José Barrero — OGILVIE

José BarreroSS Norfolk Tides

Age 28 R/R 6'4" / 211 lbs AAA HR +8%BB -5% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.6 · 2026

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .251 / .322

PA350

HR10

SB11

K%35

BB%6

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

55→55

SPD

55→55

EYE

43↗45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
Totals		$1M		$2M	+$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	517	489	101	18	4	4	12	144	12	13	9	.207	.244	.284	.528	.078	.284	28	2	.229	33	-39	-1	+0	+6	+15	-2.0
2019	21	A+	2 teams	521	475	108	35	1	7	20	138	19	18	3	.227	.286	.349	.635	.122	.300	26	4	.278	71	-17	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.6
2020	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	68	67	12	0	0	0	1	26	0	1	1	.179	.191	.179	.370	.000	.293	38	1	.171	-11	-9	-0	+1	+1	+2	-0.5
2021	23	AAA	3 teams	436	393	96	19	2	16	26	123	11	17	4	.244	.309	.425	.734	.181	.309	28	6	.317	101	+0	+2	+1	+5	+12	2.1
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	497	468	71	10	1	9	20	225	7	14	3	.152	.198	.235	.433	.083	.263	45	4	.191	4	-54	+2	-0	+5	+14	-3.4
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	578	513	109	26	4	20	36	203	17	31	4	.212	.286	.396	.682	.183	.297	35	6	.292	81	-12	+5	-4	+6	+16	1.2
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	341	310	46	8	1	9	16	137	10	16	1	.148	.214	.268	.482	.119	.219	40	5	.222	28	-28	+3	+0	+4	+10	-1.2
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	350	321	57	9	1	11	20	126	6	14	4	.178	.239	.315	.554	.137	.246	36	6	.246	46	-21	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Norfolk Tides	84	72	18	2	1	3	8	19	3	2	3	.250	.349	.431	.780	.181	.294	23	10	.345	122	+2	-1	+0	+1	+2	0.5
ROS	28	MLB	BAL	266	239	46	8	1	8	18	88	7	9	4	.192	.269	.335	.604	.142	.265	33	7	.275	68	-10	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
TOT	28	MLB	BAL	350	311	64	10	2	11	26	107	10	11	7	.206	.288	.357	.645	.151	.272	31	7	.292	81	-7	-1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	BAL	370	329	65	11	2	12	28	109	10	12	5	.198	.281	.353	.633	.155	.254	29	8	.284	75	-10	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.3
2028	30	MLB 33%	BAL	373	332	64	11	2	11	28	111	10	11	5	.193	.276	.337	.613	.145	.252	30	8	.281	73	-11	+0	-2	+4	+11	0.1
2029	31	MLB 47%	BAL	358	319	61	10	2	11	27	108	9	9	4	.191	.273	.339	.612	.147	.250	30	8	.277	70	-12	+0	-3	+4	+10	-0.1
2030	32	MLB 61%	BAL	339	301	58	10	2	10	26	104	9	7	3	.193	.277	.339	.616	.146	.248	31	8	.272	66	-13	+0	-3	+4	+10	-0.3
2031	33	MLB 78%	BAL	309	275	52	9	2	9	23	97	8	5	2	.189	.271	.335	.606	.145	.247	31	7	.267	62	-13	+0	-4	+3	+9	-0.5
2032	34	MLB	BAL	266	237	42	7	1	7	20	86	7	4	2	.177	.261	.304	.565	.127	.244	32	8	.260	57	-13	+0	-5	+3	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5589	5068	988	191	26	144	321	1825	142	181	54	.195	.262	.328	.590	.133	.268	33	6	.262	59	-261	+15	-21	+60	+158	-5.0
/ 162G	—			650	589	115	22	3	17	37	212	17	21	6	.195	.263	.329	.592	.134	.268	33	6	.262	59	-30	+2	-2	+7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	517	482	118	22	4	6	19	112	12	13	9	.245	.290	.344	.635	.100	.307	22	4	.285	76	-14	-1	—	—	+15	-0.0
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	452	404	113	37	1	8	25	83	17	15	2	.280	.348	.436	.783	.156	.329	18	6	.346	123	+12	+2	—	—	+13	2.7
2019	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	69	61	13	3	0	1	5	12	2	3	1	.213	.294	.311	.606	.098	.245	17	7	.276	69	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2020	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	68	67	13	0	0	0	1	26	0	1	1	.194	.206	.194	.400	.000	.317	38	1	.183	-2	-8	-0	+1	+1	+2	-0.5
2021	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	56	50	10	4	1	0	3	17	3	1	0	.200	.286	.320	.606	.120	.303	30	5	.278	71	-2	+0	+1	+5	+2	0.6
2021	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	200	170	52	10	0	13	20	44	6	8	3	.306	.398	.594	.992	.288	.336	22	10	.423	181	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.5
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	180	160	48	9	1	6	16	40	2	8	1	.300	.371	.481	.852	.181	.362	22	9	.374	144	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.6
2022	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	174	165	25	3	0	2	9	76	0	4	1	.152	.195	.206	.401	.055	.264	44	5	.186	1	-20	+0	-0	+5	+5	-0.9
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	237	220	46	8	1	9	11	89	5	5	2	.209	.263	.377	.640	.168	.301	38	5	.284	76	-7	+0	—	—	+7	0.0
2022	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	86	73	18	1	0	1	10	16	2	5	0	.247	.353	.301	.654	.055	.298	19	12	.306	92	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	149	133	29	8	0	2	15	44	0	3	2	.218	.297	.323	.621	.105	.307	30	10	.283	74	-4	-0	-4	+6	+4	0.2
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	335	291	75	17	4	19	22	105	14	20	1	.258	.338	.540	.878	.282	.324	31	7	.374	144	+17	+4	—	—	+9	3.0
2023	25	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	94	77	17	4	0	1	10	20	3	8	1	.221	.333	.312	.645	.091	.271	21	11	.290	80	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	188	165	31	6	1	6	13	63	8	10	1	.188	.280	.345	.625	.158	.255	34	7	.282	74	-6	+2	—	—	+5	0.1
2024	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	153	132	30	10	1	3	16	29	2	6	0	.227	.320	.386	.706	.159	.262	19	10	.312	97	-0	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	31	29	4	1	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	.138	.194	.276	.469	.138	.158	29	3	.213	21	-3	+0	-1	+4	+1	0.1
2025	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	319	282	63	11	1	12	29	95	5	14	4	.223	.307	.397	.704	.174	.287	30	9	.313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+9	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			478	444	81	16	1	5	29	172	4	9	4	.182	.239	.257	.496	.074	.284	36	6	.228	33	-36	+0	-3	+21	+14	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Barrero (OGILVIE)	28	35	55	55	45	.182/.251/.322	.140	.258	10	13	35%	6%	57	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA	28	36→43	51→50	54→55	34	.193/.248/.347	.154	.281	19	19	38%	5%	61	-1.0	.210/.265/.341	.131	.288	15	21	31%	5%	66	-0.6	.210/.266/.328	.118	.281	12	24	29%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	37→40	49→55	52→50	39	.196/.252/.341	.145	.270	18	13	34%	6%	61	-1.0	.194/.271/.330	.136	.273	15	13	33%	9%	67	-0.5	.172/.266/.302	.130	.240	15	13	33%	11%	57	-0.8
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	40→45	49→55	54→50	39	.206/.260/.354	.148	.283	17	14	33%	6%	68	-0.5	.211/.255/.351	.140	.304	18	16	35%	5%	65	-0.7	.205/.244/.339	.134	.297	19	19	37%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→37	49→50	51→50	36	.205/.244/.348	.143	.271	17	12	31%	4%	59	-1.1	.225/.280/.351	.126	.287	13	10	26%	6%	75	-0.0	.235/.302/.339	.104	.296	10	6	23%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Mark Contreras 2023 · MLB	28	38	50	54→55	37	.200/.260/.357	.156	.285	19	20	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.205/.268/.324	.119	.296	13	26	33%	6%	63	-0.8	.197/.266/.291	.094	.288	10	32	33%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2023 · AAA	28	40→42	51→50	53→55	35	.212/.249/.373	.161	.284	18	16	32%	4%	68	-0.5	.209/.255/.350	.141	.289	16	21	32%	5%	65	-0.7	.190/.242/.318	.127	.262	16	29	33%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2019 · MLB	27	39→41	47→55	51→50	38	.205/.249/.340	.135	.267	15	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	.206/.261/.337	.131	.289	15	12	33%	6%	63	-0.8	.187/.253/.332	.146	.269	20	12	37%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Trent Giambrone 2021 · AAA	27	38→41	51→50	51→55	41	.207/.262/.365	.158	.267	20	19	31%	6%	72	-0.2	.180/.243/.272	.092	.261	9	14	33%	7%	39	-2.5	.150/.219/.214	.064	.220	5	14	32%	7%	12	-2.0
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	39→45	45→50	51→50	39	.201/.254/.323	.122	.272	13	12	31%	5%	57	-1.2	.183/.239/.304	.121	.303	14	10	42%	5%	46	-2.0	.154/.212/.270	.115	.278	14	8	48%	4%	24	-2.4
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→45	45	49→55	41	.197/.268/.316	.118	.283	13	17	34%	7%	62	-0.9	.210/.295/.327	.117	.326	12	25	36%	9%	76	+0.0	.199/.294/.308	.110	.316	12	32	37%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Tony Thomas 2014 · AAA	28	39→46	46→50	58→55	38	.199/.248/.332	.133	.272	12	18	31%	5%	56	-1.3	.206/.248/.340	.134	.306	12	13	35%	5%	58	-1.2	.200/.240/.334	.134	.303	12	10	37%	4%	50	-1.2
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	49→55	51→55	40	.213/.267/.358	.145	.288	18	17	32%	6%	72	-0.2	.219/.288/.394	.175	.287	23	23	31%	9%	91	+1.1	.215/.294/.402	.188	.269	26	25	30%	10%	92	+0.8
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41	51→55	57→55	46	.215/.276/.371	.155	.258	19	25	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.221/.279/.380	.159	.267	19	22	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.213/.271/.381	.168	.251	20	20	24%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB	29	36→46	48→50	52→50	40	.194/.248/.334	.140	.266	17	10	34%	6%	57	-1.2	.203/.262/.317	.114	.278	10	9	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.194/.252/.288	.094	.273	7	7	30%	6%	44	-0.8
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	43→47	48→50	51→50	41	.215/.279/.365	.150	.293	15	15	31%	6%	79	+0.3	.217/.278/.364	.147	.320	16	9	35%	7%	78	+0.2	.194/.249/.314	.120	.315	14	5	41%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	36→45	49→50	52→50	48	.195/.277/.338	.143	.247	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	.202/.293/.353	.151	.264	18	13	29%	10%	82	+0.5	.189/.291/.340	.151	.244	19	12	30%	12%	76	+0.1
✕Taylor Snyder 2022 · AAA	27	36→32	54→55	52→50	37	.200/.250/.373	.173	.277	23	13	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.183/.238/.327	.144	.293	18	13	42%	7%	52	-1.6	.133/.196/.234	.101	.235	14	16	48%	7%	7	-1.7
✕Mason McCoy 2023 · AAA	28	40→50	47→45	56→55	39	.203/.256/.340	.137	.289	14	18	34%	6%	62	-0.9	.195/.257/.313	.118	.289	12	23	34%	7%	56	-1.3	.186/.252/.289	.103	.277	10	26	35%	7%	45	-1.6
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	43→48	45→50	52→60	39	.215/.272/.345	.130	.293	12	16	30%	5%	70	-0.3	.237/.293/.382	.145	.308	15	19	27%	5%	89	+1.0	.204/.278/.335	.130	.292	14	30	33%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	38→35	48→45	50→55	39	.196/.260/.330	.134	.279	17	14	35%	7%	62	-0.9	.216/.292/.346	.130	.312	13	16	33%	8%	79	+0.3	.230/.309/.359	.129	.323	13	18	30%	8%	87	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)