Jacob Watters
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.74
FIP4.74
K%21.3%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%10.5%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 67% | 1.3 | 15.8% | 21.1% | -5.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.43 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 67% | 1.3 | 15.8% | 21.1% | -5.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.60 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 22 | 21 | 84 | 396 | 94 | 59 | 8 | 95% | 3.8 | 18.3% | 17.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 6.62 | 4.70 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 22 | 21 | 84 | 396 | 94 | 59 | 8 | 95% | 3.8 | 23.7% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 6.62 | 4.20 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 10 | 64 | 284 | 56 | 33 | 2 | 56% | 3.5 | 16.0% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 5.23 | 3.96 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 10 | 64 | 284 | 56 | 33 | 2 | 56% | 3.5 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 0.7% | 5.23 | 3.30 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 6 | 6 | 20 | 93 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 3.4 | 20.0% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.87 | 6.26 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 6 | 6 | 20 | 93 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 3.4 | 24.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 4.87 | 4.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | TB | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.74 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.1 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.30 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 99 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 39 | 172 | 792 | 140 | 117 | 16 | 80% | 3.5 | 17.6% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 5.74 | 4.61 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 45 | 200 | 919 | 162 | 136 | 19 | 80% | 3.5 | 17.6% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 5.74 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Watters (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.68 | 21.7% | 11.1% | 23 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 79 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 77 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 76 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 76 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 75 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 75 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 74 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .296 | 3.59 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 36 | -0.73 | 3.59 | 327 | 73 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 73 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 73 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 73 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .286 | 5.51 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.96 | 3.29 | 142 | 73 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 72 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 72 |
| Luke Gabrysh R 2024 · 5.55 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.55 | 21.8% | 13.7% | 4.7% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 138 | 71 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 71 |
| Brett Daniels R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 3.1% | .357 | 4.75 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 77 | +0.20 | 3.98 | 270 | 71 |
| Aidan Foeller R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 149 | 71 |
| Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.91 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 160 | +0.18 | 3.93 | 323 | 71 |