Nixon Encarnacion
P
Inland Empire 66ers
Age 21
RHP
6'2" / 178 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%21.9%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%8.5%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | 9 | 9 | 36 | 156 | 43 | 21 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 18.7% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.28 | 4.47 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | 9 | 9 | 36 | 156 | 43 | 21 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 27.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 0.6% | 3.28 | 2.82 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Angels | 11 | 9 | 33 | 167 | 27 | 43 | 1 | 82% | 3.0 | 11.0% | 32.2% | -21.2% | 1.1% | 9.09 | 6.83 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Angels | 11 | 9 | 33 | 167 | 27 | 43 | 1 | 82% | 3.0 | 16.2% | 25.7% | -9.6% | 0.6% | 9.09 | 5.79 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 22 | 2 | 37 | 182 | 45 | 39 | 5 | 9% | 1.7 | 18.3% | 25.3% | -7.0% | 3.3% | 6.38 | 6.59 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 22 | 2 | 37 | 182 | 45 | 39 | 5 | 9% | 1.7 | 24.7% | 21.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 6.38 | 5.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.26 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 202 | 92 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 20 | 105 | 505 | 81 | 126 | 10 | 48% | 2.5 | 16.0% | 25.0% | -8.9% | 2.0% | 6.17 | 6.01 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 38 | 200 | 962 | 154 | 240 | 19 | 48% | 2.5 | 16.0% | 25.0% | -8.9% | 2.0% | 6.17 | 6.01 | -1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nixon Encarnacion (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 21.9% | 13.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.64 | 23.0% | 11.2% | 22 | -0.33 | — | — | — |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 90 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 86 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 82 |
| Alec Barger R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 80 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.69 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .361 | 5.05 | 17.0% | -2.8% | 72 | +0.36 | 4.67 | 178 | 79 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 79 |
| Trayson Kubo R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.01 | 19.8% | 15.6% | 2.9% | .450 | 4.86 | 17.7% | 1.4% | 66 | -0.15 | 4.40 | 107 | 79 |
| Yunior Montero R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 79 |
| Brandon Komar R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 79 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 79 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 78 |
| Wander Guante R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.74 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .354 | 5.49 | 14.8% | 3.1% | 255 | +0.75 | 3.83 | 372 | 78 |
| Josh White R 2027 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 78 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 77 |
| Joseph Hernandez R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.54 | 24.7% | 16.7% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.10 | 18.1% | 4.0% | 190 | +0.56 | 4.54 | 260 | 77 |
| Homer Cruz R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.91 | 20.5% | 13.7% | 1.5% | .286 | 5.76 | 13.5% | -1.6% | 19 | +1.85 | 3.75 | 127 | 77 |
| Tyler Santana R 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.36 | 20.3% | 15.1% | 1.9% | .333 | 4.38 | 16.0% | 5.7% | 259 | +0.02 | 3.41 | 390 | 77 |
| Janser Lara R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.05 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 2.1% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 208 | 76 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 76 |
| Carlton Perkins R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.34 | 18.6% | 15.7% | 1.5% | .356 | 5.67 | 15.8% | -3.4% | 53 | +1.33 | 4.34 | 111 | 76 |