Josh Gessner
P Hickory Crawdads| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX2 levels | 14 | 6 | 47 | 5.70 | 3.82 | 25.0% | 12.1% | — | K 17.0% · BB 15.0% · FIP 5.47 | |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX3 levels | 11 | 6 | 31 | 3.73 | 3.71 | 24.4% | 14.5% | — | K 15.5% · BB 19.5% · FIP 4.98 | |
| 2024 | 24 | A+TEX | 10 | 0 | 12 | 3.00 | 5.68 | 7.1% | 23.2% | — | K 5.5% · BB 26.7% · FIP 6.02 | |
| 2025 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBTEX | — | — | 0 | 4.82 | 4.82 | 21.6% | 12.1% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 28 | MLBTEX | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4.82 | 4.85 | 21.6% | 11.9% | -0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | 6 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 2.1 | 21.0% | 15.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 3.34 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies West | 6 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 2.1 | 30.9% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 2.07 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | 11 | 8 | 37 | 160 | 64 | 22 | 0 | 73% | 3.4 | 27.2% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 4.14 | 2.98 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Rangers | 11 | 8 | 37 | 160 | 64 | 22 | 0 | 73% | 3.4 | 40.0% | 13.8% | 26.2% | 0.0% | 4.14 | 1.42 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 47 | 224 | 56 | 27 | 5 | 43% | 3.4 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.70 | 5.47 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 47 | 224 | 56 | 27 | 5 | 43% | 3.4 | 25.0% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 5.70 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 11 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 19 | 2 | 55% | 2.8 | 15.5% | 19.5% | -4.0% | 1.3% | 3.73 | 4.98 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 11 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 19 | 2 | 55% | 2.8 | 24.4% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 1.5% | 3.73 | 3.71 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | 10 | 0 | 12 | 56 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 5.5% | 26.7% | -21.2% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 6.02 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | 10 | 0 | 12 | 56 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 5.5% | 26.7% | -21.2% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 6.02 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | Hickory Crawdads | 10 | 0 | 12 | 56 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1% | 23.2% | -16.1% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 5.68 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.82 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.47 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 98 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.47 | +0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 52 | 23 | 140 | 626 | 116 | 110 | 10 | 44% | 2.7 | 18.6% | 17.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.36 | 4.59 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 74 | 33 | 200 | 892 | 166 | 157 | 14 | 44% | 2.7 | 18.6% | 17.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.36 | 4.59 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 12 IPFIP 5.44 → 6.02 (+0.58)K% 7.1% → 5.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 7.14% | — | ×0.770 | 5.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 23.21% | — | ×1.150 | 26.70% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).
Result: FIP 5.44 → 6.02, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADown East Wood Ducks · 22 IPFIP 4.03 → 4.98 (+0.96)K% 20.9% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 20.88% | — | ×0.740 | 15.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 16.48% | — | ×1.180 | 19.45% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.10% | ÷1.082 | ×1.300 | 1.32% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).
Result: FIP 4.03 → 4.98, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hickory Crawdads · 4 IPFIP 6.59 → 7.93 (+1.35)K% 13.0% → 10.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 13.04% | — | ×0.770 | 10.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 17.39% | — | ×1.150 | 20.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.35% | ÷0.948 | ×1.250 | 5.74% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).
Result: FIP 6.59 → 7.93, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADown East Wood Ducks · 43 IPFIP 4.11 → 5.47 (+1.36)K% 22.9% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.93% | — | ×0.740 | 16.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.68% | — | ×1.180 | 14.97% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.44% | ÷0.912 | ×1.300 | 3.48% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).
Result: FIP 4.11 → 5.47, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rangers · 37 IPFIP 1.46 → 2.98 (+1.52)K% 40.0% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 40.00% | — | ×0.680 | 27.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.75% | — | ×1.250 | 17.19% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).
Result: FIP 1.46 → 2.98, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Phillies West · 13 IPFIP 2.10 → 3.34 (+1.24)K% 30.9% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 30.91% | — | ×0.680 | 21.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.73% | — | ×1.250 | 15.91% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 2.10 → 3.34, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).