Junior Franco

LF Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 24 L/L 5'9" / 165 lbs AA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+/AARI400.261/.338/.37173254—.210/.267/.297
202522AA/A+ARI286.286/.354/.43971179—.238/.291/.359
202623AAARI376.277/.358/.42171484—.248/.309/.372
2027PROJMLE24MLBARI4.232/.289/.3500074-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBARI76.234/.292/.3591278-0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBARI130.236/.294/.3642480-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Z-Con%78
Whiff%69
Speed69
K%65
wOBA61
ISO46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 5.0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%
CompsBrennon Lund (age 24) · Sócrates Brito (age 24) · Mike Daniel (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .289 / .350
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%6
BABIP300
ISO114
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT60
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL D-backs — 9479 24532 13241 101 304409519928 215407 2614 403 73 — — — — — —
202219 AVisalia Rawhide — 448409 10420014 331124 288 254316406722 152316 257 322 59 — — — — — —
202320 A+Hillsboro Hops — 247222 511124 21563 96 230305351656 122288 239 297 49 — — — — — —
202320 AVisalia Rawhide — 2118 4100 2100 10 222300278578 56444 4810 257 7 — — — — — —
202421 A+Hillsboro Hops — 215195 47523 18420 213 241305333638 92289 208 288 36 — — — — — —
202421 AVisalia Rawhide — 185161 46524 20313 115 286375416791 130331 1711 356 74 — — — — — —
202522 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 2625 4000 130 10 160192160352 182 124 166 -20 — — — — — —
202522 A+Hillsboro Hops — 260230 691427 25332 105 300371470840 170325 1310 370 89 — — — — — —
202623 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 376328 911847 36825 149 277358421778 143346 2210 343 84 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 9484 16321 8351 101 190269310578 119319 379 276 73 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 448420 9017010 221524 288 214260326586 112303 345 255 59 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 247228 44923 15773 96 193252289542 96270 316 240 49 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 2119 3100 1130 10 158200211411 53373 625 179 7 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 215201 38413 12590 213 189235264498 75246 276 221 36 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 185167 39423 14423 115 234304335640 102283 238 277 74 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 2625 4000 140 10 160192160352 165 154 139 -20 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 260240 591216 17442 105 246301379680 133280 177 300 89 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 376339 841646 251005 149 248309372681 124318 277 292 84 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 9484 16321 8351 101 190269310578 119306 379 276 73 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL D-backs — 9479 24532 13241 101 304409519928 215407 2614 403 73 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 448420 9017010 221524 288 214260326586 112308 345 255 59 — — — — — —
202219 A RAWVisalia Rawhide — 448409 10420014 331124 288 254316406722 152316 257 322 59 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLE2 teams — 268247 471023 16903 106 190248283532 93282 346 235 45 — — — — — —
202320 A+ RAW2 teams — 268240 551224 23663 106 229305346650 117297 259 294 45 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 400368 77836 261013 328 209267296563 87269 256 247 53 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAW2 teams — 400356 931047 38733 328 261338371708 110308 1810 319 53 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 286265 631216 18482 115 238291358650 121269 176 285 79 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 286255 731427 26362 115 286354439794 153310 139 352 79 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 376339 841646 251005 149 248309372681 124329 277 292 84 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWAmarillo Sod Poodles — 376328 911847 36825 149 277358421778 143346 2210 343 84 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 9485 16321 8351 101 188269306575 118319 379 276 73 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 448419 9017010 221524 288 215260327587 112303 345 255 59 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLE2 teams — 268247 471023 16903 106 190248283532 93278 346 235 45 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 400368 77836 261013 328 209267296563 87263 256 247 53 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 286264 631216 18482 115 239291360651 121270 176 285 79 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 376343 841646 251005 149 245309367676 122318 277 292 84 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 400368 77836 261013 328 209267296563 87263 256 247 53 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 286264 631216 18482 115 239291360651 121270 176 285 79 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 376343 841646 251005 149 245309367676 122318 277 292 84 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEARI 2% 380350 781436 24973 115 225282338620 112290 266 278 74 -12 +0 +0 -4 +8 -0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXARI 2% 44 1000 010 00 232289350639 118300 250 286 74 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEARI 31% 244224 51925 16612 73 228286347633 119290 257 283 78 -6 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.4
202926 MLB MLEARI 45% 292267 611126 20733 84 229288352640 123290 257 287 80 -7 +0 +0 -3 +6 -0.4
203027 MLB MLEARI 49% 312285 651226 21783 84 229289352641 123290 257 287 80 -7 +0 +0 -3 +7 -0.4
203128 MLB MLEARI 52% 323295 671227 22813 74 228288351639 123289 257 286 80 -8 -0 -1 -3 +7 -0.5
202825 MLB CTXARI 31% 7670 16311 5191 21 234292359651 125301 257 291 78 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
202926 MLB CTXARI 45% 130119 28612 9331 42 236294364658 128300 257 294 80 -3 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.2
203027 MLB CTXARI 49% 153141 33713 10381 42 235295364659 129300 257 294 80 -4 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.2
203128 MLB CTXARI 52% 167152 35713 12421 42 234294362656 127299 257 293 80 -4 +0 -0 -2 +4 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 526482 1122349 361324 147 232291353644 120299 257 293 71 -13 +0 -0 -6 +11 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 13828511 441635 179 232290351641 119298 257 293 71 -16 +0 -0 -7 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 32532987 6641182160 20787231 14155 222280336616 114291 276 273 71 -35 +0 -1 -15 +30 -2.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650597 13324412 411746 2811 223280337616 114292 276 273 71 -16 +0 -0 -7 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 376 PAwOBA .337 → .292 (−45)K% 21.8% → 26.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.81%÷1.000×1.220——26.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.31%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0126.59%
HBP% /PA1.33%—×0.870—×1.0121.17%
Singles /BIP25.20%÷1.000×0.920×1.010×1.01223.70%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷1.000×0.840×1.010×1.0126.28%
Triples /BIP1.63%÷1.000×0.940×1.010×1.0121.56%
Home runs /BIP2.85%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0122.30%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .337 → .292; ISO .143 → .123; BABIP .346 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hillsboro Hops · 260 PAwOBA .362 → .300 (−62)K% 12.7% → 17.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.69%÷1.002×1.350——17.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.62%÷1.044×0.710—×0.9986.53%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.810—×0.9980.62%
Singles /BIP23.35%÷1.012×0.910×0.970×0.99820.31%
Doubles /BIP7.11%÷0.908×0.830×0.970×0.9986.29%
Triples /BIP1.02%÷1.150×0.820×0.970×0.9980.70%
Home runs /BIP3.55%÷0.968×0.830—×0.9983.04%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .362 → .300; ISO .170 → .144; BABIP .325 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 26 PAwOBA .162 → .139 (−23)K% 11.5% → 14.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.54%÷0.972×1.220——14.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.85%÷0.994×0.700—×1.0272.78%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.041×0.920—×1.02716.50%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.119×0.840—×1.0270.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.985×0.940—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.333×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 97, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .162 → .139; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 215 PAwOBA .283 → .221 (−62)K% 19.5% → 27.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.53%÷0.964×1.350——27.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.37%÷1.086×0.710—×1.0125.54%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP24.18%÷1.049×0.910×0.991×1.01221.02%
Doubles /BIP3.27%÷1.066×0.830×0.991×1.0122.55%
Triples /BIP1.31%÷1.150×0.820×0.991×1.0120.93%
Home runs /BIP1.96%÷0.875×0.830—×1.0121.88%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 110, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .283 → .221; ISO .092 → .074; BABIP .289 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AVisalia Rawhide · 185 PAwOBA .349 → .277 (−72)K% 16.8% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.76%÷1.009×1.360——22.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.81%÷0.980×0.690——7.61%
HBP% /PA1.62%—×0.780——1.26%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷1.010×0.920×0.954—23.40%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷0.964×0.830×0.954—3.16%
Triples /BIP1.54%÷0.965×0.910×0.954—1.38%
Home runs /BIP3.08%÷1.102×0.800——2.23%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 93, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .349 → .277; ISO .130 → .099; BABIP .331 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 247 PAwOBA .290 → .240 (−51)K% 22.7% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.67%÷0.987×1.350——31.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.50%÷1.038×0.710—×1.0275.97%
HBP% /PA1.21%—×0.810—×1.0271.01%
Singles /BIP20.48%÷0.980×0.910×0.999×1.02719.51%
Doubles /BIP6.63%÷0.947×0.830×0.999×1.0275.95%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷0.900×0.820×0.999×1.0271.13%
Home runs /BIP2.41%÷0.952×0.830—×1.0272.16%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .290 → .240; ISO .122 → .101; BABIP .288 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 21 PAwOBA .263 → .179 (−84)K% 47.6% → 63.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA47.62%÷1.019×1.360——63.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.52%÷0.987×0.690—×1.0156.76%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP37.50%÷1.060×0.920—×1.01533.04%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.029×0.830—×1.01510.24%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.003×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .263 → .179; ISO .056 → .035; BABIP .444 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AVisalia Rawhide · 448 PAwOBA .313 → .255 (−57)K% 25.0% → 34.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.001×1.360——33.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.92%÷1.023×0.690—×1.0304.81%
HBP% /PA0.89%—×0.780—×1.0300.72%
Singles /BIP23.57%÷0.997×0.920×1.030×1.03023.08%
Doubles /BIP6.73%÷0.942×0.830×1.030×1.0306.29%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.030×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP4.71%÷1.062×0.800—×1.0303.66%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .313 → .255; ISO .152 → .114; BABIP .316 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).