José Barrero — OGILVIE

José BarreroSS Norfolk Tides

Age 28 R/R 6'4" / 211 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION312 act + 208 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .267 / .364

PA208

HR8

SB6

K%33

BB%7

BABIP252

ISO171

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1018.1%

xwOBA

100.222

POWER55

Barrel%

102.9

Avg EV

2487.2

Bat Spd

7173.6

EYE45

Chase%

1040.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

3626.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.4M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	517	490	98	19	4	4	11	156	12	13	9	200	236	280	515	80	284	30	2	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	517	482	118	22	4	6	19	112	12	13	9	245	290	344	635	100	307	22	4	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	2 teams	—	521	475	107	33	1	6	20	140	19	18	3	225	284	337	621	112	301	27	4	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	2 teams	—	521	465	126	40	1	9	30	95	19	18	3	271	340	419	760	148	318	18	6	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	68	67	13	0	0	0	1	26	0	1	1	194	206	194	400		317	38	1	180	-4	-8	-0	+1	+1	+2	-0.5
2020	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	68	67	13	0	0	0	1	26	0	1	1	194	206	194	400		317	38	1	183	-2	-8	-0	+1	+1	+2	-0.5
2021	23	AAA	3 teams	—	436	392	95	18	2	15	27	124	11	17	4	242	309	413	723	171	310	28	6	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	3 teams	—	436	380	110	23	2	19	39	101	11	17	4	289	372	511	883	221	343	23	9	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	—	497	468	67	10	1	7	20	233	7	14	3	143	190	214	404	71	261	47	4	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	—	497	458	89	12	1	12	30	181	7	14	3	194	255	303	558	109	288	36	6	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	578	513	109	27	4	19	36	202	17	31	4	212	286	392	678	179	298	35	6	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	578	501	121	29	4	22	47	169	17	31	4	242	327	447	774	206	309	29	8	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	341	311	50	9	1	10	15	130	10	16	1	161	223	293	516	132	227	38	4	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	341	297	61	16	2	9	29	92	10	16	1	205	298	364	661	158	259	27	9	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	350	322	59	9	1	12	19	131	6	14	4	183	242	329	571	146	258	37	5	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	350	311	67	12	1	13	30	104	6	14	4	215	297	386	683	170	274	30	9	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	BAL	—	312	279	51	7	1	15	25	107	7	7	6	183	267	376	643	194	228	34	8	279	72	-10	-1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
YTD	28	AAA	BAL	—	312	266	60	9	1	18	38	89	7	7	6	226	338	470	808	244	263	29	12	357	131	+11	-1	+0	+3	+9	2.3
ROS	28	AAA	BAL	10%	208	187	36	6	1	8	15	69	4	6	3	193	267	364	631	171	248	33	7	279	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.0
ROS	28	MLB	BAL	10%	21	20	4	1	0	1	1	7	0	1	0	200	238	400	638	200	252	33	5	268	63	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	28	AAA	BAL	—	333	299	55	8	1	16	26	114	7	8	6	184	265	378	643	194	229	34	8	278	71	-11	-1	-0	+4	+9	0.1
TOT	28	AAA	BAL	—	520	466	87	13	2	23	40	176	11	13	9	187	267	371	638	185	238	34	8	279	72	-17	-1	-1	+6	+15	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	BAL	27%	364	327	61	10	1	14	26	122	8	9	4	187	263	352	615	165	246	34	7	277	70	-12	+0	-3	+4	+10	-0.1
2027	29	MLB	BAL	27%	99	90	17	3	0	4	7	33	2	2	1	189	263	356	618	167	250	33	7	266	62	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	598	554	102	20	1	10	37	212	6	12	5	184	243	278	521	94	276	35	6	236	39	-41	+0	-4	+22	+17	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	111	22	1	11	40	230	7	13	5	184	243	279	523	95	276	35	6	236	39	-45	+1	-4	+24	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3880	3552	695	141	16	95	190	1333	94	139	36	196	255	325	580	129	278	34	5	256	54	-201	+13	-7	+42	+110	-4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	117	24	3	16	32	223	16	23	6	197	257	328	584	131	279	34	5	256	54	-34	+2	-1	+7	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	517	482	118	22	4	6	19	112	12	13	9	245	290	344	635	100	307	22	4	285	76	-14	-1	—	—	+15	-0.0
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	452	404	113	37	1	8	25	83	17	15	2	280	348	436	783	156	329	18	6	346	123	+12	+2	—	—	+13	2.7
2019	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	69	61	13	3	0	1	5	12	2	3	1	213	294	311	606	98	245	17	7	276	69	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2020	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	68	67	13	0	0	0	1	26	0	1	1	194	206	194	400		317	38	1	183	-2	-8	-0	+1	+1	+2	-0.5
2021	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	56	50	10	4	1	0	3	17	3	1	0	200	286	320	606	120	303	30	5	278	71	-2	+0	+1	+5	+2	0.6
2021	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	200	170	52	10	0	13	20	44	6	8	3	306	398	594	992	288	336	22	10	423	181	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.5
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	180	160	48	9	1	6	16	40	2	8	1	300	371	481	852	181	362	22	9	374	144	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.6
2022	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	174	165	25	3	0	2	9	76	0	4	1	152	195	206	401	55	264	44	5	186	1	-20	+0	-0	+5	+5	-0.9
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	237	220	46	8	1	9	11	89	5	5	2	209	263	377	640	168	301	38	5	284	76	-7	+0	—	—	+7	0.0
2022	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	86	73	18	1	0	1	10	16	2	5	0	247	353	301	654	55	298	19	12	306	92	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	149	133	29	8	0	2	15	44	0	3	2	218	297	323	621	105	307	30	10	283	74	-4	-0	-4	+6	+4	0.2
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	335	291	75	17	4	19	22	105	14	20	1	258	338	540	878	282	324	31	7	374	144	+17	+4	—	—	+9	3.0
2023	25	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	94	77	17	4	0	1	10	20	3	8	1	221	333	312	645	91	271	21	11	290	80	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	188	165	31	6	1	6	13	63	8	10	1	188	280	345	625	158	255	34	7	282	74	-6	+2	—	—	+5	0.1
2024	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	153	132	30	10	1	3	16	29	2	6	0	227	320	386	706	159	262	19	10	312	97	-0	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	31	29	4	1	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	138	194	276	469	138	158	29	3	213	21	-3	+0	-1	+4	+1	0.1
2025	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	319	282	63	11	1	12	29	95	5	14	4	223	307	397	704	174	287	30	9	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+9	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	478	444	81	16	1	5	29	172	4	9	4	182	239	257	496	74	284	36	6	228	33	-36	+0	-3	+21	+14	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	581	9	13	188	246	280	+6	-1	-1.4	-1.4
	/162	664	10	14	188	246	280	+7.1	-0.6	-1.6	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Barrero (OGILVIE)	28	35	55	55	45	187/267/371	185	238	23	13	34%	8%	72	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trent Giambrone 2021 · AAA	27	39→41	51→50	51→55	41	206/262/361	155	269	19	19	31%	6%	71	-0.3	180/242/269	89	260	8	14	32%	7%	37	-2.6	150/218/214	64	220	5	14	32%	7%	11	-2.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	37→40	50→55	52→50	39	199/251/350	152	268	19	13	33%	6%	63	-0.8	192/271/329	137	269	15	13	32%	9%	66	-0.6	170/265/300	130	236	14	13	33%	11%	56	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	38→37	50	51→50	36	205/243/354	149	265	18	13	31%	4%	60	-1.0	223/281/343	120	285	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	228/298/319	92	290	8	6	23%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA	28	35→44	50	55	34	191/244/342	151	278	19	19	38%	5%	58	-1.2	209/264/336	127	285	14	21	31%	5%	64	-0.8	207/263/321	115	277	12	24	29%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	39→43	48→55	54→50	39	201/255/342	141	280	15	14	33%	6%	63	-0.9	210/253/346	136	306	17	16	36%	5%	63	-0.9	205/243/339	134	297	19	19	37%	4%	54	-0.7
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2023 · AAA	28	40	49→50	54→55	35	209/246/360	152	286	16	16	33%	4%	63	-0.9	209/256/338	129	289	13	21	31%	5%	61	-1.0	192/242/305	113	262	12	29	31%	5%	43	-1.5
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	41→40	50	56→55	43	212/287/361	149	289	18	23	32%	8%	82	+0.5	205/283/343	138	285	17	21	32%	8%	76	+0.0	187/271/314	127	259	16	21	33%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Mark Contreras 2023 · MLB	28	37	51→50	55	36	198/257/358	160	281	20	20	36%	6%	69	-0.4	204/266/321	117	295	13	26	33%	6%	62	-0.9	196/263/289	93	286	10	32	33%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	40→41	52→55	57→55	45	217/276/382	165	258	21	26	26%	7%	82	+0.5	223/280/386	163	269	20	22	25%	6%	85	+0.7	215/273/387	171	253	20	20	23%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	56→55	53→50	35	214/252/400	187	277	25	17	33%	4%	77	+0.1	219/282/362	143	318	16	10	34%	7%	79	+0.3	222/301/341	118	337	12	5	34%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB	29	36→46	50	52→50	41	196/252/349	153	257	19	10	32%	7%	63	-0.8	201/258/315	114	276	11	9	30%	7%	56	-1.3	190/247/283	93	269	7	7	30%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	50	48→45	42	207/264/358	151	266	19	10	30%	7%	70	-0.3	224/280/372	148	286	19	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	35→32	51→55	50	44	187/277/350	163	274	19	12	37%	9%	75	-0.0	186/266/343	157	299	19	12	42%	8%	69	-0.4	165/248/320	156	268	21	12	44%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	50→55	51→55	40	215/269/364	149	295	19	17	33%	7%	74	-0.1	218/288/394	176	284	24	23	31%	9%	90	+1.0	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Taylor Snyder 2022 · AAA	27	35→31	55→50	52→50	37	198/248/379	180	265	24	13	35%	6%	69	-0.4	177/234/314	137	290	17	14	43%	7%	46	-2.0	124/189/219	95	227	13	16	49%	7%	1	-1.9
✕Sam Hilliard 2022 · MLB	28	32→42	55	55	41	185/252/366	181	256	23	15	37%	8%	68	-0.5	203/278/364	161	283	20	16	34%	9%	79	+0.3	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	39→45	46→55	51→50	39	202/256/326	125	272	14	12	31%	6%	59	-1.1	180/236/306	126	304	15	10	44%	5%	46	-2.0	152/209/273	121	273	16	8	48%	4%	23	-2.4
✕Ray Sadler 2009 · AAA	28	40→43	54→55	46→50	40	217/268/392	176	269	22	9	29%	6%	82	+0.5	203/255/347	144	259	18	8	29%	5%	64	-0.8	167/222/286	119	209	16	6	29%	5%	31	-2.1