John Peck — OGILVIE

John PeckSS Erie SeaWolves

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION256 act + 170 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .273 / .366

PA170

HR4

SB8

K%32

BB%5

BABIP318

ISO139

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$3M	+$1M
2031	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$13M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	—	64	53	9	1	0	0	8	20	3	8	2	170	312	189	501	19	273	31	12	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	—	64	49	10	1	0	0	12	13	3	8	2	204	391	224	615	20	278	20	19	313	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	3 teams	—	300	274	57	8	3	2	19	103	5	33	6	208	272	281	553	73	322	34	6	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	3 teams	—	300	264	74	13	5	3	29	74	5	33	6	280	362	402	764	121	376	25	10	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	518	485	118	22	1	11	25	178	4	19	6	243	286	361	647	118	357	34	5	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	518	469	141	27	1	11	41	125	4	19	6	301	362	433	795	132	386	24	8	353	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	DET	—	256	239	61	15	3	9	10	83	3	19	6	255	294	456	750	201	344	32	4	312	97	-1	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.1
YTD	24	AA	DET	—	256	235	67	17	3	10	14	64	3	19	6	285	333	511	844	226	345	25	5	363	136	+10	+1	+0	+3	+7	2.2
ROS	24	AA	DET	2%	170	158	36	8	1	4	8	55	2	8	2	227	273	366	638	139	317	32	5	287	78	-4	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.3
ROS	24	MLB	DET	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						312	33	0	274	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AA	DET	—	259	242	61	15	3	9	10	84	3	19	6	252	290	450	741	198	340	32	4	312	97	-1	+1	-0	+3	+7	1.1
TOT	24	AA	DET	—	426	397	97	23	4	13	18	138	5	27	8	244	285	420	705	176	334	32	4	302	89	-5	+2	-0	+5	+12	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	DET	31%	370	345	80	17	2	10	18	116	4	15	5	232	278	380	658	148	312	31	5	288	79	-9	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.6
2028	26	MLB	DET	45%	407	379	87	18	2	11	21	124	4	17	5	230	277	375	652	145	311	30	5	292	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+12	0.9
2029	27	MLB	DET	49%	420	390	92	19	3	12	23	127	4	17	5	236	285	392	678	156	310	30	5	294	83	-8	+1	-1	+4	+12	0.9
2030	28	MLB	DET	52%	425	394	91	19	2	12	24	128	4	17	5	231	282	381	663	150	309	30	6	294	83	-8	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.9
2031	29	MLB	DET	52%	420	389	88	18	2	11	24	128	4	15	5	226	278	368	646	141	308	30	6	292	82	-9	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.7
2027	25	MLB	DET	31%	115	107	25	5	1	3	6	36	1	5	1	234	281	383	664	150	307	31	5	276	69	-4	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	26	MLB	DET	45%	181	167	38	8	1	5	10	55	2	7	2	228	279	377	657	150	305	30	6	280	72	-6	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	27	MLB	DET	49%	207	192	43	9	1	5	11	63	2	9	3	224	273	359	633	135	304	30	5	281	73	-6	+1	-0	+2	+6	0.2
2030	28	MLB	DET	52%	219	202	46	9	1	6	13	66	2	9	3	228	281	371	652	144	304	30	6	281	73	-7	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.2
2031	29	MLB	DET	52%	217	200	45	9	1	6	13	66	2	8	2	225	279	370	649	145	303	30	6	280	72	-7	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	942	871	197	40	5	25	53	287	9	38	11	226	278	370	647	144	305	30	6	280	72	-29	+3	-2	+10	+27	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	136	28	3	17	37	198	6	26	8	226	278	368	646	141	306	30	6	280	72	-20	+2	-2	+7	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	3094	2867	658	130	16	73	170	979	34	149	41	229	281	362	643	133	319	32	5	285	77	-82	+13	-5	+33	+88	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	137	27	3	15	36	206	7	31	9	228	279	357	636	130	317	32	6	285	77	-17	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	29	25	7	1	0	0	3	7	1	3	0	280	379	320	699	40	389	24	10	329	110	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	35	24	3	0	0	0	9	6	2	5	2	125	400	125	525		167	17	26	299	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	75	70	20	3	1	1	4	23	1	6	1	286	333	400	733	114	413	31	5	329	110	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	207	177	44	8	4	2	24	48	4	25	4	249	351	373	724	124	326	23	12	327	109	+2	+3	—	—	+6	1.1
2024	22	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	18	17	10	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	1	588	611	706	1.317	118	714	17	6	584	305	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	106	95	26	5	0	1	9	21	1	2	1	274	343	358	701	84	338	20	8	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	412	374	115	22	1	10	32	104	3	17	5	307	367	452	819	144	399	25	8	363	136	+17	+1	—	—	+12	3.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	945	26	37	232	279	381	+10	+3	2.0	2.0
	/162	664	18	26	232	279	381	+7.1	+2.4	1.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Peck (OGILVIE)	24	30→39	45→46	45→50	50	244/285/420	176	334	13	27	32%	4%	89	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→45	44→45	53→55	43	207/279/324	117	289	12	19	31%	8%	68	-0.5	222/272/356	134	296	16	14	29%	6%	72	-0.2	224/260/366	142	283	20	15	28%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2010 · AA	24	39→41	46→50	53→50	41	199/264/332	133	288	14	13	34%	7%	63	-0.8	198/259/336	138	292	16	12	36%	7%	63	-0.9	190/254/345	155	277	20	11	38%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Mycal Jones 2011 · AA	24	42→45	44→45	51→55	38	210/259/331	122	286	11	14	30%	5%	61	-1.0	210/268/314	104	279	9	19	27%	6%	60	-1.0	219/277/306	87	283	6	24	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jeudy Valdez 2013 · AA	24	40→43	47→50	50→55	34	206/242/343	136	275	15	16	31%	4%	56	-1.3	211/252/331	120	280	12	13	28%	4%	57	-1.2	207/248/321	114	269	11	13	27%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→60	48→45	40	191/253/320	128	266	14	9	33%	7%	56	-1.3	208/281/378	170	286	21	5	33%	8%	83	+0.6	213/288/429	216	271	31	1	33%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Jalen Miller 2021 · AA	24	39→43	45→50	48→50	40	204/250/326	123	263	14	16	28%	6%	56	-1.3	199/258/344	145	271	17	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/246/334	152	243	18	14	33%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→55	54→45	40	191/252/295	104	290	10	12	36%	7%	49	-1.8	204/267/315	111	307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	156/215/246	90	226	9	0	34%	7%	18	-0.7
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	45→50	55→60	37	197/258/317	121	307	12	20	38%	7%	57	-1.2	201/270/325	124	305	11	26	36%	7%	65	-0.7	191/267/321	130	289	12	34	35%	7%	58	-0.5
●Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→38	45→60	46→50	44	204/280/325	122	284	12	13	31%	8%	69	-0.4	220/279/399	179	271	22	14	27%	6%	88	+0.9	220/277/428	209	258	27	17	27%	5%	92	+0.8
✕JaCoby Jones 2016 · AA	24	44→46	48→50	51→50	35	220/267/358	138	319	17	15	36%	5%	72	-0.2	213/264/338	125	315	12	16	35%	5%	65	-0.7	234/301/421	187	314	19	13	30%	6%	100	+0.9
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→38	42→55	50	37	209/268/315	106	297	9	13	31%	5%	61	-1.0	220/290/388	168	304	21	9	33%	7%	90	+1.0	212/288/404	192	284	26	7	34%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Christopher Bostick 2017 · AAA	24	42→52	42→45	52→55	38	209/254/319	110	281	9	15	28%	5%	55	-1.4	237/287/350	113	309	9	9	25%	6%	77	+0.1	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Stone Garrett 2021 · AA	25	40→37	48→55	51→50	31	207/244/351	144	307	16	15	38%	3%	60	-1.0	215/257/384	169	296	22	15	34%	5%	75	-0.0	219/280/389	170	298	21	11	33%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3