Nazier Mulé
P
South Bend Cubs
+0.0
WAR
Age 21
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.7 · 2030
ERA4.91
FIP4.91
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.5%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%6.9%
IP59
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2030
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 17 | 16 | 52 | 234 | 43 | 42 | 2 | 12.1% | 19.9% | 1.5% | 4.33 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 18 | 18 | 67 | 306 | 69 | 55 | 2 | 16.8% | 21.1% | 0.8% | 5.78 | 4.81 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 2 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.45 | — | — |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CHC | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 20.5% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 4.91 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 21 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 66 | 284 | 60 | 38 | 7 | 21.2% | 13.4% | 2.3% | 4.64 | 4.37 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 57 | 31 | 7 | 21.7% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 4.69 | 4.58 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 61 | 30 | 7 | 22.6% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.49 | 4.36 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 66 | 279 | 65 | 28 | 7 | 23.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.22 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 66 | 27 | 7 | 23.6% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.21 | 4.13 | +0.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 67 | 27 | 7 | 23.8% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.15 | 4.11 | +0.7 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 67 | 27 | 7 | 23.8% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 4.11 | +0.7 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 65 | 27 | 7 | 23.7% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 4.14 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 64 | 269 | 64 | 26 | 7 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.19 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 61 | 26 | 7 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.22 | 4.25 | +0.5 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 58 | 25 | 7 | 23.2% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.32 | +0.4 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.41 | +0.4 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 52 | 24 | 7 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 49 | 23 | 7 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 37 | 36 | 126 | 574 | 89 | 115 | 6 | 15.4% | 20.0% | 1.0% | 4.99 | 4.91 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 57 | 200 | 909 | 141 | 182 | 9 | 15.4% | 20.0% | 1.0% | 4.99 | 4.91 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nazier Mulé (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.91 | 20.5% | 13.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.38 | 22.5% | 11.5% | 192 | -0.53 | — | — | — |
| Beck Way R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.53 | 23.1% | 16.5% | 2.4% | .250 | 4.77 | 19.8% | 5.4% | 246 | +0.24 | 2.40 | 395 | 92 |
| Jake Lyons R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.45 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.61 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 105 | +0.16 | 4.10 | 174 | 92 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.62 | 24.4% | 16.2% | 2.8% | .328 | 4.58 | 22.6% | 7.5% | 110 | -0.04 | 4.46 | 161 | 91 |
| Isaac Stebens R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 2.1% | .328 | 4.16 | 21.1% | 5.6% | 50 | +0.02 | 4.14 | 102 | 91 |
| Matt Keating R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.37 | 23.3% | 14.8% | 2.5% | .346 | 4.44 | 22.2% | 8.8% | 118 | +0.07 | 3.38 | 184 | 91 |
| Tyler Vogel R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.87 | 23.4% | 14.3% | 3.5% | .305 | 4.25 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 82 | -0.62 | 3.84 | 147 | 90 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.69 | 23.1% | 15.9% | 2.8% | .278 | 3.73 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 53 | -0.96 | 3.73 | 104 | 90 |
| Alec Barger R 2028 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.51 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .289 | 4.17 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.34 | 3.86 | 242 | 89 |
| Juan Nuñez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.49 | 19.6% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.42 | 22.8% | 8.3% | 148 | -0.07 | 2.88 | 245 | 89 |
| Jared Lyons R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.46 | 20.1% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.71 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 115 | -0.75 | 3.28 | 169 | 89 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.10 | 22.8% | 13.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 4.90 | 21.1% | 5.4% | 115 | +0.80 | 4.10 | 168 | 88 |
| William Kempner R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.04 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .277 | 3.24 | 27.3% | 11.8% | 68 | -0.80 | 3.24 | 129 | 88 |
| James Proctor R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 1.5% | .277 | 4.39 | 14.0% | 1.5% | 48 | +0.41 | 3.98 | 109 | 88 |
| Matt Brill R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.89 | 20.8% | 16.3% | 2.7% | .248 | 3.88 | 19.4% | 4.9% | 60 | -1.01 | 3.74 | 161 | 87 |
| Ryan Cardona R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.19 | 20.9% | 17.7% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 4.3% | 292 | -0.95 | 3.54 | 367 | 87 |
| Blake Rivera R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.84 | 20.3% | 14.5% | 1.1% | .298 | 3.89 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 61 | +0.05 | 3.71 | 179 | 87 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2028 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.74 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .283 | 4.09 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.65 | 4.09 | 116 | 86 |
| Bailey Dees R 2028 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.27 | 21.3% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .248 | 4.37 | 21.4% | 9.6% | 278 | +0.10 | 3.41 | 330 | 86 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2029 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.61 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 2.7% | .298 | 4.70 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | +0.09 | 4.23 | 222 | 86 |
| Jeisson Cabrera R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 21.3% | 15.5% | 2.1% | .227 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 194 | 86 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $8M | $18M | +$10M | ||