Junior Franco — OGILVIE

Junior FrancoOF Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 23 L/L 5'9" / 165 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION236 act + 157 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .281 / .342

PA157

HR3

SB6

K%28

BB%6

BABIP309

ISO109

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	94	84	17	4	2	1	8	36	1	10	1	202	280	333	613	131	333	38	9	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	94	79	24	5	3	2	13	24	1	10	1	304	409	519	928	215	407	26	14	403	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	448	421	90	18	0	11	21	150	4	28	8	214	258	335	593	121	302	33	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	448	409	104	20	0	14	33	112	4	28	8	254	316	406	722	152	316	25	7	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	2 teams	—	268	249	44	9	2	3	14	93	3	10	6	177	229	265	494	88	265	35	5	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	2 teams	—	268	240	55	12	2	4	23	66	3	10	6	229	305	346	650	117	297	25	9	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	400	370	72	7	3	6	24	104	3	32	8	195	249	278	528	84	251	26	6	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	400	356	93	10	4	7	38	73	3	32	8	261	338	371	708	110	308	18	10	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	286	268	61	13	1	6	15	50	2	11	5	228	274	351	624	123	258	17	5	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	286	255	73	14	2	7	26	36	2	11	5	286	354	439	794	153	310	13	9	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	ARI	—	236	215	56	8	2	4	15	74	3	11	5	260	318	372	690	112	371	31	6	306	92	-2	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.4
YTD	23	AA	ARI	—	236	207	61	9	2	5	23	57	3	11	5	295	373	430	803	135	378	24	10	357	131	+8	+0	+0	-1	+7	1.4
ROS	23	AA	ARI	2%	157	146	34	5	1	3	9	44	1	6	2	232	281	342	623	109	312	28	6	282	74	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	ARI	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						315	33	0	277	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	ARI	—	239	218	56	8	2	4	15	75	3	11	5	257	314	367	681	110	366	31	6	306	92	-2	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.3
TOT	23	AA	ARI	—	393	361	90	13	3	7	24	118	4	17	7	249	303	360	663	111	345	30	6	296	85	-7	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	ARI	31%	387	357	84	14	2	8	24	106	3	12	5	235	289	353	642	118	311	27	6	290	80	-9	+0	+0	-2	+11	0.0
2028	25	MLB	ARI	45%	426	391	94	15	3	10	28	114	4	13	5	240	298	371	669	130	310	27	7	296	84	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2029	26	MLB	ARI	51%	450	413	99	16	3	11	30	119	4	14	5	240	298	373	670	133	309	26	7	298	86	-7	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.4
2030	27	MLB	ARI	53%	456	417	100	16	3	11	32	121	4	13	5	240	300	372	672	132	308	27	7	299	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.4
2031	28	MLB	ARI	53%	456	417	100	16	3	11	32	121	4	12	5	240	300	372	672	132	308	27	7	298	86	-7	+0	-1	-3	+13	0.3
2027	24	MLB	ARI	31%	120	110	27	4	1	3	8	33	1	4	1	245	303	382	684	136	313	28	7	286	77	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	ARI	45%	190	173	42	7	1	4	13	51	2	6	2	243	303	364	667	121	312	27	7	291	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2029	26	MLB	ARI	51%	229	209	50	8	1	6	16	61	2	7	3	239	300	373	673	134	311	27	7	294	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.1
2030	27	MLB	ARI	53%	239	218	53	9	1	6	17	63	2	7	3	243	304	376	680	133	311	26	7	295	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.1
2031	28	MLB	ARI	53%	243	222	53	9	1	6	17	65	2	7	3	239	299	369	668	131	310	27	7	294	83	-5	+0	-0	-1	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1024	935	225	37	5	25	71	274	9	31	12	241	300	371	672	130	312	27	7	293	82	-21	+1	-0	-6	+29	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	142	23	3	16	45	174	6	20	8	239	300	369	668	130	310	27	7	293	82	-13	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3828	3533	795	133	23	81	237	1058	33	161	55	225	280	344	624	119	296	28	6	277	70	-129	+10	-1	-23	+108	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	136	23	4	14	40	180	6	27	9	227	282	348	630	122	298	28	6	277	70	-22	+2	-0	-4	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	94	79	24	5	3	2	13	24	1	10	1	304	409	519	928	215	407	26	14	403	167	+7	+2	—	—	+3	1.2
2022	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	448	409	104	20	0	14	33	112	4	28	8	254	316	406	722	152	316	25	7	322	104	+2	+2	—	—	+13	1.8
2023	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	247	222	51	11	2	4	21	56	3	9	6	230	305	351	656	122	288	23	9	297	85	-4	-1	—	—	+7	0.2
2023	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	21	18	4	1	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	222	300	278	578	56	444	48	10	257	55	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	215	195	47	5	2	3	18	42	0	21	3	241	305	333	638	92	289	20	8	288	79	-5	+3	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	185	161	46	5	2	4	20	31	3	11	5	286	375	416	791	130	331	17	11	356	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	26	25	4	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	160	192	160	352		182	12	4	166	-15	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	260	230	69	14	2	7	25	33	2	10	5	300	371	470	840	170	325	13	10	370	142	+12	+0	—	—	+7	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,028	24	30	240	296	368	-6	+0	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	15	20	240	296	368	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Franco (OGILVIE)	23	60	45	50	40	249/303/360	111	345	7	17	30%	6%	85	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Nick Gordon 2019 · AAA	23	45→55	41→50	52→55	40	220/264/320	100	289	7	14	26%	5%	59	-1.1	230/271/341	111	297	9	20	25%	5%	68	-0.5	252/296/383	131	322	11	19	24%	4%	87	+0.5
✕Troy Montgomery 2018 · AA	23	48→55	42→40	51→50	47	230/294/339	109	298	9	13	25%	8%	77	+0.1	227/294/313	86	322	5	12	28%	8%	70	-0.3	245/317/316	71	358	2	15	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Forrest Wall 2019 · AA	23	44→54	41→45	53→70	41	212/269/310	98	296	9	23	30%	6%	59	-1.1	214/276/328	114	305	10	22	31%	7%	67	-0.5	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2022 · AA	23	48→51	42→45	54→60	43	229/288/341	112	317	9	22	29%	7%	76	+0.0	238/296/347	109	313	8	29	25%	7%	80	+0.4	240/313/341	101	332	7	39	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Carlos Alvarez 2011 · AAA	23	47	43→45	48→45	44	228/285/337	109	294	11	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	229/288/361	132	290	14	10	25%	7%	81	+0.4	245/326/331	86	298	6	6	18%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Daryl Jones 2010 · AA	23	50→55	41→45	51→50	44	239/302/341	103	316	8	14	26%	7%	82	+0.5	217/282/323	106	291	9	12	27%	7%	69	-0.4	201/269/306	105	270	9	13	27%	7%	56	-0.7
●Josh Kroeger 2006 · MLB	23	43→53	44→50	51→50	38	217/257/336	120	282	12	15	28%	5%	61	-1.0	234/274/373	139	292	15	10	25%	5%	78	+0.2	258/304/411	153	302	18	15	21%	6%	97	+1.3
●Jordany Valdespin 2011 · AA	23	48→53	42→50	49→55	38	233/263/342	109	289	8	15	23%	3%	64	-0.8	250/286/388	138	298	15	24	21%	4%	87	+0.8	256/296/403	147	298	17	28	20%	4%	92	+0.7
●Jason Pridie 2007 · AA	23	43→53	39→50	52→55	39	212/248/296	83	275	7	14	26%	4%	46	-2.0	238/269/361	123	301	10	19	24%	4%	72	-0.2	243/290/391	148	303	17	19	25%	6%	86	+0.7
✕Rafael Ortega 2014 · AA	23	46→54	40→55	52→55	44	223/271/317	95	278	8	21	23%	6%	61	-1.0	231/283/312	81	283	5	18	19%	7%	65	-0.7	240/312/405	165	285	19	17	23%	9%	98	+1.2
✕Dustin Fowler 2018 · AAA	23	48→53	45→50	55	38	238/263/373	135	291	11	19	22%	3%	72	-0.2	230/265/363	133	296	13	16	26%	4%	71	-0.3	225/266/363	137	299	16	14	30%	4%	68	-0.3
●Shane Peterson 2011 · AA	23	48→58	41→50	53→50	42	232/290/333	101	307	9	10	26%	6%	74	-0.1	236/307/354	118	314	11	13	26%	8%	87	+0.8	254/328/373	119	355	10	13	29%	9%	98	+1.4
✕Kyle Waldrop 2015 · AA	23	49→57	46→50	48→50	39	240/277/370	130	311	13	11	27%	5%	78	+0.2	231/266/334	103	306	9	6	27%	4%	63	-0.8	228/266/322	94	300	9	3	26%	4%	59	-0.9
✕Brennon Lund 2019 · AA	24	51→57	41→50	53→50	42	242/295/345	103	323	8	16	27%	6%	79	+0.3	217/269/342	125	299	11	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/247/335	136	272	14	6	31%	5%	55	-0.8
●Junior Lake 2013 · AA	23	47→54	43→50	53→55	37	227/272/342	114	318	11	22	31%	5%	69	-0.4	237/281/359	122	328	12	19	30%	5%	77	+0.1	231/302/372	141	287	15	19	24%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Ramón Flores 2015 · AAA	23	47→57	42→45	47→50	48	227/285/339	112	278	9	8	22%	7%	73	-0.1	240/307/345	105	289	9	7	19%	9%	85	+0.7	251/324/348	97	299	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.6
●Roger Bernadina 2007 · A	23	45→55	41→45	52→60	46	218/286/311	93	289	9	20	26%	8%	67	-0.5	249/305/349	100	332	8	30	25%	7%	84	+0.6	261/318/388	127	324	12	31	22%	7%	96	+1.3
✕Mason Williams 2015 · AA	23	47→53	40→50	49→55	46	223/269/313	90	261	7	14	18%	6%	59	-1.1	247/284/323	76	298	4	16	17%	5%	68	-0.5	246/291/375	129	301	15	7	23%	6%	81	+0.3
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	43→53	45→50	50	43	215/274/335	120	274	13	14	26%	6%	68	-0.5	237/291/367	130	317	13	13	28%	6%	83	+0.6	238/291/359	121	322	12	13	29%	6%	78	+0.2