 | 77 | 31 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.13 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 77 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 54 | 44 | 206 | 891 | 151 | 88 | 39 | 81% | 3.8 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.55 | 5.31 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 43 | 200 | 866 | 147 | 86 | 38 | 81% | 3.8 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.55 | 5.31 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew McDaniel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 22.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.47 | 22.4% | 13.3% | 134 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 80 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 78 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 77 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 76 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 76 |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 75 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .286 | 5.51 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.96 | 3.29 | 142 | 75 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 74 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 74 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 74 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .296 | 3.59 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 36 | -0.73 | 3.59 | 327 | 74 |
| Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 74 |
| Brett Daniels R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 3.1% | .357 | 4.75 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 77 | +0.20 | 3.98 | 270 | 74 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 73 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 73 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.22 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .335 | 5.81 | 14.3% | -0.8% | 71 | +0.59 | 4.87 | 274 | 73 |
| Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 73 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 73 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 45 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 1.21 | 4.45 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |