Marlon De La Cruz
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 20
RHP
6'2" / 155 lbs
A
peak 0.7 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 133
ERA5.91
FIP5.91
K%15.4%
BB%17.2%
K-BB%-1.8%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 11 | 11 | 39 | 191 | 48 | 32 | 3 | 100% | 3.5 | 17.1% | 20.9% | -3.9% | 1.6% | 7.15 | 5.16 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 11 | 11 | 39 | 191 | 48 | 32 | 3 | 100% | 3.5 | 25.1% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 7.15 | 4.10 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 12 | 12 | 50 | 235 | 52 | 30 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 15.0% | 16.0% | -0.9% | 0.7% | 4.50 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 12 | 12 | 50 | 235 | 52 | 30 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 22.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 0.9% | 4.50 | 3.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 12 | 10 | 34 | 159 | 25 | 31 | 2 | 83% | 2.8 | 8.7% | 24.7% | -15.9% | 2.4% | 3.74 | 6.78 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 32 | 137 | 21 | 24 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.4% | 17.2% | -1.8% | 2.8% | 5.91 | 5.91 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.4% | 17.2% | -1.8% | 2.8% | 5.91 | 5.91 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 66 | 296 | 46 | 55 | 6 | — | — | 15.6% | 18.4% | -2.9% | 2.0% | 4.81 | 6.36 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 24 | 22 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.61 | 5.52 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.4% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.32 | 5.18 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 7 | 7 | 37 | 156 | 30 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.4% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 5.09 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 7 | 7 | 38 | 160 | 32 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 4.93 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 7 | 7 | 38 | 162 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.82 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 38 | 162 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 37 | 155 | 32 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.82 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.61 | 5.52 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | WSH | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.4% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.32 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.4% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 5.09 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 4.93 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 30 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.82 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 30 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.82 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 44 | 44 | 250 | 1054 | 209 | 133 | 29 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.9% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 4.96 | 4.52 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 107 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.9% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 4.96 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 33 | 123 | 585 | 82 | 117 | 8 | 94% | 3.5 | 14.0% | 20.0% | -6.0% | 1.4% | 5.14 | 5.24 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 54 | 200 | 954 | 134 | 190 | 14 | 94% | 3.5 | 14.0% | 20.0% | -6.0% | 1.4% | 5.14 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marlon De La Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.91 | 15.4% | 17.2% | 2.8% | — | 5.22 | 18.3% | 4.3% | 107 | -0.69 | — | — | — |
| Moises Nova R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.61 | 14.2% | 16.8% | 2.9% | .263 | 4.02 | 18.3% | 4.2% | 110 | -1.59 | 3.42 | 219 | 89 |
| Hunter Stratton R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.73 | 13.1% | 20.3% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.58 | 14.5% | 0.1% | 174 | -1.15 | 2.95 | 532 | 86 |
| Jeter Martinez R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.89 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 209 | 85 |
| Jeferson Figueroa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.28 | 17.1% | 15.6% | 3.0% | .232 | 4.88 | 20.6% | 5.4% | 188 | -0.40 | 4.66 | 249 | 85 |
| Shane Panzini R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.42 | 17.3% | 15.8% | 3.2% | .335 | 4.94 | 18.5% | 5.5% | 251 | -0.48 | 4.58 | 338 | 85 |
| Edelvis Perez R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.22 | 16.8% | 21.6% | 1.5% | .255 | 5.79 | 19.6% | 2.8% | 24 | +0.57 | 5.19 | 103 | 84 |
| Esteban Mejia R 2025 · 6.99 FIP | 19 | SP | 6.99 | 16.0% | 31.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 122 | 84 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.86 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 6.15 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +1.29 | 4.16 | 109 | 84 |
| Jordany Chirinos R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.19 | 12.2% | 17.6% | 1.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 126 | 84 |
| Jorge Bautista R 2026 · 5.99 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.99 | 13.1% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .297 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 231 | -1.16 | 3.69 | 336 | 84 |
| Steven Brooks R 2028 · 5.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.61 | 16.6% | 17.9% | 3.0% | .268 | 4.80 | 25.0% | 9.8% | 40 | -0.81 | 4.80 | 103 | 84 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2025 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 83 |
| Blake Wolters R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.66 | 14.3% | 22.8% | 1.6% | .250 | 6.02 | 17.6% | 3.2% | 68 | +0.36 | 4.56 | 171 | 83 |
| Denis Diaz R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.51 | 12.7% | 16.6% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.84 | 11.9% | -4.9% | 92 | +0.33 | 3.39 | 129 | 82 |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.05 | 14.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .304 | 5.46 | 12.5% | -1.1% | 65 | -0.59 | 5.31 | 112 | 82 |
| Gage Stanifer R 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.64 | 17.2% | 21.4% | 2.3% | .318 | 3.85 | 26.3% | 12.6% | 170 | -1.79 | 2.92 | 273 | 82 |
| Yovanny Cabrera R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | .238 | 5.31 | 18.5% | 1.6% | 149 | +0.15 | 4.39 | 243 | 82 |
| Wilmer Blanco R 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.93 | 14.9% | 16.3% | 3.7% | .364 | 5.18 | 15.1% | 6.8% | 30 | -0.75 | 3.99 | 145 | 82 |
| Ismael Agreda R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.23 | 17.1% | 18.5% | 2.3% | .269 | 4.73 | 21.9% | 5.3% | 145 | -0.50 | 3.35 | 239 | 82 |
| Orlando Suarez R 2025 · 6.57 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.57 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 3.4% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 113 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 36 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 1.06 | 5.10 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |