Josh Gessner
P
Hickory Crawdads
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%22.3%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP9
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 6 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 2.1 | 21.0% | 15.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 3.34 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 6 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 2.1 | 30.9% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 2.07 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 11 | 8 | 37 | 160 | 64 | 22 | 0 | 73% | 3.4 | 27.2% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 4.14 | 2.98 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 11 | 8 | 37 | 160 | 64 | 22 | 0 | 73% | 3.4 | 40.0% | 13.8% | 26.2% | 0.0% | 4.14 | 1.42 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 47 | 224 | 56 | 27 | 5 | 43% | 3.4 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.70 | 5.68 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 47 | 224 | 56 | 27 | 5 | 43% | 3.4 | 25.0% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 5.70 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 19 | 2 | 55% | 2.8 | 15.5% | 19.5% | -4.0% | 1.2% | 3.73 | 4.93 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 19 | 2 | 55% | 2.8 | 24.4% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 1.5% | 3.73 | 3.71 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 10 | 0 | 12 | 56 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 5.5% | 26.7% | -21.2% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 6.02 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 10 | 0 | 12 | 56 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1% | 23.2% | -16.1% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 5.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.15 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 52 | 23 | 140 | 626 | 116 | 110 | 10 | 44% | 2.7 | 18.6% | 17.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 4.36 | 4.66 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 33 | 200 | 892 | 166 | 157 | 15 | 44% | 2.7 | 18.6% | 17.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 4.36 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Gessner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.53 | 22.4% | 12.1% | 20 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 80 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 76 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 76 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 74 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 71 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 71 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 70 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.93 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 268 | 70 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 70 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 69 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 69 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 69 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.52 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .341 | 3.55 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 41 | +0.03 | 3.06 | 222 | 69 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.41 | 16.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .323 | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 48 | -0.98 | 2.10 | 224 | 68 |
| Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 68 |
| Ben Sears R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.2% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 240 | 68 |
| Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 68 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 68 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 68 |
| Calvin Drummond R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.51 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 0.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 112 | 68 |