Gabriel LaraOF
FCL Yankees
Age 20
L/L
5'9" / 165 lbs
ROK
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.9 · 2032
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .293 / .345
PA93
HR2
K%26
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
44↗49
PWR
32↗37
SPD
55↗60
EYE
41↗46
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.9peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.9 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.9 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.8 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.6 | $17M | +$14M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.4 | $15M | +$10M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.1 | $12M | +$7M |
| Totals | $16M | $99M | +$83M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 182 | 156 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 6 | 18 | 8 | .205 | .311 | .288 | .600 | .083 | .268 | 24 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 146 | 131 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 4 | 14 | 4 | .160 | .247 | .206 | .453 | .046 | .194 | 18 | 8 | .203 | 14 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 109 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 5 | .184 | .215 | .262 | .477 | .078 | .269 | 34 | 3 | .202 | 13 | -11 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | NYY | 93 | 85 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .224 | .290 | .353 | .643 | .129 | .287 | 26 | 8 | .289 | 80 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | NYY | 180 | 161 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .230 | .303 | .360 | .664 | .130 | .289 | 24 | 8 | .304 | 91 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | NYY | 310 | 275 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 74 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .236 | .316 | .382 | .698 | .145 | .290 | 24 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | NYY | 400 | 355 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 93 | 5 | 10 | 3 | .239 | .320 | .394 | .714 | .155 | .290 | 23 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | NYY | 461 | 408 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 106 | 6 | 12 | 3 | .243 | .325 | .404 | .730 | .162 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | NYY | 495 | 437 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 113 | 6 | 12 | 3 | .243 | .327 | .403 | .730 | .160 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .327 | 109 | +5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | NYY | 515 | 452 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 117 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .246 | .331 | .409 | .741 | .164 | .292 | 23 | 10 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 523 | 458 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 120 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .242 | .330 | .404 | .734 | .162 | .292 | 23 | 10 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 524 | 459 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 121 | 7 | 12 | 3 | .242 | .329 | .403 | .733 | .161 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 517 | 452 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 121 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .243 | .332 | .407 | .739 | .164 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .326 | 108 | +4 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 509 | 446 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 52 | 120 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .238 | .325 | .395 | .720 | .157 | .289 | 24 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 496 | 436 | 101 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 119 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .232 | .320 | .378 | .699 | .147 | .288 | 24 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 479 | 421 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 49 | 118 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .228 | .317 | .371 | .688 | .143 | .286 | 25 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 450 | 396 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 114 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .227 | .315 | .369 | .684 | .141 | .285 | 25 | 10 | .309 | 94 | -3 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 404 | 355 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 106 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .223 | .312 | .358 | .669 | .135 | .283 | 26 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +2 | -5 | -2 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 349 | 307 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 95 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .215 | .303 | .342 | .645 | .127 | .281 | 27 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7142 | 6293 | 1464 | 258 | 40 | 195 | 696 | 1713 | 95 | 188 | 45 | .233 | .318 | .379 | .698 | .147 | .287 | 24 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -17 | +20 | -25 | -43 | +202 | 14.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 133 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 63 | 156 | 9 | 17 | 4 | .232 | .318 | .380 | .698 | .148 | .286 | 24 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -2 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 182 | 146 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 30 | 6 | 18 | 8 | .267 | .406 | .411 | .817 | .144 | .307 | 16 | 15 | .370 | 141 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 146 | 124 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 4 | .202 | .322 | .250 | .572 | .048 | .231 | 13 | 12 | .277 | 70 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 109 | 101 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 5 | .277 | .318 | .406 | .724 | .129 | .347 | 24 | 5 | .317 | 101 | +0 | -1 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Gabriel Lara (OGILVIE) | 20 | 44→49 | 32→37 | 55→60 | 46 | .222/.293/.345 | .123 | .287 | 2 | 2 | 26% | 8% | 80 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 42→45 | 57→70 | 45 | .220/.273/.329 | .110 | .277 | 8 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.270/.313 | .095 | .291 | 8 | 18 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .260/.332/.371 | .111 | .354 | 9 | 50 | 27% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A |
20 | 46→56 | 39→50 | 53→50 | 46 | .218/.277/.306 | .088 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .245/.301/.388 | .143 | .311 | 15 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .260/.330/.404 | .144 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +1.8 |
|
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A |
20 | 49→59 | 42→50 | 54→50 | 37 | .235/.276/.347 | .112 | .314 | 8 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.280/.325 | .104 | .331 | 8 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .262/.344/.424 | .163 | .366 | 16 | 16 | 30% | 11% | 115 | +2.2 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A |
20 | 42→51 | 43→55 | 56→55 | 48 | .206/.282/.325 | .120 | .283 | 9 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.283/.340 | .128 | .306 | 11 | 16 | 32% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Juan Perez 2012 · A |
20 | 48→51 | 41→45 | 55 | 45 | .231/.285/.338 | .106 | .295 | 7 | 12 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .217/.265/.324 | .107 | .274 | 8 | 15 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .227/.270/.351 | .124 | .290 | 15 | 24 | 27% | 5% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A |
21 | 48→53 | 42→50 | 51→55 | 42 | .228/.286/.337 | .109 | .309 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.293/.326 | .100 | .295 | 6 | 15 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A |
20 | 51→58 | 42→55 | 51→50 | 41 | .244/.289/.355 | .111 | .326 | 9 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .259/.300/.414 | .155 | .299 | 17 | 12 | 19% | 5% | 99 | +1.7 | .266/.310/.441 | .174 | .301 | 19 | 10 | 18% | 6% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A |
20 | 49→57 | 41→40 | 50 | 44 | .239/.281/.337 | .098 | .287 | 8 | 13 | 20% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .254/.300/.347 | .093 | .306 | 6 | 10 | 18% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .269/.318/.358 | .090 | .312 | 5 | 8 | 15% | 6% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
●Michael Saunders 2007 · A |
20 | 45→52 | 39→55 | 54→55 | 43 | .210/.273/.299 | .088 | .305 | 6 | 15 | 31% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .234/.295/.362 | .128 | .331 | 12 | 16 | 31% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .251/.327/.433 | .182 | .309 | 19 | 17 | 24% | 10% | 112 | +1.9 |
|
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A |
20 | 49 | 39→45 | 59→60 | 51 | .227/.311/.328 | .101 | .310 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .205/.273/.294 | .089 | .326 | 6 | 25 | 36% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .220/.298/.337 | .116 | .314 | 13 | 41 | 32% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA |
20 | 46→52 | 45→50 | 55 | 51 | .224/.304/.359 | .135 | .280 | 11 | 21 | 23% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .231/.318/.378 | .147 | .301 | 14 | 21 | 26% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 | .227/.321/.379 | .152 | .295 | 16 | 24 | 26% | 10% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A |
21 | 49→57 | 42→55 | 56→55 | 41 | .237/.286/.348 | .111 | .312 | 9 | 19 | 26% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .271/.315/.439 | .168 | .332 | 18 | 21 | 23% | 5% | 112 | +2.6 | .278/.321/.456 | .177 | .328 | 21 | 21 | 21% | 5% | 116 | +2.7 |
|
●Mallex Smith 2013 · A |
20 | 49→59 | 38→45 | 53→65 | 39 | .231/.274/.307 | .076 | .316 | 5 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .245/.313/.323 | .078 | .319 | 5 | 40 | 23% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .272/.334/.371 | .099 | .351 | 5 | 52 | 22% | 8% | 98 | +1.2 |
|
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A |
20 | 50→53 | 42→55 | 54→60 | 45 | .242/.287/.364 | .122 | .283 | 8 | 14 | 18% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .247/.293/.363 | .116 | .305 | 9 | 25 | 21% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .248/.310/.428 | .179 | .287 | 18 | 35 | 20% | 6% | 104 | +2.1 |
|
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A |
21 | 47 | 44→45 | 53→55 | 45 | .232/.297/.346 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 15 | 20% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .215/.274/.310 | .095 | .277 | 8 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .185/.240/.257 | .072 | .258 | 6 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 31 | -1.1 |
|
✕Cole Young 2023 · A |
20 | 50→49 | 45 | 49→50 | 47 | .245/.300/.368 | .123 | .296 | 13 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .232/.316/.354 | .122 | .279 | 10 | 13 | 20% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .227/.316/.346 | .119 | .270 | 10 | 12 | 19% | 10% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 40→45 | 55 | 44 | .197/.264/.289 | .093 | .275 | 8 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .236/.299/.340 | .104 | .314 | 7 | 24 | 25% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .253/.315/.362 | .109 | .325 | 7 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 46→60 | 54→50 | 42 | .223/.277/.357 | .134 | .288 | 13 | 15 | 27% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .225/.291/.388 | .163 | .272 | 19 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .237/.305/.454 | .217 | .309 | 28 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 109 | +1.8 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A |
20 | 49 | 40→45 | 51→50 | 44 | .231/.300/.334 | .103 | .298 | 6 | 13 | 23% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .214/.266/.312 | .098 | .287 | 6 | 10 | 26% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.236/.286 | .092 | .269 | 8 | 8 | 30% | 4% | 36 | -0.9 |
|
●Domonic Brown 2009 · A |
21 | 48→55 | 41→55 | 51→55 | 47 | .234/.289/.333 | .099 | .285 | 9 | 14 | 21% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .252/.310/.400 | .148 | .314 | 15 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 100 | +1.7 | .254/.320/.417 | .163 | .315 | 18 | 20 | 24% | 8% | 107 | +1.6 |