Jeter Martinez

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs A peak 0.5 · 2031

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	APIT	18	17	65	7.06	3.21	21.6%	13.7%	—	K 16.0% · BB 16.2% · FIP 4.05
2026	20	APIT	19	16	64	6.02	4.69	20.6%	13.5%	—	K 15.2% · BB 15.9% · FIP 5.76
2027PROJ	21	MLBPIT	—	—	0	5.93	5.93	16.8%	18.0%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBPIT	4	4	22	5.57	5.43	18.9%	15.7%	-0.0
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBPIT	6	6	33	5.27	5.12	20.2%	14.3%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 2.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsKyle Larsen (age 21) · Luis Hernandez (age 21) · Jackson Fristoe (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%16.8%

BB%18.0%

K-BB%-1.3%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	10	8	47	179	55	20	1	80%	4.7	20.9%	14.0%	6.9%	0.8%	1.72	3.52	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	10	8	47	179	55	20	1	80%	4.7	30.7%	11.2%	19.6%	0.6%	1.72	2.31	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	11	40	184	49	31	1	85%	3.1	18.1%	21.1%	-3.0%	0.9%	3.86	4.72	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	11	40	184	49	31	1	85%	3.1	18.1%	21.1%	-3.0%	0.9%	3.86	4.72	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	13	11	40	184	49	31	1	85%	3.1	26.6%	16.8%	9.8%	0.5%	3.86	3.30	—
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	18	17	65	306	66	42	1	94%	3.6	16.0%	16.2%	-0.2%	0.5%	7.06	4.05	—
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	18	17	65	306	66	42	1	94%	3.6	16.0%	16.2%	-0.2%	0.5%	7.06	4.05	—
2025	19	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	18	17	65	306	66	42	1	94%	3.6	21.6%	13.7%	7.8%	0.3%	7.06	3.21	—
2026	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	16	64	296	61	40	8	84%	3.4	15.2%	15.9%	-0.7%	3.5%	6.02	5.76	—
2026	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	16	64	296	61	40	8	84%	3.4	15.2%	15.9%	-0.7%	3.5%	6.02	5.76	—
2026	20	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	19	16	64	296	61	40	8	84%	3.4	20.6%	13.5%	7.1%	2.7%	6.02	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.8%	18.0%	-1.3%	2.9%	5.93	5.93	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	45	189	36	30	5	100%	5.0	18.9%	15.7%	3.1%	2.8%	5.57	5.43	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	45	189	38	27	5	100%	5.6	20.2%	14.3%	5.9%	2.8%	5.27	5.12	+0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	45	189	40	25	5	100%	5.6	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	2.8%	5.05	4.93	+0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	42	176	37	22	5	100%	5.9	21.3%	12.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.91	4.82	+0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	42	176	38	22	5	100%	5.9	21.5%	12.8%	8.8%	2.8%	4.84	4.80	+0.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	41	171	37	22	5	100%	5.8	21.5%	12.8%	8.7%	2.8%	4.84	4.83	+0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	PIT	6	6	39	163	35	21	5	100%	6.5	21.4%	13.0%	8.4%	2.9%	4.89	4.92	+0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	4	4	22	93	18	15	3	100%	5.5	18.9%	15.7%	3.1%	2.8%	5.57	5.43	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	33	139	28	20	4	100%	5.5	20.2%	14.3%	5.9%	2.8%	5.27	5.12	+0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	37	156	33	21	4	100%	5.3	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	2.8%	5.05	4.93	+0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	37	156	33	20	4	100%	6.2	21.3%	12.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.91	4.82	+0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	38	160	35	20	4	100%	6.3	21.5%	12.8%	8.8%	2.8%	4.84	4.80	+0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	38	160	35	21	5	100%	6.3	21.5%	12.8%	8.7%	2.8%	4.84	4.83	+0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	36	152	33	20	4	100%	6.0	21.4%	13.0%	8.4%	2.9%	4.89	4.92	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		42	42	240	1015	213	136	29	100%	5.7	20.9%	13.4%	7.6%	2.8%	5.02	4.57	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	177	113	24	100%	5.7	20.9%	13.4%	7.6%	2.8%	5.02	4.57	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		60	52	216	965	165	161	15	87%	3.6	17.1%	16.6%	0.4%	1.5%	5.00	4.61	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	48	200	894	152	149	14	87%	3.6	17.1%	16.6%	0.4%	1.5%	5.00	4.61	+1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 64 IPFIP 4.55 → 5.76 (+1.21)K% 20.6% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.61%	—	×0.740	15.25%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.51%	—	×1.180	15.95%
HR / BF /BF	2.70%	÷1.000	×1.300	3.51%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.55 → 5.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ABradenton Marauders · 65 IPFIP 3.20 → 4.05 (+0.86)K% 21.6% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.57%	—	×0.740	15.96%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.73%	—	×1.180	16.20%
HR / BF /BF	0.33%	÷0.932	×1.300	0.46%

Result: FIP 3.20 → 4.05, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Mariners · 40 IPFIP 3.28 → 4.72 (+1.44)K% 26.6% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.63%	—	×0.680	18.11%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	16.85%	—	×1.250	21.06%
HR / BF /BF	0.54%	÷0.863	×1.400	0.88%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 73).

Result: FIP 3.28 → 4.72, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKDSL Mariners · 47 IPFIP 2.23 → 3.52 (+1.29)K% 30.7% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.73%	—	×0.680	20.89%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.17%	—	×1.250	13.97%
HR / BF /BF	0.56%	÷1.034	×1.400	0.76%

Result: FIP 2.23 → 3.52, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeter Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.9%	—	5.16	20.0%	5.5%	134	-0.77	—	—	—
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	86
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	85
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	83
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	83
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	83
Felix Cepeda R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	21	SP	5.96	17.0%	21.6%	2.8%	.276	4.78	17.6%	0.9%	144	-1.18	3.58	204	82
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	82
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	4.21	254	82
Jacob Watters R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	22	SP	4.87	18.3%	17.1%	2.1%	.319	4.38	17.0%	5.1%	81	-0.49	3.85	165	82
Gage Stanifer R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	20	SP	5.65	17.2%	21.4%	2.4%	.318	3.96	26.2%	11.6%	199	-1.69	2.85	301	82
Jose Diaz R 2021 · 5.27 FIP	21	SP	5.27	16.5%	17.5%	2.5%	.357	5.01	17.6%	0.9%	89	-0.26	3.91	189	82
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	82
Marlon De La Cruz R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP	5.31	17.1%	20.9%	1.8%	.306	5.34	13.8%	-6.9%	101	+0.03	4.35	140	81
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	81
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	81
Jake Madden R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	21	SP	5.46	15.9%	15.2%	3.2%	.299	4.57	14.1%	-1.1%	44	-0.89	4.57	123	81
Wilmer Blanco R 2024 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	14.9%	16.3%	3.4%	.364	5.82	14.1%	2.3%	47	+0.06	3.81	163	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	81
Camilo Sanchez R 2024 · 5.26 FIP	21	SP-	5.26	15.2%	14.0%	3.1%	.289	7.17	13.8%	-0.2%	19	+1.91	3.57	117	80
Henry Williams R 2023 · 5.59 FIP	21	SP	5.59	16.5%	14.2%	3.8%	.271	4.62	17.1%	7.4%	343	-0.97	4.16	409	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	43	20.3%	14.1%	1.09	5.17
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*