John PeckSS
Erie SeaWolves
Age 24
R/R
6'0" / 185 lbs
AA
HR +5%H +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.7 · 2029
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .271 / .324
PA320
HR6
SB13
K%32
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
32↗39
PWR
43↗46
SPD
46↗51
FLD
42↗54
EYE
40↗52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.8M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $9M | $8M | -$0.9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | 2 teams | 64 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 2 | .170 | .312 | .189 | .501 | .019 | .265 | 30 | 12 | .232 | 35 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | A | 3 teams | 300 | 273 | 59 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 102 | 5 | 33 | 6 | .216 | .282 | .300 | .582 | .084 | .333 | 34 | 7 | .262 | 59 | -14 | +4 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 518 | 483 | 123 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 165 | 4 | 19 | 6 | .255 | .300 | .366 | .666 | .112 | .362 | 32 | 5 | .289 | 80 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 68 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .188 | .224 | .312 | .536 | .125 | .278 | 40 | 1 | .225 | 30 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | 252 | 232 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 84 | 3 | 8 | 2 | .211 | .268 | .323 | .591 | .112 | .299 | 33 | 6 | .265 | 61 | -11 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | DET | 320 | 296 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 111 | 5 | 13 | 3 | .206 | .259 | .321 | .580 | .115 | .300 | 35 | 5 | .257 | 55 | -16 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | DET | 370 | 340 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 99 | 4 | 11 | 3 | .221 | .278 | .347 | .625 | .126 | .281 | 27 | 6 | .279 | 71 | -12 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | DET | 407 | 372 | 82 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 108 | 5 | 11 | 3 | .220 | .282 | .347 | .629 | .126 | .282 | 27 | 7 | .284 | 75 | -11 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | DET | 420 | 383 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 111 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .222 | .285 | .347 | .633 | .125 | .283 | 26 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -11 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | DET | 425 | 387 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 113 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .220 | .284 | .344 | .628 | .124 | .282 | 27 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | DET | 420 | 382 | 83 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 112 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .217 | .283 | .340 | .623 | .123 | .282 | 27 | 7 | .284 | 75 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | DET | 414 | 377 | 82 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 112 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .218 | .282 | .342 | .624 | .125 | .280 | 27 | 7 | .281 | 73 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | DET | 401 | 365 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 110 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .214 | .279 | .332 | .610 | .118 | .279 | 27 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | DET | 384 | 350 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 108 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .209 | .273 | .320 | .593 | .111 | .277 | 28 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | DET | 355 | 323 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 102 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .207 | .273 | .316 | .589 | .108 | .276 | 29 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | DET | 311 | 284 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 92 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .204 | .266 | .310 | .576 | .106 | .274 | 30 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5041 | 4604 | 1008 | 181 | 16 | 106 | 339 | 1437 | 60 | 144 | 30 | .219 | .281 | .334 | .616 | .115 | .292 | 29 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -169 | +17 | -21 | +54 | +143 | 2.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 594 | 130 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 185 | 8 | 19 | 4 | .219 | .282 | .335 | .617 | .116 | .291 | 28 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -22 | +2 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 29 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .280 | .379 | .320 | .699 | .040 | .389 | 24 | 10 | .329 | 110 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 35 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .125 | .400 | .125 | .525 | .000 | .167 | 17 | 26 | .299 | 87 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 75 | 70 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .286 | .333 | .400 | .733 | .114 | .413 | 31 | 5 | .329 | 110 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 207 | 177 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 4 | 25 | 4 | .249 | .351 | .373 | .724 | .124 | .326 | 23 | 12 | .327 | 109 | +2 | +3 | — | — | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 18 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .588 | .611 | .706 | 1.317 | .118 | .714 | 17 | 6 | .584 | 305 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 106 | 95 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .274 | .343 | .358 | .701 | .084 | .338 | 20 | 8 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 412 | 374 | 115 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 104 | 3 | 17 | 5 | .307 | .367 | .452 | .819 | .144 | .399 | 25 | 8 | .363 | 136 | +17 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 3.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| John Peck (OGILVIE) | 24 | 32→39 | 43→46 | 46→51 | 52 | .213/.271/.324 | .111 | .302 | 6 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 65 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA |
24 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 51→60 | 43 | .204/.265/.308 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 19 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.285/.324 | .098 | .310 | 8 | 27 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.288/.355 | .128 | .309 | 13 | 42 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.282/.323 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.293/.301 | .097 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.289/.271 | .075 | .275 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Travis Jones 2010 · AA |
24 | 43→46 | 45 | 49→50 | 47 | .215/.289/.341 | .126 | .280 | 13 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .212/.279/.326 | .114 | .292 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .185/.253/.296 | .111 | .252 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 7% | 48 | -0.8 |
|
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA |
24 | 42→43 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 46 | .211/.275/.332 | .121 | .266 | 14 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .209/.273/.344 | .135 | .272 | 16 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.271/.351 | .147 | .261 | 18 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA |
24 | 42→46 | 43→45 | 54→55 | 44 | .207/.282/.319 | .112 | .290 | 10 | 19 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .216/.268/.334 | .118 | .294 | 13 | 15 | 30% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.255/.332 | .117 | .280 | 16 | 15 | 29% | 5% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2010 · AA |
24 | 39→40 | 47→50 | 52→50 | 41 | .199/.264/.336 | .137 | .287 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .196/.257/.331 | .135 | .289 | 15 | 12 | 36% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.258/.339 | .147 | .301 | 18 | 10 | 40% | 7% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA |
24 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .196/.261/.330 | .133 | .269 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .203/.278/.366 | .163 | .280 | 20 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .206/.283/.412 | .206 | .265 | 29 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A |
24 | 43→37 | 43→50 | 50 | 38 | .211/.270/.324 | .114 | .293 | 10 | 12 | 30% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .213/.281/.365 | .152 | .300 | 18 | 9 | 34% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .204/.280/.377 | .174 | .281 | 22 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA |
24 | 36→41 | 49→50 | 52→55 | 41 | .194/.257/.337 | .143 | .263 | 18 | 19 | 33% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .184/.262/.320 | .136 | .261 | 17 | 22 | 35% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .178/.268/.330 | .152 | .242 | 18 | 26 | 33% | 8% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA |
24 | 41→40 | 44→60 | 46→50 | 44 | .202/.279/.318 | .116 | .282 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .221/.280/.382 | .161 | .276 | 19 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .220/.279/.406 | .186 | .266 | 23 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB |
24 | 43→44 | 45 | 49→55 | 44 | .216/.280/.340 | .124 | .282 | 12 | 13 | 27% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.287/.340 | .122 | .280 | 13 | 20 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .220/.293/.341 | .120 | .280 | 13 | 27 | 25% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA |
24 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .199/.281/.326 | .127 | .271 | 13 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .195/.278/.310 | .115 | .276 | 11 | 18 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .167/.262/.269 | .102 | .243 | 9 | 23 | 32% | 10% | 46 | -0.8 |
|
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA |
24 | 46→47 | 44→45 | 56→50 | 43 | .224/.285/.348 | .124 | .297 | 10 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .204/.266/.311 | .107 | .308 | 9 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .184/.250/.275 | .091 | .296 | 8 | 16 | 38% | 7% | 40 | -1.4 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→35 | 45 | 51→55 | 38 | .187/.245/.306 | .118 | .262 | 14 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.276/.332 | .129 | .299 | 15 | 15 | 35% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA |
24 | 43 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 48 | .214/.309/.343 | .130 | .291 | 14 | 12 | 30% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .210/.307/.314 | .104 | .303 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .210/.307/.291 | .081 | .310 | 5 | 16 | 30% | 10% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA |
24 | 44→46 | 43→45 | 53→55 | 47 | .215/.289/.328 | .113 | .286 | 9 | 18 | 27% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.282/.318 | .097 | .282 | 8 | 22 | 23% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .253/.299/.369 | .116 | .300 | 11 | 25 | 19% | 5% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Tony Thomas 2010 · AA |
24 | 44→46 | 43→50 | 45→55 | 40 | .216/.269/.330 | .115 | .296 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .210/.259/.343 | .133 | .286 | 12 | 16 | 30% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .199/.246/.341 | .141 | .269 | 13 | 19 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Mycal Jones 2011 · AA |
24 | 41→46 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 39 | .205/.255/.325 | .120 | .275 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .207/.266/.310 | .103 | .273 | 9 | 18 | 26% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .222/.282/.307 | .085 | .285 | 6 | 24 | 23% | 7% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA |
24 | 43→42 | 43→50 | 55 | 43 | .203/.278/.320 | .117 | .313 | 10 | 19 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.289/.347 | .147 | .322 | 15 | 23 | 39% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .192/.287/.345 | .153 | .303 | 17 | 26 | 39% | 11% | 74 | -0.0 |