Victor Simeon — OGILVIE

Victor Simeon P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.59

FIP5.59

K%25.3%

BB%22.4%

K-BB%2.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2020

CMD4040

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	5	0	6	33	4	11	0	0%	1.2	12.1%	33.3%	-21.2%	0.0%	15.00	6.30	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	5	0	6	33	4	11	0	0%	1.2	12.1%	33.3%	-21.2%	0.0%	15.00	7.27	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	13	6	30	127	33	14	1	46%	2.3	17.7%	13.8%	3.9%	0.9%	2.37	3.87	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	13	6	30	127	33	14	1	46%	2.3	26.0%	11.0%	15.0%	0.8%	2.37	2.74	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	10	9	42	179	45	25	1	90%	4.2	17.1%	17.5%	-0.4%	0.7%	3.83	4.24	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	10	9	42	179	45	25	1	90%	4.2	25.1%	14.0%	11.2%	0.6%	3.83	3.05	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	6	27	127	38	16	4	46%	2.1	20.3%	15.7%	4.6%	3.9%	6.75	5.53	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	6	27	127	38	16	4	46%	2.1	20.3%	15.7%	4.6%	3.9%	6.75	5.53	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	13	6	27	127	38	16	4	46%	2.1	29.9%	12.6%	17.3%	3.1%	6.75	4.00	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	38	161	57	26	1	0%	1.4	27.0%	15.1%	11.9%	0.9%	3.11	3.22	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	38	161	57	26	1	0%	1.4	27.0%	15.1%	11.9%	0.9%	3.11	3.22	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	0	38	161	57	26	1	0%	1.4	35.4%	16.1%	19.3%	0.6%	3.11	2.49	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	36	0	45	208	66	44	1	0%	1.2	24.4%	24.3%	0.1%	0.5%	4.43	4.39	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	36	0	45	208	66	44	1	0%	1.2	24.4%	24.3%	0.1%	0.5%	4.43	4.39	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	36	0	45	208	66	44	1	0%	1.2	31.7%	21.2%	10.6%	0.5%	4.43	3.39	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	TEX	5	0	5	21	5	5	1	0%	1.0	25.3%	22.4%	2.9%	2.6%	5.59	5.59	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57	0	60	251	64	53	7	0%	1.0	25.3%	21.1%	4.2%	2.6%	5.45	5.44	-0.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	247	62	50	7	0%	1.0	25.1%	20.2%	4.9%	2.7%	5.39	5.40	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	25	0	26	110	28	23	3	0%	1.0	25.3%	21.1%	4.2%	2.6%	5.45	5.44	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	35	0	37	156	39	32	4	0%	1.1	25.1%	20.2%	4.9%	2.7%	5.39	5.40	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	264	67	54	7	0%	1.1	25.2%	20.6%	4.6%	2.7%	5.41	5.04	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	215	173	22	0%	1.1	25.2%	20.6%	4.6%	2.7%	5.41	5.04	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		104	21	188	835	177	155	10	20%	1.8	21.2%	18.5%	2.7%	1.2%	4.36	4.30	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	22	200	890	189	165	10	20%	1.8	21.2%	18.5%	2.7%	1.2%	4.36	4.30	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Simeon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	25.3%	22.4%	2.6%	—	5.42	25.2%	4.6%	118	-0.17	—	—	—
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	87
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	84
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	83
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	83
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	81
Cole McDonald R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	25	SW	5.07	26.5%	19.8%	3.1%	.403	3.88	23.4%	11.5%	93	-1.19	2.81	153	81
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	80
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	79
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	79
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	23.9%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	78
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	78
Eduardo Herrera R 2023 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.9%	16.8%	2.5%	.397	4.26	21.8%	3.6%	75	-0.40	4.13	127	78
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	78
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	78
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	78
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	78
Connor Walsh R 2018 · 4.93 FIP	25	SU	4.93	22.3%	15.7%	3.1%	.387	4.09	19.4%	5.5%	62	-0.84	3.36	266	77
Noah Murdock R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.8%	17.1%	1.8%	.314	3.18	22.5%	9.0%	144	-1.38	2.60	306	77
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	77
Keegan Collett R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	25.8%	19.0%	2.8%	.343	6.91	16.3%	-5.3%	32	+2.06	3.93	184	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	25.3%	21.3%	1.01	5.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91