Oliver Garcia
P
Altoona Curve
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 214 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%22.9%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates | 17 | 0 | 41 | 179 | 24 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 2.4 | 9.1% | 11.9% | -2.8% | 0.8% | 2.61 | 4.26 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates | 17 | 0 | 41 | 179 | 24 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 2.4 | 13.4% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 2.61 | 3.49 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates | 11 | 11 | 54 | 218 | 46 | 16 | 0 | 100% | 4.9 | 14.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 2.15 | 3.05 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates | 11 | 11 | 54 | 218 | 46 | 16 | 0 | 100% | 4.9 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 2.15 | 2.29 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 10 | 10 | 38 | 183 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 3.8 | 10.4% | 15.7% | -5.3% | 3.8% | 7.28 | 6.31 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 10 | 10 | 38 | 183 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 3.8 | 15.3% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 7.28 | 5.13 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 6 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.4% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 6 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.4% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 36 | 0 | 53 | 242 | 52 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.5% | 14.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.42 | 5.49 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 36 | 0 | 53 | 242 | 52 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.5% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 4.42 | 5.35 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 10.5% | 21.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.77 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 10.5% | 21.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.60 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 41 | 0 | 46 | 219 | 50 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 4.27 | 4.19 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 41 | 0 | 46 | 219 | 50 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 1.4% | 4.27 | 3.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 26 | 0 | 27 | 115 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.14 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 73 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 124 | 21 | 245 | 1091 | 159 | 145 | 20 | 17% | 2.0 | 14.6% | 13.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.93 | 4.55 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 17 | 200 | 889 | 130 | 118 | 16 | 17% | 2.0 | 14.6% | 13.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.93 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Oliver Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.52 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 26 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 81 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 79 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 79 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 78 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 78 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 77 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 77 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 77 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 77 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 77 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 77 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 76 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 76 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 76 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 76 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 76 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 76 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 76 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 22.8% | 9.9% | 1.16 | 4.43 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |