Victor Simeon
P
Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 160 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142132vR 123
ERA5.46
FIP5.46
K%25.3%
BB%21.4%
K-BB%3.9%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 12.1% | 33.3% | -21.2% | 0.0% | 15.00 | 6.30 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 12.1% | 33.3% | -21.2% | 0.0% | 15.00 | 7.27 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 13 | 6 | 30 | 127 | 33 | 14 | 1 | 46% | 2.3 | 17.7% | 13.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 2.37 | 3.81 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 13 | 6 | 30 | 127 | 33 | 14 | 1 | 46% | 2.3 | 26.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 0.8% | 2.37 | 2.74 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL TEX Blue | 10 | 9 | 42 | 179 | 45 | 25 | 1 | 90% | 4.2 | 17.1% | 17.5% | -0.4% | 0.6% | 3.83 | 4.20 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL TEX Blue | 10 | 9 | 42 | 179 | 45 | 25 | 1 | 90% | 4.2 | 25.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 0.6% | 3.83 | 3.05 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 13 | 6 | 27 | 127 | 38 | 16 | 4 | 46% | 2.1 | 20.3% | 15.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.75 | 5.32 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 13 | 6 | 27 | 127 | 38 | 16 | 4 | 46% | 2.1 | 29.9% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 3.1% | 6.75 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 57 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.0% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 0.9% | 3.11 | 3.21 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 57 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 35.4% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 0.6% | 3.11 | 2.49 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 36 | 0 | 45 | 208 | 66 | 44 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.4% | 24.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 4.43 | 4.35 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 36 | 0 | 45 | 208 | 66 | 44 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.7% | 21.2% | 10.6% | 0.5% | 4.43 | 3.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 64 | 54 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 21.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.46 | 5.46 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 64 | 51 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 20.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 5.33 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 62 | 48 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 19.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 5.28 | 5.29 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 28 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 20.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 5.33 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 39 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 19.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 5.28 | 5.29 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 59 | 0 | 62 | 264 | 67 | 52 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 19.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 5.30 | 4.92 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 215 | 167 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 19.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 5.30 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 21 | 188 | 835 | 177 | 155 | 9 | 20% | 1.8 | 21.2% | 18.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 4.36 | 4.24 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 111 | 22 | 200 | 890 | 189 | 165 | 9 | 20% | 1.8 | 21.2% | 18.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 4.36 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Victor Simeon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.46 | 25.3% | 21.4% | 2.6% | — | 5.31 | 25.2% | 5.4% | 118 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 87 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 85 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 85 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 83 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.12 | 26.5% | 19.8% | 3.2% | .403 | 4.00 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 93 | -1.12 | 2.72 | 153 | 82 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.65 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.35 | 4.30 | 107 | 81 |
| Christopher Troye R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.42 | 24.2% | 17.0% | 4.0% | .282 | 5.50 | 19.1% | -3.8% | 30 | +0.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 80 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 80 |
| Kyle Wilcox R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.80 | 25.1% | 21.2% | 3.9% | .310 | 5.67 | 25.1% | -1.5% | 13 | -0.13 | 2.77 | 310 | 80 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 80 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 80 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 21.4% | 19.3% | 1.6% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 168 | 79 |
| Evan Johnson R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.43 | 23.6% | 17.6% | 2.0% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.32 | 103 | 79 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 78 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 78 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.67 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.83 | 3.67 | 108 | 78 |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 78 |
| Connor Walsh R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 22.3% | 15.7% | 3.3% | .387 | 3.96 | 19.4% | 5.5% | 62 | -1.05 | 3.40 | 266 | 77 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.55 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.16 | 3.96 | 242 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 59 | 25.3% | 20.3% | 1.01 | 5.36 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |