Nazier Mulé — OGILVIE

Nazier Mulé P South Bend Cubs

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 133

ERA5.91

FIP5.91

K%18.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.7%

ROS IP65

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5060

CMD2030

K†4560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2024	19	MIX	2 levels	17	16	52	234	43	42	2	94%	3.1	12.1%	19.9%	-7.8%	1.7%	4.33	5.52	—
2024	19	MIX	2 levels	17	16	52	234	43	42	2	94%	3.1	18.4%	17.9%	0.4%	0.9%	4.33	4.37	—
2025	20	MIX	2 levels	18	18	67	306	69	55	2	100%	3.7	16.8%	21.1%	-4.3%	0.8%	5.78	4.82	—
2025	20	MIX	2 levels	18	18	67	306	69	55	2	100%	3.7	22.5%	18.0%	4.6%	0.7%	5.78	3.89	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	12	8	36	160	42	25	4	67%	3.0	20.2%	18.0%	2.2%	3.1%	4.50	5.38	-0.4
ROS	21	MLB	CHC	13	13	65	274	50	55	7	100%	5.0	18.4%	20.0%	-1.7%	2.6%	5.91	5.91	-1.0
ROS	21	MLB	CHC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.4%	20.0%	-1.7%	2.7%	5.93	5.93	—
2026 TOT	21	MLB	CHC	—	—	101	434	92	80	11	—	—	21.3%	18.4%	2.9%	2.6%	5.41	5.72	-0.4
2026 FULL	21	MLB	CHC	—	—	0	1	0	0	0	—	—	18.4%	20.0%	-1.7%	2.7%	5.93	5.55	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CHC	24	24	130	551	116	94	14	100%	5.4	21.1%	17.1%	4.0%	2.6%	5.47	5.29	+0.2
2028	23	MLB	CHC	31	31	169	715	163	109	19	100%	5.5	22.8%	15.2%	7.6%	2.6%	5.10	4.90	+1.0
2029	24	MLB	CHC	31	31	175	739	177	103	19	100%	5.6	23.9%	14.0%	9.9%	2.6%	4.82	4.65	+1.5
2030	25	MLB	CHC	30	30	177	748	184	99	19	100%	5.9	24.6%	13.3%	11.3%	2.6%	4.62	4.50	+1.9
2031	26	MLB	CHC	30	30	177	748	187	99	19	100%	5.9	25.0%	13.2%	11.7%	2.6%	4.53	4.46	+1.9
2032	27	MLB	CHC	29	29	174	737	184	98	19	100%	6.0	24.9%	13.3%	11.6%	2.6%	4.51	4.50	+1.8
2033	28	MLB	CHC	28	28	169	715	177	96	19	100%	6.0	24.8%	13.5%	11.3%	2.7%	4.56	4.59	+1.6
2034	29	MLB	CHC	27	27	162	683	168	94	20	100%	6.0	24.6%	13.7%	10.9%	2.9%	4.65	4.72	+1.3
2035	30	MLB	CHC	25	25	152	642	156	90	20	100%	6.1	24.2%	14.0%	10.2%	3.1%	4.80	4.90	+0.9
2027	22	MLB	CHC	12	12	64	270	57	46	7	100%	5.3	21.1%	17.1%	4.0%	2.6%	5.49	5.31	-0.5
2028	23	MLB	CHC	23	23	124	524	119	80	14	100%	5.4	22.8%	15.2%	7.6%	2.6%	5.12	4.92	+0.7
2029	24	MLB	CHC	26	26	145	612	146	86	16	100%	5.6	23.9%	14.0%	9.9%	2.6%	4.84	4.67	+1.2
2030	25	MLB	CHC	27	27	157	663	163	88	17	100%	5.8	24.6%	13.3%	11.3%	2.6%	4.64	4.52	+1.6
2031	26	MLB	CHC	27	27	162	684	171	91	18	100%	6.0	25.0%	13.2%	11.7%	2.6%	4.55	4.48	+1.7
2032	27	MLB	CHC	27	27	162	684	171	91	18	100%	6.0	24.9%	13.3%	11.6%	2.7%	4.53	4.52	+1.7
2033	28	MLB	CHC	26	26	158	667	166	90	18	100%	6.1	24.8%	13.5%	11.3%	2.8%	4.58	4.61	+1.5
2034	29	MLB	CHC	26	26	154	650	160	89	19	100%	5.9	24.6%	13.7%	10.9%	2.9%	4.67	4.74	+1.2
2035	30	MLB	CHC	24	24	144	608	147	85	19	100%	6.0	24.2%	14.0%	10.2%	3.1%	4.82	4.92	+0.8
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			219	219	1270	5363	1300	746	146	100%	5.8	24.2%	13.9%	10.3%	2.7%	4.74	4.31	+16.1
/ 200 IP	—			34	34	200	844	205	117	23	100%	5.8	24.2%	13.9%	10.3%	2.7%	4.74	4.31	+2.5
Career	—			47	42	155	700	112	140	11	89%	3.3	16.0%	20.0%	-4.0%	1.6%	4.99	5.18	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—			61	54	200	903	144	180	15	89%	3.3	16.0%	20.0%	-4.0%	1.6%	4.99	5.18	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nazier Mulé (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.91	18.4%	20.0%	2.6%	—	4.92	22.7%	7.5%	475	-0.99	—	—	—
Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	15.1%	16.7%	2.8%	.296	6.74	21.2%	5.9%	21	+1.24	5.50	102	88
José Leclerc R 2026 · 5.09 FIP	21	SP	5.09	16.8%	17.0%	2.3%	.304	3.22	30.0%	15.1%	184	-1.87	1.48	527	86
Kyle Larsen R 2026 · 5.50 FIP	21	SP-	5.50	15.8%	17.9%	2.7%	.274	5.00	20.2%	6.7%	77	-0.50	4.71	137	84
Aaron Hernandez R 2027 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP-	4.92	18.6%	15.7%	2.5%	.340	4.59	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.33	4.45	194	83
J.P. Massey R 2028 · 4.91 FIP	23	SP	4.91	18.2%	16.0%	2.4%	.259	5.03	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.12	4.62	195	83
Steven Brooks R 2027 · 5.61 FIP	22	SP	5.61	16.6%	17.9%	3.0%	.268	4.80	25.0%	9.8%	40	-0.81	4.80	103	83
Davian Garcia R 2026 · 5.37 FIP	21	SP	5.37	15.8%	16.5%	2.8%	.260	5.35	15.2%	-4.6%	28	-0.02	5.35	124	82
Jose M. Rodriguez R 2026 · 5.01 FIP	21	SP-	5.01	16.6%	18.1%	1.8%	.250	4.38	23.6%	5.6%	34	-0.63	4.38	106	82
Aidan Foeller R 2028 · 4.74 FIP	23	SP	4.74	22.7%	19.1%	2.1%	.309	4.45	23.4%	12.8%	50	-0.29	4.45	149	81
Jake Madden R 2026 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP	5.22	15.9%	15.2%	2.8%	.299	4.57	14.1%	-1.1%	44	-0.65	4.57	123	81
Kohl Franklin R 2027 · 5.37 FIP	22	SP	5.37	17.8%	14.6%	3.5%	.320	5.45	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.08	5.37	174	80
Jeter Martinez R 2025 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP	4.89	15.7%	15.9%	2.0%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	209	80
Mason Pelio R 2028 · 6.26 FIP	23	SP-	6.26	13.3%	17.4%	3.8%	.255	5.74	9.0%	-12.8%	26	-0.52	5.74	122	79
Alex McFarlane R 2027 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP	4.91	21.9%	19.2%	2.2%	.344	4.02	20.5%	6.2%	108	-0.89	3.64	159	79
Victor Lizarraga R 2026 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP	5.22	16.8%	14.2%	3.2%	.325	5.65	13.5%	-2.8%	68	+0.43	3.89	474	79
Henry Williams R 2026 · 5.43 FIP	21	SP	5.43	16.5%	14.2%	3.5%	.271	4.77	16.7%	6.5%	293	-0.66	4.06	360	79
Luis Hernandez R 2026 · 4.86 FIP	21	SP	4.86	16.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.311	6.15	21.4%	4.1%	64	+1.29	4.16	109	78
R.J. Freure R 2027 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	21.7%	18.5%	2.9%	.286	5.88	21.4%	4.2%	107	+0.69	5.19	196	78
Khristian Curtis R 2027 · 5.39 FIP	22	SP	5.39	18.8%	14.4%	3.7%	.275	4.58	21.4%	9.3%	183	-0.81	4.52	258	78
Zack Bird R 2026 · 4.72 FIP	21	SP	4.72	18.1%	15.6%	2.1%	.281	5.19	10.8%	-7.7%	48	+0.47	4.72	149	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	10	158	23.7%	14.4%	1.04	4.83
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	5	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Francisco Liriano ('19)	5	130	22.3%	11.2%	1.09	4.30
Chad Kuhl ('24)	8	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Tyson Ross ('19)	4	107	21.3%	10.8%	0.84	4.31
Patrick Sandoval ('24)	6	89	22.7%	10.1%	0.92	4.01
Gio Gonzalez ('20)	6	141	21.8%	9.5%	0.85	3.85